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TLT

TLT rocket ready for Powell's launch sequenceWhile the bond market blood bath may scare some, I believe it is an opportunity to catch a fly with chopsticks Mr. Miagi style. The narrative that bonds are selling off because of inflation fears is oversold hype and Guggenheim's CIO Scott Minerd and PIMCO's head of short-term management Jerome Schnieder agree. www.guggenheiminvestments.com www.youtube.com Inflation is transient and with a liquidity supernova descending upon the markets, this will push short-term rates down leaving fixed-income investors chasing long-term (duration) bonds. The Fed itself will likely introduce some type of Twist style program expanding purchases of duration bonds. Add in the upcoming SLR exemption expiration and the historical long-term trend in the decline in the US10Y and the case for lower rates becomes very sexy. Yellen is going to be dumping $1.1T into money markets. www.bloomberg.com SLR exclusion exemption may not be extended. Democrats are demanding higher banking restrictions. No SLR extension creates a bottleneck for O/N repos and warehousing. www.ft.com There is also a strong technical case as it is oversold and we've had a very bullish engulfing reversal candle. This looks primed to explode any day now. Additionally, the US10Y looks overbought with the classic evening star doji. Minerd believes rates US10Y will hit -.5% by 2022. While I think that is a little on the extreme end of the range, I do believe 1.15% to 1.25% in the near term is realistic with .5%. Disclaimer: At the time of writing I do hold longer-dated expiry ITM TLT calls.
NASDAQ:TLTLong
by StockSniper00
5
To Me Its Just That "One" Move...Its just the way Bitcoin moves gets me seeing the dollar. Really, It reminds me so much of the dollar. Oh speaking of which how'd y'all feel about that assertion of strength that the DXY had today? Hate it or love it DXY looks like the Nerd in the cafeteria that knows he won't be giving up his lunch money. It's happened one too many time and enough might really be enough now. LOL Let the Assets laugh all they'd like this Nerd knows he'll rule the world. LOL What are your thoughts? Is it bad that people like to realize gains say "Cool! More Dollars now!" -No advice to give just thoughts that I can't shake after the last 6 years in the world of "CRYPTO" ""KEEP CALM AND MANAGE THY RISK!""
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by BradySWilliams
2
Bullish Bonds: Technicals vs. NoiseContrarian bet against the onslaught of bond bears. RH Technicals vs. WallStreet - Clean, MACD Bullish Divergence - Descending Triangle, Completed E-wave signals new trend. - 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement hit; Also referred to as the Golden Retracement . It is, after all, based on the Golden Ratio. - And potentially a False Breakdown, likely to mirror the False Breakout of the B wave in the E wave. Implications for the S&P go without saying. Best, RH
CBOT:ZB1!Long
by RHTrading
Bond Update #bondsThis breakout trade out of the December range (rectangle)to the downside to the lows set back in March has been even better then expected but as we approach those lows it is decision time again. Because I have good trade location I am going to hold the short position even if we get an immediate term bounce. I am watching to see if we can hold below 169'00. If we can the downtrend is still intact. How price reacts here at 167'00 will be interesting to watch though because if rates are really going to rise this time, the down move could be strong if we can make it below 167'00. Despite the FED and the economy not fully being open, bond yields are certainty indicating inflation for now.
CBOT:ZB1!
by IngenuityTrading
2