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Tltlong

$TLT selling off to $138-141 before rallying higherTLT looks to be close to finding a bottom. I could see TLT finding a bottom in the $138-141 range then basing for a couple of weeks before rallying higher in early November. Key dates and levels on the chart. My macro thesis is that we're at the start of a larger pullback in markets and money will flow to treasuries as a safety net. Dates align on both the S&P bottom and TLT top around March... Let's see how it plays out.
NASDAQ:TLTLong
by benjihyam
3
Interest Rates Topping?/TLT Finally Making a Bottom?/Looks like the craze over high interest rates is coming to a congestion zone. If you go back to 2019, there were hella buyers at $135. I think we are getting to the point where such high interest rates, while the stock market is still skyrocketing, and yet the global economy has not recovered; or said better, investors are in denial. When interest rates are low, and the stock market is high - that's inflationary. When interest rates are high, and the stock market is high (making ATHs), and yet we are in the eye of a deleveraging, currency crisis - I can't help but anticipate a top on both rates and the stock market. At some point, the Fed will have to get people to buy bonds, or they'll do it themselves, to push down the long-end, and I think the stock market will get cold feet, and start selling off. That being said, there could be something more nefarious happening that we just aren't taking into account, which is the Fed just continuing the "we need to push inflation up" narrative until they are blue in the face (idk how they aren't already), and people continue to take on debt and play the euphoric stock market game until financials finally bite people in the ass. The fed knows interest rates going higher, in a crisis like this, is a ticking time bomb, and at some point, will have to give in, but that's the point - they're going to let the system panic and then they'll come in, once again, and lend a hand. What worries me, though, is why would anyone give a shit what they have to say at that point? No one can get loans when banks don't want to lend - e.g. people are in forebearance, people's businesses are closing or on the brink, people are malignantly unemployed in higher and higher numbers - fred.stlouisfed.org We're getting to the point where the risky money has to go somewhere, and it's either bonds, savings accounts, consumer debt, or stocks, and the fed will make damn sure that it's stocks or consumer debt. But what happens when people are exhausted and don't want to take on debt - or quite frankly just can't? Or when the stock market isn't going any higher and the support zones for every major index is thousands of points down? The money goes into savings, banks go insolvent due to lesser and lesser risk-on sentiment, and they dive into treasurys to find a safe haven for liquidity, and boom - you've got negative interest rates. I'm fairly certain this will be the case this year, and the Fed will, again, be forced to ramp up the emergency SPVs like we've never seen before, and virtually breaking every rule in the book so that banks stay solvent, and people continue to take on loans.
TVC:US10YShort
by MoneybagsMcGee
3
TLT long explanation on my last videohere is more explanation of my last video that why we have 3 targets based on elliot waves. there are 3 elliot waves from small to big picture that gives us some classics theoretical targets. does it mean we will reach all of them? does we even pass them? or we reject from here again? all possible!!! if you are a trader more than even 1yr you know that ALL POSSIBLE! just trade based on your strategy, open point, risk/reward ratio, SL and TP.
NASDAQ:TLTLong
by akarimaghaloo
BTC Going To "0" !? Wow, So who would have thought that we'd get here? Just about any person in the space would say that they knew and called it but with so many saying and believing how many are just simple repeats of thought outside of their own view without even being aware of the cultist view crypto harbors to simply just follow and buy at the Top? Perhaps not "you" but many have in the past, many are now and much more will again in the future. Plenty to say with little attention spans so... YOLO Bra! 🤙 LOL "Noobs please try to understand some people have had bags bigger and longer than you." 🤷‍♂️ #Fixed What are your thoughts? Is it bad that people like to realize gains say "Cool! More Dollars now!" Most will answer with an emphatic "YES!!!" LOL Or am I really the only person that's down to pull profit and even short a little??? LOL -No advice to give just thoughts that I can't shake after the last 6 years in the world of "CRYPTO" "KEEP CALM AND MANAGE THY RISK!"
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by BradySWilliams
14
Is that a Dolphin!?!Careful I think I just spotted a Dolphin!?! I think most have an opinion on ADA like everything else in the world. Hate it or love it they know how to put on a show on just like the Dolphins at SEAS "SeaWorld" . LOL The recent news or lack of has likely sparked zero new ideas for the majority of traders for ADA most thoughts you could travel back to 2017 and get the same answers on why ADA? Still worth making a post about it lol. Awesome platform to build of that I don't actually hear from anyone🤷‍♂️ it's cool they are on Coinbase now LOL Well at the moment glad I went short at $1.50ish IDK really after all this... (Blowhole or No Blowhole?) "That's the question I have for you." What are your thoughts? What is ADA good for??? If taking profits for badguys? 😎 "Noobs please try to understand some people have had bags bigger and longer than you." 🤷‍♂️ #Fixed What are your thoughts? Is it bad that people like to realize gains say "Cool! More Dollars now!" Most will answer with an emphatic "YES!!!" LOL Or am I really the only person that's down to pull profit and even short a little??? LOL -No advice just thoughts that I can't shake after the last 5 years in the world of "CRYPTO" ""KEEP CALM AND MANAGE THY RISK!""
BITTREX:ADAUSDShort
by BradySWilliams
12
ADA Geniuses Are Out Here Ready 🤓Yes, ADA has been a main squeeze of mine over the years. Waiting for a day that seemed would come COINBASE! "But you have been short!" they shout. Sure, I have but I am bullish as well. We have seen awesome moves up with next sell feeling better than the last. Sometime ago thanksgiving day actually I scrambled to get my Binance account made back in 2017. LOL The MOONBOY was so hyped about the #ETH Killer #ADA #Cardano 😈. I knew a Coinbase listing would help tremendously for price little did I realize just how long I'd have to wait lol. Sure Enough though here we are! Again why ADA? Like every other coin a never ending quest for gains in a cycle no one wants to admit could be getting ready for a rest lol 💤 As an argument to what I am saying "Ya, something MEGA bullish can happen and it did. Is it here on time or too late??? Now to this Mega Ultra Bullish event unfolding before our eyes "please note what's being said"... This long time coming Coinbsae listing long over due will be a quick and fast move that can pop/pump and then just fizzle yet again, again and again. The key point here to bare in mind is "the slosh of cash" money from some other crypto for another moon shot but at the same time I think that button may perhaps be wearing out. You have a Coinbase rally and now what? Allow for many that have held over the years to have an easy exit for the next generation I suppose. ⭐I am not sure how much these events cannibalizing the main driver of this market is really a good thing when we are dealing with the leverage in the space. One of many catalyst to the deleveraging event yet to come in crypto. "I personally feel that buyers are going to increase their exhaustion buying dumps. Things can happen too fast for the little guppies to nibble up all the Whale crumbs.. As things sink down toward the inevitable abyss." "Noobs please try to understand some people have had bags bigger and longer than you." 🤷‍♂️ #Fixed What are your thoughts? Is it bad that people like to realize gains say "Cool! More Dollars now!" Or am I really the only person that's down to pull profit and even short a little??? LOL -No advice to give just thoughts that I can't shake after the last 6 years in the world of "CRYPTO" "KEEP CALM AND MANAGE THY RISK!"
KRAKEN:ADAUSDShort
by BradySWilliams
8
Hey Brady What did you do today!?Nothing just watched some meaningless lines and circled a few candle thingies. Oh and I bought some Eth! Then I remembered April 6th will be around here before you know it so I sold with my weak hands lol Honestly I really do get nervous buying at these levels if were to really want to hold any crypto at these prices I'd be looking for the more unconventional route to accumulating other than just buying scalp prices.. Humm seems like a trend that can't die... What are your thoughts? Is it bad that people like to realize gains say "Cool! More Dollars now!" -No advice to give just thoughts that I can't shake after the last 6 years in the world of "CRYPTO" ""KEEP CALM AND MANAGE THY RISK!""
KRAKEN:ETHUSDShort
by BradySWilliams
IDK SometimesYa so not a expert with that has all the answers here... Case in point recent price action and low Vol. note that it is the weekend though. I figured hey pots a stirrin. Hey do this for me pick any or all your fav time frames on a chart and start counting all the pretty stars "Oh shoot that's a meteor shower lol" Its ok I have a bucket to catch all the falling stars lol "You never know you never know" In the unexpected event of being completely wrong where can you get some good CROW if you plan on eating it??? lol I often go for Extra crispy & Extra Spicy myself. (Asking for a friend) "I personally feel that buyers are going to increase their exhaustion buying dumps. You know free money may hit fast enough for the little guppies to nibble up all the Whale crumbs or the word and thought of it.. lol As things sink down toward the inevitable abyss. " "Noobs, please try to understand some people have had bags bigger and longer than you." (Placer note Emoticon Shoulder Shrug) What are your thoughts? Is it bad that people like to realize gains say "Cool! More Dollars now!" -No advice to give just thoughts that I can't shake after the last 6 years in the world of "CRYPTO" "KEEP CALM AND MANAGE THY RISK!"
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by BradySWilliams
Here! Hold This For Me LOL :^DThere are Lines to be Tested, Respected and or Denied.. Lets see! "I personally feel that buyers are going to increase their exhaustion buying dumps. Plus the minimum wage hasn't hit fast enough for the little guppies to nibble up all the Whale crumbs... As things sink down toward the inevitable abyss." Someone free me of my stubborn ways!!! LOL What are your thoughts? Is it bad that people like to realize gains say "Cool! More Dollars now!" Or am I really the only person that's down to pull profit and even short a little??? LOL -No advice to give just thoughts that I can't shake after the last 6 years in the world of "CRYPTO" ""KEEP CALM AND MANAGE THY RISK!""
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by BradySWilliams
2
Help Me UnderstandHey help me understand why these two don't matter? They are found on multiple time frames. To me they matter but I would love to get a better view sense I can be off base judging by some of my recent convo with people. lol "I personally feel that buyers are going to increase their exhaustion buying dumps. Plus the minimum wage hasn't hit fast enough for the little guppies to nibble up all the Whale crumbs... As things sink down toward the inevitable abyss." Someone free me of my stubborn ways!!! LOL What are your thoughts? Is it bad that people like to realize gains say "Cool! More Dollars now!" Or am I really the only person that's down to pull profit and even short a little??? LOL -No advice to give just thoughts that I can't shake after the last 6 years in the world of "CRYPTO" ""KEEP CALM AND MANAGE THY RISK!""
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by BradySWilliams
Red Light, Green Light Turn Around "Dynamite"Great! So My thought at the start was this "orange dotted line" not the one in the middle of the screen but the one I am pointing at. My target was this alarm I set. Alarm never triggered but every morning I hit the snooze button anyway LOL So I took profit just a little after seeing it never hit. So closed in some good "Profit!" So here is where we are now. Up before an alarm when all you wanted to do was sleep in but now we are stuck playing childish games like red light green light LOL. Nice thing is we can play this little game on the right shoulder of a big move no? This is where the "dynamite" plays into our game. It will be cool to see where we move from here. I am cool either way I will try to think opposite of my "This is going down mood.. " (IF POSSIBLE) LOL What are your thoughts? Is it bad that people like to realize gains say "Cool! More Dollars now!" Or am I really the only person that's down to pull profit and even short a little??? LOL -No advice to give just thoughts that I can't shake after the last 6 years in the world of "CRYPTO" ""KEEP CALM AND MANAGE THY RISK!""
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by BradySWilliams
4
Down Down McDown DownSo Golds cool I wear it everyday. It's been a good trade real fun... I will still rock my gold even at zero cuz "Chicks dig it" however I will still sell more though then holding fine with taking Dollars/Euros. For me Golds all about the bling bling now I don't care about the price cheap jewelry to come. All the Pirates can hate me for dumping my Doubloons but I am not the captain so I don't need to go down with the ship same MO for BTCUSD . Mad gains have been fun. What are your thoughts? Is it bad that people like to realize gains and say things like "Cool! More Dollars now!" ? -No advice to give just thoughts that I can't shake ""KEEP CALM AND MANAGE THY RISK!""
FX:XAUUSDShort
by BradySWilliams
Welcome To Wish Country We are quickly approaching official Wish Country many will be be welcomed with opened arms reassuring pats on the back as they all Breathing nothing but the freshest hopium Wish Country has to offer.. In short the reality that they "should" key word "should" have sold has yet to set in. (Placer note Emoticon Shoulder Shrug) What are your thoughts? Is it bad that people like to realize gains say "Cool! More Dollars now!" Or am I really the only person that's down to pull profit and even short a little??? LOL -No advice to give just thoughts that I can't shake after the last 6 years in the world of "CRYPTO" ""KEEP CALM AND MANAGE THY RISK!""
KRAKEN:ETHUSDShort
by BradySWilliams
9