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Tltshort

Time to flip short $TLT againWe made good money shorting NASDAQ:TLT into the summer down to the initial target I had of $88. Then we flipped long again and I exited my longs earlier this month on Dec 7th. Now, as you can see from the first chart , we've come up against resistance and I think it's time to flip short again to retest the lows. How low we go is TBD, but I think this move could go to at minimum $95 and at maximum retest, or barely sweep the lows. I bought some puts yesterday with a strike of $97 for a few months out. Note: There is a possibility that we get one more retest of the highs before it starts falling (if this happens, I'll add more to my position).
NASDAQ:TLTShort
by benjihyam
4
TLT → Strong downtrendNASDAQ:TLT remains in a strong bearish trend. After breaking through the 93 zone, the bond price rose. It has not been able to break the first resistance found in the 103.70 zone, and it has another more important resistance in the 110 level. At the moment I am not going to buy long-term american bonds, and I am still invested in monetary asset investment funds with an average maturity of these assets of less than 90 days. And what are american fund managers doing? American fund managers are again massively accumulating short positions against the american bond.
NASDAQ:TLTShort
by tradingconmike
TLT ShortTLT is approaching a technical double top area as the Feb. 1st FOMC meeting looms. Fed futures are currently pricing in a 475-500 bps terminal rate, however some fed speakers over the days have indicated a desire to exceed 500 bps this year. Market thus far hasn't bought that narrative and expects the Fed will be forced to pivot later this year due to recessionary headwinds. This pivot hopium has resulted in a rally in TLT. However, if the Fed raises rates to 50bps in February with 2 more rate hikes to go after that, Fed futures should spike above 5%. This will bring TLT crashing down to the 90-100 level. Even if the Fed only raises 25bps with 2 more rate hikes to go, a hawkish stance consistent with their recent comments about continuing rate increases should eat away at the Fed pivot hopium rally and still result in a drop of TLT to the 100 level. EIther way I don't see TLT continuing past 110 in the near term and this opens up a good short oppotunity.
CBOT:ZQU2023Short
by berzerker2020
$TLT looks like it's heading to the $120 rangeTLT looks like it's formed a massive weird looking head and shoulders pattern on the weekly timeframe. So far, it's managed to hold support in the $134 range. However, that range has been tested a number of times now that I think the next time it test on larger timeframes, support will break. There's little support between here and the $120s so the next logical target to me is at $122-123. Eventually, I can see it hitting the lower targets at $114. Let's see what happens over the next few weeks and months.
NASDAQ:TLTShort
by benjihyam
The Only Trade You Need to Make This Year. #SteeplongendThe long End Of Yield Curve will steepen. Inflation running hot and CB can't hike rates. Nobody will buy 20-30Y. Yields Run, TLT Plummets Double Top with Divergence. Both, fundamentals and Technicals there. This may be the only trade you need to make this year. Everyone will continue to believe inflation is under control until they don't. This is a trade we can actually see happening in front of us but, nobody has this priced in yet.
NASDAQ:TLTShort
by CptSafety
19