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TML

Strong technical potential for up to 60% advance PLTR was a true market leader back in 2020, but in brutal bear market of 2021-2022 the price was devastated almost by 90% of decline. While price still is far bellow its all time highs and thus has substantial overhead supply, my technical analysis shows substantial potential for at least one more wave higher in 2023. Thesis : until price respects and holds its Sep'23 lows 13.6, I expect price to form continue forming the right side and handle of the cup, following by the break-out to 23-28 ideal resistance zone.
NYSE:PLTRLong
by artemfedorov
3
IOT: Next true market leader? Company possess good internal qualities to qualify for TML (true market leader) characteristics and to be among performing stocks in new bull market (if we see one in coming year(s)). Among these qualities are: 1. Increasing triple digit earnings growth last two quarters in a row; 2. Consistent double digit sales growth 4 qrt in a row; 3. Analyst covering the coming are expecting it to become profitable from 2024, thus good rising eps targets; 4. Number of institutional sponsorship is increasing 4 qrt in a row; 5. Management owns 5% of the company; 6. Company is in top group and sector (IBD ranking). Chart is also showing signs of institutional accumulation is under the hood with strong weekly closes on volume pick up. Structurally speaking, we may see first impulsive wave structure - waves (1)-(5) - with double bottom corrective structure - wave (2) - are in place. In this structure holds true, price needs to stay above local Jan low and move confidently to next mid-term resistance zone of 41-48. Clearing 48 border will open the door for the path of least resistance towards next macro targets: 78-108, 130-176 and 213-290 areas. Wishing you profitable 2024 and thank you for your attention!
NYSE:IOTLong
by artemfedorov
EDUCATIONAL: F 200%+ move in 82-84I want to start periodically sharing my retrospective analysis of market leaders, that made triple digits gains during bull markets in different time-periods. The purpose of this analysis is to find commonalities in price patterns and behaviour among the best-performing stocks, that repeat themselves in each and every up-cycle throughout market history. That will help new stock market participants to better exploit new emerging opportunities. As my stock market history teacher - John Boik - use to say it: "Study the past, so you can profit in the future". Retrospective analysis of Ford ( NYSE:F ) during 1982-194: 0. Great Relative strength. When SPX (see the upper chart) makes lower lows, FORD is making higher highs on noticeable pick-up in average daily volume. Also notice who price creates a flat-base and latter breaks out (BO) from it with volume surging above average; 1. First BUY could be made here with very tight 3% stop, a bit or right after W. O'Neil's «shake-out + 10%» rule (buy if price shakes you out and quickly reverse and runs higher by 10%) after the double bottom pattern in the bottom of the base. 2. Because of the bear market nature of the general index, quick 12-15% gain could be used to trim 1/2 or 2/3 of the position to guaranty profits, and selling the rest for break-even during the following re-test of break-out area; 3. Could be bought again during the BO of perfect VCP with tight 2.5% stop, and... 4. ...sold for the quick 5-7x return-to-risk gain. 5. When the index makes its final lower-low, F's price rebases, making a higher-low, and quickly runs higher and breaks out in Aug82 along with the SnP500. F could be bought and shaked out during initial BO attempt, and then re-bought after price follows through in two days with volume support. Notice how price pattern rhythms with prior Dec81-Mar82 base. 6. This big red reversal bar with substantial volume pick-up could be used to book another 15-17% gain with only initial 3-4% stop. 7. It is already clear that F is the new market leader of this new up-trend and it makes sense to track how the price acts if it corrects to 50MA (Red line) that coincides with re-tests of prior BO point. If to zoom in into the volume dynamics of this basing actions around 50D MA, accumulation (surge in volume with closes in in upper part of the bar dominate volume on corrective bars) becomes very evident. 8. New BUY coming from this low cheat BO with massive volume support. Because the average cost was so low, one may want to move stop to break-even or tracing 50D MA. 9. Price closed in the upper third of the day - good supportive actions on the 50D MA. If stopped-out, shares could be re-bought by the end of the day or on next day BO with tight stop and low of the day. 10. Shares could be sold into this kind of climactic run above the 7 month channel line + the general market barely moves to old highs indicating relative divergence and lack of overall momentum in the market. 11. Good tight area. Could have been bought at BO and sold at BE after the BO proved to be fake one. 12. New BUY under shake-out + 10% rule with stop bellow 50D MA after it crosses the buy price. Massive volume advance on BO day acts as confirmation of large institutional interest in the stock (notice how these green volume sky-scrapers bars tend to dominate the red selling bars latter-on until the up-trend changes). Notice again how the price shows the same character shake-out pattern it made during Dec81-Mar82 and May-Aug82. As Nicolas Darvas observed that "stocks have characters just like people". 13. Perfect selling area: price moves above the channel line in negative divergence to the market (index is not making higher-highs). 14. Same type of character behaviour with shake-out and Mark Minervine's «slingshot» move on volume support, where «shake-out +10%» buy rule could be used to establish the position with tight stop bellow the short-term 8/21emas. 15. Sell 3/4 of position or all in this first evident distribution bar + the market seems tired and is loosing momentum. Very noticeable distribution bars starting to appear - some heavy selling and not much buying. Important sign of character change. 16. This low volume pattern during this up-move shows that late retail buyers are stepping in with no institutional support. That is the hint that price advance is prone to failure. 17. Definite selling signal. Price dives bellow 50MA with substantial distribution started dominating the volume pattern.
NYSE:FEducation
by artemfedorov
2023 True Market Leader - Does it has more potential? VRT has been up more than 200% since late April 2023 bottom, demonstrating key true market leader characteristics in terms of price advance, volume profile and fundamentals. Look at how well and orderly price was following along the 8 EMA and later 21 EMA since the break-out from a large 195 days base (with two unfilled gaps first in Apr and in later in May). On the fundamental side, one my notice: Exceptional relative strength to the SNP500; Top EPS and IBD Composite Index; Triple digit growth in analyst estimates for EPS for 23 and double digits for 24; Jaw-dropping triple digits earnings growth for 3 qrt in a raw; Continues double digits sales growth; Improving ROE; And doubling amount of institutional sponsorship by Sep23; Management owns 10% I don't have reliable ElliotWave pattern on VRT, but from the market symmetry concept, I see the next important macro resistance zone at 47-51 area, where 47 is the 100% extension of the move from the bottom of 2020 to the top of 2021. The history of true market leaders teaches us, that the stocks the doubles and triples have a higher historical odds of doing it again in the next bull-cycle. It this correction in the indexes is over and the general market has a plan to continue its advance in Q4, my thesis is that VRT shall continue being the top choice for the growth investors and trader. Trading parameters: actionable if price breaks out the 39 pivot with volume. Short-mid term long thesis is wrong bellow 36 and fully invalidated bellow 35 areas.
NYSE:VRTLong
by artemfedorov
🟩 4 True Market LeadersEven though I am 100% cash, i am carefully looking at some of the True Market Leaders (TMLs) that I have traded recently. These act great during the correction and could provide an actionable buy points. Here is the list of names. NASDAQ:SMCI NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:META NYSE:ANET PRO TIP: I always use 2 alerts - one which is above the pivot and one underneath. I call the first one ✅ GOOD ACTION and the second one ❌ BAD ACTION I put these alerts on anywhere between 15-30 stocks. And watch how the market reacts. What I want to see is a bunch of ✅ GOOD ACTION alerting me. This shows me that the market is worknig well, when I get a bunch of ❌ BAD ACTION, I know the makret it turning.
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by TintinTrading
TML : 3 HIGH TARGETSTML are on volume structure what means we can expect soon some increase trends if this trend keep going in this small frame cycle. Its long time ago that TML did move, and since today it seems to make a change. Expecting targets are between 30% - 100% In high range it can hit above 125% See the Targets views. # know that increasing can take some time, but same time it can go into fast trend. There is no guaranty on time frame when it will happen. And also the idea shows not that it should happen 100% - its more about high chance.
KRAKEN:TLMUSDLong
by Goldenbreakout
Tesla ~ TSLATsla is meeting resistance here at the top of the channel and couldn't breakout above 1096 resistance which has continued to act as a brick wall, I think this one can have better prices in the coming days around 1048-1060 area. Blowing thru there we'd begin the drop towards 1020-1000 lvl. SPX looks relatively strong despite the low volume to start this week and the only way we'd be going down to that 1000 lvl is if SPX begins to tumble down to 4700. SPX staying above 4720 will continue bullish momentum.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by tslatrades
2
GRWG chased this on FOMOThis was a "what was a what the f%$@ was I thinking" entry. Got caught up in the pot stock craze. This was one that I traded on its original break out in August 2020. Has a good run back then. I guess I was feeling nostalgic. It has been a TML in this growing space. If this doesn't quickly move in my direction, I will sell and wait for another set-up. Have to go back to my rules: To not chase stocks. Wait for proper set-ups ie breakout on volume (with decent fundamentals)
NASDAQ:GRWGLong
by Tea-Trades
3
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Long
by fraclehe