TNA
Sentiment Timing - DEC/4/2015 - THIS DROP WAS COMING The Sentiment on 12/2 was 93% Bullish. As I noted: “In general it is never a good idea to Buy on High Sentiment.” We have seen that every extreme cluster of Low Dorsey Sentiment have been ideal time to Buy zones. However, it is little recognized that “High Sentiment and Low sentiment are materially different in that they represent different aspects of the Emotional Market Brain.” The 5% Bullish on Thursday has been followed by 2% Bullish today after yesterdays’ dramatic declines. Stocks are trying to recover this morning and that may continue to some extent. However if the market remains relatively weak and there is low Sentiment on Monday, it could register a MEMBERS ONLY Negative Sentiment Cluster and fit with the profile for declines into MEMBERS ONLY time zone. However, given that the Price High and Key Reversal from the 93% is only, “ MEMBERS ONLY ,” the best profile resolution is for generic weakness to persist into MEMBERS ONLY . There is overt and obvious support down to the MEMBERS ONLY level. Thus it may yet turn out that this profiled hiccup is still just more Range Trading. The interesting idea that I provide is that there are short term profiles within the longer time frames that most investors are focused on and/or seduced by. There are high probabilities profiles that don’t require long winded cognitive rationales.
I had surmised that the “Seasonals would NOT be typical this year.” After this downside surprise, there is due to be an MEMBERS ONLY and then perhaps another MEMBERS ONLY into year end. Let’s take it one trade at a time. I repeat: “Thus, this is not the time for Big Bets and Out-sized trading positions.”
.Don't be on the wrong side!!!! click on the link below to see what Woody Dorsey has to say and if you want more information
www.sentimenttiming.com
TNA Short Opportunity Setting UpTwo very strong resistance cues:
(1) you have the former support turned resistance line
(2) you do not have a lot of room for price to advance if it does poke through the resistance line
Here is what I am looking for:
(a) price to breach resistance line to the upside
(b) price to pop aggressively above the upper daily bollinger band
(c) harvesting of the late exuberant bulls before a significant decline
Double zig zag done? Looks like a double zigzag is in the cards ... but could go lower for the 1,168 fib for completion. A capitulation flush and then a strong bounce up. But i'm hesitating to go in for more than a scalp here. Monday could be the day of good timing after a friday sell off before close.
Time will show
Safe trading here ladies and gents!
BM