Tokenomics
ABT to 3.67I like ABT's tokenomics with about 98 million in circulation. It was a great play earlier in the crypto bull cycle and I think early profit takers will jump back in as we move towards $5.00 later this year (Nov). My short term targets for price (on the daily) are around 2.85 to 3.67. It has consolidated well, we've seen recent buy signals kick based on technicals, and it looks to me we are moving away from peak fear towards the greed zone. I bought and am buying at 1.62 to 2.07. This is a really long swing trade that I'll be nibbling at on pullbacks till it's above five dollars. Personally, I like to sell into peak greed and top off my positions on hard pullbacks during peak fear cycles. I'll be watching the daily for invalidation of my targets but I think we've got, at least, a week or two of upward momentum coming.
Understanding Tokenomics- Short Guide for Crypto InvestmentsEveryone dreams of finding that 100x crypto gem, but if you want to have a fighting chance beyond just buying random coins and praying that one hits, there’s one thing you need to do: master tokenomics. Tokenomics is the key to a crypto project’s price performance, and nearly every 100x crypto gem in history has had great tokenomics. This guide will teach you tokenomics from top to bottom, making you a savvier investor.
What is Tokenomics?
Tokenomics refers to the economic structure and financial model behind a cryptocurrency. It encompasses everything from supply and demand dynamics to token distribution and utility. Understanding these factors can give you a significant edge in identifying potential high-reward investments.
Supply and Demand
At its core, tokenomics boils down to two things: supply and demand. These two elements have a massive impact on a token's price. Even if a project has the best tech and marketing, it may not translate into great price performance unless it also has solid tokenomics.
Supply-Side Tokenomics
Supply-side tokenomics involves factors that control a cryptocurrency's supply. There are three types of supplies, but for the purposes of finding 100x gems, we focus on two: maximum supply and circulating supply.
Maximum Supply: This is the maximum number of coins that can ever exist for a particular project. For example, Bitcoin has a maximum supply of 21 million, which means there will never be more than 21 million Bitcoins in existence.
Circulating Supply: This is the amount of coins that are circulating in the open markets and are readily tradable. Websites like CoinMarketCap or CoinGecko can provide these values for most crypto projects.
Example: Bitcoin has a maximum supply of 21 million, making it a highly sought-after asset, especially in countries with high inflation. In contrast, Solana has a circulating supply of over 400 million but a maximum supply of infinity due to inflation, where the supply increases forever as the network creates more coins to reward miners or validators.
Inflation and Deflation
Inflation: Some projects have constant token inflation, where the supply goes up forever. While we generally prefer not to have inflation in tokenomics, some inflationary coins perform well as long as the inflation is reasonable. To determine if inflation is reasonable, convert the yearly inflation percentage to a daily dollar amount and compare it to market demand.
Deflation: Some projects have deflationary mechanisms where tokens are removed from circulation through methods like token burns. For example, Ethereum burns a part of the gas fee with every transaction, potentially making it net deflationary.
Rule of Thumb: Prefer projects with deflationary tokenomics or a maximum supply. Some inflation is okay if it’s reasonable and supported by market demand.
Market Cap
Market cap is another critical factor, defined as circulating supply multiplied by price. To find coins with 10x or even 100x potential, look for ones with lower market caps. For instance, a cryptocurrency with a market cap under $100 million, or even under $50 or $10 million, offers more upside potential but also carries more risk.
Example: Binance Coin (BNB) has a market cap of around $84 billion 579 USD at the time of writing). For a 10x gain, it would need to reach a $870 billion market cap, which is highly unlikely anytime soon. Hence, smaller projects with lower market caps are preferable.
Unit Bias
The price of the token can affect its performance due to unit bias, where investors prefer to own a large number of tokens rather than a fraction of a more expensive one. This psychological phenomenon makes smaller unit prices preferable for 100x gems, assuming all else is equal.
Fully Diluted Value (FDV)
FDV is calculated as maximum supply times price. Be cautious of projects with a large difference between their market cap and FDV, as it indicates potential future dilution. A good rule of thumb is to look for an FDV of less than 10x the current market cap.
Trading Volume
High trading volume relative to market cap ensures that the market cap number is reliable. A volume-to-market-cap ratio above 0,001 is decent.
Initial and Current Distribution
Initial Distribution: Check how widely the tokens were initially distributed. Avoid projects where a significant percentage of tokens are held by founders or venture capitalists.
Current Distribution: Use tools like Etherscan to analyze the current distribution of tokens. Look for a large number of unique holders and a low percentage held by the top 100 holders.
Vesting Schedule: Analyze the vesting schedule to understand when team or investor tokens will be unlocked, as these can impact the token's price.
Demand-Side Tokenomics
Demand-side tokenomics refers to factors that drive demand for a token, such as its utility and financial incentives.
Token Utility
The primary driver of demand is a token’s utility. Strong utilities include:
Paying for gas fees on a network
Holding to access a protocol
Getting discounts on trading fees
Governance tokens generally lack strong utility unless they are actively used and valued by the community.
Financial Incentives
Staking rewards and profit-sharing models, like those offered by GMX, incentivize holding tokens long-term. Sustainable financial incentives drive demand.
Growth and Marketing Allocation
Allocations for growth initiatives, such as influencer marketing, community rewards, or airdrops, help generate demand indirectly. Look for projects with healthy allocations for growth and marketing.
Conclusion
Tokenomics is the most crucial factor in analyzing and finding potential 100x crypto gems. However, other aspects like the underlying technology, marketing, and community also play significant roles. Combining a thorough understanding of tokenomics with broader fundamental analysis will enhance your investment decisions.
BRN scarcer than ever 🔥🐺Hello my friends ! 🐺
This is a massive opportunity for you my friend to at least 10X your trading portfolio and the reason behind this is :
at 18th April BRN is burning 90% of its supply and making it scarcer then ever so I think this is a best time to hold your tokens and maximizing your portfolio ;
Also if you looking the chart you can see an obvious AB=CD pattern which goes us to the ALL TIME HIGH price around 6$ mark .
Decoding DeFi MetricsIn Decentralized Finance (DeFi), deciphering the wealth of new projects can be akin to navigating uncharted waters. However, amidst the chaos, fundamental analysis stands as a beacon, guiding investors and traders towards discerning the true value of DeFi assets.
1. Total Value Locked (TVL):
TVL, the sum of funds nestled within a DeFi protocol, provides a vital glimpse into market interest. Whether measured in ETH or USD, it illuminates a protocol's market saturation and investor confidence.
2. Price-to-Sales Ratio (P/S Ratio):
In DeFi, just like traditional businesses, evaluating a protocol's value against its revenue stream offers a unique perspective. A lower P/S ratio suggests undervaluation, indicating a potential investment opportunity.
3. Token Supply on Exchanges:
Monitoring tokens on centralized exchanges unveils market dynamics. While a surplus may hint at sell-offs, complexities arise due to collateralized holdings, necessitating nuanced analysis.
4. Token Balance Changes on Exchanges:
Sudden shifts in token balances on exchanges signal imminent volatility. Large withdrawals hint at strategic accumulation, underscoring the importance of tracking market movements.
5. Unique Address Count:
More addresses usually imply widespread adoption. But beware! This metric can be deceptive. Cross-reference with other data for a clearer picture.
6. Non-Speculative Usage:
A token's utility is paramount. Assess its purpose beyond speculation. Transactions occurring outside exchanges signify genuine use, a testament to its value.
7. Inflation Rate:
While scarcity is a virtue, a token's inflation rate demands attention. Striking a balance between supply growth and value preservation is crucial, emphasizing the need for a holistic evaluation approach.
In the intricate DeFi landscape, these metrics serve as the foundations of strategic decision-making. Each data point unravels a layer of complexity, empowering investors to make astute choices. As you delve into the world of decentralized finance, armed with these insights thrive in the boundless universe of DeFi possibilities! 🚀💡
TON: Overrated project or the FUTURE of crypto market?Hello! This is the third article in a fundamental project analysis (check the first one about Aptos and the second about Solana ). In this idea, we will analyze one of the most controversial projects of the last 2-3 months - TON. The main goal of this article is to show you the project from various perspectives, to provide all information about the project and our estimation of that information, and in conclusion we'll tell you our opinion on what to do with the project and how you can earn from it. In some way, this article will be beneficial to both experienced traders and newcomers to the market. Please leave your comments after reading it and subscribe to our other resources; we want to know what you think!
The project and its token
The Open Network successor to Telegram Open Network - native token TON successor to Gram.
What is the project?
TON is Layer one blockchain.
Working on The Open Network's (hereinafter TON) predecessor, Telegram Open Network (hereinafter Gram), began in 2018. Gram raised $1.7 billion in private sales to investors in April 2018, but fundraising did not stop there. Gram crashed as a result of the decision to hold an ICO under US jurisdiction, after which the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) recognized Gram as a security and declared all previous sales of Gram to investors to be illegal securities distributions. Litigation ensued between the SEC and Telegram, and the SEC won. Consequently, Telegram halted Gram development and began returning funds to investors who had decided to exit the project. The TON project was already well underway, with a team of developers and active users. Many of those who were excited about Gram joined the TON team.
PRODUCT PART
Key mechanics:
Proof of Stake consensus algorithm – network security is dependent on validators checking blocks and delegates trusting their tokens to validators to increase network security
Sharding – blockchain speed, scalability and higher throughput
TON Proxy – access to the TON blockchain via a decentralized VPN and TOR-like network. Increased decentralization and accessibility.
TON DNS – domain names similar to ENS on Ethereum, but TON has integrated their application thanks to Telegram support.
STRENGTHS:
TON's product strengths are not based on a technical stack; in 2022, sharding was implemented and is being implemented in blockchains. Claimed blockchain TPSs are breaking all records, and scalability is one of the key issues that all teams are working on.
TON's strengths are primarily in the user sector, where they are working to improve user experience and acceptance of TON. This is definitely a good thing, or it would be a good thing if Telegram didn't lose the trial in 2020, or it would be even better if there was no trial and the ICO took place in any other jurisdiction. TON, or Gram in that case, would already be among the top ten projects in terms of capitalization, dictating trends in the industry.
WEAKNESSES:
TON is not a self-sufficient project ; its entire success is dependent on a single narrative, Telegram integration. Without Telegram's support, TON as a project would have lagged behind the first hundred projects in terms of capitalization, and it would have been remembered as, yes, it was a solid idea, but these guys lacked originality.
To use an analogy, imagine Aptos coming out not with the idea, scalability, a new approach to the role of L1 blockchains, and its unique concepts, but as a project that might one day be integrated into Facebook or Instagram. And Zuckerberg was tweeting about his plans to incorporate Aptos DEX into his apps. Of course, everyone would shout LFG and To the Moon for the APT token, but the project would no longer be unique; we would no longer be able to appreciate Aptos as a project, but rather as a third-party add-on to social networks.
That is exactly what TON is; the project itself did not introduce any new ideas; it is simply a project that will most likely be fully integrated with Telegram at some point. TON is not a bad standalone project, but it is far from the best. The uniqueness and added value of TON tokens are solely dependent on Pavel Durov's will and integration solutions.
If any reader disagrees with these assertions, consider what TON has brought to the table as a unique project that we have not seen before.
Let's look at some examples:
1. Ethereum created the first and most stable DeFi ecosystem on the market, and advanced concepts and ideas (DAO, DeFi, NFT, SBT, Sharding, ENS, L2 solutions) were conceived and implemented within Ethereum.
2. Solana is a one-of-a-kind project with one-of-a-kind concepts such as no mem-pool and combining validation and consensus algorithms to increase TPS. On the product side, Solana has enabled users to earn dozens of times on DeFi and NFT, and the ecosystem has spawned some of the most well-known DAOs and projects.
3. Near is still considered one of the most technologically advanced blockchains, with a decently integrated EVM-like network for asset migration. Yes, there were marketing gaffes, and the network did not receive the attention it deserved. However, there was an attempt, as well as a narrative within the ecosystem.
What exactly did TON provide as an individual project??
BUSINESS PART
How does the product make money?
Any L1 solution has 4 basic ways to make money:
1. Selling native tokens representing the team's portion of the total number of tokens.
2. Selling their infrastructure for commercial use by other projects.
3. Investing in other projects.
4. Attracting investment – while we do not consider this a full-fledged way to make money, it does provide funds for operational and strategic actions.
Lets analyze each and try to figure out how TON will make a profit:
1. Selling tokens is a well-established practice; everyone sells a certain percentage of tokens, and that percentage is primarily determined by the team's intentions for the product. If the team views its project as long-term, and things are going well within the project, a small portion of tokens are typically sold, or no tokens are sold at all. If you have funds for development, it is far more profitable to accumulate native tokens rather than sell them to the market, especially if the market is in a slump.
2. Selling their infrastructure – rarely can any project make a good profit on this; typically, buyers are large projects that already generate a profit from their operations. These parameters are well met by projects on large and active blockchains, such as Ethereum. TON lacks critical mass; the ecosystem currently lacks the required number of users and full-fledged businesses.
3. Investments are typically venture capital investments in the most promising projects within the ecosystem or in projects outside the ecosystem that can benefit your ecosystem. The average investment horizon is 3-5 years; such activity does not provide money immediately, as good investors will not drain the tokens of the project in which they have invested. The token's price is the most effective marketing tool. In the long run, it could be a good source of income for TON, but not right now. Furthermore, there are no such promising projects within TON; the ecosystem is still in its early stages, and the best projects for investment will emerge later, namely after the ecosystem's initial establishment and consolidation.
4. Attracting investment – everything is ambiguous here; we don't know who these people and companies are who are investing in TON, so this section is based on hypotheses and assumptions. Only one thing is certain: TON has money, or they would have to provide all marketing and project development for native TON tokens. According to one version, after the project's closure, some of Gram's private investors decided to invest their money in TON. There is also speculation that Telegram invested funds in its subsidiary project. Throughout the existence of TON, there was no public information about sums and investment rounds raised, we know nothing about splits and vesting periods of early investors, in fact, we know almost nothing. We only assume that at some point TON had enough funds to develop the project.
Okay, we've sorted through all four TON earning opportunities; the most important at this point in the project's development is selling tokens and attracting investments. Considering all non-transparency, until the policy on informing collection of new rounds is changed in TON will be invested by individuals and angels, funds, particularly those within the jurisdiction of the United States, hardly decide to invest their funds, many of them did not do it during Gram's flourishing, so after all litigations between Telegram and SEC crypto institutes will most likely decide to reinsure. This severely restricts TON's ability to attract investment.
We can't say how much influence investors can have on the price because we don't know the webcasts and splits, investor shares, and other key nuances of tokenomics. If we assume that the TON investor is only interested in making a profit, we already have two large groups of sellers: the project team and its investors. Keep in mind that there are groups of advisors and validators within the project who also receive native tokens and must lock in profits.
Team
We know nothing about the current TON team; previously, the key people at Gram were Pavel Durov and Nikolay Durov. Pavel is likely no longer a member of the team after Telegram officially closed the Gram project. Because of Pavel's dedication to TON, one can assume that his brother Nikolai is a key figure in the TON project. There is no more public information about the team, and there is nothing on which to base a hypothesis.
Funds and investors
All investments were private, and no information about the individuals or total amounts invested in the TON project is publicly available
Tokenomics
Current number of tokens: 5 billion TON
Number of tokens in circulation: 1.2 billion TON
Market capitalization: ~3 bln.
Total market capitalization: $12.2 billion
The token employs an issuance model based on the underlying inflation rate, the higher the price - the higher the rate, the higher the rate - the higher the issuance
The annual inflation rate is currently 0.6%
The target annual inflation rate indicated in the TON whitepaper is 2%
If the issue is proportional to the inflation rate, we will have at least 25 million new TON tokens per year at the current rate of 0.6%, and when the target rate of 2% is reached, we will have 100 million tokens per year. It should also be noted that issuance is typically based on the number of tokens issued, and the more tokens we have in the market, the higher the issuance will be in absolute numbers.
It should also be noted that validators will receive 20% of the token distribution. A common misconception is that validators have no operating expenses. There are, of course, lower costs than for Proof of Work miners, but don't think that with the PoS algorithm, validators can't sell tokens because there are no transaction costs. There are those costs, and it also makes sense for validators to take a portion of the profits, resulting in structural supply.
Another piece of bad news is that the token burning mechanism is not mentioned. Without the combustion mechanism, the number of tokens gradually increases, and the greater the number, the greater the total supply; keep in mind that for the price of a token to rise, demand must be greater than supply. Without burning native tokens, the supply will exceed the demand, and this oversupply will only grow. TON token demand is currently seen as demand from Telegram users, and it is limited by Telegram's ability to enter new markets and attract new users. The supply of TON tokens is only limited by issuance, and the greater the demand for TON, the higher the issuance, and thus the sooner the supply exceeds demand.
All of this is on top of a lack of transparency about investors, vesting and unlocking tokens, information about the team, and the fact that TON is essentially not an independent project but a Telegram add-on.
There are also a number of structural supply and demand issues. For example, it is not enough to create initial demand; you must also maintain that demand. If everyone who wanted to buy TON tokens and demand drops, TON and Telegram should think of something to encourage users to buy a second round, otherwise the price will begin to fall and all those who said to the moon and LFG will sell, causing a cascade of liquidation of futures buyers and forced sales, resulting in a price collapse.
CONCLUSION
What to expect in the future?
TON should be approached from two perspectives: the product and the speculative investment.
From a product standpoint, TON is likely to be a success and mass adoption thanks to Telegram's support. The likelihood of this success is dependent on whether various governments will not interfere with Telegram as a result of TON integration, and if they do, whether Telegram and TON are prepared to fight back in court. If the authorities in some countries impose a mandatory block on the use of Telegram, TON's position may be jeopardized. If Telegram and TON are again defeated in court by regulators, the situation may change. If Telegram and TON can complete all of their tasks without incident, TON as a project and asset will be widely accepted, at least within the Telegram ecosystem.
From a speculative and investment standpoint, the uncertainty is even greater; the project has numerous flaws that must be addressed, and we do not know the motivation of the key stakeholders. If the integration is successful, TON will most likely be able to reach a new ATH in price, make x2-3 to the current value, and enter the top 10 projects in terms of capitalization. If the market enters a growth cycle, TON will be one of the most expensive tokens on the market for the next cycle.
If TON integration fails, it will be a total failure, and the price of TON will fall by -60-70%.
If we consider a neutral scenario in which the integration was successful but TON use within Telegram is not available in some countries, the price of TON will still break the ATH in the short term, and everything will depend on the team.
OUR OUTPUT: LONG OR SHORT
It all depends on the investment horizon and the ability to wait; in the short term, this appears to be easy money, but in the long term, the risks will be higher, as will the possibility of a black swan product or market.
A long or short in the short term is essentially a bet on whether Pavel Durov can carry out all of his plans, whether he is prepared for regulatory claims, and whether he has reached conclusions after 2020.
Long or short, whether the project team can maintain the product, introduce unique mechanics and narratives to maintain the ecosystem, and whether the team has a plan to eliminate weaknesses is your bet in the long run. It's also a bet on investors' desire to lock in as much revenue as possible, as well as their project valuation.
We see a picture in which the short term is long before the breakthrough of the new ATH, then you look at the market, and the long term is short after the breakdown of ATH, but you must consider how the product develops and what market. People do not see the weaknesses and vulnerabilities during the bull market because of the euphoria, but after the bull market ends, you can profit from these weaknesses.
OUR FINAL WORD
Always keep in mind that, in addition to your basic strategy, everything depends on your risk tolerance, ability to wait, and your fundamental principles and beliefs. We publish our opinions and assessments of various projects, what the prospects may be, and how those prospects provide opportunities for everyone.
Our goal is to provide value where no one else has done it before us.
Subscribe to our resources and trade with us!
SOLANA: The end of an era or not?Hello everyone! This is our second idea in a fundamental project analysis (the first one about Aptos is right here ). This idea will tell you about the Solana project in terms of product, competitive advantages, team, tokenomics, and prospects. If you understand the project from all angles, including its essence and goals, as well as the fundamental approach and metrics, you will be able to enter the project more consciously and profitably.
THE PROJECT and IT'S TOKEN
Solana - SOL token
What is the project?
Layer 1 blockchain based on the Proof-of-Stake (PoS) and Proof-of-History (PoH) consensus systems. The project was founded in 2017 and was officially launched in 2020.
PRODUCT PART
Key mechanics
The Proof-of-History algorithm is designed to synchronize the blockchain and transactions. The higher the throughput, the faster the blockchain synchronization rate. PoH is a method for reducing time costs, not a consensus algorithm.
Tower Byzantine Fault Tolerance (TBFT) is a consensus algorithm that is based on Proof-of-Stake that uses PoH to reduce computational resources and time costs.
Turbine is a transaction transfer protocol that shortens the time it takes to transfer data between validators..
Gulf Stream is a transaction transfer protocol that does not use mem-pools because validators are detected in advance.
Sealevel is a parallel execution of transactions and signature verification.
Strengths
High throughput due to a combination of PoH and TBFT, as well as the Gulf Stream and Sealevel.
High scalability due to Turbine
Weaknesses
When there is a high load on the Solana network, the blockchain stops processing transactions and becomes inactive due to a lack of mem-pool. For example, when a large number of mint bots were launched, which sent transactions to the blockchain very quickly, the network was unable to handle transaction processing and went into an inactive state.
Not a reliable level of decentralization – the nodes vote for the block and pass the votes on to the leaders. Leaders collect votes and sign the block themselves. The issue is that in other networks, validators (leaders) validate blocks, and then nodes decide whether or not they agree with the validator's action.
BUSINESS PART
How does the product make money?
The situation is comparable to Aptos and other blockchains. Investing in projects from their ecosystem and the most promising projects from other ecosystems are currently the main sources of income for Layer 1 blockchains, aside from collecting investments.
How can a product make money in the long run?
Selling your infrastructure to third-party companies like web2 or TradFi is the best way to make money with blockchain. However, at the moment, there are several limitations to this:
1. Unreliable technical solutions
Solana has proven that it can stop its work at any moment.
2. Weak regulation
Because there is no clear regulation, any company that decides to integrate into blockchain must accept the risk of pressure from their country's regulators.
3. Lack of business logic
It's still unclear why large corporations should use blockchain infrastructure and what benefits this solution will provide.
TEAM
Anatoly Yakovenko – Co-founder, ex Dropbox, Mesosphere, Qualcomm
Raj Gokal – Co-founder, ex Omada Health, General Catalyst Partners
FUNDS AND INVESTORS
Solana has had 9 rounds of investments, total fees ~315m USD
The main investors:
Tor Kenz Capital
Buck Stash
Collab + Currency
Alameda Research
Memetic Capital
Blockchange Ventures
CoinFund
Genesis One Capital
Multicoin Capital
CoinShares
TOKENOMICS
1. Total number of tokens: SOL deflationary token, unlimited maximum number
2. Current circulation: 363,963,170 SOL
3. Current market capitalization: 5.1b USD
All member groups will receive their tokens in the first half of 2023, and token issuance will be limited to Staking Rewards. On the one hand, this is a good thing because SOL will become a fully marketable asset whose value is determined solely by supply and demand, and the issuance will only benefit network contributors. On the other hand, it is bad because Solana has currently lost the DeFi niche due to the network's poor performance and NFT due to the extremely low value of the SOL token. If Solana as a blockchain does not find its niche and users, the SOL token will not have a sufficient level of demand; additionally, the amount of SOL supply will increase every year due to the growing issue of Staking Rewards.
CONCLUSION
What to expect in the future?
Solana, as a project, is basically finished. In 2020-2021, it was an advanced blockchain on which innovative products were released. Solana had the backing of Alameda and FTX, preventing the SOL token from falling below $3 in 2021.
Solana experienced an NFT-boom in the fall of 2021, when the token price reached over $100, and many users became wealthy (or very rich as a result of Solana). However, in November 2021, the crypto-winter began, affecting all market assets. However, the crypto-winter began in November 2021, affecting all market assets. This year, SOL lost more than 90% of its value, lost many NFT users (no one wants to earn $20-30 and spend many hours of time grinding), lost the DeFi sector (users don't want to wait for Solana network to work and process transactions again, developers find more profit to run their application on L2 EVM network), and lost the support of their main sponsors – Alameda and SBF (these guys have enough problems right now). Along with the death of the previous cycle's market narratives, one of the cycle's brightest projects is likely to have died as well.
Solana and the SOL token have two chances to recover their positions:
1. To attract new investors and real-world businesses that will use Solana's infrastructure. It is unlikely because Solana has already demonstrated weaknesses in their solutions, and it is unclear whether they can address those weaknesses. Furthermore, there are more advanced and promising solutions on the market (Aptos (here is a link to our article about Aptos on TV), SUI, Starknet, Scroll, Shardeum), investment and use of which will yield greater long-term benefits.
2. To develop or attract new projects and audiences. It is also unlikely because EVM networks are more likely to be chosen by developers and users due to their larger user base, network activity, and potential.
Our output: long or short
In the short run, SOL token will follow the market, but will rise slower and fall faster than others.
In the long run, Solana resources are limited, the market is becoming increasingly competitive, and Solana and SOL are no longer of product and business interest. The project has run its course; SOL will most likely be among the top 50/100 projects in terms of capitalization, but Solana's golden days are over.
P.S
In any case, your trading strategy, investment and trading planning horizon are significant to make decisions and these decisions are up to you! Don't forget about risk management; the market is volatile, and you must successfully arrive at the right long-term forecasts without losing all of your capital. Keep in mind that many participants in the crypto market undervalue or overvalue projects and assets, and the true evaluation occurs only after the appropriate events occur.
Thank you for reading!
Feel free to share your thoughts about SOL in comments
APTOS: Long or Short? Hello everyone, we are a new derivative exchange Sunflower Corporation. Our aim is to bring value to traders and make trading process more conscious. We would like to explain and demonstrate the project in terms of the product, its competitive advantages, the team, tokenomics, and prospects.
You’ll gain a better understanding of the essence and content of what you are trading, and you’ll look at the token from a different angle, from the fundamental approach and metrics, which will allow you to enter the project more consciously and profitably.
So the first project we would to tell you about is APTOS - APT token
What is the project?
Layer 1 blockchain running on the Proof-of-Stake consensus system. It is based on the Move language.
Blockchain
Aptos is powered by its own blockchain. Diem was the project's original name, and was developed entirely within Meta (ex. Facebook ). Diem was created in 2019 by the team in charge of developing blockchain technology within what was then Facebook . Diem-Aptos was tested in closed mode from 2019 to spring 2022. The open test phase began in the spring 2022, and in October 2022, the APT token was released, and the blockchain began operation on the main network.
PRODUCT PART
Key mechanics:
Its own language (Move) for development
Batch processing of transactions
Parallel execution of transactions
Sharding
Smart contract types definition on the blockchain level
Availability of mem-pool transactions
Strengths:
Fast operation due to mem-pool transactions
High TPS through parallel execution and batch processing
Ease of Dapps development through specific types of smart contracts and proprietary programming language
BUSINESS PART
How does the product make money?
Currently, the only way for the product to profit is through the sale or further investment of native APT token into Aptos ecosystem and other prospective projects.
Aptos Foundation tokens total 165 million, valued at ~ 750 million USD according to current estimates.
Among them, 5 million tokens were initially available, equivalent to approximately $23 million USD by current estimates.
The remaining 160 million tokens have a 120-month linear unlock: ~ 1.3 million APT tokens per month and ~ 6.3 million USD at the current token valuation
In other words, at a monthly APT token price of ~ 4-5 USD, the APT team will receive ~ 5-6 million USD for investment and venture activities.
How can a product make money in the long run?
If Aptos' technical solutions can be implemented, Aptos will be able to sell its infrastructure to financial and technical firms for use in implementing their products or developing joint products. Aptos' declared TPS is ~ 130k transactions, with a target of ~ 160k transactions; in comparison, Ethereum's average TPS is ~ 10 transactions per second, Arbitrum's is ~ 2 transactions per second, and Solana's is ~ 4k transactions per second.
Team
The founders and main developers are former Meta employees who worked on the predecessor of Aptos, Diem/
Funds and investors
Aptos had 3 rounds of investments, total amount of fees ~400m USD
Here are the main investors:
Binance
ParaFi Capital
OAK
Circle Ventures
Apollo
Bixin Ventures
Franklin Templeton Investments
Jump Crypto
Tess Ventures
Superskrypt
Tokenomics
1. Total amount of tokens: 1b APT
2. Current circulation: 130m APT (125m APT for the community and 5m APT for Foundation)
3. Current market capitalization: 610m USD
4. Total market capitalization: 4.6b USD
5. Token unlocks:
a) 160m APT tokensf or Foundation - monthly for 10 years, ~1. 3m APT monthly
b) 385 217 358 APT tokens for the community - monthly for 10 years, ~3.2m APT monthly
c) 324 782 640 APT tokens for key participants and investors - blocking the first 12 months, once every 2 months from 13 to 18
months ~6.7m APT, monthly from 19 to 48 months ~6.7m APT
At the moment, users are not charged for transactions, so validators and stackers are incentivized with APT tokens for the community. This means that by the time the project's initial investors and key players unlock tokens, validators and stackers will have a higher aggregate volume than investors. The situation will level out over time. It is worth noting that, as retail investors and traders follow the trend, APT tokens of validators and stackers will be sold rather than accumulated during a bear market.
CONCLUSION
What to expect in the future?
Aptos is a long-term project. If no technical risks occur, the project will be among the top 10/20 CMCs in terms of capitalization in the long run. Given the amount of money raised by the Aptos team and the monthly unlocks, the project should easily survive the current crypto-winter and grow to be one of the best projects in the industry. We should understand that the first year of Aptos is a year of ecosystem formation, development, and expansion. The same thing happened to Solana and Near.
Our output: long or short
In the short term, given the advantage of retail investors and the availability of futures markets on all of the top exchanges:
On a falling market - short, because the project lacks the critical mass to deviate from the market trend.
On an ascending and positive market - long, capitalization is small, circulation is a little over 10%, Aptos can show very good growth.
In the long term, it is long. The project includes a buffer for quiet work in the next 2-3 years. For example, Near and Solana's resources have been significantly reduced, and the protocols' weaknesses can now be seen.
In any case, your trading strategy, investment and trading planning horizon are significant to make decisions and these decisions are up to you! Thanks for reading this idea and the next one will be about Solana so follow us and get more knowledge about crypto projects.
How Governance Affects a Cryptocurrency's Coin Supply and PriceAs of last year, the top 3 most well-known coins - Bitcoin, Ethereum, Dogecoin - have all become "predictable" in terms of its coin supply. BTC has always had a fixed supply cap, ETH has become aggressively deflationary after its EIP-1559 upgrade started "burning" its supply, and Dogecoin is technically "disinflationary" since the rate at which the protocol issues its coins is set to slow down gradually over time. (People have estimated ~5% going downwards to 1% or less over the course of many years.)
What all 3 coins have in common:
1) the supply curves for these coins are fixed and predictable
2) political leverage correlates directly with the ownership of money itself
3) the economic trajectories of each coin are basically unchangeable without some sort of centralized control
Bitcoin and Dogecoin's protocol decisions are handled by the mining community (they decide which blocks to continue mining, in case there is a disagreement), and now that Ethereum has moved over to proof-of-stake, most of its major decisions will be decided by the core team itself. With proof-of-work, hash power is political leverage, with proof-of-stake, the coins itself does the same. While maxis focus on the differences between the two, at the end of the day, leverage over the system is measured in terms of how much resources you're willing to spend on your particular "vote" - it just depends on which you prefer - hash-power, or money-power.
To be fair, this is how most coins operate right now since it is currently not possible to reliably do a "one person one vote" model (as is typically done in developed democracies) since identifying an anonymous wallet as a "person" is extremely difficult. So as a lesser evil, we use money-invested (aka your "stake") as means of measuring how much influence one should have on an ecosystem as a whole. (In this regard, most cryptocurrencies are similar to corporate shareholder models.)
Until we have a better way of identifying people online as being "real", we're likely to be stuck with this model for a while, but not all coin systems are created equal - some will probably have better long-term viability than others. And a lot of that will be determined by how each coin handles its governance procedures.
Proof-of-work systems right now have no means of reliably doing voting/governance on-chain - as a result, most coins opt to do their voting through third-party systems or platforms. While this can sometimes work, there is no "receipt" of whether the tally was legitimate or not - you just have to trust that the people conducting the polls were doing it in good faith. BTC/DOGE has never had on-chain governance and likely never will, while ETH currently possesses the potential to do, but seems unlikely now that it has also become deflationary.
The "fixed supply" argument is similar to the "buy gold" argument in that there is an inherent distrust of supply curves that are "flexible" - the idea that when there is less of something it's going to be worth more is an intuitive argument that makes sense to a lot of people, at least on the surface. But ideally, you want the price of a coin to go up because there's more demand for it, rather than inflating it artificially by burning your supply - the less there is of something, the more out of reach it becomes for newcomers and people will less money, after all.
So when a project puts "fixed supply" as part of its core value proposition, it's basically prioritizing the short-term appeasement of existing holders at the expense of future growth. We see a similar type of scarcity mindset (the "I got mine" syndrome) in assets like real-estate and gold as well, which are also both about to face corrections of their own. An asset starts to "bubble" when prices increase but quality goes down - then "pops" when the demand for it bottoms out as people realize that it's not worth it.
Ideally, you want the economy to be flexible enough to handle swings in demand/usage, while keeping incentives aligned between all parties (investors, validators, users) at all times. It requires a very careful balancing act that exists somewhere in between fixed and infinite supply - and even better if these decisions are made through consensus mechanism rather than a unilateral decision made behind closed doors. (Tezos' self-amending protocol, combined with its on-chain governance system stands out as unique in this regard.)
--
So what to do if you're an existing HODLer? Well, short to medium term, coins like Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin will probably maintain their price as long as people come see it as a viable alternative to traditional assets as we get further into the recession -- that's the big bet that many are taking right now. But it does come with the understanding that it's probably only likely to happen once or twice more before the market saturates completely and hits its peak. Here crypto is at a disadvantage compared to assets like real-estate or tangible goods, since there's nothing forcing people to use BTC/ETH in particular - there are many other options in the market, after all.
For more discussions about coin supply issues, here:
www.reddit.com
📌What Is The TOKENOMIC💸❗❓ (Part III)
🔰Today in continuation of previous parts , In this post, I'm gonna share five Metrics of tokenomics aspects that are essential in understanding how much a crypto project can be valuable for an investing purpose ..
So lets get started;
♻️ #1 — Supply and MarketCap
Think about dollar fiat currency. You may wonder how many dollars — in total — are in circulation now? How many more can be printed in the future? Are there any dollars printed but not in circulation? The same concerns exist in cryptocurrencies. and about
🔸Circulating Supply: the amount of coins (tokens) circulating in the market and owned by people.
🔸Max Supply: the maximum possible number of coins (tokens) that can ever exist.
🔸Total Supply: the total amount of coins (tokens) issued until now and not necessarily in circulation. This includes the burned coins or the locked-up coins ready to be unlocked in the future.
The following image shows the supply numbers for three famous crypto projects — Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Cardano.
🔹Market Cap: Market capitalization refers to the market value of a company's equity or a cryptocurency in this case. It is a simple but important measure that is calculated by multiplying a crypto circulating supply by its price per unit. For example, DOGECOIN priced at $0.1386 per unit and with 132.67B DOGE(sirculating supply) outstanding would have a market capitalization of $18,386,887,172 .
🔹Fully Diluted Market Cap: means crypto at today's token price if the total supply of cryptocurrency were in circulation. To determine the fully diluted market cap, multiply the token's current value by the total supply of cryptocurrency
Now you may ask why checking and analyzing these numbers are important?
These numbers are perfect indicators for analyzing supply and demand. Here are some examples:
I mentioned this idea before as a fundamental factor of economy and now you can scale for tokenomics because it also has a very close correlation with “Supply” metrics. Thus, to better understand supply and demand, please check it out !
♻️#2 — Burning
Have you ever destroyed your fiat money? Remember the money went to the washing machine, and it never came out of it? You got drunk and burned some dollars on a VIP table in a disco. You emptied your pocket into the recycle bin, and the poor money ended up in the trash. It happens to all of us. And for the record, this is something our beloved governments are also doing — time to time.
You can expect the same type of destiny for cryptocurrencies. Here, we are talking about token (coin) burning.
The crypto world does not have any washing machines, VIP tables of discos, trash bins, or governments. Yet, the burning process happens in this industry for a whole set of different purposes.
🔹to decrease coins in the circulation
🔹to adjust supply and demand
🔹to make the asset less inflationary
The general idea behind the burning process is to make the coin more demanding and less inflationary.
There is no unique approach that all projects follow to burn their tokens. Some burn on scheduled intervals. Some other burn part of the transaction fees. Surprisingly enough, some projects burn tokens randomly and without notice. It is also worth mentioning that some experts also count lost coins (forgotten passwords, coins sent to wrong addresses, dead owners, etc.) as burnt.
♻️#3 — Monetary Policy
Traditionally speaking, the concept of a monetary policy doesn’t come from crypto. Instead, it refers to a central bank’s macroeconomic measures to regulate a nation’s money supply and ensure sustainable economic growth.
But what does monetary policy have to do with tokenomics? As part of a project’s tokenomics, monetary policy deals with inflation and deflation of its token supply.
A healthy monetary policy implies that a project has a token issuance mechanism that incentivizes network participants to continue to behave in the best possible way. Additionally, it attracts new users to join the network and helps the token gain a higher valuation.
These are some of the questions you can ask about a project monetary policy to draw conclusions about its future inflation or deflation:
🔻• How fast are the tokens released in circulation?
🔻• Does the release rate change over time?
🔻• Are there deflationary pressures, such as token-burning?
🔻• Are there significant changes in technology that can affect the project’s token supply? For example, Ethereum plans to move from proof-of-work (PoW) to proof-of-stake (PoS).
In the same way that central banks strive to keep inflation at an optimal level, crypto projects focus on a token supply that best suits their strategy. There is no ‘one size fits all’ monetary policy, as the goals of crypto projects differ significantly.
For example, some projects may opt for a deflationary token model as it can help grow the value of each token (the less tokens there are, the more valuable each token becomes). In other cases, an inflationary model may be more suitable as it can incentivize holders to stake their tokens, which will also keep the network secure and decentralized.
Some projects offer incredibly high APYs of hundreds or even thousands of percent to incentivize people to remain within their ecosystems and bring forward unique use cases.
The primary source of info for checking monetary policy is the Consensus mechanisms of the projects. This is something related to the source code and the infrastructure of the project under review.
In simple words, a consensus mechanism refers to any number of methodologies used to achieve agreement, trust, and security across a decentralized computer network⁶. Here are some examples:
⚪-Proof of Work (PoW): A consensus mechanism in which each block is ‘mined’ by a group of individuals or nodes on the network⁷.
⚪-Proof of Stake (PoS): A consensus mechanism in which an individual or “validator” validates transactions or blocks⁷.
⚪-Proof of Authority (PoA/ ⚪- Proof of Burn (PoB)/⚪ -Proof of Capacity (PoC) /⚪ -Proof-of-Developer (PoD) /⚪- Proof-of-Donation /⚪- Proof of Elapsed Time /⚪-Proof-of-Liquidity /⚪-Proof-of-Replication /⚪-Proof-of-Spacetime
Yes, I know! It is a lot to grasp. And every single project uses its version of the consensus mechanism. Yet, reviewing this data can give you valuable info about how coins are extracted, the inflation and deflation rates of the coins, and the rates the new coins will be introduced into the market.
♻️#4 — Token Distribution
This is where things are getting more interesting. We all know or have heard about the stories of riches getting richer. We understand how the 80–20 rule works in traditional finance. 20% of the whole population owns 80% of the wealth or so. We all know how unfair can wealth distribution be — especially in less developed countries.
We do not want to see those things in the crypto world. We want to invest in assets that we believe have a fair distribution of their tokens. We hate whales, or big players own the majority of the tokens. We scream and demand equality. Right?
“Token Distribution” is absolutely an essential factor you need to check when investigating about tokenomics of a project. More specifically, you have to find out:
How initially were tokens distributed (pre-mining, ICOs, etc.)?
What percentage of the tokens are owned by owners, funders, developers, or partners of the projects?
What is the maximum percentage public investors like you and me can own?
Are there any locked-up tokens reserved for future distribution? If yes, what are the plans for making that happen?
Are there some big wallets holding the majority of the tokens? And at what percentages?
Is it possible that at some point, a big wallet sells its tokens and manipulates the market?
These are just some of the questions you have to ask when you evaluate the token distribution. Answers to these questions (and similar ones) give you insightful ideas about either you have to invest in a specific project or not?
♻️#5 — Earnings💲
In blockchain-based models, sharing benefits or profits with stakeholders of the projects is a possibility. This means earning some passive income — on top of your main holdings — while you are contributing as a user in the network.
There are several reasons to distribute these rewards between users:
to incentivize the miners (in PoW consensus models)
to secure the network (in PoS or similar consensus models)
to confront inflation
For example, these are three famous ways for earning rewards:
☑️Mining: is the process of gaining cryptocurrencies by solving complex mathematical problems using the processing powers of miners' computers.
☑️Staking: is the process of gaining cryptocurrencies by setting aside a certain amount of your tokens. By staking, you become a validator of the transactions in the network and as an incentive, you get some rewards back.
☑️Running Masternodes: is the process of running a cryptocurrency full node or computer wallet in charge of maintaining a real-time record of the blockchain activities. Masternodes are complicated to run and on top of that, they have an important role in the blockchains. Therefore, as an incentive, they receive rewards or interests.
Sources:medium
This article is for informational purposes only. It should not be considered Financial or Legal Advice. Not all information will be accurate
📌What Is The TOKENOMIC💸❗❓ (Part 1)
"The sun of liberty is set; you must light up the candle of industry and economy."
-Benjamin Franklin
✳️economies evolved from pre-historic bartering systems to money-driven and eventually credit-based economies.
During the 19th century, technology and the growth of international trade created stronger ties among countries, a process that accelerated into the Great Depression and World War II. After 50 years of the Cold War, the late 20th and early 21st centuries have seen a renewed globalization of economies.
Nevertheless In the 21st century, the economic system has faced many fundamental problems, including centralization and other issues, which are beyond the scope of this article. . So there was a great need for a new ecosystem, which, thanks to Bitcoin, started a new revolution concept in 2008.
With more than a decade,every day a new concepts like DEFI are added to it and it becomes more mature so that it can become an complete ecosystem more efficent than former economic system.The main point of cryptocurrency is to fix the problems of traditional currencies by putting the power and responsibility in the currency holders’ hands. All of the cryptocurrencies adhere to the properties and functions of money. so They each attempt to solve real-world problems.
🔰What Is The TOKENOMIC and Why is so Important ❗❗❓❓
One of the revolutionary concepts introduced by tokens is that of tokenomics or token economics. This concept is based on convincing users or investors of a project that the token derived from it can help build a sustainable economic ecosystem.
This concept is based on convincing users or investors of a project that the token derived from it can help build a sustainable economic ecosystem.
Understanding Tokenomics is Vital because its The Real Value of a Crypto or fundamentals behind it .
To put it simply " Tokenomics = Economy of the Tokens " tokenomics refers to all the qualities of a crypto token that makes it appealing to investors
, its also determin 1st rule of economy which is 'Demand and supply' in the field of cryptocurrency .
to get more information about this you can read this tuturial post:
first of all we should know what's a TOKEN and its funtionality :
to get more information about token please first read this tuturial post:
🔰Tokenomics factors:
⚪ - the development of the ecosystem
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An ecosystem where everything is sustained by the different possible interactions with the tokens. In this way, the ecosystem is made up exclusively of tokens that represent tangible assets.
This asset can be anything. A work of art, a book, a blog article, a song, a scientific study, a piece of real estate, a car and even financial assets that we are already used to. The real power of the token economy is that it allows us to move any kind of value from the real world to the virtual world. But not only that, the token economy allows us to decentralize its control.
But the development of this new concept of the economy goes through the construction of blockchain technology.
⚪ -Team:
It should be noted that for a project to be successful, a strong team must support it. The people behind the project determine that the project has a chance of being widely accepted. So the team is an important part of the token economy. Let's give some examples.
For example, consider the team behind the Basic Attention token, or BAT for short. One of the main reasons BAT has been so successful is the support team. BAT co-founder Brendan Eich, co-founder of JavaScript and Mozilla Firefox. The team next to him is very talented and credible.
⚪ -Token allocation:
Another important point is how the tokens will be distributed after the release. You can search for these items in WhitePaper. It is also important to check the lock-up time given to the team and consultants. Founders / creators interested in the long-term potential of the project have a long lock-up period
⚪ -Community(Public Relations and Branding:)
The first step in building a token economy is to have a community that supports the principles and goals of such development. This serves to build a critical mass that gives the token project the necessary public support. This aspect will inevitably lead the token to have a growing and stable development.
In this way, the relationship between the development of the token, products and functions associated with the community is direct and proportional. The more the community is heard, included, and taken into account, the greater the push and presence of the token.
⚪Business model:
One of the key factors is the business model of the project. Projects must have a strong model that can make money. Cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin and Bitcoin Cash are created for payment purposes, so they do not require complex business models. However, for decentralized applications, which are more than just a payment system, they need to have a strong business model.
For example, in the Golem model, they can access their resources using GNT tokens. Similarly, in EOS you have to bet to get the resources needed to run Dapps.
⚪ -Real-World Utility
Another important aspect of the token economy is the usefulness that the token has. A project that adds value to the real world is a project worth developing and investing in. Another important point in this regard is to recognize whether the token is fungible or not. This feature will dictate the actual usefulness of the token for a given project.
To summarize, here are some takeaways:
-Tokenomics is the topic of understanding the supply and demand characteristics of cryptocurrency².
-Tokenomics is the study of the economics of a crypto token — from its qualities to its distribution and production, and much more¹.
-The tokenomics for a particular crypto token is usually thoroughly discussed in the project whitepaper, and it should help you grasp the functionality, objective, allocation policy, and more of the crypto token³.
-Tokenomics is the science of the token economy. It covers all aspects involving a coin’s creation, management, and sometimes removal from a network?.
-The token economy or tokenomics, seeks the creation of an economic ecosystem supported by tokens. An ecosystem where everything is sustained by the different possible interactions with said tokens
Sources:medium-bit2me Academy
This article is for informational purposes only. It should not be considered Financial or Legal Advice. Not all information will be accurate.
CRPT token team started burning tokens Do you know that Crypterium has burned more than 1 million CRPT tokens settling the first step in a series of extra burnings?
Crypterium team collected 1,080,765 CRPT tokens that were successfully burned on July 11. The first step towards burning 30% of the total supply is made!
At the same time, Crypterium confirms that the burning amount will be growing further since the team will be redeeming tokens from the open market for burning purposes.
The team burned more than 2.5M tokens in total, and it is worth saying that more than 18M tokens out of 83M are frozen on the savings accounts
Moving forward, Crypterium is forecasting to hit a €200.000.000 monthly cash flow within the next two years. Such a sum would represent a burn volume of €1.000.000 worth of CRPT tokens, a significant increase from current levels.
These simple factors can play a significant role in the long-term value, don't you think so? :)
DREP/USDT Bullish Breakout of falling wedge. 5x PotentialDREP rallied towards its new tokenomics and did bleed since.
We now got a bullish breakout out of the falling wedge indicated by the yellow lines.
Wait for confirmation of a trend reversal. A bounce of the violet line would give us this confirmation.
Decentralited reputation system (DREP).
Basic rules:
- Never buy the top/ATH
- Take profit as long as you can (also partial profit is profit)
- Use Stop/loss for leveraged positions
- If you are not experienced, don't leverage in the first place
Enjoy the ride and don't be too greedy.
If you like the content, please like, comment and give this channel a follow.
We would love it if you could share your thoughts in the comments.
Discussions are very welcome here.
Always do your own research and keep in mind that my charts and comments cannot be considered financial advice.
Cheers
ps.
Chart explanation:
Main lines:
- Green lines are tested support lines.
- Orange lines are resistance lines or, if we are above, possible support lines which were not tested yet.
- Cyan line is for volume trendline.
- White lines are Fibonacci retracement levels
Helplines:
- Purple lines are trendlines we take a look at.
- Yellow lines are for visual help only.
Boxes:
- Either entry zone or support zone. Check the description.
COPE IS ON THE WAY TO MOON 🌙Sorry guys I couldn't post my chart due to some health issues. I missed to post Theta and Tfuel chart.
Let's talk about COPE. COPE is new coin recently listed on Ftx , SerumDex. COPE had been airdropped to the initial community supports.
COPE is gaining attention so fast. If I talk about fundamentals, road map and tokenomics are going to be launch.
Technically it's looking like a bomb, it can blast anytime.
I have drawn trend lines on chart. Currently trendline, support line and MA are at the same zone so we can see a reversal from here but keep in mind if any hourly and 4 hourly candle closes below support zone then things will be change so use tight stop Loss.
Technically MACD & SRSI are bullish and fundamentally also strong so you guys can keep an eye on this one.
Note : The big quantity on this coin is being holding by airdropped gainers so heavy manipulation is expected.
Invest at your own risk you will only be responsible for profit and loss. DYOR.
Chart is same performing like Rose
NPXS/USDT TA idea for upcoming change in tokenomicsNPXS will change its tokenomics which often results into a pricespike.
We also are close to the rising supportline (violet).
Take a look at it and share your oppinion.
Enjoy the ride and don't be too greedy.
If you like the content, please like, comment and give this channel a follow.
Always do your own research and keep in mind that my charts and comments cannot be considered financial advice.
Cheers
ps.
Chart explanation:
Green lines are tested support lines.
Orange lines are resistance lines or, if we are above, possible support lines which were not tested yet.
Cyan line is for volume trendline.
Purple lines are trendlines we take a look at.
Yellow lines are for visual help only.
iExec RLC a Good Buy? My Fellow Crypto Traders,
Appreciate you taking the time to view my analysis, in which I hope you may find it beneficial. Please be sure to “LIKE” if you indeed find my analysis useful and/or find my analysis intriguing.
Also, I’m new to charting game and the crypto/stock space. So, if you have any constructive criticism or tips, please share.
Cheers & Happy Trading!
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ANALYSIS: ( Long Term Hold )
iExec RLC is undervalued by far. As many should know, data is a precious commodity that holds a significant amount of value. If crypto finally gains the respect it deserves, then iExec will most definitely reap the benefits with their cloud computing tech. Therefore, iExec, whose token is RLC, is of great value at $0.84. It appears RLC is rounding out into an area of accumulation before a major move. Look for RLC to deep as low as $0.78, in which it would have entered a phase of being heavily sold. Thus, RLC should have a nice bounce in hopes to re-test the the $0.96 resistance.
KEY:
Blue = 4hr timeframe resistance/support
White Triangle = Entry point (Buy Zone)
OCEAN Undervalued? Potential Long Awaits!My Fellow Crypto Traders,
Appreciate you taking the time to view my analysis, in which I hope you may find it beneficial. Please be sure to “LIKE” if you indeed find my analysis useful and/or find my analysis intriguing.
Also, I’m new to charting game and the crypto/stock space. So, if you have any constructive criticism or tips, please share.
Cheers & Happy Trading!
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ANALYSIS:
OCEAN is significantly undervalued from a fundamentals aspect. With data being the driving force that fuels our economy, OCEAN has carved out a niche that allows for the monetization of data in a decentralized format, which that alone should make you ever so bullish about OCEAN, and its future aspirations.
Currently, OCEAN has been in what I call an accumulation phase between $0.42 to $0.26 . And in my opinion, this is a great entry-level before we see the next cycle of positive price action. Therefore, we could see a correction back down to a region of value, which is from $0.33 to $0.30 . This type of correction would be a healthy correction, thus allowing the next positive price action to break the $0.38 resistance, and continue its hunt to re-test the $0.42 . Watch for both the 9ema and the 20ema to cross the 50ema and 200ema on the 4hr timeframe, which would illustrate the dip that was previously mentioned. And from there, OCEAN should see the positive price action to hopefully break through the $0.38 resistance. Also, on the daily, we are seeing the 9ema looking to cross the 20ema , which could be that bullish sign for OCEAN to re-test the $0.38 resistance. This positive price action is also being confirmed on the Fisher Transform , due to the negative region that we are currently in.
KEY:
White = 4hr timeframe resistance/support
Blue = Region of Value/Pivot