LUNA - Still Extremely BearishLUNA has fallen massively since my last analysis on it. Price was at around 0.00028 when I mentioned it will tank from there. An ASYMMETRIC TRIANGLE was broken to the downside, a clear BEARISH SIGNAL. Then a massive spike took place to lure more BUYERS into the market. Price is currently testing the 0.00018961 zone - a zone which will be broken to the downside very soon.
This token's price is in a clear free-fall.
PATIENCE PAYS IN THE MARKETS!
Tokens
Ethereum - Short term relief drags onEthereum is approaching the sloping resistance after the period of sideways-moving price action. The breakout above the resistance will be bullish for the short term. However, we do remain bearish beyond that and maintain our price targets of 1 000 USD and 900 USD.
Our reasoning is based on the fact that the FED will continue to pursue economic tightening, predestining the current rally to fall. In addition to that, our view is also supported by the ongoing global recession and geopolitical turmoil leading to problems on all economic fronts.
Therefore, we voice a word of caution to market participants as we do not believe the market has bottomed out and the primary trend has reversed. With that being said, we will pay close attention to the FED meeting next week.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows the daily chart of ETHUSD and the downward-sloping channel. The price is approaching the upper bound of the channel, the sloping resistance. If the breakout above it occurs, we will pay close attention to the volume and if it will be sufficient to propel the price higher.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI and Stochastic are bullish. MACD is also bullish; if it breaks above 0 points, it will further bolster the bullish case in the short term. DM+ and DM- are bearish. Overall, the daily time frame is slightly bullish, while the breakout below the short-term support will be bearish.
Illustration 1.02
The picture above shows the daily chart of ETHUSD and simple support/resistance levels. The breakout above the short-term resistance will be bullish.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI is neutral. Stochastic is bearish. MACD points to the upside but stays in the bearish zone. DM+ and DM- are bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Ripple - Major updateOn 8th September 2022, when the XRPUSD was trending sideways, we introduced a setup with two alternative scenarios. Since then, the price broke to the upside from a trading range and rose by more than 40%. Meanwhile, right at the beginning of the rally, we stated that it was predestined to fail over time and that no reversal of the primary trend was taking place.
We repeated this same statement several times over the past month and a half while we continued to outline multiple bearish developments on the chart of XRPUSD. Furthermore, we kept our medium-term price target at 0.30 USD and long-term one at 0.28 USD. We reasoned that the FED's pursuit of tighter economic conditions would let the reality sink in over time.
Now, it is finally time for us to update our price targets on the timeline. In accordance with that, we would like to set a medium-term price target to a short-term price target. Additionally, we would like to change our long-term price target to a medium-term price target.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows several technical developments on the daily chart of XRPUSD. The declining volume supports our bearish thesis, and the same applies to today's pick-up in volume. Furthermore, we expect the crossover between the 20-day SMA and 50-day SMA to occur, further confirming our thesis.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI and Stochastic are bearish. MACD is due to break below 0 points which will be bearish for the short term if it succeeds. DM+ and DM- are bearish. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish.
Illustration 1.02
We will closely watch support levels at 0.44312 USD and 0.42542 USD. A breakout below each of these levels will confirm our bearish thesis for the short term. Contrarily, a breakout above the short-term resistance will be bullish.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI is slightly bearish. Stochastic also turned bearish. MACD shows signs of exhaustion. DM+ and DM- are bullish. Overall, the weekly time frame is neutral.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Bitcoin - Risk appettite is not picking up muchTwo days ago, Bitcoin broke above the sloping resistance, which is bullish in the short term. However, then it quickly erased gains, and the breakout became invalidated. So far, despite the ongoing rally in the stock market, the price action in Bitcoin has remained muted. We believe that reflects a lack of risk appetite among market participants.
Indeed, at the current stock market value, we would expect BTCUSD to trade much higher from the current level; yet, it merely continues the choppy price action near the 19 300 USD price tag. That tells us something is not exactly right. Therefore, we are very cautious. As for the price targets, they remain unchanged at 17 500 USD and 15 000 USD due to the persistence of macroeconomic factors.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows the daily chart of BTCUSD and simple support/resistance levels. The yellow arrow points to the bullish breakout above the sloping resistance; volume is declining throughout the rise, which is not particularly bullish.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
Stochastic is bullish. MACD is rising but still below the 0 points; if it breaks above, it will be a bullish sign. RSI is neutral. DM+ and DM- are causing whipsaws, with the ADX hinting at the neutral trend. Overall, the daily time frame is neutral.
Illustration 1.02
Simple moving averages on the daily chart of BTCUSD reflect the neutral nature of the prevailing short-term trend that is currently in place.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI and Stochastic are trending sideways in the lower bound of the bearish zone. MACD points to the upside but stays in the bearish zone as well. DM+ and DM- are bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Ripple - The recap of latest developmentsFour days ago, we warned that the Ripple cryptocurrency would attempt to test its low from 13th October 2022. Shortly after, the XRPUSD fell approximately 7.5% toward the mentioned low. However, it did not manage to break below it. Instead, it paused its decline slightly above it and reversed back up. Therefore, we will continue to pay close attention to this level and price action; ideally, to support our bearish thesis, we would like to see another attempt of the price to break below the short-term support.
With that being said, we remain bearish in the medium and long term. Indeed, we are on the brink of changing our medium-term price target of 0.30 USD to a short-term price target (and long-term price target of 0.28 USD to a medium-term price target). Similarly, like in previous instances, we draw our conclusion from a combination of bearish fundamental and technical factors.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 recapitulates our statements in the past few weeks for the audience.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI, MACD, and Stochastic are bearish. DM+ and DM- performed a bearish crossover. The daily time frame is bearish, although the trend is very weak.
Illustration 1.02
The image above is a reminder that Ripple is still deep in the bear market territory, down approximately 86% from its all-time-high value.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI is turning neutral. Stochastic shows signs of exhaustion. MACD remains bullish. DM+ and DM- are also bullish. Overall, the weekly time frame is losing bullish momentum.
Illustration 1.03
While many people point out the rising volume on the monthly chart, Illustration 1.03 takes a closer look at what is going on in the weekly time frame; the volume continues to decline since the recent high in price, which does not support the bullish narrative for this cryptocurrency.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
BCH - 1st and 2nd TPs Have been Reached!!I have been short BCH from 138.50. This was a short-term trade just to pocket a few bucks. My targets were 111.00 (1st TP) and 107.00 (2nd TP) zone respectively. These two zones were successfully reached.
Check out my previous analysis in the RELATED IDEAS section below.
PRICE ACTION AND PATIENCE ARE KINGS!!!
Bitcoin - Correlation with the stock market represents a hurdleWith the market, Bitcoin saw a sharp reversal yesterday and retraced back into the proximity of the 20 000 USD pricetag. In our opinion, this price action, once again, represents merely a short-lived bounce predestined to falter later. However, we can not ignore the odds of this price action continuing a little bit further.
Therefore, for more clues about the continuation, we will watch the price's ability to break above the sloping and short-term resistance. These developments will bolster the bullish case in the short term. However, in the face of another rate hike, worsening economic data, and progressing recession, we have difficulty believing that this recent move represents any significant change in the primary trend.
In fact, we believe that the current bounce in cryptocurrencies provides a great opportunity for repositioning on the short side. Therefore, we have no reason to change our bearish stance and stay committed to our price targets of 17 500 USD and 15 000 USD.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows support and resistance levels for BTCUSD.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
MACD points to the upside; if it breaks above 0 points, it will be very bullish. Stochastic and RSI are rising. DM+ and DM- are bearish. Overall, the daily time frame is neutral/slightly bullish.
Illustration 1.02
Illustration 1.02 portrays the daily chart of BTCUSD. The yellow arrow hints at the retracement from yesterday. The high correlation between the stock market and cryptocurrencies suggests that no primary trend reversal will happen.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, MACD, and Stochastic are rising slightly. DM+ and DM- are bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Bitcoin - Do not get ahead of the marketWith Bitcoin jumping above 20 000 USD, we again see a rise in bullish ideas all over the place, claiming bottoms, new all-time highs, and even trend reversal in spite of bearish macroeconomic factors. Despite that, however, elevated volatility and wild swings in the price do not concern us. Quite the contrary, they give us confidence as the market sentiment reflects what it should be in the bear market - constant swings in the mood of market participants, people trying to get ahead of the market, and tremendous moves in single stock/cryptocurrency titles.
As grim as it sounds, we believe these signs will grow more apparent in the coming weeks as the volatility is set to continue higher, sparking more risk-aversion and another leg down in the market. Our thesis comes from the premise that the FED will increase interest rates in November 2022, further crashing the market in order to beat high inflation.
In our opinion, these macroeconomic factors, combined with technical ones, foreshadow a new low for Bitcoin in 2022 and a continuation lower in 2023. Additionally, the lack of liquidity reflected in low monthly volumes suggests Bitcoin is not gaining any interest among new investors, which is an obstacle for the trend to reverse; meanwhile, this lack of liquidity has been responsible for wild moves up and down in the past months.
At the moment, we pay close attention to the resistance level at 20 381 USD, which is the 27th September 2022 high. For the short-term, it would be bullish if the price managed to break above this level and stay there. However, a failure of the price to hold above the resistance will suggest a return to the lower end of the range, in which Bitcoin has been trading for the past few weeks.
Despite the short-term bullish potential in Bitcoin, we have no reason to backtrack on our bearish views. Accordingly, we stick to our price targets at 17 500 USD and 15 000 USD. We will update our thoughts as time progresses.
Illustration 1.01
Yesterday, we showed several signs of exhaustion accompanying the price rise and subsequent breakout above the resistance level. We said that the breakout would be bullish; however, it became quickly invalidated when the price fell back below the resistance level. That is yet another sign of exhaustion. Despite that, the short-term trend is neutral/slightly bullish; therefore, we will remain very cautious today and closely monitor the price action and volume levels.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI is slightly bullish; however, it is showing signs of exhaustion already. MACD is neutral; if it breaks above the mid-point, it will be bullish. Stochastic is bullish. DM+ and DM- are bullish. The daily time frame is slightly bullish, with a very weak trend.
Illustration 1.02
Illustration 1.02 displays the daily chart of BTCUSD and particular levels of interest.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI is neutral. Stochastic is also neutral. MACD points to the upside but stays in the bearish zone. DM+ and DM- are bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish; but the trend grew substantially weaker over the past few weeks.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Bitcoin - Committed to the bearish narrative Over the past few days, Bitcoin has continued to be choppy, oscillating mainly between 19 000 USD and 20 000 USD. Currently, it trades near the 19 200 USD price tag. We believe the recent volatile movements reflect rising anxiety among market participants. Additionally, lower troughs and lower peaks, constituted since 15th August 2022, suggest the downtrend continuation.
Furthermore, fundamental factors weighing on risk appetite will continue to persist throughout 2022 and 2023, putting aside the bullish potential of the cryptocurrency market. In addition to fundamental factors, technical factors also support the bearish case for BTCUSD.
Therefore, we have no reason to change our bearish bias and stick to our price targets at 17 500 USD and 15 000 USD. We expect our price targets to be reached within Q4 2022.
Illustration 1.01
The picture above shows the daily chart of BTCUSD. Again, we pay close attention to the sloping resistance; the breakout above it will be bullish, while the failure of the price to break above it will be bearish.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
MACD and RSI are neutral. Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish.
Illustration 1.02
Illustration 1.02 displays the daily chart of BTCUSD and simple support/resistance levels.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
ETH - Short-Term Bullish SentimentIt looks like BTC and ETH are showing pretty much the same movements. These two are highly correlated. I expect ETH to bounce back to the 4 800 zone (a zone it failed to break) before experiencing a huge crash back to around 100. We are going to see crazy BEARISH moves in the crypto space after the current BULL move that's taking place.
I will keep track of the movements. It's going to be interesting the crypto market!!
BUY LOW. SELL HIGH!!
Crypto Market Cap - BEAR SENTIMENTThe total crypto market cap still looks extremely BEARISH. I expect the market to fall to around:
1. $400B
2. $120B
before a climb ensues. We will go back to the $3T zone and break it. Cryptocurrencies will SKY-ROCKET. However, for now we are still headed downwards.
PATIENCE IS EVERYTHING IN THIS BUSINESS!
Bitcoin - BTCUSD to mark new lows by the end of Q4 2022Just hours after our last post, in which we warned about the unsustainability of the up move, Bitcoin erased all of its early gains and retraced below 19 000 USD. This development aligns with what we highlighted as a bear market behavior, characteristic of wild swings from one side to another and market participants trying to fish for a bottom.
That and a looming decrease in corporate earnings and a slowdown in the global economy will further reinforce our narrative about the progression into the second stage of the bear market. As a result, we think the risk aversion will rise, causing more weakness in the stock and cryptocurrency markets over time.
Indeed, we think what market participants have seen up until now, regarding erratic moves and elevated volatility, is just a pretext for what will unravel over the coming months. We believe we will see a dramatic increase in volatility, which will cause even more people to jump back and forth between bullish and bearish narratives.
However, as we did for the past year, we plan to stay unshaken by the high volatility and focus on the market's primary trend. Therefore, we remain bearish and committed to our price targets at 17 500 USD and 15 000 USD. Technical and fundamental factors support our view.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows simple support and resistance levels. To confirm our bearish thesis, we want to see the price break below the Support 1.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish.
Illustration 1.02
Illustration 1.02 displays the weekly chart of BTCUSD and two SMAs in a bearish constellation.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
LUNA - Extreme Bear SentimentThe triangle was broken at around 0.00029. Now market-makers are enticing BUYERS into jumping in before they drive the price downward. The rally that took place off the 0.00019 zone is a CORRECTION of the TRIANGLE BREAK. Many are currently buying due to FOMO. We sit back and watch the craziness. See y'all at the 0.000019 zone.
Bitcoin - BTCUSD eyes 2022 lowsDuring the weekend, the price of Bitcoin traded mainly flat. For that matter, we have no reason to change our bearish bias. Just like over the past months, fundamental factors will continue to slow down the global economy, resulting in the declining economic performance of the stock market and companies slashing their economic projections.
In accordance with the Dow Theory, that will reflect the market transitioning from the 1st stage of the bear market into the 2nd stage. In our opinion, the cryptocurrency market will continue to drift to new lows, with many speculative coins going bust and never returning to the market.
We believe the persistence of bullish sentiment does not signal a market capitulation. Quite the contrary, we think it perfectly illustrates the vicious nature of the bear market, with retail investors addicted to buying dips and subsequently causing volatile movements up and down.
Because of that, we will continue to filter these movements and focus on the primary trend to the downside (as we do since November 2021). More details are described below in the text and the attached articles.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 displays the hourly chart of BTCUSD. Two yellow arrows indicate bearish breakouts, which constitute new lows for Bitcoin since the end of the bear market rally.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish.
Illustration 1.02
Illustration 1.02 shows the simple support and resistance levels for BTCUSD. If the price breaks below the immediate support level and stays there, it will further bolster the bearish case for Bitcoin.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Ripple - "Buy the rumor, sell the fact"In our previous idea on Ripple, we stated that it was one of a few cryptocurrencies that failed to reach a new all-time high during the latest bull cycle. Additionally, we expressed our bearish views on it over the coming months, set price targets at 0.30 USD (medium-term) and 0.28 USD (long-term), and presented a conservative setup with two possible scenarios.
Since then, the price of XRPUSD has shot to the upside through the short-term resistance, which is a bullish development we previously outlined. Typically, such price action would invalidate our price targets on the downside for the short-term price target. However, fundamental factors (increasing interest rates and economic tightening) driving the primary trend have not changed, which allows us to stick to our price targets.
Indeed, the abrupt move accompanied news that came out regarding the legal case between RippleLab and the SEC. It took merely a few hours, and we are already noticing a wall of bullish posts forecasting the reversal of the primary trend and the beginning of a new bullish era. However, we have little faith in this thesis because of the slowing global economy and growing geopolitical problems coupled with risk aversion.
We acknowledge that thin volume can lead to a higher price in the short term. However, we think the rally will not sustain in the medium and long term. Furthermore, we believe the recent price action is just a short-lived hype like in the case of other cryptocurrencies that already underwent breakouts to the upside (which were dampened in XRP) from a wide range (in July and August).
As for the short-term, we do not know how much higher XRPUSD can go. However, we are already seeing several warning signs. Because of that, we will pay close attention to volume and price action. Other details are described below.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows the conservative setup we showed on 8th September 2022. Since its introduction, the breakout to the upside took place, hitting a bullish trigger. Subsequently, the price ripped up more than 40%.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI is overbought. MACD and Stochastic are bullish. DM+ and DM- are bullish. Overall, the daily time frame is bullish.
Illustration 1.02
The picture above shows the price action that followed since the introduction of our setup. Declining volume after the breakout serves as a warning sign, hinting at the evaporation of buyers after the steep climb in price.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, MACD, and Stochastic are also bullish. DM+ and DM- are bullish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bullish.
Illustration 1.03
Illustration 1.03 shows a similar decline in volume on the hourly chart of XRPUSD (this time on Binance instead of Bitstamp).
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
LUNA - Extreme Bear SentimentI've been requested to analyze LUNA. Here it goes:
LUNA fell hard from the 118 zone to the current price of 0.00027531.
Price has tried to break the 0.000755 zone. That failed. We now have a triangle break at the current price. This signals a high presence of SELLERS. The fall is not over yet. I expect price to get to the 0.000019 zone before LUNA can rocket all the way back to 118 and beyond!
BTC - Short-Term Bullish SentimentBTC is currently at a very interesting level. Price is at the 19 000 zone - A CRITICAL ZONE. Market-makers are now in the INDUCTION PHASE. Sellers are being INDUCED to sell before price rockets to:
1. the 29 500 zone
2. the 47 000 zone
3. the 65 500 zone (a zone that couldn't be broken since BTC's inception)
I'm expecting the craziest fall at the 65 500 zone. Price must visit the 3 500 zone!!!!!!
Bitcoin - No crypto island is happening For some time before the FED meeting, we warned investors that another rate hike would spook the market, leading to weakness across all sectors. Additionally, we speculated that an irrational and short-lived bounce in the price of BTCUSD could occur after the decision due to retail investors buying a dip in hopes of the FED pivot in 2022 or 2023.
However, that was not a message Jerome Powell sent to the market. Instead, he reiterated his hawkish stance toward continuing interest rate increases throughout 2022 and 2023. Based on the dot-plot presented by the chair of the Federal Reserve, the first decline in interest rates can be expected in 2024. That suggests the economy will remain under significant tightening pressure throughout 2023 and likely during the first half of 2024. In turn, that leads us to speculate about the continuation of worsening economic conditions and data, further deepening a recession and risk aversion.
In addition to that, yesterday's price action proved our assessment about the initial bounce and dump correct, with Bitcoin halting its rise slightly below 20 000 USD (right after the decision) and then retreating to the vicinity of 18 000 USD.
In our opinion, this elevated volatility only highlights the bearish sentiment in the market and the high level of anxiousness among market participants. Furthermore, technical indicators across the daily, weekly, and monthly time frames also support the bearish notion. Because of that, we have no reason to backtrack on our bearish views, and we stick to price targets of 17 500 USD and 15 000 USD.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows the immediate price action of BTCUSD on the 1-minute chart after the FED decision.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish.
Illustration 1.02
Illustration 1.02 shows the daily chart of BTCUSD, two SMAs, and simple support/resistance levels. A new low below the immediate support was constituted, bolstering the bearish case for BTCUSD.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Bitcoin - Expect more pain aheadUnsurprisingly, Bitcoin fell below 20 000 USD, confirming our bearish bias. During the week, we will be on high alert as the FED is poised to increase interest rates and worsen economic conditions (and potentially spark another massive selloff). Other fundamental and technical factors also make up for the bearish consensus. Therefore, we have no reason to change our view and stick to price targets of 17 500 USD and 15 000 USD.
Illustration 1.01
The picture above shows the daily chart of BTCUSD. White horizontal lines indicate simple support and resistance levels. The yellow arrow indicates the bearish breakout below the immediate support, followed by the bullish retracement. We want the price to stay below the immediate support level to confirm our bearish view further.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. The daily time frame is bearish.
Illustration 1.02
The illustration above shows the increase in volume that accompanies the declining price. That is positive for the bearish scenario; ideally, we would like to see volume grow more.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. The weekly time frame is bearish.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Ethereum - Downtrend continuesOnce again, the price action proved our prediction correct, and Ethereum fell below 1300 USD over the weekend. This bearish development confirms our narrative about the downtrend continuation. Simultaneously, fundamental and technical factors also support this thesis. Therefore, we have no reason to change our thoughts on ETHUSD and stick to our price targets of 1000 USD and 900 USD.
Illustration 1.01
The picture above shows the daily chart of ETHUSD. The breakout below the immediate support/resistance adds to the bearish sentiment. White horizontal lines indicate particular support and resistance levels.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TOP Micro Caps to Watch in Q4 👀Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators 📈📉
Ev here. Been trading crypto since 2017 and later got into stocks. I have 3 board exams on financial markets and studied economics from a top tier university for a year. Daytime job - Math Teacher. 👩🏫
Dealing with crypto can be very risky. It is risky because there are no clear rules and regulations that apply (yet). (We're hoping for some more clarity when the SEC case on XRP is settled). Anyway, there seems to be an inverse relationship between risk and market capitalization - The risk in crypto increases as the market cap decreases. This is due to many reasons, but mainly because crypto has become attractive to scammers and theftrepreneurs. This places you, the investor, in a difficult position. On the one hand, you'd like to get in to a possibly great opportunity early, but you also want to keep your risk as low as possible. Well, if that's you, this post is for you. I have identified a few micro cap altcoins / tokens that have already been verified, and most are already trading on popular exchanges, which is as much guarantee as there is in crypto.
The crypto market has exploded in the last 4 years. Finding a gem in the rough early could be what leads to a +1000% , or even a +20 000% over some time. Low-cap / microcap assets present an opportunity because they start of undervalued. But as time goes on and the use case increases with adoption, the investor can enjoy the rewards of a huge profit on their investment. In today's analysis, I've identified a few that I believe are potential gems in the rough.
NOTE : Micro-cap cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and considered a highly risky investment, even though they may sometimes have a lot of potential. If you decide to invest, be aware that they may also crash, literally from one minute to the next. They are also popular for pump and dump schemes, and liquidity rug-pulls. Note that the above is in no specific order. On the chart, you will see some fast facts with the asset. This is also not a shill, and I am not currently participating in any of the above mentioned.
I hope you enjoyed this post today! Please give us a thumbs up to support all the efforts that went into this post.
If you want to learn a little more on how to stake and make money with yield farming, check out this related idea:
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BTC Short-term Bullish MoveMy sentiment about BTC still remains BULLISH in the short-term. I expect price to climb to the 30 000 zone, consolidate a bit then continue to climb to around 48 000. If you are trading this you can gain some lovely profits from this short-term upward move.However, price will fall like a rock from around 48 000. I still expect price to fall to as low as 5 000!
Bitcoin - CPI print kills the hypeToday's CPI print in the U.S. spooked the market, affecting Bitcoin, which dropped more than 4% within merely two minutes. The report of higher-than-expected inflation shattered market participants' last hopes for the FED pivot. Currently, the FED is expected to raise interest rates in the range between 75bps to 100bps during its September meeting. However, after this latest inflation print, there is a high likelihood of the FED proceeding with another significant rate hike in November.
These developments only add to the already bearish fundamentals that signal a rough road ahead for Bitcoin. With a slowing economy, higher servicing of debt, and other geopolitical burdens, we think cryptocurrencies will copy the stock market on its route to new lows.
The same view is also supported by technical factors and low volume, which point to the liquidity crisis rather than a trend change from bearish to bullish. Because of this conviction, we stick to our bearish outlook. Accordingly, our price targets are 17 500 USD and 15 000 USD.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows the 1-minute chart of BTCUSD and the sudden crash after the CPI print.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI reversed and now points to the downside, which is very bearish. Stochastic also turned bearish. MACD started to flatten. DM+ and DM- produce whipsaws. The daily time frame quickly turned from neutral/slightly bullish to very bearish.
Illustration 1.02
Illustration 1.02 shows the daily chart of BTCUSD and the most recent technical developments. The failure of Bitcoin to stay above the immediate resistance is very bearish.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, Stochastic, and MACD are neutral. DM+ and DM- stay bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is neutral.
Illustration 1.03
The picture above shows simple support and resistance levels for BTCUSD.
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DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.