XRP/USD - Opportunity To BuyXRP has been making some successive higher lows as of late, giving a nice steady up move, which price has also conformed to the side-wards support line illustrated on the chart. And today on the retest of side-wards support, there was yet another green candle showing continued enthusiasm to stay above the side-wards support line.
Despite the nice green candle on the retest of of the support, the candle is still below the 50 moving average and there is a possibility it is being used as resistance (albeit unlikely). If price breaks, and closes above 0.4640, then that pretty much confirms that XRP is going to stay to the upside, perhaps having sufficient momentum to get to upside target.
If price breaks and closes below 0.4390, and later 0.4310, then price is likely to instead go to the downside, where it will likely retest 0.4035 which is the where the 200 major moving average lies, before bouncing to the upside again.
Bear in mind if price does come lower and test the 200 moving average then there is a danger that when XRP comes back up it will use the current side-wards support as a resistance level, along with the 50 moving average which would also be used as resistance at around 0.4450. So if you buy at the low of 200 MA, you'll need to buy fast to make an appropriate R/R profile... Or you'll be eating like a bird and pooping like an elephant.
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BTC/USD - Market OverviewBitcoin is nicely below the support at this point and it needs to be accepted that price would have to make a significant effort with a lot of bulls to break above the horizontal support zone once again (As well as long term side-wards resistance)
Price has 2 possibilities. It'll either come back up from current levels and retest the side-wards resistance/horizontal support zone then we see from there. Or, price breaks down again, using the fibonacci 61.8 retracement resistance to create a minor 3 wave move to the downside which would end at exactly 6210 as a measure move of the 3 wave minor correction.
Bear in mind, it's neutral now. Why take a position at this point??
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BTC/USD - Juncture LevelBitcoin broke the horizontal support level (Unfortunately) so we need a contingency plan to protect capital. Now price is below this level there is a danger that price will retest the horizontal support zone as a new resistance. If this happens, we could get some considerable downside from here on. If price breaks up again, it will need to retest the transition zone as a support yet again to confirm that the bulls are in, and that the bears got trapped.
I personally believe scenario 1 is most likely out of the pair, just on a probability logic.
Let's see how things go from here!
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BTC/USD - Live UpdatePrice approaching side-wards support now, let's see it it bounces!
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USDCHF Bearish Rising Wedge.ANALYSIS :
The long running Bullish Trend of USDCHF is about to end with a Bearish Rising Wedge.RSI is also showing Divergence indicating the end of Bullish Trend.So when the breakdown start, We will short USDCHF for about 1400 pips, don't miss it.
INDICATORS :
1. RSI
2. MACD
3. Moving average 20, 50,100
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BTC/USD - Fading Into Ideal buy LevelBeen trying my best to keep a good eye on Bitcoin despite unpredictable levels, as well as flying last 2 days and using plane WIFI! Not sure if any of you have ever used a planes wifi, but it is TERRIBLE. Ah well, despite, the perks of business class. :-)
Bitcoin trading nicely towards support zone, it appears to be fading nicely meaning it's a sustainable down move without too much exaggeration. For this reason, I'm happy to STILL stay out after all this time and wait for the buy opportunity to come to me.
Let's continue to sit on the hands, let's trade alts instead, they dropped under panic when BTC dropped sustainably meaning they are playing catch up. There's some excellent ones out there right now.
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EURAUD Bearish Cup and Handle. SHORTTECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Hey Guy's what's up! There is a Cup and Handle in EURAUD. So when the breakdown starts. we will short it.
First target = 1000 pips.
Second target = 1600 pips.
INDICATORS USED
1. MACD
2. RSI
3. SMA
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GBPUSD Bullish Cypher. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Hey Guy's whats up! We saw Bullish Cypher in the GBPUSD. It is in right leg of it's completion. After completion It will be bullish.It has about 2000 pips profit potential. So don't missit.
INDICATORS USED
1. MACD
2. RSI
3. SMA
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XRP/USD - The LatestDue to high demand, and the fact no ones really posting on this one, I've decided to give it a shot.
XRP currently sits nicely above the 20, 50, and 200 major moving average (All in systematic order I might add) suggesting the trend is actually pretty healthy. As it stands, price had a nice green candle off of the side-wards support a while back, and since then has somewhat faded after closing as a green candle but with a wick entailing it. This showed weakness within the session and the fading is now in play.
I would expect that XRP comes at least back to the side-wards support level, but you never know, if XRP picks up momentum to the downside then it could potentially break the support line and break below it, and maybe even use it a retest of resistance.
The support is stronger than the resistance in realtime though. Why? Simply because there's loads of near converged moving averages acting as support around this level, and price would have to break every single support, and then the side-wards support line all simultaneously to get the break.
The problem with that is, IF XRP does break the side-wards support and all the moving averages mentioned, then XRP will tank considerably.
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BTC/USD - Live UpdateThis analysis very much attaches itself to the analysis I posted yesterday, and could be considered a part 2. (See related ideas below for more information regarding this analysis.) Yesterday I discussed 2 nice levels where we could look for a long opportunity. The first of which, seems to to have failed to ultimately hold it's own and price did go below it. Besides this support, I also let you all know to look below there at the structure support level.
After some eagle eye analysis, I realised that the structure support on the pattern in my previous analysis actually perfectly coincides with the finishing of a minor 3 wave pattern on the 4 hour chart. In other words, the structure support, and the minor 3 wave pattern on the 4 hour both land in the EXACT same place, showing this could be a pretty good support level overall.
It is worth bearing in mind however that when price hits this support, it could bounce, but will immediately be at a disadvantage. Why? Because price is below both the 50 and 200 moving averages and will need to get above these nicely for a proper move up. Despite this, the support is still a high probability bouncing area.
Had price break below the support, I'll just go back to the drawing board and start again - not bothered if an analysis in hindsight is wrong, I only care about preserving my capital.
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ETH/USD - Technicals Suggest Down MovePrice appears to be rolling over but we are still edging towards the cliff-edge since it is so close to confirming but isn't there just yet. If I had to choose a side however, I'd say downside now. When analysing again, I discovered a new side-wards resistance which supports the downside. As well as the side-wards resistance, there is a 50 moving average resistance in play and still the big wick candle that hit the side-wards resistance (On two different technical levels). All of this nicely supports a down move and had price start to roll below 200's then that could be a short.
Bear in mind there is some below support between 190-180 which could prove an obstacle for the downside. However, if price breaks this level then a nice downside sweep is expected.
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BTC/USD - Crunch TimePrice is right at the support level where I'd really like to see the bounce to the upside. The reason I like it is because of the nice Fibonacci retracement support here, along with the major moving averages which could act as a support. Whilst we approach it, we must explore the possibility that the level will fail (This is just common sense of trading) and explore another possibility if we're going to assume there'll be a bounce.
Price is right at the converging moving averages and the Fibonacci retracement support levels right now, and had this fail, there is another logical position to search for a bounce, and that will be the next structure support, of the structure drawn on my chart. Once price hits the top of the structure, this is the next level to be looking for the bounce.
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BTC/USD - Quick Long?There's potential for a quick long here providing a couple of conditions are met. As it stands, price is very nicely on the Fibonacci Retracement support level, and sitting on the major moving average support, as well as the 50 moving average support, giving a very strong support ceiling which could be a great launchpad for upside potential.
Price likely won't rally up right away, but rather lose some steam soon, and come back down and retest structure support before breaking up to the upside afterwards. Any trading below 6400 would invalidate this trade. So do bear that in mind before executing the trade. Also bear in mind the conditions I've laid out above for this trade to work out.
Had price break out, we can expect a nice breakout move to a nice extended target with nice profits. :-)
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BTC/USD - Live UpdateWas doing some thinking and analysing over Bitcoin as I do everyday of the week and discovered something that's of a lot of interest. When analysing Bitcoin previously, I did notice a small structure triangle before, but I was taking further heed to the bigger picture, which is the bigger triangle, that you may have seen in my previous Bitcoin ideas. If you haven't, you can see those by checking the related ideas link below regarding this.
So we have a smaller structure triangle clearly taking action on BTC. What interests me a lot about this is the angle of which the triangle line comes in. It appears to signify that Bitcoin did ultimately actually breakout of the structure already, but since then it's been doing absolutely nothing. Now what does this tell me? It tells me that taking the downside trade which I originally suggested towards horizontal support is now too risky. This is because there is the structure side-wards support right below where we are now, and the horizontal support not much further down as well so to take the short means you'd likely end up getting hit by a huge buy base where price would go straight back up and knock short positions out, and that's not worth it for the tiny range of profit that can be made.
For longs, we're still in a good range and they can be taken, however for the short they'll take quite some time, because we'd have to hit the horizontal support first before even considering a short, and even then we'd need a breakout which would take a while. Shorts are out of the question for now. Longs still same opinion - buy on set up.
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BTC/USD - Trading PlanBTC appears to be under converging moving average resistance and is rolling over quite cleanly. Looks like price could go to the downside before going to the upside. Price appears to be falling down, and had the converging moving average resistance hold it's own, then price will go down to the horizontal support zone between 6070 and 5790 before then bouncing back to the upside. Had price just go up from here, it's move likely to hit the side-wards resistance and go to the downside... If however we get the horizontal support retest first, there's a higher chance that price will actually break the side-wards resistance, and make a move towards resistance.
There is also of course a probability we go below the horizontal support zone, and had this happen, a new idea would be produced. For now I'm only looking at what's in front of me, and that is up.
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BTC/USD - The LatestPrice has managed to hold it's own quite nicely right at the resistance level. So for now, I am eyeing a possible entry scenario for Bitcoin. For this analysis however, the entry is only CONDITIONAL, and will ONLY be valid if a few CRITERIA are met.
Criteria for entry are as follows:
- Bitcoin needs to hold it's own and then break the side-wards resistance level and come back to test it later as a support.
- It stays above the side-wards resistance. Price needs to stay above here because this is the only real bullish indicator at present. Had price break this level, an entry long would be INVALID, until we retest the support zone again.
- Price hits the side-wards resistance and uses it as a support before a long can be entered. If price fails to do this, there is NO entry here.
If either of the above conditions fail, there is NO entry scenario. This is merely a scenario that could play out had price continue to remain stable. I am eager to get in also, but only at the right time, with the right probabilities on my side :-)
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ETH/USD - Waiting For MovementPrice is at a confusing level still, and we're waiting for a proper breakdown signal before we jump into the marketplace. Price had a green candle with a large green wick, and since then, it's been pretty side-wards. There's some technical factors to bear in mind, such as that price is still right at the 20, and 50 moving average resistance level, therefore from a technical standpoint of stance, price is very bearish in this position.
Remember price has had the wick I keep mentioning - and this wick hit the side-wards resistance line. The tricky question here is - does the wick signify the top? Or does price need to retest the side-wards resistance level again before breaking down again? The answer is impossible to answer with an accurate conclusion therefore we can only sit and wait for price to do it's thing for us.
There's no point rushing in.Let's wait for the move to finish for itself. Until then, we can sit on our hands.
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BTC/USD - Optimistic But Be CautiousBitcoin had a nice pump up which is great, but this is to viewed with much caution. Fundamentally speaking, there's a lot of stuff flying in the air at the moment and trading into Bitcoin could post risk. Do your due diligence and most importantly, ignore nonsense rumours, follow the facts only, not speculation.
A nice green candle would usually show massive enthusiasm. Usually? It does... But you must be careful taking it seriously. Naturally, if price stays above the side-wards resistance and tests it as a support level, then it's a nice buy - naturally.
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ETH/USD - Live UpdateEthereum has so far had an interesting wick - made by Bitcoin's huge move up yesterday and push down again, causing the phenomenon. It is going EXACTLY as planned so far... However I think that could change if Bitcoin does negate this wick and bump up once more due to the cutthroat moves we are seeing... I see a lot of investors emotion in this market at the moment.
If my plan does play out, you'll know if either - the wick stands and price doesn't go above it and it breaks down now towards side-wards target... Or, price goes higher, but does not break the sidewards resistance before coming to the downside again.
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BTC/USD - Live UpdateA brand new analysis here, ready for Monday's fresh week of trading :-)
Bitcoin showing slight clarity, where it's clearly having a corrective move. I don't expect this to have major conviction and thus will stall at side-wards resistance before falling down, rather than just tanking like that that could have happened before. There's 2 outcomes to this:
1) Bitcoin hits side-wards resistance/moving average resistance overhead before falling to the downside before retesting support and bouncing, or breaking below support into a new bearish impulse leg.
2) Bitcoin breaks the overhead moving average converging resistance, then the side-wards resistance. It then tests the resistance as a new support before the introduction of a rally.
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BTC/USD - Latest MovesBitcoin seems to remain in low position intraday and on the daily itself. Still at the mercy of the big red candle before it, it doesn't look like it's about to go "to the moon" anytime soon. A waiting game, at least a bounce on support before any reactions can logically take place. React before that, you're at risk. Hence the "up or down" analysis.
Anyone who thinks you shouldn't analyse both sides of the chart does not know how to trade.
Bear in mind that had the red candle get negated, the bulls would more likely have something interesting to talk about. Until then, we're going to support then seeing if it goes up on a bounce, or below it for a breakout. It's a key technical level, not just some random space on the chart.
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BTC/USD - Crunch timePrice is now approaching the all important support zone, that has been the only thing keeping Bitcoin above 5.5k for absolute months. Price has been making consecutive lower highs since May, with no sign of easing at all. This is concerning, because the most recent lower high is dangerously close o the support zone breakout. If the horizontal support zone is broken, Bitcoin will stay in a downtrend for a very long time.
Price needs to make a decision. It will now either:
- Come into the horizontal support zone, pick up some momentum and bounce to the upside, either hitting side-wards resistance again, or if lucky, break out, retest the side-wards resistance as a new support and then go to the upside.
- Bitcoin breaks below the horizontal support zone, retesting it eventually as a resistance before we're going to the downside even more. Had this happen, Bitcoin is surely staying down for some time.
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