AI GEMS 💎AI
The ubiquitous integration of artificial intelligence into our daily lives is steadily increasing, and the technology is impacting many industries and activities. One of the drivers of the AI field has been OpenAI, which has a variety of products such as GPT, ChatGPT, Sora, and DALL-E. AI is used in many industries, from personal assistants such as Siri and Alexa to AI algorithms in social media - AI's presence is ubiquitous and continues to expand.
In the field of cryptocurrencies, AI has been no exception. The convergence of AI and blockchain technology has led to a surge in the development of AI-based cryptocurrencies and applications. These projects utilize AI and machine learning to empower blockchain networks, improve security, and create new use cases. AI is used in cryptocurrency for various purposes, such as automating trading strategies, improving market analysis, and making blockchain networks more efficient. Even some AI-enabled cryptocurrencies have emerged, looking to capitalize on the growing interest in both AI and cryptocurrencies. However, the use of AI in cryptocurrencies should be approached with caution. While AI can potentially empower blockchain networks and improve user experience, it poses new risks and challenges. For example, AI algorithms can be susceptible to manipulation or exploitation, and the security of AI-based cryptocurrency systems can be jeopardized.
AI has become an essential part of our lives, and its integration into the cryptocurrency world is no exception. As AI evolves and improves, its role in cryptocurrency will likely expand, offering new opportunities and challenges for developers and users alike.
AI Market today
The AI sector of the cryptocurrency market is currently experiencing a period of significant growth and development. According to the latest data, the total market capitalization of AI-related cryptocurrencies is $32.8 billion. AI-related crypto assets have performed well after major developments in OpenAI:
The sector has seen significant growth over the past year, with high-profile projects such as CSEMA:AKT , NYSE:FET , and SET:PRIME significantly increasing their market value. The artificial intelligence sector in the cryptocurrency space is seen as a strong contender for becoming the following big narrative, and the continuous development of AI technologies is expected to drive further growth. Projects such as The Graph (GRT), Fetch.ai (FET), and SingularityNET (AGIX) are among the most successful in the AI cryptocurrency space, offering unique value propositions that utilize AI to enhance the functionality of blockchain and cryptocurrencies.
The convergence of AI and cryptocurrencies is seen as a significant trend: AI is used to analyze the vast amounts of data generated by cryptocurrency markets. Such analysis helps to understand market trends, predict price movements, and improve the security of digital transactions. The use of AI in crypto trading and market forecasting is a crucial area, with projects such as Ocean Protocol (OCEAN) and Numeraire (NMR) leading the way. However, it is essential to note that the artificial intelligence cryptocurrency sector is still at an early stage of development, and while it offers excellent opportunities, it also carries risks. The speculative and volatile nature of the cryptocurrency market means that it is difficult to predict which particular AI cryptocurrency will show significant growth.
The AI sector of the cryptocurrency market is a dynamic and rapidly evolving space. A wide range of projects utilize AI technologies to enhance the functionality of blockchain and cryptocurrencies. As AI evolves and integrates into the cryptocurrency market, we can expect to see more sophisticated and efficient solutions for trading, security, and compliance.
Example of AI in DAO
AI at the edge of DAO - autonomous agents act as token holders. Decision-making in the DAO is democratic and decentralized. This means that every member of the DAO has the right to vote. In theory, the democratic nature of the DAO has several advantages. However, in practice, the requirement to vote on every single proposal can be overwhelming for members. Many DAO members do not have the time to vote or even the ability to understand each proposal. The lack of voter participation in the DAO limits the efficiency of decision-making within the DAO and could be a potential risk of centralization if only a tiny fraction of DAO members participate in the voting process. If autonomous agents act as delegates for token holders, voter participation in the DAO could increase, the speed of decision-making would accelerate, and decentralization could become feasible.
Promising projects
Attention! Make your DYOR! If you want to see my portfolio, please see its description below the chart.
MASA
The MASA project is a decentralized AI data and LLM (Large Language Model) network that aims to enable users to own, share, and earn from their data and computations, thereby facilitating the development of AI applications. The MASA token serves as a utility and management token for the Masa network and operates as a standard ERC20 token on Ethereum Mainnet.
The MASA token has several options for use in the Masa network:
Users can submit their data to the Masa network and receive MASA tokens as rewards. This incentivizes data sharing and helps build a robust AI data ecosystem.
Businesses and developers can pay for MASA tokens to access and utilize the data, products, and services available on the Masa network.
Users pay for MASA gas on the Masa Avalanche subnet to mine and manage their zkSBT (zero-knowledge Soulbound Token), an encrypted repository of personal data. Some of these gas payments are burned, contributing to the token's deflation.
Masa Oracle node operators use MASA tokens to manage Masa zk-oracle nodes. This helps secure the network and maintain its integrity.
Through community management, MASA token holders can participate in the Masa network's decision-making process. This ensures that the network develops in a decentralized and democratic manner.
Overall, the MASA project is a promising initiative in the field of decentralized AI data and LLM. It offers users the opportunity to contribute to the development of AI applications while being rewarded for their data. The MASA token is vital in encouraging data sharing, securing the network, and facilitating community management in the Masa ecosystem.
Parsiq
Parsiq is a comprehensive data network that powers the dApps backend and Web3 protocols. Its APIs provide real-time and historical data querying for blockchain protocols and clients, facilitating the creation of various Web3 data products.
The platform is designed to connect blockchain to various ecosystems or off-chain devices and applications, allowing users to control and secure DeFi applications, create custom event triggers, and automate real-time operations. Parsiq has made significant strides in its growth, including more than 50 strategic partnerships in 2021. These include well-known projects and service providers such as AAVE, OKEx, Solana, Chainlink, Polkadot, UnoRe, Mysterium Network, PancakeSwap, and deBridge. The project's technology is linked to many famous projects and protocols in the cryptocurrency space, allowing it to be used in increasing use cases, including AML and KYT processes, DeFi, and TradFi. In 2023, Parsiq introduced its Reactive Network, designed to bring the concepts of ReactEVM (rEVM), reactive smart contracts (RSC), and Relayer Network to the blockchain world. The Relayer Network extends the functionality and capabilities of RSCs by bringing their abilities to the entire blockchain and allowing the whole network of blockchain ecosystems to be tracked, analyzed, and responded to through a single, smart contract. The REACT token plays a vital role in the Reactive Network, paying for gas and post-blockchain RSC transactions and rewarding participants who maintain consensus in the event log.
Parsiq's evolution of rEVM leverages all aspects of its past and accumulated experience to bring its most revolutionary and industry-impacting solutions to the future to date. The VM reactive brilliant contract standard, combined with the cross-chaining capabilities provided by the Relayer Network, will enable current and future developers to build the next generation of Web3 applications.
Parsiq is a promising Web3 data networking project that offers innovative solutions for connecting blockchain to off-chain applications and facilitates the development of advanced Web3 applications. Introducing the Reactive Network and the REACT token further expands the platform's capabilities, making it a significant player in the blockchain ecosystem.
EMC
EMC ( Edge Matrix Computing ) is a cryptocurrency project that aims to create a decentralized network of AI computing power applications. It focuses on efficiently connecting and collaborating tens of thousands of idle or clustered GPU computing power nodes through Proof of Work (POW). The unique value of the EMC project is that it is the only project in the Web3 space that directly links GPU computing power to AI applications, delivering them to everyday developers and users at low cost and convenience.
The project was launched with the first RWA (Real World Assets) product based on GPU hardware computing power for AI on December 6, 2023. This product is based on GPUs, the most valuable manufacturing tools of the AI era, and represents standardization, high value, and high technical added value. The release of RWA increases asset liquidity for nodes and the network and ensures the continued growth of EMC's network value within the RWA product. EMC is actively under construction and has attracted the crypto community's attention, as evidenced by its strong social media presence and ongoing discussions about its airdrop. The project is considered large-scale and has the potential for significant growth in the future.
Forta
Forta is a project aimed at improving the security of smart contracts on the blockchain. It has a token called FORT, which incentivizes network security. The project was launched with a $23 million fundraising led by Andreessen Horowitz (a16z) and has gained attention for its efforts to secure smart contracts on various blockchain networks.
The project aims to detect and mitigate cybersecurity, financial, operational, and governance threats through a community of developers who build and run bots to monitor these risks. Forta's decentralized approach to security is seen as a critical step in securing smart contracts and the entire blockchain ecosystem. FORT owners can vote on governance proposals, contributing to the decision-making process that guides the network. This democratic approach ensures that the community can influence the direction and development of the Forta network.
This way, the FORT token is central to the Forta project's Web3 security mission, incentivizing the developer community to build the tools needed to secure their projects. The token's value is tied to the success and growth of the Forta Network, making it an essential component in the ecosystem's efforts to improve blockchain security.
Alethea AI
Alethea AI is a cutting-edge project combining generative AI and blockchain to democratize AI ownership and governance. It is at the forefront of the cryptocurrency revolution to decentralize the ownership and management of AI by leveraging the combined capabilities of these technologies.
The project attracted significant attention and support, with a total funding of $30.4 million, and the ALI token was an integral part of the project. The project introduced the concept of intelligent non-fungible tokens (iNFTs), which are NFTs capable of learning, evolving, and interacting with the environment. These icons can be created using the AI Protocol, which offers developers tools for creating AI-enabled DApps. The native ALI token plays a fundamental role in the decentralized operations of the iNFT protocol and the DApps built on top of it.
The primary mission of Alethea AI is to provide decentralized ownership and democratic governance of artificial intelligence, which is achieved through the use of blockchain technology. The project also introduced CharacterGPT V2, which allows the creation of realistic characters with unique voices and personalities through text input.
Openfabric AI
Openfabric AI is a Tier 1 protocol that aims to revolutionize artificial intelligence (AI) by creating an ecosystem where innovation is highly valued. It provides a platform for people with different backgrounds to contribute and utilize AI solutions to solve complex problems. Open fabric has been developed through extensive research and testing, ensuring it is built on a solid and reliable foundation.
Openfabric architecture encourages communities to unite, monetize their intellectual property, and compete or collaborate to pave the way for the Internet of Artificial Intelligence. It abstracts the technical complexity of artificial intelligence systems, enabling improved user experience and business integration. By utilizing a trusted execution environment and advanced cryptography techniques, the underlying framework ensures scalability, data privacy, and intellectual property protection. Critical features of Open Fabric include decentralization to avoid centralized control, usability to simplify interaction with AI, security to protect privacy and intellectual property, smart economics to ensure fair transactions, interoperability for collaboration between AI agents, and scalability by leveraging the computing power of network participants.
The Openfabric platform offers several tools and resources for developers and users, such as the Openfabric Store, Openfabric Toolkit, Openfabric SDK, and Openfabric Daemon. It also supports creating new AI applications and aims to stimulate fair market competition.
It is a promising projims to create an inclusive and cohesive community and marketplace for AI resources, developers, and companies, making AI and blockchain technology more accessible and efficient for users.
Conclusion
The artificial intelligence sector is experiencing rapid growth and is expected to continue expanding significantly in the coming years. According to Precedence Research, the global artificial intelligence (AI) market was valued at $454.12 billion in 2022 and is projected to reach around $2,575.16 billion by 2032, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 19.7% from 2023 to 2032.
This growth is driven by the increasing demand for AI in various fields, including medical, banking and finance, manufacturing, and others.
One of the key factors driving the growth of the AI sector is the development of new technologies and the widespread adoption of AI across various industries. For instance, the healthcare AI market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 37.5% from 2023 to 2032, driven by the use of AI for drug discovery, medical imaging, and patient care. Similarly, the AI market in the automotive industry is expected to grow at a CAGR of 35.5% from 2023 to 2032, driven by the development of autonomous vehicles and advanced driver assistance systems. Apart from these industry trends, the AI sector also benefits from the increasing availability of data and the development of new algorithms and computing platforms. As available data increases and computing power grows, AI systems become more functional and versatile, enabling them to address an ever-wider range of tasks and applications.
Overall, the future of the AI sector looks bright, with significant growth and innovation expected in the coming years. As AI technologies continue to evolve and become more widespread, they have the potential to change many aspects of our lives and drive economic growth and development. In the future, adopting AI will lead to innovation and success, while resistance to it could lead to stagnation and obsolescence.
Best regards EXCAVO
TOP
Why is BTC down today?Stocks and crypto both down the last couple of days. BTC often levers the remainder of the cryptosphere up and down based on it's own direction. Very much like a teacher and a group of students. Most will do what they're told, but there will also sometimes be a couple of rogues that don't follow the pack. With regards to BTC, we could be looking at a head and shoulders top. We've seen a piercing of the neckline today, only to rebound back above it. I'd say that if we see a decisive open and close below the neckline on a 4HR timeframe (minimum) H&S will be confirmed and we'll be down to the long purple box where there lies good resistance. Fear not! This is normal, natural and if you're an investor don't go chopping and changing. Just enjoy your weel and look out for the next few posts where we could leverage a great buy back with some extra cash. So, if you're going to do anything - raise some capital to add in! Follow and share for more.
HIVE is Looking Bulish HIVEUSDT is looking bullish!
The Falling Wedge pattern has been completed, and the breakout is done. Current price is $0.62, with a target price of $1.06, representing a potential gain of 175%+. This breakout indicates a strong bullish reversal, and we expect HIVEUSDT to surge towards our target price. The setup is high-probability, and we're confident in our analysis. Stay tuned for further updates. Keep a close eye on HIVEUSDT. This could be a lucrative trading opportunity. Get ready for a potential price explosion!
BTC, clear H&S top - more down to comeIt looks as though we have a head and shoulders top in play with BTC. Left, head and right are clearly marked on the diagram. If, the red neckline should be broken then we go down to the 70s which will present a wonderful buying opportunity for those who are not in or want to buy a little more. Long-term, we're still very much on the upward trend but be careful if you have any day trades for longs as the most likely probable outcome is down. Follow for more.
VIRTUAL’s Incredible Year: Is a Top in Sight??VIRTUAL has experienced a phenomenal rise in recent months, climbing to rank 36 in the overall crypto market with an impressive $3.7 billion market cap. This meteoric growth is a testament to the strong interest and momentum behind the project. However, as we approach the end of the year, there are signs that a potential top could be forming. Let’s analyse the chart and key scenarios to watch for in the coming weeks.
Key Levels and Observations:
1.) Elliott Wave Analysis:
The price action suggests we are completing the 5th wave of an Elliott Wave cycle, signaling a potential exhaustion of the current uptrend.
Based on the Fibonacci extension of the last corrective wave, the 1.618 level is a critical resistance at $3.8134.
A breakout above $3.8134 could open the doors to test the psychological level of $4. However, failure to break this level might confirm the end of the 5th wave and initiate a correction.
2.) Head and Shoulders Formation (Potential Setup):
There are early signs of a Left Shoulder formation on the chart. If the price rejects at the 1.618 Fibonacci level, we could see the development of a Head and Right Shoulder, forming a bearish reversal pattern.
Confirmation of this pattern would require a clear neckline and increased selling volume, signaling a trend reversal.
3.) Time-Based Correction:
A correction could align with the broader crypto market trends as we head into early 2025. Given the potential for Bitcoin to drop to the 84K support zone, this could trigger a sell-off in altcoins, including VIRTUAL.
4.) Overall Market Sentiment:
While the broader market has been bullish, a Bitcoin-led correction could drag down the entire crypto market.
Altcoins often experience sharper corrections during Bitcoin downturns, which could result in VIRTUAL retracing some of its gains.
Volume Analysis: Monitor volume levels at key resistance points (e.g., $3.8134 and $4) for confirmation of breakout or rejection.
Market Correlation: Keep an eye on Bitcoin’s price action, as any significant movement could directly impact VIRTUAL and other altcoins.
Note: These are my personal thoughts and interpretations of the current market conditions. Please take them with a grain of salt. The crypto market is highly volatile and further data and confirmations are essential before drawing definitive conclusions. Happy trading!
Bitcoin Heading for a Local TOP on 16-17 December 2024These are 3 x Ceres in Aquarius fractals from the past 3 occasions in Bitcoin's life. What I like about these fractals is that 2 of them top on 16 & 17 of December which is a confluence to the Moon cycle topping on 16 December 2024.
This Ceres in Aquarius confluence seems good quality because these cycles repeat only once in 4 years and to get 2 cycles to converge on a top on the same dates 16 & 17 December, it is outstanding.
We need to see a clearly defined top on 16 or 17 December to be able to make the above conclusion. If we don't get a well-shaped top, that would mean more moves to the upside, as there are some other confluences for that. Ceres in Aquarius tops on 16 -17 December until the year's end. After that it continues higher up in January 2025.
BTC up to $250K - Remarkably Accurate Projection 2022/25Initial projection from December 12, 2022, ➡️ ⬅️
When the price was at $17K, aimed to predict the bottom of the cycle, but primarily to predict Bitcoin's next all-time high and its timing.
This projection has been spot on!!!
The two-year forecast has proven to be exceptionally and remarkably accurate, demonstrating high credibility.
The analysis employed a multifaceted approach, including these key factors:
- Projected symmetrical parallel channel for price forecasting
- Volume Price Range (VPR) for identifying Points of Interest (POIs)
- Price range (PR) tool, to project the peak from the hypothetical bottom
- Measurement of days between halving events and peaks
- Measurement of days between peaks
- The symmetrical parallel channel , ( Green and Red lines ) derived from previous highs and lows, linking them enabled the projection of a clear symmetrical parallel channel into the future, this channel has proven to be highly predictive of price movements, whenever the price reached the channel's boundaries, it consistently signaled reversals or marked the cyclical highs and lows.
As shown by the three green arrows, the price consistently reversed direction upon reaching the lower boundary of the channel.
The orange arrow points to the most recent bottom, the initial analysis predicted that the bottom would be reached only in January 2023, with a price somewhere between $10K and $12K, which did not materialize, in fact, the bottom was reached in December 2022 a month early, with the price hitting a low of $15K, a slight deviation from the projection."
- Volume Price Range (VPR) ( Combined yellow and blue bar projection ) was employed to identify Points of Interest (POIs) by connecting reversal bottoms to peaks, then red rectangles were projected on the chart to align with these bottoms, indicating potential reversal zones for BTC.
Both projections (Red Rectangles ) accurately predicted a reversal in this zone, whatever in the recent bearish cycle, the exact reversal point was slightly higher than anticipated
VPR indicators remain a valuable tool for forecasting future price movements and identifying key areas of interest, and have proven to be reliable tools for identifying potential reversal zones.
- Price range (PR) tool ( Parallel channel with a white upward projection arrow ), was applied to projected from the December 2022 bottom until it intersected with the upper band ( Red line ) of the symmetrical channel, a level that historically coincided with cycle peaks.
- Measurement of days between halving events and peaks:
2nd Halving on July 2016 to Peak December 2017 +/- 500 days
3rd Halving on May 2020 to Peak November 2021 +/- 500 days
4th Halving on April 2024 to Peak October 2025 +/- 500 days ➡️ Projection ⬅️
The measurement of days between halving events and peaks for the 2nd and 3rd cycles was approximately 500 days, based on the results of the two previous cycles, we observe a potential temporal pattern and correlation between halving events and price peaks.
This correlation is reinforced by our projection, we forecast the peak of the 4th cycle to be around October 2025, occurring roughly 500 days after the halving (16-17 Months ).
Measurement of days between peaks we started by measuring from the December 2017 peak to the November 2021 peak and found that it took 47 months (approximately 1430 days) to reach a new peak, with a price increase of 250%
We then measured the duration from the latest BTC peak in November 2021 to October 2025 which was the month that coincided with our projection of a new peak.
Remarkably, we discovered that this period was identical to the previous cycle at exactly 47 months.
Intrigued and Astonished, we decided to copy and paste the measurements ( Blue Rectangle ) from the previous cycle and were stunned, the range was exactly the same 47 months and approximately 130 days.
And when we thought nothing could surprise us more, to our further amazement, the price increase was a striking 250% the same as before. This uncanny correlation is truly astonishing. What a heel, what is this?
CONCLUSION
The remarkable accuracy of the December 12, 2022 projection underscores the robustness and reliability of the multifaceted analytical approach employed. Multiple coinciding patterns and consistent correlations have converged to validate the forecast, enhancing its credibility significantly.
Symmetrical Parallel Channel: The use of green and red lines to establish a symmetrical parallel channel accurately anticipated price reversals at the channel boundaries. The consistent directional changes upon reaching these boundaries highlight the channel’s effectiveness in signaling cyclical highs and lows.
Volume Price Range (VPR): [ By identifying Points of Interest (POIs) through the combination of yellow and blue bars, the VPR method successfully pinpointed reversal zones. The alignment of red rectangles with these zones accurately forecasted price reversals, reinforcing the tool’s reliability in predicting key market movements.
Price Range (PR) Tool: The projection of the peak from the hypothetical bottom using the PR tool intersected precisely with the upper band of the symmetrical channel. This intersection historically aligns with cycle peaks, further validating the projection model.
Halving Events and Peak Correlation: The consistent interval of approximately 500 days between halving events and subsequent peaks across multiple cycles reveals a strong temporal pattern. Projecting this correlation forward suggests a peak around October 2025, maintaining the established 16-17 month post-halving window.
Measurement of Days Between Peaks: The identical duration of 47 months (approximately 1430 days) between consecutive peaks, along with a consistent 250% price increase, showcases a compelling cyclical pattern. The replication of these measurements in the current cycle with precise alignment adds to the projection’s accuracy.
The convergence of these diverse analytical methods each independently demonstrating high predictive accuracy creates a compelling case for the projection’s validity. The alignment of historical patterns, consistent temporal correlations, and the successful anticipation of recent market movements collectively inspire strong confidence in the forecast.
Projection: Given the synchronized alignment of these multiple indicators and patterns, it is highly plausible that Bitcoin (BTC) will reach approximately $250K by October 2025. This projection not only aligns with historical trends but also exemplifies the power of comprehensive, multifaceted analysis in accurately forecasting cryptocurrency market movements.
#Bitcoin Cycle analysis Hey guys this is the idea that I talked about in our last video
The goal is not to catch the top but to find confluences based on history to make calculated decisions. The first level has been hit & I honestly think we will be getting some kind of Three Drive pattern this time lets see if do.
If you want to understand deeply thesis behind those levels you can watch the video tagged
5 SPIRALS DUE 11/29 to 12/2 The chart posted is the updatedThe chart posted is my SPIRAL turns focus point it is 11/29 to 12/2 I feel rather strong that the markets are set for the NEXT TIMING TURN I AM RATHER BEARISH As you can see I am labeling the wave count and have NOT changed anything . Best of trades WAVETIMER
BTC Targeting 105K Before Potential Retracement
Hello dear BTC maxis! I hope you are having the time of your life.
This is BTC on the daily time frame, heading to the moon. My humble prediction is that the 127.20% Fib extension level could be a key retracement level and the point where altseason might kick off. This is just a prediction and does not account for any specific trading actions. What we can do for now is enjoy this wonderful BTC run, and when the time comes, we will take action.
Remember, patience is key in this game.
Thank you for reading, and feel free to boost or comment!
#BTC cycle analysis, where will it top? Hey guys i try to share my idea behind this chart in this one
sorry for long rant :)
also at the end video was cut cause of 20 min limit, was just trying to talk about how Pi cycle indicator is significant in past & how it had marked tops in the past, we are nowhere close to it so just few things to keep an eye on
SPX at Great Depression and Dot-Com Crash LevelsCurrent deviation from long term mathematical model at the top of trend only reached twice in the last 100 years; once during the Great Depression and once during the top of the Dot-Com bubble.
Mathematical model = Ratio of Close to smoothed 300 Week SMA (SMA 10 of SMA 10 of SMA 70 Week Close)
The 20 Trading Lessons from Top Traders I have read a lot of trading books since the time I started trading my own account and the one book that really helps me out and “I wish I’ve read this one first” – is Market Wizards Interview with Top Traders by Jack D. Schwager.
Here’s the list that struck me most that I’d like to share:
“Early trading failure is a sign that you are doing something wrong; it is not necessarily a good predictor of ultimate potential failure or success.” – Michael Marcus
“If you don’t stay with your winners, you are not going to be able to pay for the losers.” – Michael Marcus
“Liquidating positions is the way to achieve mental clarity when one is losing money and confused regarding market decisions.” – Michael Marcus
“Being a successful trader also takes courage: the courage to try, the courage to fail, the courage to succeed, and the courage to keep going when the going keeps tough.” – Michael Marcus
“Place your stops at a point that, if reached, will reasonably indicate that the trade is wrong, not at a point determined primarily by the maximum dollar amount you are willing to lose per contract. If the meaningful stop point implies an uncomfortably large loss per contract, trade a smaller number of contracts.” – Bruce Kovner
“The times when you least want to think about trading – the losing periods – are precisely the times when you need to focus most on trading.” – Richard Dennis
“Everybody gets what they want out of the market.” – Ed Seykota
“It is a happy circumstance that when nature gives us true burning desires, it also gives us the means to satisfy them.” – Ed Seykota
“Frankly, I don’t see markets; I see risks, rewards and money.” – Larry HIte
“ I have two basic rules about winning in trading as well as in life: 1. If you don’t bet, you can’t win. 2. If you lose all your chips, you can’t bet” – Larry Hite
“In my judgment, all traders are seekers of truth.” – Michael Steinhardt
“The more disciplined you can get, the better you are going to do in the market. The more you listen to tips and rumors, the more money you’re likely to lose.” – David Ryan
“When the market gets good news and goes down, it means the market is very weak; when it gets bad news and goes up, it means the market is healthy.” – Marty Schwartz
“Learn to take losses. The most important thing in making money is not letting your losses get out of hand. Also, don’t increase your position size until you have doubled or tripled your capital. Most people make the mistake of increasing their bets as soon as they start making money. That is a quick way to get wiped out.” – Marty Schwartz
“The best traders are the most humble.” – Mark Weinstein
“You have to learn how to lose; it is more important than learning how to win.” – Mark Weinstein
“Most traders who fail have large egos and can’t admit that they are wrong. Even those who are willing to admit that they are wrong early in their career can’t admit it later on. Also, some traders fail because they are too worried about losing.” – Brian Gelber
“You are never really confident in this business, because you can always be wiped out pretty quickly. The way I trade is: Live by the sword, die by the sword. There is always the potential that I could get caught with the big position in a fluke move with the market going the limit against me. On the other hand, there is no doubt in my mind that I could walk into any market in the world and make money.” – Tom Baldwin
“Clear thinking, ability to stay focused, and extreme discipline. Discipline is number one: Take a theory and stick with it. But you have to be open-minded enough to switch tracks if you feel that your theory has been proven wrong. You have to be able to say, my method worked for this type of market, but we are not in that type of market anymore.” – Tony Saliba
“ How do you judge success? I don’t know. All I know is that all the money in the world isn’t the answer.” Tony Saliba
There’s still a lot of golden information that I want to write in here – for ourselves and for everyday reading so as to keep us aligned with our trading goal, but I prefer to encourage you to read the book.
Identifying Key Support and Resistance Levels: Beginner’s GuideWelcome to the market’s game of zig-zag. On the one side, we’ve got the bulls pulling prices up (doing the zigging), and on the other, the bears dragging them down (doing the zagging). Somewhere in there lies a delicate balance—where prices pause, reverse, or break through. These are support and resistance levels, and if you want to play in the big league and run shoulders with big sho(r)ts, you need to know how to spot them. Let’s dive in.
Support and Resistance: The Basics
Imagine the market as a ping-pong ball bouncing between two invisible walls. These invisible walls are called support and resistance . The floor is support—where buyers step in to catch the fall. The ceiling? That’s resistance, where sellers say, “Not so fast,” and push the price back down. Your job? Figure out where these walls are and use them to your advantage.
Support is the price level where a downtrend could pause due to strong enough demand, or buying momentum. Think of it as a safety net—a level where the price stops its freefall, cushioned by determined buyers.
Resistance is the opposite. It’s the price level where an uptrend might stall because sellers step in, seeing the price as overbought. It’s the market’s ceiling, and breaking through it can be tough.
How to Spot Support and Resistance
Here’s the good news: spotting these levels is easier than you think. Start by zooming out on your chart and identifying where price reversals have occurred. Where has the market consistently bounced up from? That’s your support. Where has it been smacked down? That’s your resistance.
That’s also when everyone becomes a chartist and technical analyst—draw horizontal lines at these levels. And boom, you’ve just identified key support and resistance zones. But there’s more to it than just connecting the dots.
Horizontal Levels: The Classics
The classic way to identify support and resistance is to look for horizontal levels. These are price levels where the market has historically reversed multiple times. If the price has bounced off $50 three times, you’ve got yourself a solid support level. Likewise, if $75 has been a brick wall for the price, it’s a clear resistance level.
Trendlines: The Dynamic Duo
Horizontal lines are great, but what if the market’s trending? That’s where trendlines come in. Draw a line connecting the higher lows in an uptrend or the lower highs in a downtrend. These lines can act as moving support or resistance levels. They’re not just lines—they’re the market’s roadmap. Want to get things even more heated up? Look for channels by identifying the higher lows in the uptrend coupled with the higher highs. Apply the same but in reverse for downtrending markets—lower highs and lower lows is what makes up a channel.
The Role of Volume
Here’s where it gets a little spicy. You have to add volume in the mix. When you see a support or resistance level holding up with high volume, it’s like getting a thumbs-up from the market. If the price breaks through a level with high volume, it’s more likely to keep moving in that direction. Low volume? Don’t get too excited—it could be a fake-out.
Psychological Levels: The Round Numbers Game
Ever noticed how prices tend to stall at round numbers? That’s no accident. Humans love round numbers and the market is no different. Levels like $100, $1,000, or even $100,000 (did someone say Bitcoin BTC/USD ?) often act as psychological support or resistance. It’s not science—it’s market psychology.
How to Trade Support and Resistance
Now that you know where the walls are, or inflection points, let’s talk strategy. Trading support and resistance isn’t about guessing where the market will go—it’s about stacking the odds in your favor.
Buying at Support (DYOR, tho) : When the price pulls back to a support level, it’s a prime buying opportunity. Just remember, you’re not the only one watching this level—fellow retail traders, professional money spinners and lots of algorithms are trained to chase trends. Use additional confirmation, like a bunch of indicators stacked together , before you pull the trigger.
Selling at Resistance (DYOR, tho) : If the price rallies to a known resistance level, it’s time to think about selling. Again, wait for some confirmation—a rejection, bearish pattern, or a volume spike—to avoid getting caught in a breakout.
Breakout Trades (DYOR, tho) : If a price breaks through support or resistance with conviction (read: strong volume), it often leads to significant moves. You can trade these breakouts, but be cautious of false breakouts. Nobody likes getting trapped.
Final Thoughts
Support and resistance levels are like the market’s heartbeat. They reveal where the big players are making their moves and where the action is likely to heat up. Whether you’re looking to jump in or bail out, these levels are your go-to guide. So, the next time you’re analyzing a chart, remember—those lines aren’t just random. They’re the market’s battle lines, and now, you’ve got the intel to trade them.
Let’s wrap this up with some inspiration from legendary trend follower Paul Tudor Jones:
“I believe the very best money is made at the market turns. Everyone says you get killed trying to pick tops and bottoms and you make all your money by playing the trend in the middle. Well for twelve years I have been missing the meat in the middle but I have made a lot of money at tops and bottoms.”
Do you trade with support and resistance levels? Let us know your thoughts in the comment section!
Crowdstrike May Signal Stock Market Top But Crypto Trump Pump!Traders,
I tried very hard to upload a video to the TV platform today but was unsuccessful. It may be that TV is also affected in some ways by the Crowdstrike update, I don't know? Needless to say, my video will not be shown here and due to house rules I am unable to say where you might find it or if it is even available. So, in keeping with those rules, I will only give the written preview of what the video will be when/if I can eventually upload to Tradingview. Sorry for the inconvenience. Here is my prelude to the video that I made for this post.
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To help us understand the broad, over-arching view and where our economy may be headed, both in the U.S. and abroad, we must sometimes tackle some subject matter that appears to be political on the surface and makes some people rather uncomfortable. But if we are going to be accurate traders, then we also need to be honest. Being honest involves setting aside our political dogma and preferences and viewing current events with as little bias as possible. Removing bias involves removing emotion. Let's attempt to do that today as I dive in with a closer inspection of the Crowdstrike-caused Microsoft BSoD outage and discuss Trump's recent assassination attempt. We are going to cover how each of these recent events has impacted the stock market and our crypto space. If this subject matter makes you uncomfortable, you may want to skip this video. I'm cutting straight to the chase here and I'll explain why it matters. You see, I learned the hard way a long time ago that if you want to make money in this market then you have to understand what the world rulers are up to and what their end game might be. It's often uncomfortable to explore motives here because they appear to be so uncompassionate, calloused, and uncaring, but we must put them on the table as options at least if we are going to determine market direction and become the best traders that we can be. Following the money and potential motives of the deep state(s) can help us win. This is what we'll do a bit of in today's video. Enjoy.