short week?My TA isn't the best considering im still fairly new to the trading world. But from what im picking up on the s&p are bearish signals. considering the fact that the market has literally been being pumped and printing money all year since march, cases on the rise, undecided president still, trump won't leave the chair without a fight, well, i could go on. but from a technical point i see 3200 easily, under that could get very dangerous. but from a bullish perspective we could have a rally into the end of the year to 3700. but that would only cause for a harder crash imo. but opportunity is opportunity..... please share your thoughts!!!!
TOP
The Real Gold Price Highs, Inflation-Adjusted
On this chart, I increased, corrected the historical gold price with the US consumer price index (CPIAUCSL/260.33). Calculating the value of the past gold prices on the actual price level. (Inflation-adjusted gold price.)
The result is, the 2011 all-time high in the gold price, by approximately 1,911 USD, is 2,204 USD worth on the actual price level, today. And the January 1980 highs, near $900 is $2,912 worth in today’s dollars!
Of course, that means nothing for the future, doesn’t guarantee any further price movements. But, if we take into account the difference between the present and future value of money, it shows that the price of gold has not actually reached a new peak this year. (Although, there are many arguments why this should happen. And the opposite, too.) The actual level of cold seems to be less scary to me.
EUR/USD Double TopEUR/USD formed a double top on the 4H chart, signalling a downward move in the foreseeable future.
The most conservative target would be Support 1, with a R/R around one. Consider exiting part of the position around that area, since we might fall toward Support 2 if USD keeps gaining ground.
NDX - Top? A/B/C Next? Please correct me if I'm wrong.No matter how I look at Nasdaq, it looks to be at the top of an up wave and due for a correction.
EWave/Trend says we should be about done with wave 5 and due for a correction.
2008-2020 trend up is already broken (to the upside).
Spike in RSI and MACD cross also look bearish to me.
Add in macro economic conditions and well, I want to see the bull, but I keep getting mauled by the bear.
Please help me ObiWan, I cannot understand the force that is driving Nasdaq! Inject me with hopium!
*NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE - NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR*
INOV, Broadening Top (bearish)I found this pattern at tickeron website with the following data:
STATUS = Confirmed
CURRENT CONFIDENCE = 71%
TARGET (EXIT) PRICE = 18.49 USD
BREAKOUT (ENTRY) PRICE = 19.51 USD
DISTANCE TO TARGET PRICE = 4.45%
EMERGED ON = Nov 09, 07:00 AM (EST)
CONFIRMED ON = Nov 10, 10:11 AM (EST)
WITH CONFIDENCE LEVEL = 78%
The Broadening Top pattern forms when a security price makes higher highs (1, 3, 5) and lower lows (2, 4) following two widening trend lines. The price is expected to move up or down past the pattern depending on which line is broken first. What distinguishes a Broadening Top from a Broadening Bottom is that the price of the security is rising prior to entering the pattern formation.
This type of formation happens when volatility is high or increasing, and when a security’s price is moving with high volatility but little or no direction. It indicates growing investor nervousness and indecisiveness.
Trade idea
If the price breaks out from the bottom pattern boundary, day traders and swing traders should trade with a DOWN trend. Consider selling the security short or buying a put option at the downward breakout price level. To identify an exit, compute the target price by subtracting the pattern height from breakout point. The pattern height is difference between the pattern’s highest high and its lowest low.
To limit potential loss when price suddenly goes in the wrong direction, consider placing a stop order to buy back a short position or sell a put option at or above the breakout price.
BTC Long-Term CorrectionHi everyone.
I've been considering this idea for some time now on BTC and thinking that this probably will be a much more major correction than many expect.
Currently, there still isn't any real reason for BTC to be heading on another bull run. There is widespread economic instability and mounting government debt world-wide, increasing unemployment rates and many of these jobs simply will not return. There simply is no new money to fuel this kind of a run up for BTC.
Covid-19 is not the underlying cause of the poor shape of the global economy, but it was more than likely the catalyst that finally set it into the turbulent motion we will experience for some years to come.
I think that in a "best case scenario" for BTC, it could be making a very large contracting triangle. Depending on how much the global economy suffers over the coming years, the price of BTC could behave FAR worse than this. BTC could find itself in corrective mode for nearly the entirety of this decade before breaking out of this trend for more upside - if this idea plays out.
Markets like the S&P are ripe for a crash any day now, and with Covid-19 rearing its head for another round and the US presidential election about to commence - I believe we are about to see a MASSIVE crash market-wide.
The waves I've superimposed are just for ideas - I doubt that it will behave like this overall, but I expect the timing to be potentially accurate. How it is drawn here is my best guess - however, Wave-E could take much more time than I have here, but shouldn't last longer than the green box.
RSI (bottom indicator) has been screaming top for a while now, and several other indicators tend to support this.
Let me know your thoughts on this, I just don't see a bull run any time soon.
Good luck... not trading advice, just my thoughts.
$SAP #SAP ... all hands on deck! Support area is 89 -79 USDHi and welcome to my analysis on SAP (NYSE, USD).
Yes, we had some news from the software provider that attracted sellers. Trading in Germany on XETRA is closed and no prisoners were taken...
In my first chart you can see a broadening top in the stock. SAP was not able to activate this formation to the upside in September...the upper trendline produced heavy resistance and forced a minor reversal...
In combination with a bearish engulfing pattern as per end of September...
...and last week's break below the KAMA21 the stage was set for a downturn...
The lower megaphone supportline is at 89 USD...this is a target if the bears remain in control.
POC (2016 to date) is showing the point of control around 79 USD.
Would be nice if you support me with a thumbs up and follow me...
Best,
Tom Jansen
Chief Investor-Guard
© Copyright TA Investor-Guard 2020. Charts powered by TradingView. All rights reserved.
The information provided here is of a general nature and not legal, tax or investment advice.
EIDX, Broadening Top (bullish) I found this pattern at tickeron website with the following data:
STATUS = Confirmed
CURRENT CONFIDENCE = 77%
TARGET (EXIT) PRICE = 77.06 USD
BREAKOUT (ENTRY) PRICE = 75.17 USD
DISTANCE TO TARGET PRICE = 2.53%
EMERGED ON = Oct 07, 12:00 PM (EDT)
CONFIRMED ON = Oct 07, 12:12 PM (EDT)
WITH CONFIDENCE LEVEL = 87%
Once the price breaks out from the top pattern boundary, day traders and swing traders should trade with an UP trend. Consider buying a security or a call option at the upward breakout price/entry point. To identify an exit, compute the target price by adding the pattern height (H on the chart) to the breakout price. The pattern height is the difference between the pattern’s highest high and its lowest low.
To limit potential loss when the price suddenly goes in the wrong direction, consider placing a stop order to sell at or below the breakout price.
The Broadening Top pattern forms when the price of a security progressively makes higher highs (1, 3) and lower lows (2, 4) following two widening trend lines. The price is expected to move up or down past the pattern depending on which line is broken first. What distinguishes a Broadening Top from a Broadening Bottom is that the price of the security is rising prior to entering the pattern formation.
This type of formation happens when volatility is high or increasing, and when a security’s price is moving with high volatility but with little or no direction. It can potentially indicate growing investor nervousness and indecisiveness.
Im going to call UPS as a short right now.Calling it folks. in puts now @170.. UPS cannot go much higher than this.
Oil prices @ all time lows.
No more stimulus checks,,
When oil prices go back up @ all the mailman using so much gas
& Now without the stimulus check coming, People will be buying & Sending less packages.
Peace.! Ups will be another good buy when it dips to a low 100-120 area again. till then i wouldnt touch this