A Case Study: 5t Altcoin MarketGood evening lads,
I've been working on this chart for a little while, and as much as I believe it's not done yet, I wanted to share it with you guys.
Maybe you can spot something that I haven't yet and it'll allow me to adjust it.
I believe this next move up will impress a lot of people, and we might see a 5t alts market within the next year.
Fingers crossed cause this would bring a lot of profits!
Trade thirsty, my friends!
Top100
N1We had some good trades.
WEEKLY
We've pulled back and had some interesting price developments. Moving towards more of the structure we see and prefer price to get to.
DAILY
We had an evening star at the top of this correction structure which is what gave us more evidence to move towards the downside. The pullback is giving us a different story and we need to take what the price is giving us in order to plan the next move.
4H
We've had multi touches within our correction and we had a very strong doji where price tested but could not break.
1H
Stay waiting.
N1We had quite a few trades in the past week, but we were either too early so we taken out or in too late so we took short profits.
WEEKLY
March we had the peak of price, first time in it's history (18400). When we look left, whenever price peaks it drops for quite a bit before it goes back up. So we can assume we might see 16000 again.
DAILY
We just have an ascending channel within a bullish trend so we can assume that the overall demand is up. The DXY will give us more clues as to what can happen, American countries as well need to be monitored for new IPO's and their financial year results to get more information. This will add to our portfolio of evidence. We can see we are in the correction phase, but because it's so deep we can expect it to go further down for quite some time.
4H
In the bigger correction, we're in a smaller correction. So the assumption is that price is going down. We are not children of the market so the assumption is just that, an assumption not the forecast. We still need more candlestick confirmation and pattern formation before making a final forecast. 17600, is an area of interest as this is where price will do something unless it breaks right through.
1H
We are struggling to break 17800, so we know that it is a strong resistance level. NFP being this week does not mean that we have to trade, it means we need to make informed decisions based on news and reports.
NAS100We were triggered and stopped out but we did fair.
DAILY
Kept falling and dragging down and tested around the support level, 17070 around here. We have a test candle which shows that our test level was correct.
4H
Price is testing again (in correction) so we stay waiting and watching for either the break (impulsively) or the reversal impulsively. This is where we will get more information to lay forward our case.
1H
Reject before 17500 is where we would believe that our correction has ended, break through here means we wait even more.
N1DAILY
We still in a bull trend but in the corrective phase of the bull trend. 16900 area is where we want to see action. The last support as all others are broken right through. We formed an expanding wedge going up and was broken, the retest here will let us know it's fate.
4H
We formed a "flatish" flag, which is the correction of the current trend (bearish). Broke it and we are correcting once again, so we should anticipate the completion of the correction to come with an impulse. My idea has it collapsing further to 16965, around here we'll gain momentum.
1H
A mentor of mine says trade the market ugly. Ugly is definitely is all I see. Waiting for the impulse candle to kick in and drive the supply.
N1DAILY
Just watch, the current sideways movement has me in a daze, previous similar price dropped and melted.
4H
Let it move more before any judgements. Rejection of price from 18200 and candles direct us to look for sells.
1H
17900, our target price. Just waiting for entry prerequisites.
15Min
The impulsive bear candle just gave us the first confirmation wait for 2 more before even attempting to enter.
N1DAILY
Mid trend, so stay the fxxk away
4H
Impulsive bearish candlestick currently forming, which will keep the drive going down to find support. 18000 will give us a point of interest for price, where we will look for patterns before using candles for confirmation.
1H
Current candle is bearishly engulfing and giving more signs of bears killing momentum of the bears.
15Min
18050 we'll wait for this touch.
N1DAILY
Stay watching
4H
Bearish channel in a bullish trend. So we wait for the touch of 17900 or 18500.
1H
Impulsive bull candle, then a slow down (the consolidation / accumulation), now we heading back up so we can put a Buy Stop.
15Min
First wait for the break of 18150 and the retest before entering this trade. Do not take it on the break, rather wait for better confirmation
N1DAILY
Still following the channel and building it further. Currently 17949, which is giving us more confirmation to the direction we are anticipating.
4H
The little reversal candles don't give us enough information to go in any direction.
1H
17865 had a double bounce here, which had long wick touches to show rejection.
15Min
It's bottoming out and price is squeezing so during NFP we definitely will have lots of volatility to the direction where the demand is the highest.
N1DAILY
18346, is our beautiful price of interest. We peak above and just below it. There it is a point where we will determine our next move. 18000, being the bounce price and now we are heading to our price of interest. We are anticipating a high yield tomorrow but we are not certain it won't fake out few times before the certain direction.
4H
Double bottom and finally price has brought itself up to where the previous strong impulsive candle started, 18255. Which shows just how strong the bears pushed the bulls over the hill. Stay watching and waiting.
1H
High highs and high lows but now we get around 18250 and we slow down again (resistance), we possibly could just melt again here before coming back up. Candles as well have short bodies and short wicks, indicating a high reversal chance.
-Nas consolidation does not usually last long because there is volumes of volatility always.
15Min
Break of 18210, I will look for sell opportunities
N1WEEKLY
Highest high, peak, top price. 18467, we bouncing around these areas and that is indication of more bulls to come. For now it's first a matter of getting momentum to go.
DAILY
18300 being the strong level of rejection with wicks all over the place is signs of reversals we would anticipate them going down and falling hard.
4H
Aiming down, possibly to 17900. But it's not conclusive as all the slowing down (wicks, spinning tops, dojis) all show reversals of current price and rejection so we'll wait.
1H
Bounce of 18180 will give us the idea we need for the next move.
15Min
Bad trade idea so rather stay waiting
N1Good thing we were patient and stayed out.
Following the previous post, I had not set out an idea. This was just placed and not taken.
Now we have a better idea as to where and what to do:
We waiting for the retest on the rectangle and confirmation of bull movement before we set out our buy stops and market entries to go with the bull run.
N1Sum of the averages within the blue boxes and that is still what I am seeing. I had a great long last week but was taken out by the SL in profit, yet it went the full direction of the forecast.
We seeing a flag forming that is slightly bearish, which would allow us to place buy stops just above and a SL below the flag low, but this is the high price Nas has ever hit. So from my own observation and backtesting, before it goes through a high again. It will drop and gain momentum and spend 3-5 days pushing further up or collapsing before finally going in the obvious direction you had set out.
Trade Idea : NONE sit your ass in that chair and stay patient
US100Analysis is off, but forecast was right.
Here we are learning and doing better each day. Had I opened up my laptop yesterday, I would have possibly seen an opportunity to enter the bull run.
That's the lesson we learn as being managers of funds.
Break of 16640 will be where we start looking for more opportunities.
NAS100Bounced off 16200, which was last a support in DEC 2023 and a resistance (High) in NOV 2023. Therefore level of significance
4H
* Bullish engulfing candle of the low
- doji followed and a possible hanging man
- dive deeper for more info
1H
* Bounce 3 times at 16425 : which usually is the beginning of an expected breakout
- there's a potential 4th touch
- next directional move will determine our stance
- close above 16250, could be a change in direction
- close below 16200 with a rejection (new high) of this level will be continuation to the downside.
15Min
* compact candles, from impulsive break.
- will impulsively open
Verdict
- The possible trade there is highly risky, bad RR and just placed with no expectation
- WILL NOT BE TAKING THE TRADE
- Waiting for better information on the market
NAS100There isn't much I can say or do.
This is a missed trade from my eyes, it followed what my alternate view from US30 showed. It just happened earlier.
Right now any trades I can get from here will not be the most optimum RR but will still be worth the risk just probably not scalp traders.
It is heading for 16600
* 3 touches up, 3 touches down. In the channel its been in
* It broke the channel and retested
* continued downwards
* rejected 16865 (Showing the direct, downwards)
* wait for opening to get last confluence before looking for sell entries
TP1 = 16760
TP2 = 16680
TP3 = 16600
Nas100Just an update into the "trade" if we had taken it. It is an okay trade a 5/10 according to my trading plan. This is still good for those scalpers looking for quick trades with quick bucks.
We just broke the high but not by much, which means there are sellers trying to regain from the close of last week. If you had taken this trade move SL to either BE or just enough in line with your trading plan.
US100This has to be my favourite trade of the week, missing TP by just a few pips but its good because we do not donate to the market so SL should have either been at breakeven (but that would have taken you out very early as the entry level was tested more than 4 times.
No we see the pull all the way down and we wait and watch in order to get more information of our next move.