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Topdownanalysis

Will EURUSD Reverse or Continue Its Bearish Cycle?OANDA:EURUSD Multi-Timeframe Analysis (Weekly & 4H) After conducting a top-down analysis, we observed the price trading below the 9, 21, 50, and 200 SMAs on the 4H chart, confirming a bearish trend. Currently, the price is stalling and consolidating within a bearish flag pattern, signaling a potential continuation. However, just below this flag, we have a strong weekly support zone and a pivotal point, serving as a solid floor to halt further decline. We believe the price is likely to reverse from this area. Around this zone, we recommend validating the reversal with chart patterns to enhance probability, potential profits, and setup accuracy. Once confirmed, a bullish reversal could be triggered, aiming for our price target of 1.08100. Bearish Scenario: If the price continues its bearish momentum and breaks below the golden support zone, the next targets are: • Weekly Support: 1.03760 • Ultimate Weekly Support: 1.02540 Key Levels to Watch: • Price Target: 1.08100 • Strong Weekly Support: 1.04980 • Weekly Support Zone • Weekly Support: 1.03760 • Weekly Ultimate Support: 1.02540 Always follow your risk management plan for consistent success. Good luck and happy trading! 🚀
Long
by SpicyPips
1
EUR/USD Trade Setup – 1 Hour TimeframeMessy Price Action 🤕🤧 On the 1-hour timeframe, EUR/USD has formed a supply zone around the 1.11600 price area, and the price is currently pulling back to that level. Meanwhile, the DXY (US Dollar Index) is tapping into a demand level on the daily timeframe. I’ve also noticed the price slowing down at a minor resistance level, but I’ll wait for a pullback to the supply zone for a more effective entry. Minor support and resistance levels are generally less reliable. Note: There are two types of Support and Resistance Levels 1. Major Support and Resistance Levels: These levels have the strength to stop and reverse a trending market altogether. They are key turning points in the market. 2. Minor Support and Resistance Levels: These levels only temporarily delay rising or falling prices within a larger trend. They provide short-term pauses but are generally less impactful..
Short
by OfficialUBKFX
USDJPY - Top Down AnalysisStarting with the weekly timeframe, there's some quite noticable bearish Divergence with price action and RSI leading me to believe prices may continue further south. Let's take a look at the daily timeframe. On the daily timeframe, I have 2 bearish targets but first I need to see a bit of a pullback towards the descending level of resistance. Reason I'm looking for a bullish pullback is because RSI is currently in the oversold territory. We also have a BOJ interest rate decision this evening at 11:00pm EST. Let's take a closer look at the 4 hour timeframe On the 4 hr timeframe I'm waiting for a breakout of the current consolidating range. I'm hoping for a bullish breakout which will lead into my AOI (area of interest) to look for a shorting opportunity. Lastly let's take a look at the 1 hour. On the 1 hour timeframe, it's easier to see how much room to the upside I'm waiting for. If we reach the descending level of resistance, I'll monitor the bullish momentum to ensure I'm not entering a short when bulls are strong. For that reason I have an alert set in place and now all I need to do is wait! That's it - That's all Trade Safe
Short
by Michael_Harding
Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 8 - EURUSD - (29th May 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions. A couple of things to note: - I cannot see news events. - I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range. - I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks In this session I will be analyzing EURUSD, starting from the Monthly chart. - R2F
Education
by Road_2_Funded
2
Top-5 tips for Top-Down Multiple Time Frame Analysis Trading I am trading multiple time frame analysis for many years. After reviewing trading ideas from various traders on Tradingview, I noticed that many traders are applying that incorrectly In this article, I will share with you 5 essential tips , that will help you improve your multiple time frame analysis and top-down trading. The Order of Analysis Matters Multiple time frame analysis is also called top-down analysis for a reason. When you trade with that, you should strictly start your analysis with higher time frames and then dive lower, investigating shorter-term time frames. Unfortunately, most of the traders do the opposite. They start from a lower time frame and finish on a higher one. Above are 3 time frames of EURGBP pair: daily, 4h, 1h. To execute multiple time frames analysis properly, start with a daily, then check a 4h and only then the hourly time frame. Limit the Number of Time Frames Executing multiple time frame analysis, many traders analyse a lot of time frames. They may start from a weekly and finish on 5 minute time frame, going through 5-8 time frames. Remember that is it completely wrong. For execution of a multiple time frame analysis, it is more than enough to analyse 3 or even 2 time frames. Adding more time frames will overwhelm your analysis and make it too complex. Analyse Particular Time Frames Your multiple time frame analysis should be consistent and rule-based. It means that you should strictly define the time frames that you analyse. For example, for day trading, my main trading time frames are daily, 4h, 1h. I consistently analyse ONLY these trading time frames and I look for day trades only analysing this combination of time frames. Higher is the time frame, stronger the signal in provides Trading with multiple time frame analysis, very often you will encounter controversial signals: you may see a very bullish pattern on a daily and a very bearish confirmation on 30 minutes time frame. Always remember that the higher time frames confirmations are always stronger, and their accuracy is probability is always higher. Above there are 2 patterns: a head and shoulders pattern on a daily time frame with a confirmed neckline breakout, and an inverted head and shoulders pattern on a 4h time frame with a confirmed neckline breakout. 2 patterns give 2 controversial signals: the pattern on a daily is very bullish and the pattern on a 4h is very bearish. The signal on a daily time frame will be always stronger , so it is reasonable to be on a bearish side here. You can see that the price dropped after a retest of a neckline of a head and shoulders on a daily, completely neglecting a bullish pattern on a 4H. Each Time Frame Should Have Its Purpose You should analyse any particular time frame for a reason. You should know exactly what you are looking for there and what is the purpose of your analysis. For example, for day trading, I analyse 3 time frames. On a daily, I analyse the market trend and key levels. On a 4H time frame, I analyse candlesticks. On an hourly time frame, I look for a price action pattern as a confirmation. On GBPAUD on a daily, I see a test of a key horizontal resistance. On a 4H time frame, the price formed a doji candle. On an hourly, I spotted a double top, giving me a bearish confirmation. These trading tips will increase the accuracy of your multiple time frame analysis. Study them carefully and adopt them in your trading. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
4
Top-Down Analysis (The CORRECT Approach!)In this video I go through how to effectively do a top-down analysis, and avoid common mistakes. This can apply to any type of trading methodology, but here the focus will be on ICT’s liquidity and inefficiency concepts. This topic is important to traders who are keen on improving their win-rate and catching those higher RR trades. Whilst those things don’t define a successful trader, only consistent profitability and sound risk management do, I believe an effective top-down approach to framing trades is a worthwhile endeavor. Better trade setups give you less stress, more profits, and more freedom of time. What is a "top-down analysis"? It is basically doing your analysis on a higher timeframe to get in line with where you or your strategy is showing price is likely moving to, then on a lower timeframe to wait for your trade setup to form, and then either entering on that timeframe or going to an even lower timeframe for an entry signal. For example, if the weekly chart is bearish, and you see a bullish candle on the hourly chart, you may be fooled into trading in the wrong direction. For the highest probability, you need to be in sync with the higher timeframe. My approach is split into 3 parts: 1. I have my BIAS which is built on the monthly, weekly, and daily timeframe. This helps me determine the direction I want to trade in. If my analysis is bullish, I want to look for longs, and vice versa for shorts. 2. Then I have my NARRATIVE, aka my ‘story’ of how my setup may form on a lower timeframe, usually the 1-4h timeframe. For example, I may be looking for a specific pool of liquidity to be swept at a certain time of the day. 3. Thirdly, I have my CONFIRMATION, which is usually based on the 5-15m timeframe. I hope you found this video insightful and that it helps enhance your trading. If you need clarification about the content, or you are still struggling with finding your groove as a trader and need personal guidance or mentorship, feel free to reach out to me via TradingView’s private message or on X (formerly known as Twitter). Til next time, happy trading. - R2F
Education
by Road_2_Funded
AUDCAD Long - Multiple Time Frame AnalysisMonthly Time Frame Price made a bearish push until it closed as a doji candlestick found support at the weekly demand zone then made a bullish push After the bullish push price met resistance at a weekly supply zone ultimately forming a high. Price then began to sell off (retrace). Weekly Time Frame Price met resistance, formed a double top, and closed as a doji followed by a bearish engulfing signaling a selloff. During the sell-off (retracement) price found support at the 61.8 fib level and closed as doji candle stick signaling a potential reversal. 4Hour Time Frame I am anticipating price forming a double bottom as a candlestick reversal pattern. I am expecting a bullish push to 0.895
Long
by NoCeilingsTrading
Best Trading Confirmation. Learn 95% Accurate Entry Signal I have analyzed 1300 forecasts and signals that I shared on TradingView last year and found 95% accurate trading confirmation. In this article, we will discuss multiple types of confirmations and their winning rate on Forex, Gold, Indexes, Crypto & Commodities. First, let me introduce you to the types of analysis that I provided. 1 - Structure based forecast I have shared more than 55 trading setup with key levels analysis: Where the price is approaching a key daily horizontal support and resistance. Here is the example of such a post. Test of a key horizontal or vertical support/resistance turned out to be a poor trading signal. Total accuracy of structure based forecasts is 38% . Please, note that if we consider the market trend in our calculations, the trend-following structure based setup will be 42% accurate, while a performance of a counter trend setup drops to 35% 2 - Structure breakout based forecast I analyzed and posted 73 posts with a key structure breakout as a confirmation on a daily. Above is the example of a such a forecast. Key levels breakout turned out to be a strong bullish or bearish confirmation with 59% accuracy. Trend direction did not affect the efficiency of a key structure breakout that much, with a 60% accuracy of a trend following setup versus 57% of counter trend. 3 - Structure based forecast with a single intraday confirmation I shared more than 500 setups with a test of a key structure on a daily and a single price action based bullish or bearish confirmation on a 4h/1h time frame. My intraday confirmation is a formation of a price action pattern with a consequent breakout of its neckline/trend line in the projected direction. Please, check the example of such a signal. Just a single intraday confirmation dramatically increases the accuracy of a structure based setup. Average winning rate is 66%. 4 - Structure based forecast with multiple intraday confirmations I spotted and posted 200+ forecasts with a test of a key structure on a daily and multiple price action based bullish or bearish confirmations on a 4h/1h time frame. Multiple confirmations imply the formation of multiple price action patterns on 4/1h t.f. Here is the example of such a setup on EURGBP. Two or more confirmations on a key structure increase the average winning rate to 72%. Among multiple confirmations, I found a 95% accurate bearish signal: The market should be in a bearish trend. The price should test a key daily structure resistance. The market should form a rising wedge pattern on a 4h/1h time frames and the highs of the wedge should strictly test the key structure and should not violate them. After a test of structure, the price should form a bearish price action pattern on the highs of the wedge. Above is a setup with the best trading confirmation. A bearish breakout of the neckline of the pattern and a support of the wedge was a 95% accurate trading signal this year. Of course, there are various confirmations, depending on a trading style. The ones that I shared with you are structure/price action based. And I am truly impressed by their accuracy. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
1
BTCUSD - Daily + Weekly ViewFirst thing I notice when looking at the daily chart, is the divergence with RSI and price action. Then I can also see we had a breakout below the ascending support. Now when I take a look at the weekly chart, this is what I see. The weekly timeframe definitely shows that the bullish momentum has stalled out. Indications of that include; RSI held below 70 along with a relatively strong bearish rejection candle. This leaves me to now believe there is a chance of a correction perhaps down towards the 37k handle as pointed out on the chart. For all of the above mentioned reasons, it doesn't make sense for me to hold my long positions and I'm looking for shorting opportunities. That's it - That's all Trade Safe
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Michael_Harding