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Topdownanalysis

GU-Wed-11/06/25 TDA-All eyes on US CPI release in NY session!Analysis done directly on the chart Follow for more, possible live trades update! Here's a brief definition of CPI copied directly from Fxstreet.com: Link: www.fxstreet.com Inflationary or deflationary tendencies are measured by periodically summing the prices of a basket of representative goods and services and presenting the data as The Consumer Price Index (CPI). CPI data is compiled on a monthly basis and released by the US Department of Labor Statistics. The YoY reading compares the prices of goods in the reference month to the same month a year earlier. The CPI is a key indicator to measure inflation and changes in purchasing trends. Generally speaking, a high reading is seen as bullish for the US Dollar (USD), while a low reading is seen as bearish. Active in London session! Not financial advice, DYOR. Market Flow Strategy Mister Y
by Mister_Y
GU-Tue-10/06/25 TDA-Will supports hold or GU breaking down?Analysis done directly on the chart Follow for more, possible live trades update! Qualitative over quantitative trades, if I don't see good volume, efficient moves with less and less drawdown I don't mind not taking any trades even for days if it's necessary. When you control the urge of having necessarily take trades everyday your psychology will level up a lot. I take profits based on what the market conditions offer me and not sticking to always have to set necessarily 1:2 RR or whatever. It all depends on how market is doing. That's something we can't control. Active in London session! Not financial advice, DYOR. Market Flow Strategy Mister Y
by Mister_Y
GJ-Tue-10/06/25 TDA-Claimant count change negative, GJ down!Analysis done directly on the chart Follow for more, possible live trades update! To understand if you are really for the long term trading your mindset should not be if I make losses I can always fund another account again or buy new challenges but it shifts to how can I protect my capital so I will lose less and in the future avoiding to make same mistakes? Active in London session! Not financial advice, DYOR. Market Flow Strategy Mister Y
Short
by Mister_Y
EUR/AUD - Multi Time Frame Analysis 📆 Weekly Time Frame – Big Picture Bias: Bullish Price has just completed a textbook Wave (4) correction and is setting up for a Wave (5) extension. Pullback respected the long-term trendline and institutional demand zone. The 71% Fibonacci retracement held perfectly, showing deeper correction but still in trend structure. Expectation: Wave (5) toward 1.85 – 1.90, riding momentum from previous wave strength. 📉 Daily Time Frame – Setup in Motion Clean (1)-(2)-(3)-(4) structure with recent bounce initiating Wave (5). Volume builds on Wave (4) low — signs of accumulation. Price bounced off the cloud and 200 EMA, holding bullish structure. Last correction (Wave (4)) took the form of a bull flag / wedge, and has now broken to the upside. Targeting the upper channel zone and major resistance levels toward 1.87–1.88. ⏱ 4H Time Frame – Precision Entry Zone Current action shows price completing a minor abcde correction inside Wave (4). Bounce is happening off a 71% fib zone with volume starting to rise — classic entry trigger zone. Structure is forming higher lows, and price is reclaiming the cloud, signaling strength. You can see momentum shifting as buyers defend the 1.6280–1.6330 range. 📌 High Probability Trade Setup: Entry: 1.6300 – 1.6340 Stop Loss: 1.6150 (beneath Wave (4) low) Take Profit: 1.7500 – 1.7700 (Wave (5) extension) Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:3+ ✅ Summary: Trend: Bullish continuation Wave Structure: Weekly Wave (5) just starting Entry Catalyst: 4H wedge breakout from Wave (4) Confluence: 71% Fib + Cloud + Trendline + Volume rise Conviction: 🔥🔥🔥 (Very High Probability) This is a multi-timeframe aligned swing opportunity — ideal for holding through to Wave (5) completion with precision risk control.
Long
by jamesibartram
Not Every Candle Needs a Reaction — I Know I’ve GrownThere was a time I thought I needed to react to every move. A clean candle? I’d enter. A minor imbalance? I’d take the risk. A zone that “looked okay”? I’d justify it. Why? Because I was chasing something. Chasing certainty . Chasing profit . Chasing control . But here’s the thing I didn’t understand back then: Not every candle needs a reaction. And not every move is my move. 🧠 Overtrading Wasn’t a Strategy. It Was a Symptom. It was a symptom of fear — fear of missing out (FOMO). It was a symptom of insecurity — not trusting my own process. It was a symptom of impatience — not letting the market come to me. I confused activity with progress. I thought being busy on the charts meant I was becoming better. But most of the time, I was just bleeding my edge. 💡 The Turning Point Growth didn’t happen because I learned a new indicator. It happened the moment I started asking myself: Is this my setup? Or am I just bored, hopeful, or triggered? When you define a clear trading plan, with criteria you believe in, the real test isn’t finding setups...it’s waiting for the right ones. Today, I can watch the market move beautifully without me and feel absolutely nothing. That’s freedom. That’s growth. That’s power. 🧘🏽‍♂️ From Reactive to Intentional Now, I focus on: Waiting for my specific SMC criteria to line up Sticking to my CRT model (PDL/PWH sweep → BOS → FVG) Trusting that missing one trade means nothing if I stay consistent Letting the market come to me I’m no longer in the game to prove something. I’m here to play my edge , manage my risk , and protect my mind. 📌 Final Words Growth in trading isn't loud. It doesn’t scream from a winning streak. It shows up quietly: in the trades you didn’t take. in the silence between setups. in the patience to do nothing until it’s time. So if you’re not constantly in a trade, that’s not weakness that’s wisdom.
Education
by Crusade1Jay
GU-Fri-6/06/25 TDA-This week mostly after news driven PA!Analysis done directly on the chart Follow for more, possible live trades update! PA= price action This week unless you're good fundamental analyst or taking good advantage of fundamental news, it was not easy to trade normal price action. (at least for me) Since I trade only London session, and majority of moves happen in NY session after news release. This week was not the best for me, keeping myself low risk max medium risk trades. Active in London session! Not financial advice, DYOR. Market Flow Strategy Mister Y
by Mister_Y
USDJPY: Will This CRT FVG Hold After the PWL Sweep?Price action on USDJPY reflects a clean execution of Candle Range Theory (CRT). Following a sweep of the Previous Week’s Low (PWL), price reacted from a higher timeframe demand zone, grabbing sell-side liquidity before printing a bullish Break of Structure (BOS). This BOS confirmed a shift in market intent and set the stage for a retracement into a clearly defined Fair Value Gap (FVG). I refined the entry on the 4H chart, waiting for price to return to the FVG zone, with risk placed just below the sweep wick. The target is mapped to the next logical supply above a cluster of equal highs and prior inefficiency. This setup reflects a high-conviction CRT play, built from top-down analysis and confluences rooted in market structure, liquidity, and imbalance logic.
Long
by Crusade1Jay
GJ-Thu-5/06/25 TDA-Big pump and dump, pre and after US news!Analysis done directly on the chart Follow for more, possible live trades update! Trading news is not profitable long term, unless you are really good fundamental analysis! Yes, you might get lucky sometime that price goes to your favor, but without a clear understanding, bad risk management, no strategy you'll likely to lose all the profits you make. It's not just about making profits, you have to consistently making it and keep the profits you make. Active in London session! Not financial advice, DYOR. Market Flow Strategy Mister Y
by Mister_Y
GU-Wed-4/06/25 TDA-Not easy zone to mess with GU!Analysis done directly on the chart Follow for more, possible live trades update! Today's focus: Trading Psychology -Have you ever over traded? -Have you ever revenge traded? -Have you ever got greedy and end up with a loss instead of good profits? -What is something that you struggle to these days psychologically speaking? I've been all these situations mentioned above! Each of this three steps are crucial to become a very good trader: 1) Consistently profitable strategy 2) Proper risk management 3) Trading Psychology What's your ideal solution to improve your trading psychology? Comment down below! Not financial advice, DYOR. Market Flow Strategy Mister Y
by Mister_Y
GJ-Wed-4/06/25 TDA-GJ strong push, will it continue?Analysis done directly on the chart Follow for more, possible live trades update! Trading is not easy, there are so many factors, variants that influence the price movement. Generally when big moves happen, it is caused by big news, important speeches, flash news. Markets don't move randomly, it's really important to understand why price had this particular move, at that specific time and ask why. Not financial advice, DYOR. Market Flow Strategy Mister Y
by Mister_Y
GJ-Mon-2/06/25 TDA-GJ in ranging zone!Analysis done directly on the chart Follow for more, possible live trades update! My idea is the higher time frame you trade, the more fundamental analysis you need to be good at to actually be consistently profitable trader. And viceversa if you trade lower timeframe it's more technical analysis but always keeping in mind the higher timeframe picture, doing the top down analysis and having the basic necessary knowledge on fundamental analysis. Tips for basic fundamental knowledge: 1) Use economic calendar ( I recommend FXstreet calendar for macroeconomic events and Financial Juicy for flash news, real live updates) 2) Stay up to date with global news, war, tariffs etc. As these are key factors that will influence price currencies. Not financial advice, DYOR. Market Flow Strategy Mister Y
by Mister_Y