GBP/JPY LONG Top-Down Technical Analysis:
The monthly time frame shows a strong bullish signal
Weekly also is bullish biased rather than bearish as candles are making higher highs and higher lows
Coming to the daily time frame we can clearly see how the trend has switched from bearish to bullish as soon as we formed a double bottom and broke the previous lower high formed.
Now as we created a new high , price should come and retrace at a certain level (most likely around 133.500-fib 61.80% where we see a lot of confluence), thus creating a new support (new higher low) to continue its bullish movement.
In the 4-Hour time frame, price was bouncing within the channel until it broke out of it to the downside so now, as mentioned earlier, this movement shows that price is more likely to retrace at lower levels to create a new support and continue its overall bullish movement.
Target Profit 1: 1st purple zone at fib -27%
Target Profit 2: highest purple zone or at fib -61.80% (depends on the price movement...though safer at -61.80%)
*Keep in mind that fundamental analysis may disrupt price action at any given time, specially with sudden news being announced and creating a new sentiment in the market.
Topdownanalysis
SPX500 Long -61.8% fib level bounce with bullish momentum!!-A extremely good long setup has happened on the S&P500 with price reacting to the 61.8% fib level (Golden Ratio).
- We can see that both 50 and 200 EMA are below price which indicates that price is in a uptrend and we should be looking for bullish signals only.
-The higher timeframes are also showing bullish signals and momentum which adds extra confluence for me to go long for S&P500.
-Another confluence is that my demand zone is in line with the 61.8% level which means that price will more likely react well to the fib level.
Let's See how the S&P500 will do during the week!
Please make sure to follow, like and comment your ideas/opinions on the S&P500.
GBPUSD Waiting for Price ActionHello there, hope you're doing well..
Here's my analysis for the GBPUSD pair. I'm just implementing a Top Down analysis in this pair. As i saw there was a channel breakout and it heading to H4 Supply Zone. And now it's forming a Symmetrical Triangle Pattern. As i know about the Symmetrical Triangle Pattern there're no guarantee which direction price may heading, so i draw 2 possibilities which the price may be heading.
Doing Price Action analysis like this still stressed me out a bit, but i'll keep grinding because understanding about Price Action is the requirement of every trader, i guess, yaa, it SHOULD be! :D
Anyway thank you for reading guys, see ya in the next analysis!
Cheers!
EURAUD top-down analysis (two possible scenarios)on DAILY: EURAUD is sitting around a resistance zone so we will be looking for objective sell setups on lower timeframes.
unless price breaks it upward, then a bullish movement would be expected.
on M30: EURAUD is forming a channel in blue (not valid yet) so we are waiting for a new swing to form around it to consider it our last swing and enter sell on its break downward
XAUUSD- Bearish Momentum with a breakout and retest!-Very good sell opportunity for gold as we could potentially see a breakout of the demand zone.
-Price could retrace back to the demand turned supply zone and bears could take control to the downside.
-The downward trend line could be an excellent entry as price as already retraced around the 23.6% level and from the trend line.
-50 EMA is above price which indicates bearish signals.
-Good opportunity to sell of the trend line and looking to enter at a strong bearish candle.
-Or wait for price to breakout the demand zone and wait for retracement to enter the trade.
Please leave a like and comment down below your opinion/ideas for gold!
Have a good trading week!
USDCAD- Descending Triangle Breakout and Enter At Reversal!- Very good opportunity to go for a short position on this pair at the reversal of the supply zone.
-Another confluences is the EMA is above price which shows bearish trend of the pair.
-Wait for a strong bearish candle at the supply zone and enter the trade.
Let's see what happens during the week!
USDJPY- Bullish Symmetrical Triangle-If Bulls take control of this pair then I will wait for a breakout of the triangle and look to enter on the retest.
-The 50EMA is below price which indicates bullish trend of the pair.
-Top down analysis from the Daily and 4 hour show bullish trend and signals.
-I will wait for a strong bullish candle on the retest and then I will enter a long trade.
AUDNZD top-down analysison DAILY: price is sitting around a strong resistance/supply zone in red and also testing our upper brown trendline, so we will be looking for objective sell setups on lower timeframes.
on H1: price formed an objective trendline in blue so we are waiting for a momentum candle close below its last swing standing to sell this one.
meanwhile, AUDNZD is still overall bullish and can still test our upper red zone to get more liquidity to be able to push down more aggressively.
EURGBP- Possible Reversal With a Potential Bullish Momentum There is a good opportunity to enter long on this pair just waiting for a retest on the daily demand zone and look for bullish candle confirmation.
Drop down to the lower time frame and enter a long on the pair.
The potential risk to reward ratio on the trade will be a 1:2 ratio.
Lets see what happens near the end of Friday!
EURUSD- Bearish Reversal on 23.6% Fib Level-Very good opportunity to enter a short position on the retest of the supply zone which is in confluence with the 23.6% fib level.
-Another confluence is the EMA's which show bearish signals as price is below both EMA's.
-Top down analysis from the weekly and daily show bearish signals which gives me confidence the bears are in control of this pair.
GBPUSD- Bearish Flag Pattern-Looking to short this pair on the reversal of the 61.8% fib level which is also in confluence with the supply zone.
-Price is also below the EMA which indicates bearish signals.
-Top down analysis from the weekly and daily show a bearish trend.
-Very good opportunity to go short of this pair.
-Lets's see what happens during the week!
AUDUSD Long/Buy Idea AUDUSD Long/Buy Idea
waiting for a momentum candle close above 0.6820 to buy this one
Reason:
1- Regular Bullish Divergence on MACD (in red)
2- Trendline (in blue)
3- Rejection/Support zone from Daily (0.6700)
4- Head and Shoulders forming (in orange)
Waiting for the right shoulder to form to enter on the neckline (in purple) break upward above 0.6820 (in gray)
GBP/USD Trade IdeaHello and welcome to my Trade Idea of the currency pair GBP/USD.
Lets start with the Top Down Analysis.
Monthly: On the monthly timeframe we can see that the price is in a beautiful downtrend.
Weekly: On weekly we see that, the price is at the monthly support. Which can lead to a strong bullish movement. I expect that the price bounce off from the H4 resistance and fall down after that.
Have a nice day.
The Top Down Analysis MethodThe signals you get on the higher time frames should surpass that of lower time frames.
Reaching a resistance on the weekly time frame but you see a buy signal on H4? Look to sell as the higher time frame data prevails more successfully statistically.
Is a trend moving up but you missed the entry? If you determine the market to be bullish you then look for buying opportunities, even mid trend (and this can be done with low risk). This allows you to find opportunities no matter what the market is doing...
You see a reversal pattern on H4 to go short? Check on the weekly time frame to ensure you're trading the reversal at the end of the trend! ( That's why it's called a reversal and not continuation).
Using the top down analysis method can help you to filter out mistakes from your decision making process with these easy steps.
Please join my mailing list for more lessons just like this one zc.vg
Happy trading!
CHF/JPY Trade IdeaHello and welcome to my Trade Idea of the currency pair CHF/JPY.
Lets start with the Top Down Analysis.
Monthly: On the monthly timeframe we see bearish momentum.
Weekly: There is a huge bearish candle after the long bullish pullback. We are bearish from now on.
Daily: I think the price will break the inner counter trendline and react to the outer counter trendline. As a result, he will retrace himself from the outer counter trendline and then he will break through the outer counter trend line.
AUD/CHF Trade IdeaHello and welcome to my Trade Idea of the currency pair AUD/CHF:
Lets start with the Top Down Analysis.
Monthly: Huge bearish candles in the past. Strong confirmation that the sellers have the upper hand.
Weekly: We see a retrace from the last low( the wick) and look for short entrys.
Daily: Clean bullish retrace after the long down trend.
H4: We see a Counter Trendline and wait until it's broken.
GBPJPY DAILY LOOKThe daily chart also suggests a bearish reversal in line with monthly and weekly technical standpoint. We see several reversal candlesticks under the 155.000 and 150.000 monthly key levels. Once again moving averages are bearish and clearly have formed dynamic resistance for the pair. Price has remained in the uptrend however and has formed another channel, testing the lows and creating sell opportunities.