USDJPY Might Have Found The TopThis year JPY hit new lows across the board in last few weeks even though BOJ decided to end its ultra-loose policy, by raising rates for 10bp in March. USDJPY broke higher, out of a triangle on a daily chart, so we know that this is most likely final leg with a higher degree wave III/C. In fact, there was a nice push up to 160 resistance not seen since 1990, which was the area of a current sharp reversal after Japan intervention.
That being said, be aware of a reversal down within a higher degree decline in minimum three waves, which can send the price at least back down to 137 - 127 area.
Topformation
$CRWD H&S Bear Pennant BreakdownHi! $CRWD displays a fantastic symmetrical H&S top formation. This is accompanied by a bear pennant formation forming at the neck line breakdown area of $169. The entire formation is bearish. Nothing about this stock appears friendly. PE is 167 and trading at 43X price to book, (which is very expensive).
TSLA Likely Started A Bear MarketI think in the last month we are beginning to see certain sectors of the market starting to crash, mostly technology sectors, like TSLA, AMD, NVDA, INTC,...
You really don't have to be expert chart analyst to see that the whole stock market, especially technology sectors are extremely overvalued. It has never been anything like it, really for the past 90 years. The closest thing stock market has ever experienced I've warned with my previous ideas about what chart patterns are being printed on the major indexes like DJI and SPX. Both are in the stratosphere.
Usually the first to finish the bull run are the big caps, from where money rotates into other sectors that are not that overvalued yet. I still expect the DJI to rise about 8% till finish so it does not mean that the whole stock market is bearish... TSLA probably is. It has reached beyond the full fib. extension over 6 year price range.
It also made a standard top formation, where it makes new ath (Jan. '21), then have a first major profit take, makes another new ATH that is only slightly higher from previous one, then it starts a bear market. I will show examples later on on such tops. If it crashes into 600-700 area expect the price to retrace closely to 1k area, before the real crash began.
Prices could eventually retest green rising trend line.
I am not a financial advisor so non of this should be taken as a financial advise.
NASDAQ:TSLA
Learn To Trade Technical Analysis Hammer & Shooting StarHey Traders today I wanted to go over what I believe is one of the best ways to trade any market with Japanese Candlesticks using hammers and shooting stars. Normally you want the wick of the candle to be at least twice the size of the body of the candle. Alot of times they can lead to explosive moves in the markets. So lets dive in and see how to use this powerful technique in your trading arsenal.
Enjoy!
Trade Well,
Clifford
The Art of Technical Analysis for Beginners 123 Top & BottomsHey Traders so In my last video we discussed what are Fibonacci Retracements and how they can benefit you in your trading. Today I want to go over one of the most powerful chart formations in technical analysis called the 123 top and 123 bottom.
Enjoy!
Trade Well,
Clifford
Bitcoin Tops and Bottoms Before the S&P500Is Bitcoin a good barometer for the broader market? The chart laid out above suggests this is a possibility - and indeed, it would make a lot of sense, considering how risk tends to peak prior to tactical and cyclical corrections in the stock market, and Bitcoin is broadly considered to be a risk asset.
Note how the 2017 macro top in BTC foretold a top in the S&P just 5 weeks later, and in 2018 BTC bottomed just a few weeks before the S&P. Yet again, this relationship held during the 2020 COVID crash with BTC finding a bottom just two weeks before the S&P. Is the recent top formation in Bitcoin signaling potential weakness in the S&P500 that is yet to come?
With breadth deteriorating across major indices, the almighty dollar (DXY) finding support and shaping up for a potential double bottom, and the least amount of bears on the AAII survey since Feb 2018, it's possible that the S&P is in for a deeper pullback, one that is well-deserved after such an incredible run from the COVID crash lows. One thing I'm looking for to see confirmation of a tactical top in the broader stock market is the Financials Sector (XLF). If we can't hold above that former major resistance, then we are likely in for a messy S&P over the summer. Remember, assets can correct in both price and time. We may just be in for some more sideways rather than an outright move down. If the S&P does begin to correct, it is safe to assume that Bitcoin may once again find a constructive bottom a few weeks before the S&P.
I'll be on the lookout for all of the above and will keep this post updated. Till then, happy trading!
Top Formation or $10k?This quick idea is a comparison of the pararbolic $20k top formation of Dec. 2017, and what may be the top formation of the recent parabolic spike with a high currently at $9.1k.
Both exhibit similar characteristics, namely, the double-zig-zag fractal in pink (up-down-up-down), followed by a spike to a final top in purple, followed by a double bottom formation in green. In 2017 this formation was then followed by a 65% precipitous drop. Will price history repeat or will we continue the 5th leg of our EW structure to $10k?