Stock Pricing Above Fundamentals Ahead of EarningsWeekly Chart: NYSE:ANET reports today after the close.
The stock has a short-term topping formation that is nearly completed. The prior runs went speculative but then corrected. The top is similar to the previous peak and the depth of correction is likely to be similar.
The stock has simply moved beyond fundamental levels. This is NOT likely to turn into a long-term top unless there is something substantially wrong with the company and its products. To become an intermediate-term top, it must have lower highs and lower lows. That is not in the chart at this time.
Ideally, the stock needs to shift sideways to build a much stronger support level to sustain a longer-term uptrend. HFTs are in the mix and may gap the stock on earnings news.
Topping
Topping Pattern Ahead of Earnings: AAPLNASDAQ:AAPL needs to have a great earnings report on August 1st but it has a topping formation at the moment, after huge speculation from promoting something that is not yet proven to increase sales. You can't take hope to the bank. Speculation occurred as investors assumed that AI would sell more new iPhones in droves. This earnings report will reveal reality one way or another.
There is a negative divergence between the price trend and accumulation/distribution suggesting there may have been quiet rotation against the retail speculation.
US100 - NASDAQ Completing multi year patterns!!CAPITALCOM:US100 is in a window where we have multiple patterns completing. The major pattern from the covid low completed on time last week but with now reversal in sight yet we look at the price expectation of around 20500-20639.
The smaller pattern from the Oct 2022 low goes out to the end of July.
We are in the zone so we wait for a sign.
Enjoy the day.
GE Aerospace Needs to CorrectAfter many years of struggle due to the Banking Debacle of 2008, this venerable old company is finally showing strength again. Spinning off divisions to focus on and drive growth in the key businesses was exactly what was needed.
NYSE:GE Aerospace is over-speculated now. The run up from the heavy accumulation during the last half of 2023 is too steep to sustain. Smaller funds have been driving it upward since March, causing the more volatile action recently.
It had a small gap up on earnings this week but it still needs to correct, either down or sideways . It has the look of a stock with short-term topping risk at the moment, but extended sideways action could adjust out the overextended uptrend instead.
BTC bottoming M RSI = DXY topping W RSIhI folks, this is just an observation here. It looks like the BTC Monthly RSI is close to bottoming. I predict a BTC wick down to ~14k when the W RSI on the DXY hits the trend line and starts its correction to the downside. We all know that BTC and the DXY are inversely proportional. This should start a slow BTC recovery into its next bull-run.
Axis Bank ToppingAxis Banks seems to have topped out. The selling volumes seem to be picking up again similar to it's previous fall.
The support levels are likely to be broken on another retest and the stock may be headed for 450 levels over the coming year.
View stands invalidated on break of highs of 867
USDJPY Topping Pattern. Sell mid to long term opportunity.Now where have we seen this pattern before? Oh yeah most instruments. Now its time for the USD to top around these levels.
The ascending channel (in blue highlights) is indicative of corrective price action and most often bearish. If we had a descending
channel this pattern would not be complete. A strong downward trend is likely for the USDJPY.
Ethereum Still In Topping Pattern.New information is in and we can redraw the chart a little more. The premise though stays the same. It looks more like a topping pattern and the consolidation (blue arrow) we are encountering now looks remarkably similar to the left shoulder (blue arrow) consolidation. I suspect a strong move down after this consolidation phase. Good luck!
TSLA Likely Started A Bear MarketI think in the last month we are beginning to see certain sectors of the market starting to crash, mostly technology sectors, like TSLA, AMD, NVDA, INTC,...
You really don't have to be expert chart analyst to see that the whole stock market, especially technology sectors are extremely overvalued. It has never been anything like it, really for the past 90 years. The closest thing stock market has ever experienced I've warned with my previous ideas about what chart patterns are being printed on the major indexes like DJI and SPX. Both are in the stratosphere.
Usually the first to finish the bull run are the big caps, from where money rotates into other sectors that are not that overvalued yet. I still expect the DJI to rise about 8% till finish so it does not mean that the whole stock market is bearish... TSLA probably is. It has reached beyond the full fib. extension over 6 year price range.
It also made a standard top formation, where it makes new ath (Jan. '21), then have a first major profit take, makes another new ATH that is only slightly higher from previous one, then it starts a bear market. I will show examples later on on such tops. If it crashes into 600-700 area expect the price to retrace closely to 1k area, before the real crash began.
Prices could eventually retest green rising trend line.
I am not a financial advisor so non of this should be taken as a financial advise.
NASDAQ:TSLA
A lesson in Daily Negative DivergenceFor context of how powerful negative divergence can be (or positive divergence for that matter)
here we have BTC at its first top this year. To my amazement it recovered, as I thought it would
just never get back up again. This is in the daily time frame. Indexes are exhibiting a similar
technical condition but in the weekly time frame.
S&P 500: this short might just be the real one!The SP500 index seems to have topped @ 4476. Technical analysis points to a sharper correction this time around:
- prices broke-out the long term bullish trendline
- short-term SMAs form an intersection above traded price
- short volumes are accelerating, as the daily range expands
- the new top formation saw the lowest traded volumes, signaling an exhausted market and low buying interest at these levels.
Next support should stand @ 4200 . Short positions till this point, at least, should be easy money.
Below this level, more stops might get triggered.
Looking forward to your thoughts!
Trade smart!
A Total Market continuation patternLooking at the Total US Stock Market (VTI), we can see an obvious arching formation to the Covid-crater rebound, like the decaying upward trajectory of a thrown ball. This trend is characterized by short intervals of consolidation followed by breakouts that exert less upward momentum than the prior breakout. Each of those consolidation phases knocks the rebound's trajectory down a notch, manifest as a lessening of its slope angle, as depicted above. If that pattern continues, this post presents a trend range we might see.
Big picture, this arching over probably is not a prelude to an end-of-the-world crash but a gradual slope correction into a long-term trajectory matching the long-term pre-Covid slope. Since March 2020, the upward slope of the US market has been exceptionally steep, too steep to sustain. So the market has to correct and the pattern of consolidation followed by lesser breakouts seen above is a predictable necessary process of correcting the market into its less steep long-term trajectory (which I've shown in other ideas posted). The arch is 'the invisible hand' dialing back the post-Covid crater exuberance.
$DOGE: Potential H and S topping pattern on Weekly and DailyWatching for a potential classical topping pattern to form. Will watch how price reacts at Support and Resistance levels charted. Will see how this plays out over the next 30 days.
Bitcoin potencial top cycleHello this is only theory and nothing is sure but i believe we can reach this highs. Most of peoples didn't believe about $50k for march, now they don't believe for $200k and most of them told me here is top. It may be so, but most indicators show me that they are probably not right and the next 3 months will be crazy in price discovery.
Tesla : Ready to topAfter a slow period, Tesla is picking up speed again. Seems everyone was waiting the busy end of the week. For the EW count, price is looking to find the wave B top. Yesterday finished the small wave (b) as a double three corrective wave. Price action seems impulsive since. This would make the entire wave B a flat corrective wave. c waves in a flat are most commonly 61.8% or 161.8% of wave a. Since 161.8% would be at all time highs, 61.8% is preferred. Looking at where the 61.8% wave (c) ends, you'll see the 61.8% fib retracement of the drop from the top, wave A. This makes the 760 price level something to watch out for. Don't forget price action could get volatile with the witches on friday, ARK ready to release it's price target for Tesla and bond yields acting wild. A quick spike up could wake up an angry bear.