Starts Late, Ends Late: 2026 Bull Market?Market conditions are so different now. Everything is changing fast and radically, it has to do with the stars. The way the stars are aligned now has not happened in hundreds of years. The type changes we are seeing now have not happened in hundreds of years.
It is not only the financial markets but the whole world and the way we perceive reality is changing in so many ways. This is certain to have its effect on the Cryptocurrency market, the effect is already present and tangible, market conditions (reality) will never be the same.
The bull market is starting late. By this date in 2021, everything was up and up really strong. Some pairs had already peaked, literally, some altcoin trading pairs had already peaked by April 2021. The full cycle complete. Thousands of percentages of points of growth.
What about now? It is April 2025 and the bottom is in on many pairs. Only last week, 7-April, we had a marketwide bottom. The start of the 2025 bull market cycle and phase. A late start can translate into a late end.
Now, a full bullish cycle can be completed in 6 months. This is not necessary nor required. Also, the market is much bigger now, it wouldn't be feasible, there would be too much rush.
Think of the market as an entity that wants to survive, thrive, live and grow. Can it go through years of bearish action and only produce several months of growth? Balance is needed. The market needs a bullish cycle to keep the participants engaged or else everybody will quit forever if there is nothing to gain.
The fact that the Altcoins market hit bottom is the most bullish signal there is, but, looking at all these charts, hundreds of charts, something tells me that what is coming will be different to the past. Actually, it will be similar because the last bull market happened from March 2020 through late 2021. So we can have a bull market from April 2025 until some time in 2026. I just don't believe that everything will end too fast, within six months, because we are having a late start. It will be the other way around, the bull market will extend.
Instead of Cryptocurrency growing for 1 year, we might get continued growth for 2-3 years straight, maybe more for some pairs. Some pairs have been dropping for 4 years while others have been down for 6 years or more. When things change, these pairs will be experiencing sustained long-term growth.
Other pairs grew strong and never moved below support. These pair were supposed to drop according to classic past patterns and yet, they all remained strong and ready for more. This bull market will be out of the ordinary. Everything that is happening right now in finance and politics is not the same as always, it is a true generational change.
We are going through a phase of evolution and this is what will cause the bull market to extend. Late start, late end.
Namaste.
Total
Crypto Market Cap: Short-Term Pullback Before Major RecoveryTechnical Analysis
The chart illustrates a well-defined ascending channel for the total crypto market cap (excluding BTC), currently experiencing a downward retracement. The price action suggests a probable dip towards the lower boundary of the channel around the $969 billion support zone before rebounding significantly. This level aligns with previous price reactions and serves as a strong demand zone, making it a potential bottom before the market resumes its uptrend.
Fundamental Analysis
Liquidity Flow & Market Sentiment
The broader market has seen increasing stablecoin dominance (such as USDT’s market cap exceeding $130 billion), indicating risk-off behavior as investors move to safety. This suggests a short-term sell-off in altcoins before a reinvestment phase.
Institutional inflows into ETFs (like Ethereum and broader crypto ETFs) will likely drive the next bullish wave, but the current correction reflects temporary uncertainty.
Macroeconomic Factors
Interest Rate Policies: If the Federal Reserve signals rate cuts in mid-2025, risk assets (including crypto) will likely benefit from increased liquidity.
Regulatory Clarity: The market is awaiting key regulatory developments, especially in the U.S. and EU, which could influence capital inflows into crypto.
Altcoin Cycle & Market Recovery
Historically, the crypto market experiences phases of correction before a strong recovery. With the next Bitcoin halving approaching (April 2025), the overall crypto market cap is expected to rebound as bullish momentum returns.
DeFi, gaming, and AI-based tokens continue to gain traction, setting the stage for an altcoin-driven rally once risk appetite returns.
Conclusion
A short-term pullback to the $969 billion support level is highly probable, after which a strong bullish reversal is expected. Long-term investors might see this dip as a buying opportunity, anticipating a rally towards the upper boundary of the channel (above $2 trillion) as macroeconomic and institutional factors align in favor of crypto.
bitcoin dips below 60kbitcoin dips below 60k, but we're unfazed.
i see this playing out as we move into the depths of winter,,,
this crypto winter ❄️
why would this happen, you ask?
the answer is simple: a stop-loss raid.
a sharp wave 4 designed to shake out weak hands.
distribution may have already started, hypothetically speaking, but it'll take the rest of the year to unfold.
think of it like the jan 2021 -> april 2021 vibe, only on a slightly higher degree and timeframe.
---
take note of the highlighted wave 2's and wave 4's on my chart.
what i'm illustrating is "the law of alternation," which states:
if wave 2 is flat, wave 4 will be sharp, and vice versa.
all the wave 2's in this cycle have been flats,
so by design, all of our wave 4's are set to be sharps.
this fits neatly into the larger cycle:
sharp retracements triggered by over-leveraged positions,
yet consistently bought up thanks to strong demand.
with each sharp retracement, however, the upward moves become smaller,
as momentum gradually fades.
---
w4 target: below 60k
w5 target: between 150k-200k (conservatively).
---
ps. i have recently shared a much more bullish idea via:
HOW IS CRYPTO SHAPING UP?Trump and tariffs have a firm grip on the economic world as of late, so where does that leave the crypto market?
TOTAL has a clear structure since the beginning of the bull market in 2023, in the last 3 days TOTAL has wicked into the bullish trendline support but sits within a bearish trend channel. This level also coincides with the bullish orderblock that started the leg up post US election so a very strong level of support here.
Do I think this is the end and the bottom is in? The chart would make a very good case for it however I believe that the Geo-politics outweigh Technical Analysis currently, at least in the short term. Everyone is watching for the latest news release/Trump announcement and all the time that is going on the market is very reactionary with less passive orders and more reactionary news based market orders. That taken into account in the short term this is a game of musical chairs with massive volatility swings and liquidations left right and center, a traders dream.
I'm very interested in how the FED will react to this, once we start getting emergency or early interest rate cuts that for me is when BTC will take the next step up and will flip to an investor/buy and hold environment, whether that's from here, lower or higher I'm not sure but but BTC needs a risk-on environment to thrive and Trump is doing his best to force J Powells hand.
TOTAL Bearish PennantThe Parameter known as TOTAL has a currently working bearish pennant formation.
Market is bearish and every green candle on Total means another Short opportuinty.
If Total breaks 2.58T (which is a montly pivot value), we can expect more dumps. 2.36 would be the main target.
When Total reachs 2.36, look for a long wick. If the daily candle close isn't happening, it's a Long opportuinty.
Massive storm hiting the crypto market soon!The Correlation Between SPX500 (Wall Street) & Crypto 📉📈
The relationship between SPX500 and crypto is not always stable. Sometimes they move in sync, like the Earth and Moon, and other times, they are completely decoupled. But rarely, we get an eclipse—a moment of total disconnection.
And guess what? That’s about to happen.
🔎 What’s Happening?
Looking at the charts, SPX500 had a massive rally last year, but while Wall Street boomed, crypto was bleeding. Most altcoins were slaughtered, and the TOTAL crypto market cap suffered.
But now, SPX500 is overbought, while crypto is oversold.
👉 This time, the decoupling will work in crypto’s favor!
💰 $2 Trillion in Sidelined Cash Ready to Flow In
Right now, about $2 trillion USD is sitting on the sidelines—money that institutional investors are hesitant to deploy due to market uncertainty. Many are keeping their funds in USD or foreign bonds instead of taking risks.
However, if you check my April/May forecast, we can see that:
✅ Crypto will be deeply oversold (confirmed by RSI & weekly MACD crossover).
✅ The US Dollar is weakening, forcing investors to move their money into other assets.
✅ SPX500 turning bearish = capital rotating into crypto.
🚀 The Perfect Storm for Crypto
📉 SPX500 bearish
💵 USD weakening
📈 Crypto bullish
This creates the perfect setup for rich investors to flood the crypto market with fresh liquidity.
💡 What does this mean for prices?
- CRYPTOCAP:BTC could double (100% gain).
- Altcoins could skyrocket (x10 to x100).
- This would finally trigger the altseason we’ve been waiting for—the parabolic move that happens once every four years.
📆 Timeline: April – June 2025
This move will be so explosive that it will eventually trigger a correction—possibly leading to a bear market. However, since crypto now moves in 6-month cycles, this correction should end by December 2025, setting up another leg up.
🏁 Final Thoughts
This kind of SPX500 & crypto decoupling is extremely rare, so positioning before the rotation starts is crucial.
⏳ Exact timing? Hard to say. But April/May looks like the moment when everything aligns.
🚨 DYOR as always—anything can happen to invalidate this idea.
ALTS MARKET CAP ANALYSIS. Altcoin Market Cap Analysis: Potential Rebound or Breakdown?
The altcoin market cap is currently bouncing off the support trendline of its ascending triangle pattern, which indicates a potential bullish continuation.
Ascending Triangle Support:
The market cap is testing a key support trendline within an ascending triangle, which is typically a bullish formation.
Sustaining above this level strengthens the case for a breakout.
Ichimoku Cloud Indicates Bullish Momentum:
The Ichimoku Cloud is turning supportive, which indicates an improving market sentiment.
A move above the cloud could confirm bullish momentum.
Possible Scenario:
If the price sustains above the trendline, the altcoin could see a strong bounce, leading to further gains.
A breakout above the resistance level of the triangle would confirm a larger uptrend.
A break below the support would invalidate the bullish structure.
This could lead to a deeper correction, which indicates increasing risk.
If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters!
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
Is the Total Crypto Marketcap gearing up for a major move?A few months ago, the total crypto market cap surged past its previous highs, reaching a new all-time high of $3.7 trillion.
The current pullback appears to be a bullish retest of the breakout level, potentially setting the stage for the next upward leg.
Lets Make Life Changing Money TogetherMartyBoots here , I have been trading for 17 years and sharing my thoughts on CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS .
.
CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS is looking beautiful , absolutely beautiful and a very interesting chart for more upside, it is now getting into support. Just like NASDAQ:AMZN did back in 2008.
Do not miss out on CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS as this is a great opportunity to make life changing money on ALT Coins.
Regulation is going to moon this market
Be Ready
Watch video for more details
White House Crypto Summit 2025Today on March 7th the White House will host a Crypto summit for the first time. This summit is expected to host
many prominent figures in the space, here are some of the main ones:
Michael Saylor Founder of Strategy.
● David Bailey CEO of Bitcoin Magazine.
● Matt Huang Co-founder of Paradigm.
● Zack Witkoff Co-founder of world liberty financial
● SEC Chairman Paul Atkins
● Changpeng Zhao (CZ) Co-founder of Binance.
● Kyle Samani Managing partner at Multicoin Capital.
● Anatoly Yakovenko Co-founder of Solana.
● Charles Hoskinson Co-founder of Cardano.
● Sergey Nazarov Co-founder of Chainlink.
● Brian Armstrong CEO of Coinbase.
● Vlad Tenev CEO of Robinhood.
● Arjun Sethi CEO of Kraken.
● Kris Marszalek CEO of Crypto(.)com.
● Brad Garlinghouse CEO of Ripple.
Trump is expected to sign executive orders at 3PM EST during the summit but what these orders are is not confirmed as of yet. I would speculate the "Strategic Reserve" including BTC,ETH,SOL,XRP & ADA would be an EO in some capacity as all of the founders/CEOs of those projects are in attendance. Perhaps regulatory framework, a tariff based system to reward US based crypto projects? In truth the specifics are unpredictable.
What we do know is that each of the major announcements have been sell the news events, as the saying goes "Buy the rumor, sell the news" and that has been true so far. Will this be a repeat? This summit so far has not had a rally going into this event, the charts show that BTC and the broader market have pulled back and retested last years chop range high after a liquidity sweep of previous ATH. Altcoins fairing worse than Bitcoin but structurally very similar. I do think the bearish structure of the HTF chart has many worried, sentiment is very low and many see the sell off continue. Either this is a genius way to acquire cheaper coins for the upcoming reserve or many will be caught offside or sidelined.
For now I am not taking sides, there is no clear read on this event for me but I can guarantee huge volatility on the low time frames, whether this leads to a meaningful move on the high time frames is yet to be seen.
5 Billionaires Enter The Cryptocurrency MarketFive new billionaires are entering the Cryptocurrency market and bringing billions of dollars worth of capital in. These are not the same participants we are familiar with. These are in and still playing. I am talking about players that have never played before. Each participant will bring in capital in the tune of 2-3 billions. This can make a huge difference.
Just 1 billion USD can create a noticeable effect on the price and dynamics of Bitcoin and the Altcoins market. When you inject 10 to 15 billion of new capital, the results can be something palpable.
In the short-term, this is bigger than the Crypto Strategic Reserve because it affects the entire market and not only a few projects.
You have the chance to be in, ALL-IN, before this massive injection of force.
This is Master Ananda, and I am here for your entertainment and continued support.
Namaste.
This chart shows the total cryptocurrency market capitalization,
The current value is around $2.271 trillion, which represents a significant drop of 12.51% from the recent peak.
50-MA (moving average): The red line represents the 50-week moving average, which is currently around $2.59 trillion. It acts as a short-term trend indicator and potential support level.
200-MA: The green line represents the 200-week moving average, which is around $1.73 trillion, which indicates a long-term trend and strong support level.
The horizontal green lines represent support levels around $2.4 trillion and $2.6 trillion. These levels are important for a potential bullish reversal if retested.
The dotted line above the price represents resistance levels near historical highs.
The recent decline suggests the market may be in a bearish trend after failing to break the resistance levels.
If the price is above the 50-MA, it could signal a reversal towards the resistance zones and a potential recovery. However, a break below the 50-MA could signal further decline. Keep an eye on the key levels around $2.4 trillion (support) and $2.6 trillion (resistance).
If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters!
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
3 spots for a Buy before vertical $ORGOBuys were called for $5.11, $5.21 and $5.51 after long consolidation at $5 area.
It started moving up nicely into last 2 hours of the day, triggering stronger volume once above $5.50 and ramping into $6.75 after hours.
TOTAL Week: +60.8% per traded position
Monday: +12.9%
Tuesday: +17.0%
Wednesday: +9.5%
Thursday: +12.2%
Friday: +9.2%
12 trades on NASDAQ:NVVE NASDAQ:TRNR NASDAQ:MLGO NASDAQ:ESGL NASDAQ:BCG NASDAQ:ONVO AMEX:ATCH NASDAQ:STEC
10 wins
2 losses
TOTAL February: +397.7%
Slow and quiet last week of the February but still solid profit made. Looking for more explosive action next week to return with start of a new month. Wouldn't mind something like last week (+200% banger!)
Congrats on Feb gains and see you all on Monday morning, enjoy the weekend!
Do Not Sell Anything: BUY or HOLD!I don't know why but there is always something that inspires us to sell at the bottom and buy at the top. Why is this?
Do not sell anything. Do HOLD now and hold easily and patiently because very soon we are going up.
If you are feeling anxious or panicky or just shaky in whatever way, feel free to disregard this feeling because this tends to happen when the market shakes.
Here we have the OTHERS index chart. Notice how trading volume continues to move lower; how the current daily action is sideways; and how today compared to the 3-Feb. low we have a higher low. This is all you need to know.
Bullish volume is also dominant; bearish volume is very low.
This all means that the bottom is already in. We are at the bottom, close to the bottom and this only means one thing; Once the bottom is hit we can only go up.
The worst time to sell is now. The time is now to either buy or hold!
What are you doing today my dear friend?
I am buying Cryptocurrencies at a discount. This is awesome.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
TOTAL is bearish (1D)The TOTAL structure is bearish. After breaking the previous high, there was no pullback to the previous high, meaning that buy order collection for the continuation of the trend has not occurred.
We are waiting for this index to reach the designated line.
Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting
Comment if you have any questions
thank you
TOTAL ROADMAP (1D)By analyzing the TOTAL chart, it can be expected that the crypto market still has room to move downward. Of course, there will be fluctuations along the way, but at least TP 1 is likely to be hit.
For a trend reversal, the lower green zone is a highly significant area.
Let’s see what happens.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Ethereum — 2025. The Lord Giveth and Taketh Away (Caution! 18+)Donald Trump's recent policies and statements have generated significant negative sentiment towards Ethereum and the broader cryptocurrency market. As he resumes the presidency, his administration's approach to cryptocurrencies is expected to be more regulatory and cautious, which could impact Ethereum investors.
Historical Context of Trump's Views on Cryptocurrency
Trump has a mixed history with cryptocurrencies, as we mentioned in earlier published ideas. Initially, he labeled them a "scam", "based on thin air" as well as "threat to the U.S. dollar" and expressed skepticism about their value, stating that they are not real money and are highly volatile. However, in recent months, he has shifted his stance somewhat, reportedly owning between $1 million and $5 million in Ethereum as of August 2024. Despite this personal investment, his public comments continue to reflect a critical view of the crypto market.
Impact of Recent Tariffs on Ethereum
The most immediate cause of concern for Ethereum investors has been Trump's announcement of new tariffs on imports from Canada, Mexico, and China. This decision triggered a significant sell-off in the cryptocurrency market, with Ethereum experiencing a drastic price drop of over 26% in just one day. The overall cryptocurrency market lost nearly half a trillion dollars in value following these announcements, highlighting the interconnectedness of global trade policies and digital asset valuations.
The tariffs have led to increased uncertainty among investors, prompting many to liquidate their positions in riskier assets like Ethereum. This reaction is indicative of a broader trend where geopolitical tensions and economic policies directly influence cryptocurrency prices. Analysts noted that such trade policies could lead to inflationary pressures and a stronger dollar, making cryptocurrencies less attractive to international buyers.
Future Outlook for Ethereum Under Trump's Administration
Looking ahead, Trump's administration is likely to focus on stricter regulations for cryptocurrencies. This could manifest in enhanced oversight that may slow down the adoption of Ethereum by businesses and individuals. However, there is also potential for increased legitimacy if clear regulations are established.
Moreover, Trump's interest in Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) might further complicate the landscape for Ethereum. As the U.S. explores its digital dollar initiative, Ethereum's decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystem could face stiff competition from state-backed digital currencies.
Technical challenge
The main technical graph for Ethereum BITSTAMP:ETHUSD indicates on Bearish trend in development, since mid-December 2024, with acceleration occurred a day before Mr. Trump entered the White House.
Key support considered as 100-week SMA (near $2550 in this time) and $2200 flat multi bottom, that helps so far; otherwise (in case of breakthrough) we believe it could lead the Ethereum price much lower, as it described on the chart.
Conclusion
In summary, while Trump’s personal investment in Ethereum marks a notable shift from his previous criticisms, his administration's policies—especially regarding tariffs—have created a challenging environment for Ethereum investors. The combination of regulatory uncertainty and macroeconomic factors will likely continue to influence Ethereum's market performance in the near future.
TOTAL MARKET CHART UPDATE !!The chart shows the total cryptocurrency market capitalization trend. It shows a range-bound movement within parallel lines, indicating potential resistance and support levels.
Here are some key points you may find useful:
Current market capitalization: approximately $3.13 trillion.
Resistance and support: The upper and lower lines indicate levels where the price has historically reversed.
Trend analysis: The price seems to be consolidating, which could lead to a breakout or breakdown.
Keep an eye on the market to see if it breaks out of this range!
If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters!
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
Crypto Total Market Cap Consolidation: Imminent Breakout Ahead?Key Observations:
1. Symmetrical Triangle Pattern:
The price is consolidating inside a symmetrical triangle, with lower highs and higher lows.
A breakout in either direction is imminent.
2. Exponential Moving Average (EMA 200):
The 200-period EMA is at 3.26T, currently acting as resistance.
A breakout above this level could indicate a bullish trend continuation.
3. Relative Strength Index (RSI 14):
Current RSI: 49.34, slightly below the neutral 50 level.
This suggests neutral momentum, with no clear overbought/oversold signals.
A move above 55-60 could indicate increasing bullish momentum.
Potential Scenarios:
1. Bullish Breakout:
If TOTAL breaks above the triangle resistance and EMA 200, the next targets could be 3.3T - 3.5T.
Confirmation requires high volume and RSI above 55.
2. Bearish Breakdown:
A break below the triangle support could push TOTAL toward 3.0T or lower.
RSI dropping below 40 would confirm bearish momentum.
Conclusion:
The market is in a consolidation phase, awaiting a breakout. Watch for volume confirmation and EMA 200 reaction to determine the next move.
TOTAL2 - Breaking the Down ChannelThis is the 2Hr chart and I have plotted some green bars pattern suggesting a reversal out of this down channel
The down channel is due for reversal and price is settling at the lower band of the channel
I think the move up will be quick, very quick.
Expecting a day where there is 100% moves across the board for altcoins.
Again the 2Hr chart this is.