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Total crypto cap weekly not looking goodBreakdown from a multi-month rising wedge, weekly candle about to close in 6 hours. I suspect that it might retest the rising wedge or just keep going down to the two targets below. This analysis is just based on the pattern. Since the wedge is on the weekly, it holds weight. There are contraindicating signals in the market. Luna absorbed this week's drop and made ATH. ETH absorbed the dump as well. ETHBTC and ETH.d broke up from a long term range and might go up further. Maybe we will see a mini alts season as BTC works it way up as BTC.d is dropping. But the market is still in danger.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALShort
by nagihatoum
3
TOTALCRYPTOMARKETCAPhonestly im not bearish here... think we see a recovery from this 55% drawdown bullish c fork starting to look good... obv never even broke bullish trendline if that goes ill flip way more bearish but fundamentally anyone in crypto knows the quality products built this cycle should stand the test of time and eventually institutional finance will have no choice but to start considering positions the luna fiasco will only make them more wary and decide to do more thorough research before investing in bound to fail uponly ponzis total cap eventual target in the long run is around 7trillion so weve got a ways to go before im going to loose total faith in this market
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2
by olliecoughland
Crypto Total, S&P adjusted for M2 + Overall market viewThis is an equally weighted symbol of S&P + Crypto Total. It ranges from 0 to 100, with 100 being the Nov 2021 peak. We are entering a low risk zone historically, but crypto has never truly seen a bear asset market! I think we will get to the green areas in the chart, and if it is a true bear market, possibly sideways and lower for a bit longer than most expect. It's easy to remain complacent here and buy furious but it's better off to be safe and preserve your capital until some larger confirmation that downward momentum has faded. What I mean by true bear market is, if the S&P Adjusted for M2 plays out like 2008: Percentage of stocks above 200 average looks a bit lower but could get closer to 5-10% before a real rally: Small caps are making new lows: Crypto TOTAL could test the blue 200 MA easily: Junk bonds are hugely overvalued: SPX + NDX Volatility is still tame compared to 2020 and 2008: DXY is still in strong uptrend. Margins are tight in financial markets and dollars with a positive yield cuts profit margins and causes liquidity issues. Pegged stablecoins are highly unstable: Hopefully you can see why I don't think the momentum has fully played out yet. If it's not a bear market, I don't see any strong uptrend happening without a major policy shift and massive sentiment change. It makes sense to lean bearish even though prices are relatively attractive long-term. What do you think? Good luck and I hope you liked the chart as much as I did! Don't forget to hedge your bets :)
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALShort
by fringe_chartist
4
BTCUSDT Price USDT.D percentage 28 sep 2020 usdt.d : 4.69 btcusdt : 10480 ****************************************** 15 feb 2021 usdt.d: 1.99 btcusdt : 57400 ****************************************** 12 jul 2021 usdt.d:4.82 btcusdt : 31750 ******************************************* 8 nov 2021 usdt.d:2.58 btcusdt : 65345 ******************************************** 21 feb 2022 usdt.d:4.83 btcusdt : 36500 2 questions. Where did usdt.d come from? then what happened to btc? find the answer
by Takaro
6
Bitcoin | At a historic crossroads!Hello dear TradingView Crypto Savvy, If you want the best-modeled full history view of Bitcoin price action with insights for the next few years, you have opened the right idea. Today's update is a more sober follow up to last year's tongue-in-cheek long term view of Bitcoin price action modeled against Stock to Flow. If you are not aware of Stock to Flow and how it is the best predictor available for Bitcoin price performance, please see my related idea. Today's idea adopts a bollinger band style view of stock to flow, where I have carefully tweaked the model to precisely fit the last decade of price action. You have never seen a better view of Bitcoin's long term price! We are looking back at the $2 days and forward to the next halving. The most recent Bitcoin mining block reward halving occurred May 11, 2020 and prompted the most recent bull run, as other halvings have done in the past. There is a growing delay from the halving date to the all-time-high date for a cycle, which I have highlighted on the chart. This delay points to the possibility of the high for this cycle being in the future. I project sometime later this year or early next year. "Wow, that's great!" I hear you say... but wait. I mentioned a historic crossroads in the title, so that must mean there's a catch, right? Right. Well look at the orange line I have drawn. That represents the long term support line for a "truly" logarithmic growth, as we are looking at a logarithmic chart. Notice how we were riding close to that support just before the Third Halving in 2020, and the Pandemic Panic actually brought us far south of it for a brief snapshot in time. The halving snapped us out of bearish doldrums and we wound up with a perfect storm for the last two years of bullish on-ramps to broad institutional adoption. We started 2021 with Bitcoin dominance ( BTC.D ) at it's highest point in years and the crypto market as a whole smashing through $1 Trillion USD market capitalization . Then in 2021 something remarkable happened. 2021 saw DeFi frenzy and the rapid capitalization of newer Layer 1 Cryptos. Bitcoin dominance plummeted to near all time lows and has stayed there til today. Yet Bitcoin still reached a new high as the total crypto market had a historic rally to $3 Trillion in November 2021. Then the correction came. The crypto total cap now four months later sits 40% below the peak of November 2021. The last six weeks of sideways price action have suggested to some that the bottom has been found, but has it? To inform an answer to that question, let us take the best tool we have for modeling Bitcoin's long term price, Stock to Flow, and use it as a guide. We will use it as a backbone and make some adjustments based on the insights that we are finding are shaking up the future of the crypto market. What are those key insights? DeFi and newer Layer 1 Cryptos are pushing Bitcoin dominance towards new all time lows Bitcoin has become a household name around the world. It is solidly an institutionalized asset now. It represents a non-negligible percentage of global GDP. Before the last halving, Bitcoin was already losing steam against its long term logarithmic growth support All of these factors point in the same direction: slowed growth for Bitcoin. Now let's reference the big red line on my chart. Based on these insights, this is the growth curve that I am fairly confident will hold until the next halving in 2024. What does that tell us about our choices today? Well that is our catch. For the next few months, our current price is above the long term support curve I have drawn based on those insights. This curve has been tested, and in the worst circumstances briefly broken, every halving cycle so far. There is not yet confirmation of a trend reversal, and we are seeing suspiciously little volume the last couple of months. My estimate of a future date for a peak this cycle is very loose and it could well be ahead in 2023, so that gives about a year for a low to be found before we try for the true high of this cycle. Current geopolitical volatility opens the opportunity for further "black swan" events briefly pushing us below our new red support trend line. This suggests the possibility of a low between $32K, in normal circumstances, and $22K in the worst circumstances before we find the high for this halving cycle. Now let's look back at our orange line. The correction has brought us below it for the second time ever, and our insights point to it never being respected again. Yet there is still hope for a higher peak this cycle, and we have a new more-informed and better-fitting curve that's ready to be tested for a fit to the next two halvings. This confluence of factors is why we are at such a historic crossroads! Just because the orange line isn't being respected as a support, doesn't mean it is no longer in play. I suspect we may see it touched one or two more times as a resistance (and maybe once briefly as a support) before we fall further away from it. This leaves a small window open for my previous prediction of a peak this cycle above $200K. What other insights can we gain from this fully zoomed out view and our new collection of insights? Well they suggest that another Layer 1 crypto may be neck and neck in capitalization with BTC within a couple of years. ETH is the obvious candidate, and has been gaining ground slowly and consistently since 2019. It also has major upgrades planned for maturity this year which could completely change the game on its costs and scalability, potentially unleashing a new trend of accelerated growth versus BTC. A win for ETH is not a guarantee though. Other Layer 1 networks have gained ground at a record pace beginning in 2021. Terra has rapidly emerged as the front runner, largely driven by the intrinsic appeal of having built the first demonstrably well pegged DeFi stablecoin with TerraUSD , with the cherry on top being the stable 20% APY offered by Anchor staking. Competition will be stiff though, with many other contenders looking for an edge. DeFi robustness, low costs, security, usability, scalability, etc. all have to align in just the right way for a winner to emerge. I suspect we will see a clear front-runner in the next couple of years though. How does this full picture inform our crypto strategy today? Personally, I'm significantly reducing my focus on BTC holdings, adding more ETH holding, and dedicating significant time and energy to get a big picture view of the competitive landscape for DeFi-ready Layer 1 Cryptos. What is your focus and do you have a favorite Layer 1? Let me know in the comments who you think the winners will be and why! If you appreciate my analysis and would like to see more in the future, please like and follow! With that all said, this is not investment advice. I am offering my ideas for educational purposes only. Enjoy and take care.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by entropi
10
Total Market Cap Blood Has Been SpilledAll of Crypto has been in an absolute free fall the last few days. Between Luna and the Stable Coin catastrophe, the entire crypto space is in disarray. FUD is at an all-time high, and many people have lost their entire life savings. A massive Head & Shoulders pattern has been completed and the measured move down from the break is 49.90% . That puts the Total Market Cap around 424 Billion. Short-term relief is possible, but the general direction seems clear. Im finding a lot of confluence in the September/August time, I believe this will likely set a potential bottom.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by NoOneWhoIsSomeone
3
Total crypto market cap analysis , what is the next step .. DLT's blockchain's and #cryptography is going to #develop more faster than before .. #Defi create new values on industry and today we saw a huge experience with #terra ecosystem ! we could see positive and negative side effect of this incident in the industry ! it can improve governance and #DAO more faster , and also negative effect on adaptation period . #NFT's and utility tokens made the industry more impower . so it going to growth in this $BTC halving cycle !
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by MetaScaling
@TOTAL2 UPDATE !!Welcome to this quick update on the TOTAL2 analysis. I have tried my best to bring the best possible outcome in this chart. A very good position for ALTS!! As we can see a total 2 is currently trading inside the symmetrical triangle pattern on a lower trend line support. Here it's also evident that a total 2 whenever touches the lower trend line support it bounces well. So here I am expecting a bounce and break to this triangle pattern which will be good for ALT coins entry. Sorry for my English it is not my native language. If you like it, hit the like button and share your charts in the comments section. Thank you...
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by CryptoSanders9563
1
📊weekly overview of crypto market(May 9,2022)📊 🤗😉 What sup GUYS!? 🤘✌️ - in this overview I analyzed both 'Bitcoin' and 'Ethereuem' situation and 'TOTAL market cap' and 'TETHER Dominance' and the possible scenarios -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 👉This analysis is my personal opinion ,not a financial advice ,so do your own research. 💜 if you're a fan of my analyses PLZ follow me ,give a big thumbs 👍 and drop comment 🗯💭
CME:BTC1!
by PRO_SMART_Trader
🚨📛How long will the liquidity leave the crypto market❓❗ 😳🤗😉 What sup GUYS!? 🤘✌️ Also, the situation of the TOTAL index is similar to Bitcoin, which we see in since the last 6-7 weeks, a large capital of over 600-700 billion dollars has left the crypto market and is now traded under the ichimoku cloud and Pivot area . And as long as it does not return to the top of the pivot zone, it can be shrinked more to the lower support zones! which is in fact scary scenario for crypto market , maybe this is the game or war of the whales and at lower support we will defiantly see entry of huge amount of liquidity to the crypto market again in this case . -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 👉This analysis is my personal opinion ,not a financial advice ,so do your own research. 💜 if you're a fan of my analyses PLZ follow me ,give a big thumbs 👍 and drop comment 🗯💭
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by PRO_SMART_Trader
4
Breaks of a Parabolic TrendRight now we are experiencing bearish action which will ultimately result in a break of this parabolic trend, this might seem grim, however the past two times have led to a recovery of the trend This might occur again and the bull market will resume. The white zones of the RSI are the break points of the Trend I am suggesting a further down move, but a stronger recovery to follow this. I do not believe the Bull market is completely over. Perhaps im a permabull.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by Bixley
Crypto Total outlookso this one is really interesting for me, i dont know this kind of volume analyze works on total cap or not, but if so 1- negative outlook : it can be 1/2 to 1/10 of what it is now, scary head and shoulder is forming (i dont trust in patterns anymore) if so the great depression in crypto market happens, lot a coins will disappear (recently mr buffett said i wont buy all the bitcoins for 25$) but you know no one can predict the future in my opinion so it would be better to work with strong possibilities. 2- positive outlook : it move from here to 1.88T, then more volume that can push it to higher highs, thats it also you can check the option orders of coin www.barchart.com and search alot about fundamentals if you want to put your money.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by Arashbas