TOTAL market cap | Q1 2024 Will it be Red ?CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
Hi fam,
Okay, 1.65T $ was lost due to FUD from the ETF rejection report leak and the market dumped to MA50 in D1 at 1.50T $.
This was good from different perspectives. Funding rates are mostly reset. The fear and greed index cooled down a bit and dropped from 70 to 68. Today we had a good recovery in the market and the TOTAL market cap reached the broken support of 1.65T $ which acts as resistance this time.
I think of more bearish moves after such a flush dump (despite all the fuds) and as I said in my previous posts Q1 2024 is expected to be Red with the last buying chance for most of the coins.
The trend moves in a parallel channel (most likely to be the distribution phase) and swept the range high and closed below the range and flushed to the midline of the channel and bounced. This will be more like a dead cat bounce and I expect to see lows to get swept at 1.46T $ in the coming days. The final target lies at 1.3T for the coming weeks.
As always, These are my ideas and might be wrong. Please DYOR.
Total
BTCUSDTUS attorneys plan to sell the remaining 41,491 Silk Road bitcoins, valued at $1.8 billion today, in four batches over the next two months.
The closing of financial statements for 2023 also speaks in favor of the sale. You should be careful with longs. Until I see a solid bottom test there is nothing to say about growth.
TOTAL2 - Market Cap BOOMThe current structure forming at this low is very similar to the structure that formed very early in the crypto market (45M) which led to a bull market towards (428B). I believe we will see another massive growth period pushing the market cap excluding Bitcoin well into the T areas.
BTC - Front Run / previous cycle covid BIASIm just thinking about possible differences in time due to both the economic situation now in the world, high inflation and interest, but also SPX is challenging ATH.
I believe the previous 1year + with economic "trouble" has been 1 thing and 1 thing only: paying back for the amounts of cash printed during covid. Of course there would be some back paddling after all that money artificially injected into an economy that was already inflated deep into insanity and debt on debt on debt.
So im not sure this wave 3 (that I believe has started) is actually a front run, other than relatively to previous cycle :
- I actually believe the previous cycle instead was just delayed by covid, and "was supposed" to start a bit earlier.
--- Wave 3 or B-wave ? ---
I dont believe it will be steady, absolutely not, but I really cant see this as a B wave either.
Of course, B waves mistaken for wave 3s is a very standard way to get really really rekt.
But if this is a B wave... Then this cycle has been EVEN SLOWER than the excruciating 2018,2019, 2020. That was a serious crypto winter. Trauma.
I really cant see why today 4-5 years later, that crypto should have even longer winters.
AI is coming, crypto is adapting and getting "bigger" every day. It is crawling into mainstream, it is unstoppable. So will it be slower this cycle than previous ? No, I can not see this as a B wave.
I even cant really see a rejection of all BTC ETFs as a big deal for BTC. We have lived without ETFs and China bans and FUD in all of BTC history so far..
HYPER BULLISH
THETAUSDT - The attempt to change the trend is doomed to successBINANCE:THETAUSDT is forming another resistance retest and in fact it can be considered an attempt to change the bearish trend. The chance of success is quite high as several key patterns are forming.
On the high timeframe, the coin finds a clear bottom and the triple touch pattern confirms the area. But the price still has a long way to go for a trend change, as breaking the local downside resistance is still not enough, THETA must overcome the 1.717 area to confirm a definitive trend change.
On D1, a descending wedge is forming on the background of the bearish channel, the breakout of which forms a rally to the trend resistance, where a pre-breakout consolidation in the format of an ascending triangle is turning. The strength of this consolidation is enough to break the resistance area and the level of 1.190, which will confirm the breakout and may form an impulse to 1.337 and 1.700.
SMAs are forming an interesting signal.
Support levels: 0.982
Resistance levels: trend resistance, pattern resistance, 1.190.
I expect a breakout of the above zone with the subsequent formation of an upward impulse.
Regards R. Linda!
Crypto Total Marktcap --- suggests pullback is occuring.Shorts have been getting their pants pulled down for too long :)
We may have reached a point where a pullback may be necessary and even healthy.
(Some coins will still do well of course, but will be fighting the general tide of the market)
Included a couple zones where could correct to.
TOTALTOTAL
TOTAL is the total market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies.
On the chart, after a long accumulation since May 2022, we see the first glimpses of growth, as on TOTAL2.
For overall growth, you need to break through the red resistance at 1.281 and gain a foothold above it. After this, we will have the opportunity to take the following targets: 1.434 - 1.63.
There are no large volumes up to the level of 1.63. We are currently monitoring the situation.
Don't forget to show your support by like(rocket) and comment✅
LPTUSDT → Breakout of multi-month trend resistance. BINANCE:LPTUSDT is moving into the phase of realizing the accumulated potential. Against the background of stalled BTC, LPT / TetherUS looks confident enough to continue its growth after breaking through resistance.
The cryptocurrency market is quite active lately. Overall capitalization, flagship, altcoins are warming up after a prolonged winter. Prices are updating multi-month highs and that is encouraging.
LTP is still under bear market pressure and only today the pair is starting to show prerequisites for a possible trend change and realization at 12.00.
The price is forming a pre-breakdown consolidation against the trend resistance. After retest and false breakdown the price does not fall, a strong support area is formed and on the background of another retest the resistance is broken. The tandem set-up plays the role of a reversal set-up and clearly indicates the formation of bullish potential. Moving averages are starting to show a possible market reversal.
Support levels: 6.9, 5.96, 5.35
Resistance levels: 7,56, 9.31, 12.00
Market consolidation above the previously broken trend resistance and the 7.0 area will form a bullish potential that may activate a market rally towards these targets
COINBASE:BTCUSD CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2
Regards R. Linda!
"Heading: Altcoins on Track for $5 Trillion Surge by 2025"Anticipating a Massive Altcoin Season: Exploring Potential Growth in Market Cap
Introduction:
The cryptocurrency market is abuzz with predictions of an impending altcoin season that could lead to a staggering $5 trillion Altcoin MarketCap by 2025. This forecast is grounded in historical data, fractal analysis, and chart patterns, suggesting a pattern reminiscent of previous market cycles.
Historical Context:
Examining the historical data reveals intriguing patterns:
After the all-time low (ATL), it took 762 days for the Total Market Cap to surpass its previous all-time high (ATH).
If history repeats itself, a new ATH could be reached approximately 761 days from today, potentially around December 2024.
The last bull run lasted about 1066 days, and the current one is expected to span between 1071 to 1064 days.
Fractal Analysis:
The fractal analysis unveils a compelling narrative:
In 2014–2015, the market experienced 610 days of consolidation.
2016-2017 witnessed a parabolic rise in Altcoin MarketCap, hitting Extension 3.168 at around $400 billion.
2018-2019 saw another 609 days of consolidation before a breakout.
Currently, in 2022-2023, the market has undergone 548 days of consolidation, hinting at an imminent breakout.
Future Projections:
Building upon the historical context and fractal analysis, the projection for 2024-2025 unfolds:
Anticipating that Altcoin MarketCap will experience a surge, reaching Extension 3.168, estimated at $5 trillion.
The expected timeframe for this extraordinary surge is set for the period of September to October 2025.
Conclusion:
Considering the historical patterns, fractal analysis, and projected timelines, the narrative paints a bullish outlook for altcoins in the long term. The predicted Altcoin MarketCap of $5 trillion by 2025 suggests significant potential for growth and underscores the importance of keeping a keen eye on market dynamics in the coming years. As the cryptocurrency landscape evolves, investors may find compelling opportunities in the altcoin space, marking the potential for a substantial shift in market dynamics.
TOTAL MACRO ANALYSISTOTAL CRYPTO MARKET CAP;
-Has exploded since it entered into Ichimoku Cloud.
-Typically, we see prices reach the opposite side of the cloud.
-That area also lines up with the yellow neckline as resistance.
-I think we pump the remainder of the year for the most part.
-Could see a sell-off after the end of the year.
-I would think dips on the new year are for buying before the BTC halving
Please follow me here for more crypto analysis and a safer way to read charts to minimize risk.
**This idea is not financial advice, its just my 2 cents.
Thanks for your time!
~Cosmicbag
Alcoins- Is there still room for growth?Lately, many altcoins have risen above important resistance levels and gained a lot. So, a key question pops up: Can they still grow more? I believe so, and the chart shows why.
Looking at the chart, after hitting a low in 2022, Total2 CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 stayed in a range between 432 and 674. After the second resistance touch, it found new support at 500.
December started with a breakthrough above resistance, and now we are at 750 B.
With people feeling optimistic about the crypto market again, the most likely scenario is more growth.
As seen in the chart, the next big challenge is around 1 T, which is about 40% higher from where we are now.
To sum it up, the smart move seems to be buying altcoins when their prices drop (during corrections), especially near support levels. This way, you're in a good position for potential gains, going with the current market trends.
GLMRUSDT → Activation of the bullish pattern realization phase BINANCE:GLMRUSDT is lagging behind the overall growth of capitalization and altcoins. The coin is starting to show good potential and strong bullish dynamics. If bullish potential emerges, the coin will start to catch up quite actively with the increased market.
While the captalization and prices of many key altcoins have flown many % up, GLMR is now starting to show patterns and bullish momentum, which is a good signal for potentially big upside.
On d1, price is breaking the resistance of the descending channel and forming an ascending triangle, whose resistance is also already broken. Our task is to wait for the price to consolidate above the resistance zone and the emergence of a set-up for opening long positions.
Potential targets: 0.42, 0.44, 0.5.
Moving averages form a great signal for a bullish trend change.
Support levels: 0.2950, 0.2680
Resistance levels: 0.335, 0.400, 0.42, 0.5.
I expect consolidation above the previously broken resistance area, after which the bulls may start pushing the price up
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL COINBASE:BTCUSD
Regards R. Linda!
biggest CRASH in the world history The dollar is dying
You probably hear it all day long. The government is printing more money…
Congress is raising the debt ceiling…
The dollar is no longer backed by gold… or anything.
These are some of the reasons Robert Kiyosaki says the dollar is dying.
Like Robert Kiyosaki says…
“Wake up you guys. If you're saving US dollars, you're like the skipper on the titanic. You know they're going to have to print more and more and more and more all the time… This makes savers the biggest losers on planet earth.”
But here is what is fascinating… I know you will agree.
As the dollar gets weaker and weaker, Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies are getting stronger and stronger.
I’m going to say that again because it is so important. As the dollar gets weaker and weaker, Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies are getting stronger and stronger.
The giant hedge funds and investing firms are slowing their purchase of dollars and U.S. bonds...
They are now using their profits to buy cryptocurrencies.
The Wallstreet Journal reports that mainstream hedge funds are pouring BILLIONS of dollars into crypto. They go on to say that world famous traders including Alan Howard and Paul Tudor Jones are said to be increasing their trading in cryptocurrencies.
I can tell you firsthand that Robert Kiyosaki is.
You know what that tells you, of course. We all see it. If all the major players are getting in on cryptocurrencies, you’d better too.
TOTAL M TFFor dear Bear friends. Crypto will return to Bear market only if it will close below that Blue box.
Any correction until that Blue Box is OK for Bull continuation.
Above is the level 1.492T which is important to break to go higher.
It is Monthly chart, so if Total will keep its consolidation above blue box, then in few months we may see a good Bull Run
SUPREME TEST FOR CRYPTO MARKET!I am posting this #Chart for those who are too #BULLISH in the #Crypto market now!
1. Below I attach a Weekly chart on TOTAL.
I'm not going to explain what #TOTAL means, I recommend a research.
2.As you can see, this macro trend was broken and now the price has reached the retesting area of the trend line, which has now become a resistance + monthly resistance and the 0.5 fib level.
3.So here it becomes the ultimate test for the crypto market.
It is necessary for both resistances to be broken and confirmed so that breaking the trend line is actually a fakeout on a monthly basis.
4.A rejection from this point would mean less liquidity in the market and obvious corrections to measure.
I don't want to scare anyone, I'm not bearish, I'm simply following the evolution and price action.
Valuating BTC $461,265 & ETH $38,869 in 2024-25 (USD MODEL)
People pricing the market based on "Market Cap" on a new asset class that cannot be valued properly by a "Market Cap" need to check their models, I'm even more convinced something big will happen in 2024 as most Twitter comments (I've read thousands) are waiting for a 2025 (bull market) and think its completely out of the possibilities for the prices I have mentioned.
Cboe and institutions have expressed interest in Ethereum, and it's the only reason why I gave it a second look, even though I think the Ethereum Foundation is clueless. They're not going to be in control of Ethereum once they step in. My theory here is they don't want to pay to recreate a 'blockchain community'; they want to simply outright purchase Ethereum while it's cheap.
The current USDT market cap serves as a great proxy for assessing how much money can move the market. USDT is unique in that it's the only asset to which you can apply a proxy market cap, given its $1 = $1 circulating supply.
$17,362 billion or $17.36 trillion is the amount deposited in commercial banks in the USA. When comparing stable coins to bank deposits, the number varies, being 190-205 times larger than USDT. Yes, this is specific to commercial banking, highlighting that Tether (USDT) is much smaller than what many people perceive as 'real money' in the broader world of finance.
Let's run a simulation: once Spot ETFs are launched, and people participate in futures, it opens the doors for real banking and institutional money to access assets like BTC and ETH. To reach my price targets, a simple 9.85x increase in the money within this asset class is needed.
What does this indicate for the market caps of these assets?
Bitcoin: $9.0 trillion
Ethereum: $4.7 trillion
So, ultimately, Bitcoin will surpass in size, but in terms of performance, Ethereum has a chance to lead.
But is it impossible? Well, how does Bitcoin have a market cap shy of a trillion when there's less than 100 billion in stable coins? Additionally, not all of this is invested in Bitcoin. Indeed, market cap is a terrible metric, we still have retail money that moved Bitcoin by $10,000 on the thought of a Spot ETF approval.
If the Bitcoin spot ETF is approved before January 11, it's going to spark a FOMO rally from institutions, leading to inflows of potentially billions per week, and even billions per day
In addition to this, institutions will launch global marketing campaigns, and there will be daily TV reports on this asset class. Once the Spot ETF door opens to allow flows into this, you better have prepared your positions—I already have.
Larry Fink will talk about these assets but won't do internal & external marketing why?
he slipped up saying "crypto" is a flight to safety in October meaning he has done the same research and decided its go time.
hundreds > thousands ✅ 2010-2012
thousands > millions ✅ 2015-2016
millions > billions ✅ 2017-2019
billions > trillions ❔ 2023-2025