Total2 Market Cap vs BTC Market CapToday we are looking at ratio charts. We plot the ratio of Total 2 Market Cap (Total Crypto Market Cap excluding BTC) to BTC Market CAP. This ratio chart is making new lower highs this BTC Halving cycle. There seems to be no bounce from the lows and Alt coin season seems to be elusive. As we move towards the end of the halving cycle there is very little time left for this Alt season. To reach the previous cycle highs of 1.5 in the chart the Alt Coins have to more than double from here and BTC must remain at this price for the rest of the cycle. For this the total Crypto market cap must reach almost 5 trillion USD, which remains unlikely. A better estimate will be the ratio of Total 2 Market Cap vs BTC Market Cap ratio reaches 1.09 which will be 0.618 Fib retracement level. This 0.618 fib retracement repeats in many instances. The same is true for BTC.D. What do you think?
TOTAL2
Total market cap 2 - macro analysis ( expect $BTCUSD ) Hi 👋🏻 it's me your " Raj_crypt0 " is back 🔙 🎩
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 ( TOTALMAKETCAP2 ) crypto long run analysis ⏰ was here ..... ❣️
" It's important to close strong monthly above $1.71T " which makes bullish road clear "
🎯 ¹ - $2.5T ( 2.5 trilion dollars )
( When $2.5T was done before APRIL 2025 then , we aim for target 2 , if not it will turn as TOP 🔝 )
🎯 ² - $3.77T ( expecting potential TOP around 4 trillion dollar 💰 )
•
Note >>
don't think 🤔 all coins will complete " BULL RUN " 🔝 target's at index TOP 🎩
It depends on currency some complete " BULL RUN " at 1st target 🎯 some complete 💯 at 2nd target 🎯 INDEX ☝🏻 always show way to get exit and entry on entire portfolio 💰
( Yes 🙌🏻 i provided even " BEAR RUN " target 🎯 also but we can discuss later based on 🔝 )
TOTAL3 Chart Analysis.
The TOTAL3 chart, representing the entire Altcoin market except for Ethereum, has successfully broken its downtrend resistance, indicating a significant shift in market sentiment. With the RSI remaining comfortably above 60, bullish momentum is gaining momentum, indicating growing confidence among market participants.
Historically, this pattern precedes a macro bullish phase, where small-cap Altcoins begin to surge, led by Bitcoin and Ethereum. A break above the $1.1T level could act as a catalyst, potentially igniting a broader Altcoin season as capital flows into the Altcoin market.
Let me know if you’d like further assistance or adjustments!
DYOR. NFA
We are due a 2017 style ALT season.One for the memory banks!
Now
do we actually get what we are "owed" ?? :)
We don't know
and nothing is owed to us of couurse
But
Selling too soon could be quite disastrous... as many peopleI speak to say to me 5X - 10X I am out..
Which may be prudent
If you are out. Stay out and don't FOMO back in again near the tops
So it's best to scale out in my opinion
last cycle was a quite difficult Alt season ... some bag holders actually did not get to experience any euphoria
Hence why I am leaning to an exsplosive alt season
BTC at $70k doesn't feel euphoric
so what will it take?
Altcoins: What Comes Up Must Go Down?Giant Flat Correction could be built on the altcoins chart (less Ethereum)
Indicators:
-Collapse in three waves in 2021-2022 (wave A)
-Retest of 2021 peak in three waves in 2023-2024 (wave B)
-wave B retested the start of wave A and failed to grasp the bullish ground beyond
-first move down and small correction that keeps below all-time high could be the harbinger of new five waves down in wave C
Large wave C should at least retest the valley of wave A at 288b cap
What could be the reason?
-Altcoins could lose its shine as institutions prefer only BTC
-Some huge risk aversion in global economy
You are welcome to share your views in the comments below to enrich our outlook.
TOTAL2 Index Set to Surge Towards $2.5 Trillion!CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2
📈Which side you pick?
Bulls or Bears
This chart shows the gravity points for the TOTAL2 index. It also describes the potential targets and their different probabilities of realization. The nearest zones within this structure are highlighted in green.
After TOTAL2 broke above 1.29 trillion dollars, and with Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) decreasing, a very likely scenario for TOTAL2 is reaching the 2.5 trillion-dollar level.
⚡️Target:
2.5T
Altcoins Have Broken Out - In Case You Didn't Notice.Crypto Fam,
In case you didn't notice, altcoins have officially broken out of our bearish descending wedge. I am expecting 2025 to be a bull year and through April you should really see some massive pumping take place, especially with high MC memecoins.
Don't forget that my cycle theory is different this bull market but so far has proven correct. That is: BTC is bullish first often in sync with Solana, Solana Memecoins, and often accompanied by AI based alts/memecoins. The we see other memecoins pumping with continued strength from AI based coins. And finally we see the OG classic ALT follow the train. This seems to be the trend. I don't expect anything different this year.
As it pertains to ALTS on this chart, you can see I have drawn some resistance right around 1.13T MC. I would expect some pause here and maybe a slight pullback before the bulls gain enough momentum to break through. Then onward and upward we should proceed through April. I'll re-assess the macro outlook for all of crypto at this point.
✌️ Stew
TOTAL2/BTC Alts showing MAJOR WEAKNESS vs BTCAlts showing major weakness against BTC by Closing the Week in this trading region which will dump them another 15-20%
If BTC and Alts perform similar to last 2 cycles then Alts would have a 125 - 175% return above ₿itcoin
Notice the diminishing returns from each cycle 🧐
On a risk adjusted basis, the chart is suggesting that in future cycles it might just be better to be in BTC than Alts😲
Cautious Optimism with Signs of Potential RecoveryI don’t want to get ahead of myself, but...
1. **Higher Low Formation**:
- The chart is showing signs of stability with a **higher low** developing near a key support zone (aligned with the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement).
- This suggests buyers are stepping in at higher levels, indicating potential early strength.
2. **Oscillators: Mixed but Not Alarming**:
- **RSI**: Hovering around 47, showing neutral momentum. While it's not yet bullish, it's holding above oversold levels and is pointing slightly upwards.
- **CMF (Chaikin Money Flow)**: Just above neutral at 0.01, indicating weak but present capital inflow—far from ideal, but not overly bearish either.
- **OBV (On-Balance Volume)**: Flat, showing no strong accumulation or distribution. Volume patterns suggest cautious market participation.
3. **Trend and Resistance**:
- The price remains above the 200-MA, which reinforces the **long-term bullish trend**. However, the red box overhead (acting as resistance) is capping upward momentum for now.
- A breakout above this resistance would confirm strength, but until then, it’s wise to remain cautious.
4. **Parabolic SAR**:
- Dots have flipped below the price, signaling a **short-term bullish bias**, though confirmation is needed with higher volume.
Cautious Perspective:
- The **higher low** is a constructive sign, but oscillators and volume lack strong conviction.
- If buyers can push through the red box resistance and sustain above, a more robust recovery could take shape.
Risk-Reward Outlook:
- **Upside Potential**: Break above the red box opens the door to further bullish continuation toward higher Fibonacci levels.
- **Downside Risks**: Failure to hold the higher low could bring the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement back into focus as a potential target.
Patience and confirmation are key—let's not get ahead of ourselves just yet!
Would you like specific scenarios for trading strategies?
We start ALT Season now with 3 targets!Hello guys,
As you can see we have 3 targets🎯 green, blue, red,
which target we will reach?
It depends on the Fractal scenario on the right, So we will wait 2 clear trends,
each one has 3 tops and Clear correction between the up trends,,
Don't lose your positions and don't jump between currencies!
Also Don't burn your wallet with Future!
Spot is Enough!
A corrective scenario for the entire market, especially altcoins
Such a scenario is possible for TOTAL2. It is worth mentioning that in this scenario, all coins, including Bitcoin and Ethereum, will undergo price corrections, which could be between 55 to 75 percent for altcoins. This is a scenario that should be constantly monitored for signs. The market has become very hot and needs to cool down. USDT.d is also at a low level and is likely to rise.
#Altcoins Q4 2020 x Q4 2024#Alts market cap TOTAL2 After making a major rise after the US elections in November 2020, it made a major correction towards mid-December and started a parabolic run after being rejected from the ($177.8B) Fibonacci 0.5 support.
Altcoins, which made a major rise after the US elections in November 2024, started a major correction phase in mid-December,
It will not be surprising if the correction ($1.19T) continues up to the Fibonacci 0.5 level and starts moving upwards from the current level.