The 4 Crypto Market Cap charts and SMA's comparedTop Left TOTAL CRYPTO MARKET CAP
Top Right TOTAL 2 CRYPTO MARKET CAP ( Minus Bitcoin )
Bottom Left TOTAL 3 CRYPTO MARKET CAP ( Minus BTC and ETH )
Bottom Right OTHERS CRYPTO MARKET CAP ( Top 125 coins Minus Top 10 by dominance )
50 SMA RED
100 SMA BLUE
128 SMA GREEN
TOTAL Cap is the ONLY one that has broken above the 2021 ATH and has subsequently dropped back under but is still "touching the line" with a Wick up from the current candle.
It can also be seen how it is only the TOTAL chart that has remained easily above the 50 SMA since late 2023. The toer charts can be seen to have needed to bounce of it in 2024
The TOTAL 2 & 3 charts have very similar Candle moves and 50 SMA use.
To me, this is telling us about the Higher Cap ALT coins.
The fact that both TOTAL 2 ( Minus BTC ) and TOTAL 3 ( Minus BTC and ETH ) are similar shows me the little impact of ETH on price rise. These Charts are held up by the Higher ALT coins like SOL, INJ, SUI, XCN, HBAR to name a few. Most of these are still less than 100% gains over the last 12 months.
But what the slight Difference there is between the two charts does show us that ETH is a burden. It is dragging the TOTAL 2 chart down lwoer than the TOTAL 3 and that difference, though small on a monthly chart, is VERY SIGNIFICANT
OTHERS tells a huge story of how the Mid to Lower Caps are paying the price of Bitcoins adoption by Corporations and the fact that, as a result of these Corporations HOLDING, Bitcoin Dominance remaining High. The money that has once been used to Feed the ALT Market is static.
OTHERS is also the only chart that has fallen below its own 50SMA
That is not Bullish and very clearly shows how the Crypto Market has now matured and the absolute Tidal wave of New, worthless, useless ALT coins are failing.
This does not mean that will continue but I am inclined to believe that while we have such uncertainty in the world, the utter risk of investing in something with no use or history and security does not appeal to many.
To many extents, this could be seen as the beginning of the " Dot Com" Bubble burst for Crypto, where the best Coins / Projects are adopted and the rest, well, fall aside......
We shall see
Total2marketcap
New ratio chart: $TOTAL2/$BTCToday we are looking at a new ratio chart where we plot the CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 (Crypto market cap without Bitcoin) vs CRYPTOCAP:BTC market cap. As we see from the chart the ratio chart as we see is making lower lows and lower highs. ALTCOINS are bleeding against the CRYPTOCAP:BTC in this Crypto market cycle. The long-awaited ALTCOIN rally is still missing in this crypto market cycle.
With TVC:US10Y holding onto the 4.5% level there is very little respite from the pressure on the ALTCOIN market. The recent meltdown of the meme coin market is also adding pain to the $CRYPTOCAP:TOATAL2 Market cap.
If we plot the Fib retracement level from the top to the bottom in the ratio chart, then we see that the chart is @ 0.236 level. The chart pattern is not bullish, and it is still below the 0.236 Fib level. The chart is bearish and maybe the Ratio CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 / CRYPTOCAP:BTC touches 0.36. May be by then the CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D @ 66% as predicted in my blog on 9th Feb 2025.
$BTC.D is at key Fib Retracement level. More upside-expectedThe most important story of this Crypto cycle has been the relentless strength of CRYPTOCAP:BTC against other crypto. The index CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D which measures the dominance of BTC in the total Crypto market in terms of Market Cap hit its low in Dec 2021 when CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D hit a multi-year low of 39%. That means only 39% of the Total Market Crypto can be attributed to $BTC. But since then, the Fed quantitative tightening began and most of the cryptos faced a meltdown. Even though CRYPTOCAP:BTC faced a bear market in CRYPTOCAP:USDT terms but still it fell less than the average Crypto. Since then, the CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D chart has made a bullish double bottom and then made new higher lows and higher highs. If we plot the Fib retracement levels on the CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D weekly chart we saw recently that the Dominance chart stalled around 0.5 and 0.618 Fib levels. Since then, the Dominance chart has been making new highs and broken past the 0.618 . The next key level is 0.786 which will take the dominance to 66.12% percent. Watch out for my blog when CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D reaches the key level for more insights.
$TOTAL2 vs $USM2 RatioIn the crypto world many analysts watch the Money supply called M2 closely to determine the direction of the market. During the last crypto cycle, the CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 index (Crypto Market Cap without CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) hit an ATH when the M2 hit 21.75 Tn $. Since then, the M2 Money Supply has been trending down which resulted in a major bear market in the Alt Coin space.
If we look at the chart of CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 vs ECONOMICS:USM2 we see that the chart hit an ATH on Nov 21 with M2 peaking in March 22. The ratio chart hit a low on Jan 23 with M2 hitting the cycle low on Mar 23. Since then, the CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 vs ECONOMICS:USM2 has shown a steady recovery with an increased money supply. The current level of M2 is still below the peak of March 22. But with increasing M2 we can expect a bull run in the Alt coin market including $BTC. There have been recently some weaknesses in the chart on a short-term basis. Let’s see how the chart develops on a medium-to-long term. Until then watch out for this space. CRYPTOCAP:BTC CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 ECONOMICS:USM2
TOTAL2 Index Set to Surge Towards $2.5 Trillion!CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2
📈Which side you pick?
Bulls or Bears
This chart shows the gravity points for the TOTAL2 index. It also describes the potential targets and their different probabilities of realization. The nearest zones within this structure are highlighted in green.
After TOTAL2 broke above 1.29 trillion dollars, and with Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) decreasing, a very likely scenario for TOTAL2 is reaching the 2.5 trillion-dollar level.
⚡️Target:
2.5T
A Look Again At RSI The RSI is beginning to print very bullish horizontal movement that is the print of a bull market
The left hand side of this pattern is already printed, with the white vertical line being the middle of the pattern, now what is emerging is the right hand side of this larger structural pattern on the RSI, also indicative of a bull market.
Early 2025 is going to be very bullish.
Little white circle is where we are now corresponding to the last pattern if they evolve relatively the same.
#ALTSEASON is Coming! Don't Fall for the TRAP!I'll keep it brief—it’s all in the chart. TOTAL2 is simply retesting after breaking above the 50-weekly EMA, a historically strong signal for timing altseasons. The falling wedge pattern should break in the coming weeks with an impulsive move.
Current price action seems like a shakeout, pushing out weak hands right before the major rally everyone’s been waiting for.
This is not financial advice—DYOR—but IMHO, this is the worst time to give up. Being out of the market is riskier than holding, no matter how down your altcoin bags are.
Cheers!
Hit the like button If you like it, I'll be sharing more altcoin charts soon. Stay tuned!
#PEACE
Could Altcoins Rise This Weekend? Here's What We're Watching!Hey everyone! If you're enjoying this analysis, a thumbs up and follow would be much appreciated!
Total2 (Altcoin Market Cap) Update:
Total2, which tracks the total market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies excluding Bitcoin, appears to have broken out of a falling wedge pattern in the 4-hour timeframe. The price is also holding above the 50-day Moving Average (50MA), which can be a sign of support.
Expecting a good bounce in Alt M.cap up to $1.12T in the next few days. Keep a close eye on your favorite Alts this weekend.
What are your thoughts on Total2's current price action? Do you see a bullish pattern? Share your analysis in the comments below!
Thanks!
TOTAL2 - Monthly Strong Bull Phase BeginsIn each circle the alligator indicator can be seen to be stretched out or "open"
When in a state like this bull action is most common
This is the Monthly timeframe so patience is required for big gains, regardless we will be seeing more green days than red.
BULLISH
TOTAL2 update; ends sooner than you thinkTOTAL2 update; ends sooner than you think
now some months have passed we can see reasonably clearly where we are at since the last analysis right at the start of the macro move up.
obviously black swan etc can ruin this or it just does it differently this time. prob not though tbh and if there is a black swan id bet its around those dates. the events tend to fit the chart for some odd reason not the other way around.
leaning towards the early version. im seeing mid april on a lot of other fractals. basically double tops or just slightly higher last highs then splat.
or it just keeps marching up and up and we all get raris and citadels.
im good with either.
lfg
gl
ALTCOINS recovery is around the cornerHi traders
Altcoins are dimping way more than Bitcoin therefore let's have a look at TOTAL2.
TOTAL2 is in a downtrend but when we zoom out , we can see that in fact , it's just a consolidation inside the channel and long process of building the market structure.
It looks like we can see another crash (20 -25 %) in the altcoins market overall. Some altcoins will dump 20 % from current levels and some altcoins will go down probably even more, but it doesn't look like a market cycle phase when you want to short crypto s coins forever .
Chart shows opposity. We are in an accumulation phase on altcoins and dips are for buying.
In my opinion the problem is with increasing number of altcoins that exist .
As we analyze the Total2 (all altcoins' market cap) , but there are continually new coins coming to the market, it will be impossible for some altcoins to recover fully (and history shows that only few altcoins recover fully and make new all time highs), therefore it's recommended to choose altcoins wisely.
Anyway, once the accumulation phase is finished, we will see a mark-up phase where we would target 0.618 fib level (1,20T).
When it's gonna happen? Probably not in 2023. Patience is a key.
Long story short:
* If you wanna short, do so. But keep in mind that downside is limited
* DCAing into altcoins once (and if) we get the next altcoins crash may be a profitable strategy if you play it with a long-term horizon.
* Choose your altcoins wisely
* Be patient. Buy low, hold and sell high (0.618 fib leve)
What do you think?
Share your opinion!
Good luck
CONSERVATIVE ALTCOIN MARKET CAP PREDICTION WITH DATESThis is my conservative Total2 (no BTC included) altcoin market cap prediction for a minimum all-time high.
Following the past trend, we can expect a high around ~$2.9 trillion . This is +156% from our current price and only a +75% increase from the all-time high prior to the last high in 2021. The expected date is an estimate taken from the number of days from the 2nd last ATH to the last ATH.
The data is only a single set and should not be taken as fact in the slightest. However, if we use it as an estimate, we will reach a new ATH on October 27, 2025 , which is 609 calendar days from today.
This is a strictly TA breakdown of the Total2 market cap. With full transparency, I think it is realistic that we will see a greater move than this. We may see this trend line only as resistance before breaking even further above $2.9T. I have no time estimate for this.
Everyone knows we now have Bitcoin institutionally adopted. ETFs have exceeded inflow expectations and could lead to greater ATH's than predicted, which could be an indicator for the same moves for altcoins.
#ALTCOINS are about to surge higher than your expectation!#TOTAL2 : Altcoin market cap retraced to the local trendline support we plotted a few hours back. Continuation is highly likely from here.
Now isn't the time to be scared of the dip; these are opportunistic moments.
My plan: I don't want to buy in aggressively right now. Instead, I'll ladder in partially in case we hit the lower support of $630 billion.
#CryptoNews 📈
TOTAL2 Crypto Market Cap Bearish StophuntCurrently, there is a Bearish 12H and daily stophunt on the TOTAL2 market Cap, which is TOTAL minus BTC.
TOTAL2 is not showing a 3day Bearish stophunt like TOTAL is showing..
Stay tuned; likely to be a bloody weekend, but it may present us with some opportunities.
#altcoins will have a blood bath?Here' s the #altcoin #totalmarketcap incl. #ethereum . This chart shows , altcoins' market cap have come to the top of the channel. Declination here is will doom altcoin bag holders. Clear breaking channel with volume and weekly closings is the invalidation. I showed the support levels on the chart. The war is not good for markets, a friendly reminder. Always use stop losses. I don' t say buy or sell , always train yourself and this is NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE.
$BTC - The Struggle Continues - #Bitcoin's Uptrend still intact in terms of Price Action,
coming from the Lows of 15K .
Concerning is the fact that despite Bitcoin trending Bullish on regards of
Market Structure (series of HH & HL ) ;
it is trending so,
within a Rising Channel (i.e bearish flag).
Ahead of this current uptrend is the Golden Zone Fibbonaci Level
awaited to be faced as Resistance in the midst of a Critical S/R Zone.
Both of this targets should be flipped from Resistance to Support(retested)
in order for Bitcoin to be headed higher,
to trigger the price interest at 50k-65k ; W(tf) *OB a
(see the updated idea attached below)
Until further confirmations, CRYPTOCAP:BTC is likely to be headed to at least 35.000$
in the short term time frame.
Key S/R and Golden Zone may very well be the next stoping point to open shorts
TRADE SAFE
*** Note that this is not Financial Advice !
Please do your own research and consult your Financial Advisor before
partaking on any trading activity based solely on this Idea.