Total2usd
#ALTSEASON is Coming! Don't Fall for the TRAP!I'll keep it brief—it’s all in the chart. TOTAL2 is simply retesting after breaking above the 50-weekly EMA, a historically strong signal for timing altseasons. The falling wedge pattern should break in the coming weeks with an impulsive move.
Current price action seems like a shakeout, pushing out weak hands right before the major rally everyone’s been waiting for.
This is not financial advice—DYOR—but IMHO, this is the worst time to give up. Being out of the market is riskier than holding, no matter how down your altcoin bags are.
Cheers!
Hit the like button If you like it, I'll be sharing more altcoin charts soon. Stay tuned!
#PEACE
ALTCOIN MARKET UPDATEALTCOIN MARKET UPDATE
this is the bullish option obviously. that long term momentum looks,,, well placed. nicely shaped.
zoom in for various fractals; will be tracking them to see which one fits best but they share quite a few key targets.
that is if the bull is in control here.. pretty convinced.. guess it depends on the US election, ukraine etc
gl
Worried about holding Alts? Remember this chart!
The Alt market cap is currently showing strong support around the $1.112T mark. After a decisive breakout from the descending channel, we are now seeing a period of consolidation. This suggests a potential for further upside if support holds.
📈 Key Observations:
- Breakout from the descending channel indicates a bullish trend reversal.
- Support around $1.112T is crucial; maintaining above this level could lead to further gains.
- Watch the weekly close for confirmation of this trend.
Stay vigilant
Do hit the like button.
Thank you
#PEACE
TOTAL2 - Monthly Strong Bull Phase BeginsIn each circle the alligator indicator can be seen to be stretched out or "open"
When in a state like this bull action is most common
This is the Monthly timeframe so patience is required for big gains, regardless we will be seeing more green days than red.
BULLISH
TOTAL2 update; ends sooner than you thinkTOTAL2 update; ends sooner than you think
now some months have passed we can see reasonably clearly where we are at since the last analysis right at the start of the macro move up.
obviously black swan etc can ruin this or it just does it differently this time. prob not though tbh and if there is a black swan id bet its around those dates. the events tend to fit the chart for some odd reason not the other way around.
leaning towards the early version. im seeing mid april on a lot of other fractals. basically double tops or just slightly higher last highs then splat.
or it just keeps marching up and up and we all get raris and citadels.
im good with either.
lfg
gl
ALTCOINS recovery is around the cornerHi traders
Altcoins are dimping way more than Bitcoin therefore let's have a look at TOTAL2.
TOTAL2 is in a downtrend but when we zoom out , we can see that in fact , it's just a consolidation inside the channel and long process of building the market structure.
It looks like we can see another crash (20 -25 %) in the altcoins market overall. Some altcoins will dump 20 % from current levels and some altcoins will go down probably even more, but it doesn't look like a market cycle phase when you want to short crypto s coins forever .
Chart shows opposity. We are in an accumulation phase on altcoins and dips are for buying.
In my opinion the problem is with increasing number of altcoins that exist .
As we analyze the Total2 (all altcoins' market cap) , but there are continually new coins coming to the market, it will be impossible for some altcoins to recover fully (and history shows that only few altcoins recover fully and make new all time highs), therefore it's recommended to choose altcoins wisely.
Anyway, once the accumulation phase is finished, we will see a mark-up phase where we would target 0.618 fib level (1,20T).
When it's gonna happen? Probably not in 2023. Patience is a key.
Long story short:
* If you wanna short, do so. But keep in mind that downside is limited
* DCAing into altcoins once (and if) we get the next altcoins crash may be a profitable strategy if you play it with a long-term horizon.
* Choose your altcoins wisely
* Be patient. Buy low, hold and sell high (0.618 fib leve)
What do you think?
Share your opinion!
Good luck
CONSERVATIVE ALTCOIN MARKET CAP PREDICTION WITH DATESThis is my conservative Total2 (no BTC included) altcoin market cap prediction for a minimum all-time high.
Following the past trend, we can expect a high around ~$2.9 trillion . This is +156% from our current price and only a +75% increase from the all-time high prior to the last high in 2021. The expected date is an estimate taken from the number of days from the 2nd last ATH to the last ATH.
The data is only a single set and should not be taken as fact in the slightest. However, if we use it as an estimate, we will reach a new ATH on October 27, 2025 , which is 609 calendar days from today.
This is a strictly TA breakdown of the Total2 market cap. With full transparency, I think it is realistic that we will see a greater move than this. We may see this trend line only as resistance before breaking even further above $2.9T. I have no time estimate for this.
Everyone knows we now have Bitcoin institutionally adopted. ETFs have exceeded inflow expectations and could lead to greater ATH's than predicted, which could be an indicator for the same moves for altcoins.
TOTAL MARKET CAP: HISTORICAL CYCLES!People are talking a lot about altcoins in the cryptocurrency market. They think there might be a big season coming up where altcoins, which are alternative cryptocurrencies to Bitcoin, could be worth a total of $5 trillion by 2025. This idea comes from looking at past data and patterns in the market.
Historical
Let's look at some past data:
It took about 762 days for the total cryptocurrency market value to be higher than it ever was before.
If things happen like they did before, we might see a new high around December 2024.
The last time prices went really high lasted for about 1066 days, and this time it could be similar.
Fractal Analysis:
This is a fancy term, but it just means looking for similar patterns in the past:
Between 2014 and 2015, prices stayed pretty steady for about 610 days.
Then, from 2016 to 2017, the value of altcoins shot up to around $400 billion.
After that, from 2018 to 2019, there was another period of steady prices for about 609 days.
Now, from 2022 to 2023, we've seen about 548 days of steady prices, which might mean a big change is coming.
Future Projections:
Based on what we've seen before, here's what some people think could happen:
They're guessing that altcoins could be worth $5 trillion by 2025, which would be a huge jump.
They think this might happen around September or October 2025.
Conclusion:
Looking at all this information, it seems like altcoins could be in for a good run in the next few years. If they really do reach $5 trillion by 2025, there could be some big opportunities for investors. It's something worth keeping an eye on as things develop in the cryptocurrency world.
TOTAL 2 Cycles SynchronizationHere is the Cycles Synchronization of Crypto Total Market Cap Excluding BTC (TOTAL 2). At some point, between mid november and mid december 2025, I do expect around 3.5T Market Cap to be the top for the cycle. 1 year later, the Market Cap could be at around 1.5T, I think.
Will follow with interes...
#ALTCOINS are about to surge higher than your expectation!#TOTAL2 : Altcoin market cap retraced to the local trendline support we plotted a few hours back. Continuation is highly likely from here.
Now isn't the time to be scared of the dip; these are opportunistic moments.
My plan: I don't want to buy in aggressively right now. Instead, I'll ladder in partially in case we hit the lower support of $630 billion.
#CryptoNews 📈
TOTAL2TOTAL2
TOTAL2 is the total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies, excluding the total capitalization of BTC.
On the chart, after a long accumulation since May 2022, we see the first glimpses of growth. 2 week green candles.
For further growth, we need to break through the green resistance and gain a foothold above it. After this we will be able to take the following targets: 733 - 834 - 899
If this happens, then we will see how all the alts will start shooting. In case of updates, we will definitely inform you.
Don't forget to show your support by like(rocket) and comment✅
TOTAL2 is About to Explode!The crypto market is abuzz with a significant phenomenon - the shrinking of the total market capitalization, excluding Bitcoin (BTC). Contrary to what one might expect, this contraction often precedes a major pump in the world of cryptocurrencies, signifying the potential for exciting price movements. 🌌💥
Unpacking the Market Cap Contraction
Market cap contraction is a fascinating occurrence, one that hints at the complex dynamics of the cryptocurrency market. When we talk about the total market capitalization excluding Bitcoin, we're essentially looking at the collective value of all cryptocurrencies other than the big BTC.
The Compression Effect: A Precursor to a Pump
Why does contraction matter? It's because, in crypto, this phenomenon frequently acts as a precursor to a "pump," a substantial increase in prices. When the total market capitalization of altcoins starts to shrink within a defined range, it often indicates that the market is preparing for a major move.
Anticipating the Upward Surge
For crypto traders and enthusiasts, keeping an eye on this contraction is vital. It suggests that exciting price surges could be on the horizon for the world of altcoins. Such periods of compression often lead to increased trading activity, resulting in significant price movements.
Trading Strategy: Positioning for the Pump
As this exciting market cap contraction unfolds, cryptocurrency traders should consider crafting trading strategies to harness the potential pump. The market dynamics may offer numerous opportunities to capitalize on these upcoming price surges.
Conclusion: Crypto's Dynamic Landscape
Understanding the nuances of the crypto market is crucial, and the market cap contraction phenomenon is one of its fascinating aspects. As we navigate this period of compression, let's remain vigilant, prepared, and ready to embrace the opportunities that a potential pump can bring.
🚀 Crypto Insights | 💡 Trading Strategies | 💰 Market Analysis
❗See related ideas below❗
Share your thoughts and insights 💚🌐💚
#altcoins will have a blood bath?Here' s the #altcoin #totalmarketcap incl. #ethereum . This chart shows , altcoins' market cap have come to the top of the channel. Declination here is will doom altcoin bag holders. Clear breaking channel with volume and weekly closings is the invalidation. I showed the support levels on the chart. The war is not good for markets, a friendly reminder. Always use stop losses. I don' t say buy or sell , always train yourself and this is NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE.
TOTAL2 Hi Folks,
What is TOTAL2?
🔺For our new members:
--Total: It is the data that shows the total value of the entire cryptocurrency market.
--Total2: It is the data that shows the total value of all altcoins (excluding Bitcoin).
🔺Our Total2 data reached a record high of $1.70 trillion during the previous rally, followed by a sell-off wave that led to a drop to a local low of $435 billion.
🔺During this period, we witnessed many altcoins being delisted from the market or experiencing drpos of up to 90% in value, which was quite painful to watch.
🔺Technically speaking, we can say that this data set, which broke the downtrend, exhibited a consolidation performance in the first half of 2023.
🔺While tracking TOTAL2, we should not forget about stablecoins. It would be overly optimistic to say that the money exiting Bitcoin will flow into altcoins because we are currently not in a "bull rally" phase. The money leaving Bitcoin can also enter stablecoins.
🔺In the previous paragraph, I want to convey the following: It is now overly optimistic to say that if BTC.D (Bitcoin dominance) decreases, altcoins will rise. The money leaving Bitcoin may enter stablecoins, which could cause an increase in the TOTAL2 data, but it does not necessarily mean that altcoins will increase.
Things to Know Before Investing
🔺In the second part of this article, we will discuss what needs to be known before making investments.
🔺First and foremost, we are currently in a consolidation zone from a technical standpoint, as you can see on the chart. The decisions of the Federal Reserve (Fed) will directly affect this consolidation process. Especially on the day this article was written, there is an 80% probability of a 0.25 basis point interest rate hike at the next Fed meeting.
🔺Even if the Fed ends the interest rate hike process, experts predict that interest rates will remain high until 2024, and 10-year bond yields are already above 3.50%. While interest rates are at such high levels, it is still too early to expect a significant bull season for risk assets.
🔺As if the Fed alone is not enough trouble, we also have the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) going after altcoins. In recent days, the SEC filed lawsuits against both Binance US and Coinbase. However, to understand these lawsuits most simply, it is necessary to look at the Ripple case, which has been fighting against the SEC for years. The outcome of this case is likely to set a precedent.
🔺There is one important thing not to be forgotten: Even ETH was distributed/sold at very cheap prices to raise the necessary funds during its initial sale (approximately 16%). Unfortunately, this harsh reality exists for altcoins, and unreliable projects are prone to failure. Bitcoin, on the other hand, stands apart from altcoins as it never had an initial sale. We will address this topic again in another article.
Technical Data
🔺Altcoins haven't died; they are struggling to survive and providing buy-and-sell opportunities with high-profit margins to investors who use the right channels.
🔺Looking at TOTAL2, we can see that the downtrend was broken in January 2023, and it is consolidating and gathering strength before the next bull rally.
🔺$1.06 trillion is a critical pivot (fib 0.5). If there are closing prices above this level, we can say that the bull market has arrived. Otherwise, it will still present reasonable profit opportunities but will remain a reaction rally.
🔺Additionally, during the 2017-2018 rally, there were around 1,000 (let's leave the exact number to those who remember) altcoins, whereas currently there are over 25,000 altcoins. Choosing the right altcoin is crucial when there is a significant amount of money in the market. The number of slices in the cake has increased at least 25 times.
🔺Currently, the TOTAL2 data is testing the "AlphaTrend Sell Zone" resistance at $540 billion. If there are no closing prices above this level, selling pressure could increase.
🔺While the MACD generates buy signals, the RSI is struggling to break the 50-point resistance on the daily chart. If the RSI can close above 50 points, we can anticipate an acceleration in the upward momentum; otherwise, we expect increased selling pressure.
Bonus Chart 1: BTC.D 1W
🔺Bitcoin dominance continues to increase. Closing prices above 50.15 points can push Bitcoin dominance up to 54 points, which is expected to hinder the strengthening of the TOTAL2 data.
Bonus Chart 2: BTC.D vs ETH.D (Last 1 Month)
🔺In the past month, we witnessed Bitcoin dominance surpassing Ethereum dominance. But why?
🔺In its simplest form, we can say that the applications for spot ETFs for Bitcoin have played a role in this.
Dear reader, if you have read this far, I'm sure you have enjoyed it. You can give me feedback by liking and commenting. And if you happen to click on the share button, you can share this knowledge with people in your circle and together we can become stronger.
Total 2 - Altcoins minus BTC TOTAL 2 - Crypto Market Cap minus BTC
Three confirmations for bull status
1. Above 100 week SMA (No where close)
2. Complete 149 weeks in Pennant (Dec 2023)
3. Break above Point of Control (POC)
The 2018 - 2020 fractal is overlaid for perspective only
The Point of Control (POC) is the price level at which the greatest number of contracts have been traded within a volume profile (THICK RED LINE).
This line naturally coincides with resistance overhead.
Its important to recognize that the chart is just a perspective that aims at helping with timing an entry with a good potential outcome. With three indicators backing your trade you would have a better probability outcome. So we wait for the three confirmations to occur. Could you be accumulating sure.... but why would you when we are under the 100 week SMA appear to have more time to burn before a Bitcoin cycle really kicks off never mind the altcoins. Its important to recognize also that this chart includes ETH and ETH has been performing exceptionally well this cycle. I will be completing another chart excluding eth in coming days.
I hope this chart helps you time your trade and your positing into altcoins, when the time is right, when we have confirmations and the wind at our back.
PUKA
Important levels and dates for $altcoinsStill think we'll see one push higher before the continuation of the bear market, however, alts may have a capitulation move first.
If we look at Total2, we can see that $484B never got retested as support. So it would make sense that price action would need to test that level before a continuation higher. If it does get hit and bounces off that level, you can see the chart would form an inverse head and shoulders pattern.
I could see a large bounce higher happening after to tag one of the higher two resistances (I lean towards the $800B one).
Let's see if this plays out in the coming months. It looks like this would all need to play out before August.