Total3 dumping, BTC crash. The untold reason.You'll hear it all over Twitter and YouTube: "The FED scared investors, and they decided to pull their money out, blah blah."
Let's be real—that's utter nonsense.
Investors had no real reason to pull money out of altcoins. Where would they move it to? The real story lies with the whales manipulating CRYPTOCAP:BTC to trap the ones who sold their CRYPTOCAP:BTC too early..
Here’s what really happened: we had a mini altseason, where many CRYPTOCAP:BTC holders took profits and shifted into altcoins. This caused a pump in CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 and a drop in BTC.D.
But then, to punish these moves and siphon off profits, the whales decided to crash CRYPTOCAP:BTC , conveniently using the FOMC as a cover.
If you sold CRYPTOCAP:BTC at, say, 100k and moved into riskier assets like SEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:FLOKI , SEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:BONK , or CRYPTOCAP:UNI , the whales made you lose 40%-50% of your capital by dumping CRYPTOCAP:BTC just 10%. Where did that lost value go? Straight into their pockets.
I know people who thought they were being clever, saying, "This is the peak; I'm moving to alts for x2 or x3 gains." Now they’ve lost 50% and are kicking themselves, wishing they’d never sold their $BTC.
This isn’t random. It’s not a coincidence. It’s a coordinated play to vacuum up the profits from anyone thinking they could outsmart the system.
DYOR.
Total3
DOGE | ALTCOINS | All Time High NOT YET INDoge, together with other alts such as ETH and SOL have not yet made a new high that is justified according to the increases on BTC. After a 45% correction over 2 weeks, DOGE is likely ready for another push up.
This reminds me much of the previous cycle, where alts lagged behind until a few weeks AFTER BTC actually topped out.
Here, you can find much more detail on how to watch the BTC.D chart to call the top:
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BINANCE:DOGEUSDT CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3
TOTAL3 - Altcoin Season DelayedCryptos are currently in correction mode, which could be a good time to accumulate.
TOTAL3 has an interesting setup, with the next relevant support at 765B-800B, which was the previous high in March 2024, and coincides with the daily SMMA (red line).
If we see a positive reaction in this area, we could at least retest the bearish trend line we have formed in the last few days.
I will update this idea as the setup develops.
TOTAL3 - UniverseMetta - Analysis#TOTAL3 - UniverseMetta - Analysis
After reaching $1.16T, the chart formed a second peak, followed by a retest that completed a three-wave structure. The first target of the pattern has already been achieved. The next targets are $791.16B, with a worst-case scenario of $564.76B. However, the channel is still forming, and the price could remain within it.
Historical analysis of year-end movements for major assets (BTC, ETH, SOL, etc.) indicates that prices often stay in a corrective phase (ABC structure) until the end of December, followed by growth. This is not financial advice, but rather an observation of past trends.
Target levels: $791.16B - $564.76B
Bearish USDT.D Bounce Off Support Trendline, Total 2 + Total3 Here's a follow up study to my USDT.D analysis from a few weeks ago, showing the markets typically sell off and put in a near term market top when Tether Dominance bounces off this key trendline (since 2018).
This is likely a sign of further downside on Bitcoin and the Total Market Cap with a further 20% correction likely before we bounce again. Hopefully in time for a Santa Claus Rally.
Also I look at how price clearly rejected on the Total 2 and Total 3 Market Cap's at the old ATH's from 2021. So it's no surprise markets are selling off here.
I've been saying 'Show me the charts, and I'll tell you the news' for years...
So while Powell's comments today were Bearish, it was incidental.
The market needed a cooldown, and the FOMC comments today were just the catalyst.
Let me know what you think below, and go ahead and like the video if you'd like me to do more of these here on the TV channel.
For more about us, check out the links in my Bio.
Expect Volatility for Altcoins: Key Levels to WatchTOTAL3 (Total Market Cap excluding BTC and ETH) is currently oscillating between $1 Trillion and $1.1 Trillion, presenting a tight range that traders are closely monitoring. Here’s what could happen next:
1. Range Rebound: A dip to $1 Trillion with a strong bullish rejection at this support could drive the market to test the top of the range at $1.1 Trillion.
2. Breakout Opportunity: A successful breakout above $1.1 Trillion would signal bullish momentum, potentially lifting Altcoin Market to $1.2 Trillion and marking the continuation of Altseason.
3. Bearish Scenario: Failing to hold the $1 Trillion support level would likely trigger short-term bearish sentiment, pushing Altcoin Market cap down by approximately 10%, targeting $0.9 Trillion.
BTC | ETH | ALTSEASONBitcoin is trading just underneath yet another ATH, and I'm watching the ETH chart in anticipation for a new ETH All Time High - there is just no way that BTC makes such a marvelous high and Eth stays behind.
The beauty of this, furthermore, is that during and especially AFTER a new ETH ATH, we can expect to see more rallies across the alt market, especially on the coins that have been lagging behind. This however, will also signal the beginning of the end of the bullish cycle.
This post specifically delves into more detail on TOTAL3, BTC.D and the Bitcoin chart. You can to watch it for key indications as to when the bullish cycle is turning bearish:
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CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D BINANCE:ETHUSDT BINANCE:BTCUSDT
ALT COINs breaking the almost 2 year descending channelI made an interesting comparison between the TOTAL3 (ALT COIN Market Cap, i.e, excluding BTC and ETH) and the BTC Market Cap.
As you can see this ratio just broke the 2 year descending channel with big volumes, projecting a 1:1 capitalization between the two.
Heres are some key notes:
The RSI and MACD bullish divergences also suggest a strong trend reversal.
BTC Market Cap can easily reach 3 trillion dollars , the 2.618 fibonacci extension. This is a reasonable assumption since, in the last run, it reached the 4.236 extension quite fast. If both market caps should match - and my projection gets it's way - that means a 2 trillion dollars increase in the ALT COINs market capitalization (almost 3x)
I've been accumulating on a couple of alts since the end of last year, and I hope now is the time to bring some returns on that.
Stay safe!
Variation of last chart but daily. Alt scenario guess from here This here is a variation of my last but just on the daily instead and another wishful thinking price scenario guess for the altcoins from here. Came up with this scenario guess by using an amalgamation of different ta principles i picked up here and there like described on last chart mixed with a little bit of just intuition guessing, moon cycle theories, and real world time events. Could be totally wrong, not an expert, just throwing my guess based on my level of knowledge, just in case it turns out to be spot on.
TOTAL 15M: Hidden Bullish Divergence on Fake-OutThe Total Crypto Market Cap is displaying a significant technical setup on the 15-minute timeframe. We've observed a hidden bullish divergence forming in conjunction with a false breakout pattern, suggesting strong continuation potential. The market has maintained its structural integrity despite the fake-out attempt, indicating robust underlying strength.
The primary trend direction remains bullish, evidenced by the series of higher lows forming on the 15-minute chart. A notable hidden bullish divergence has emerged between price action and the RSI indicator, where price made higher lows while the RSI showed lower lows - a classic continuation signal in an uptrend. The market's reaction to the false breakout demonstrates strong buying pressure, as prices quickly recovered and resumed the upward trajectory.
Price Targets
Based on the technical structure and the measured move from the pattern:
Initial Target: $3.85T (near-term resistance level)
Secondary Target: $4.0T (psychological round number)
Extended Target: $4.2T (based on previous move projection)
Entry Conditions
Primary entry at current market price ($3.51T) following confirmation of hidden divergence
Secondary entry on any pullback to $3.45T support level
Initial Stop Loss: $3.42T (below the recent swing low to protect against further fake-outs)
Take Profit Levels:
TP1: $3.85T (25% position size)
TP2: $4.0T (50% position size)
TP3: $4.2T (remaining position)
Stop Loss Placement: Below the recent swing low to accommodate market volatility
Position Scaling: Consider scaling into the position with 50% at entry, 50% on pullback
Market Conditions to Watch: Bitcoin's price action, as it often leads market direction
Additional Considerations
The presence of a false breakout followed by quick recovery suggests strong underlying buying pressure. The hidden bullish divergence adds significant weight to the continuation thesis, particularly given the overall market strength.
Bullish Case: Maintained as long as price holds above $3.42T with RSI showing positive momentum
Invalidation: A clear break and close below $3.42T would negate the setup
The broader crypto market is showing strength, with major cryptocurrencies maintaining their upward momentum. This macro context supports the bullish continuation scenario for total market capitalization.
TOTAL3 2H: Bull Flag Formation - 1.6T TargetThe TOTAL3 index, representing the total cryptocurrency market capitalization excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum, is displaying a bullish continuation pattern in the form of a bull flag. The market has established a strong uptrend, followed by a consolidation period that appears to be setting up for another leg higher.
Key Technical Observations:
The primary trend is decisively bullish, with price action showing a steep ascent from around 600B to 1.14T market cap. The recent consolidation has formed a flag pattern, with parallel downward-sloping lines containing the price action. This type of consolidation after a strong move is typically a continuation pattern, suggesting the bullish momentum may resume. The volume profile during the consolidation appears to be diminishing, which is characteristic of flag patterns and supports the continuation thesis.
Price Targets:
Based on the measured move technique for flag patterns, taking the flagpole's height and projecting it from the breakout point, the primary target extends to approximately 1.6T. This projection aligns with the principle that crypto markets often extend previous moves after corrections. The target represents a significant psychological level that could act as a major resistance zone.
Trading Setup:
- Entry Conditions: Look for a decisive break above the upper flag boundary at approximately 1.14T, preferably with increased volume
- Initial Stop Loss: Place below the lower flag boundary around 1.07T
- Take Profit Levels: Primary target at 1.6T, with potential intermediate resistance at 1.3T and 1.4T
Risk Management:
- Stop Loss Placement: The tight consolidation pattern allows for a relatively close stop loss, improving the risk-reward ratio
- Market Conditions to Watch: Monitor Bitcoin and Ethereum's price action as they can influence the broader market sentiment
Additional Considerations:
The current consolidation is occurring at all-time high levels for TOTAL3, suggesting strong underlying strength in the altcoin market. The clean technical pattern, combined with the strategic location of the consolidation, provides a favorable setup for continuation.
Trade Validation:
- Bullish Case: A high-volume breakout above 1.14T would confirm the pattern
- Invalidation: A decisive break below 1.07T would negate the immediate bullish setup
Market Context:
The altcoin market has shown significant strength relative to Bitcoin and Ethereum, indicating growing interest in the broader cryptocurrency ecosystem. This suggests potential capital rotation into alternative cryptocurrencies, which could support the bullish thesis.
ALTS Market Cap Chart AnalysisThe ALTS market cap has broken out of a descending broadening wedge, triggering a strong bullish rally. However, it is facing resistance at a key horizontal supply zone.
The Ichimoku Cloud shows strong bullish momentum, indicating the possibility of a continued upward move. A decisive breakout above this resistance level could trigger a significant rally, further strengthening the upward trajectory of the ALTS market.
For updates on other coins or personalized insights, feel free to reach out to DM.
@Peter_CSAdmin
Massive -17% flash crash! Stop loss hunting, liquidity grab!CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 experienced a historic flash crash that impacted all altcoins, with most losing up to 25% within minutes before bouncing back.
This coordinated crash likely affected many cautious holders who had placed stop-loss orders at -10% to -20%, waking up to the unpleasant realization that they lost significant positions during the event.
This incident highlights the brutal nature of unregulated markets. Additionally, numerous leveraged longs were likely liquidated, particularly in the altcoin sector.
The $100 billion drop has undoubtedly caused widespread pain but could also inject liquidity into the market, potentially fueling a future upward move.
Leverage remains inherently risky, and stop-loss orders must be carefully monitored to avoid falling victim to these liquidity-grab tactics orchestrated by market makers.
In this market, it’s not just trading—it’s a battlefield. Stay vigilant.
TOTAL3 ChartHey,
Normally I don't share lower-timeframe crypto charts, cuz I find that irrelevant.
However, due to the massive amounts of greed and fear in the markets...
It might be nice to get my view on things.
The market is sitting in the last push (which can be the largest)
But this type of price-action and volatility goes both ways.
A chart never just moves up without printing hh's and hl's.
A chart has structure, and makes sense.
Total3 tapped below the 1trillion.. after spiking to new ATHs.
I see it go higher from this clean demand area later this week.
Kind regards,
Max Nieveld
Say It Back #Altseason
#Alts market cap TOTAL3 2021 #Altcoins rose 220% after breaking the 2018 ATH level ($358B), which was the major resistance before the parabolic run, reaching a local peak of $1.13T.
Major run will be inevitable after the breakout and retest of the 2021 ATH level of $1.13T is completed.
Alikze »» BITCOIN | Wave 3 of 3 bullish super cycle scenarioAccording to the previous analysis regarding Bitcoin, it is moving in a long-term ascending channel in the monthly time frame.
💎 Currently, according to the type of behavior and movement structure, it is in wave 3 of 3 super cycles.
💎 But since 2018, after a movement cycle and a correction in the form of a three-wave to the bottom of the channel in the range of $16,000, this correction ended.
💎 After that, it started another kinetic wave, which ended in the support range of the green box of its corrective wave 2, and is currently in wave 3, which overlaps with 100% Fibo of the previous wave, which is the range of $78,000.
💎 If this current wave 4 correction wave has started, it can be reviewed according to the analysis of the previous post ( here ), which you can follow its updates by referring to that post, at the same time, this wave should not enter the territory of wave 1. The chart is specified. In that case, the post should be updated and the scenario should be checked instead.
💎 But in its super cycle, as mentioned, this wave is in wave 3 of 3, which will have the ability to reach the red box numbers of the specified supply limit and up to 1.618 fibo to the range of $369,000.
💎 Going through a full cycle of 5 waves will have the ability to reach the range of $2,700,000. Please note that these numbers are in the monthly time frame and it is natural that the time to reach these goals will certainly require more time, which should be reviewed and updated step by step.
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