ALTS getting SHELLACKED!! Things to ConsiderI've been sounding the alarm on several aspects of crypto for a while now and gotten some pretty laser-ish and scalpy action on a number of calls. So here are a few points that might help you understand the crypto situation as a whole, not just TA but some of the things to keep in mind as we fumble about for market direction :
1. Crypto market is still somewhat of a "Wild West" situation and the regulatory issues are FAR from settled. This creates significant risk especially when the Fed clowns are pulling levers to maintain the USD as "the world dominant" currency. We all thought Mr. MIT Blockchain would be there for us but Gensler wears the same red shoes as Mr. Wiggles who runs Benjamins off the presses faster then the snack cakes disappear two weeks into the wife's New Years resolution diet. We don't really have friends when it comes to regulators, taxation and impending policies. These jackholes do not care one IOTA for the little guy.
2. Dark pool liquidity. I skim through the main chat feed on here and see "manipulation . . manipulation . . " rants all over the place. Well ya, it's just a reality of bigger fish eating littler fish. But more importantly, people need to understand that the powers that be DO NOT WANT YOU TO CONTROL YOUR OWN FINANCIAL DESTINY. This includes NOT having your own "decentralized" currencies. THEY WANT THEIR POUND OF FLESH. The WEF, Davos d!cks, Klaus and all these fat cats that influence the flow of money in the world have been saying . . "You will own nothing, and be happy". . Convinced? (on the happiness aspect)? Neither am I. But the point is, the powers that be can unleash their hidden pools of liquidity to completely liquidate all noobs (and intermediate traders) coming into crypto. FLASH WICKS ARE A CERTAINTY!!
3. Leading and Lagging Indicators. I've been correlating the SPX for over a year since getting seriously into crypto. What's funny is that a lot of idea guys here must have been reading my comments and posts because there was a sudden stream of ideas on the SPX / BTC effect.
4. Indicators - Leading and Lagging (observed)
A. XRP flash wicks serve as great leading indicators for marketwide direction
B. SPX lags XRP in this regard while leading BTC (this is key)
C. BTC then brings weight on TOTAL3
I left out ETH because I've NEVER had any kind of positive experience with ETH or any ERC20 token. I've always paid ridiculous fees and had to jump trough hoops just to transact with it. Sorry ETH dudes.
So in looking at the current charts, the trend is still your friend and TA is great UNTIL it isn't when the dark pool overlords want you out. I tossed a Fib chan up on here because it's pretty adherent and may give you some ideas on entry and exit points. I've personally been sitting on a large wad of Tether and actually started buying into this bloodshed. I've got long bags from the garage days and won't let those go even if zero day comes.
Feel free to ping on ideas and as always, Good luck my dudes!
Disclaimer : Not investment advice, DYOR
Total3
ETHBTC, Its ready to have some rises of altcoinsHello everybody
ETHBTC is one of the most important pair for the movement of total 2 and 3 because ...
If you want to learn Fundamental & Technical analysis send us messages ---> Our id is in profile
According to the chart, After we are ranging price in market today after unemployement rate reported the price impact to it and make new rally.
After the price was make breakwave and we need some pullback and we can take in position on any altcoins after pullback completed and we can wait until the target reach.
Please observe capital management and dont forget use stop loss
Good Luck
Abtin
MY MINIMALIST CHART ANALYSIS TOTAL 3TOTAL CRYPTOCURRENCY MARKET CAP
01.24.22
1522H +8 SINGAPORE
Disclaimer:
The findings of the following analysis are the sole opinions of the publisher of this idea and should not be taken as a piece of investment advice.
Still, a long way to go for the completion of a Head and Shoulder Pattern.
Bearish measured move completed. Waiting for a 2nd touchdown on a daily.
ALERT:
Looking now for an ENTRY to a short to midterm LONG SWING trade.
Based on VITAL SIGNS ( RSI, STOCH, VOL., MA VOL.) Looks healthy:
1. RSI at 30ish still room for oversold.
2. STOCHASTICS is LOW. We can expect a temporary push upwards on a daily.
3. Volume still needs to generate more SUPPLY for a huge volume of BUYERS to come in.
4. Looking at key support at 599 zones for a reversal in trend.
5. We can then expect strong support at the 423-599 for completion of a Head and Shoulder Pattern, right at the bottom of the MAJOR BLUE BOX, MINOR YELLOW BOX, and the ENTRY AREA OF VALUE MARKER.
Hoping that the market does not break any MAJOR or MINOR BOTTOM of our BOXES for a REVERSE in TREND. Again, if it does, it will be a BUYERS MARKET and good for us all RETAILERS.
Looking back months ago when the MINIMALIST BOX ANALYSIS was made.
The Market had amazingly moved along the TOPS and BOTTOMS of our BOXES, signifying TURNING POINTS of PRICE ACTION, and verified by major FIB levels.
Hoping that this MINIMALIST BOX CHART ANALYSIS will efficiently help you with your DYOR as we climb a NEW SWING CYCLE.
INSTRUCTIONS:
HOW TO USE THIS MINIMALIST CHART a.k.a (Bento Box)
"FOLLOW THE WHITE RABBIT!"
Just Follow the TOPS and BOTTOMS of the BOXES as a GUIDE where the MARKET will take you.
PUBLISHED IDEA is created on a MONTHLY, WEEKLY & DAILY Analysis of a MARKET'S CHARACTER.
It is designed for SWING TRADES at the LOWEST or START of a SWING CYCLE.
Q/A: What are the BOXES for? It is a ROAD MAP for TARGET ZONES IDENTIFICATION.
The LARGE BOXES (Tops and Bottoms) are MAJOR turning points that will occur sometime in the future. While the SMALL BOXES (Tops and Bottoms) are MINOR turning points.
These can be entries to a BUY/ SELL POSITION, EXIT/PARTIAL EXIT/TOP-UP AREAS, as well as Support and resistance levels
Also includes MAXIMUM TARGET EXIT AREA OF VALUE - CONSERVATIVE (If price action conditions are right at that given moment.)
If it cannot break a TOP or BOTTOM of a BOX, It signifies a reversal.
At times I will include a WAY BEYOND PARABOLIC PRICE TARGET, depending on The Character of the Market (CRYPTOS ONLY).
DYOR for your Volume, Chart Patterns, Candlestick Math, FIB COILS, Price Action, FIB LEVELS, Market Dynamics, especially institutional and retailer trading psychology.
Stay away from FOMO and FUD.
NOTE: That PRICE TARGETS for ENTRY and EXITS are DYNAMIC and can CHANGE from time to time.
My Published Ideas are not 100% Accurate. There are many factors at a given time that can change the forecast.
It is all based if the right conditions are met. Generally, it will follow the MINIMALIST BOXES.
Wishing you all The Best Trades and Thank you all for your Appreciation and Support of my work.
Much thanks to my 3 great mentors. They are so much of a blessing that I also wish to share my knowledge of what I was taught.
Vive Le Autist!
Vive Le Diamond Hands!
Need a break from updating analysis :D*** Hello My Dear Followers,
Just would like to let you know that won't be updating "ANY" of my predictions from now on
coz I need to ---- take a break - ******concentrate while trading *****,
gardening, play with my cat , read books, practice meditation & exercise ----
.... "TradingDetox" I would say :P
.
.
JFYI
Trade safe <3 _/|\_ Really thank you for your support
and people in this community that's been a lot helpful for learning
There's still a lot to learn and practice...
.
XX
TOTAL CRYPTO-CAP, Complete H-S-Formation, Precarious Now!Hello,
Welcome to this analysis about the total cryptocurrency market cap and the daily timeframe perspectives. The whole market recently heavily dumped to the downside which happened simultaneously with the stock market also dumping and after the news came around that the European Union Financial Regulatory Arm wants to completely ban Proof-of-Work mining, this had immediate dramatic effects on the market with nearly all coins heavily declining to the south. Now in this development the whole market as I detected completed the main formation with this mega dump and now there are further determinations that should be considered when looking forward. In any case, we currently should not underestimate the possibility of a bearish continuation and be prepared for it. In this manner, I detected all the important levels and upcoming developments we need to consider here.
Structural Developments:
As when looking at my chart we can watch there how the total cryptocurrency market cap has formed this massive decisive head shoulder formation with all elements of the formation already completed and recently the breakdown happened below the neckline which technically completed the whole formation. In a YouTube video, I explicated this formation, you can still watch it as it is still active. Now as the total cryptocurrency market cap dumped into the 640 Billion US-Dollar support marked in my chart in grey this is a crucial level because it will decide upon the upcoming outcomes of either a possible reversal or not. For now, the total cryptocurrency market cap has a major resistance cluster marked in my chart in red where several resistances coming together and with that being said when the total cryptocurrency market cap moves into this zone a heavy pullback will be highly likely.
Upcoming Determinations:
Taking all these factors into the consideration it will be highly conclusive on how the total cryptocurrency market cap moves after pulling back off the resistance cluster, if the market then breaks down below the 640 Billion US-Dollar support then a wave C extension will be indicated as it is seen in my chart. Otherwise when this does not happen, which is the less possible scenario is when the market stays above this main support and initially manages to stabilize within to form a reversal in this area however according to the strength of the breakdown and the high intensity with which bearishness showed up in the market the initial bearish continuation scenario has a higher possibility as the final head shoulder target zone still has not been reached yet this will happen with the wave C extension. For now, we need to be prepared for such bearish volatility continuations.
In this manner, thank you for watching the analysis, all the best!
"The high destiny of the market is to explicate, rather than to speculate."
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
TOTAL3 • extra comments on previous postHi guys since previous idea/post got so much engagement with different opinions. Here's a bit more further thoughts on the TOTAL3 chart.
Again. I'm thinking in terms of probabilities and risk reward in the context of the macro trend. I am not focusing on the daily and intraday moves here.
Let's look at this structurally.
TOTAL3 -Going down FORECAST NEXT WEEKLY TREND CHARTTOTAL3 -Going down FORECAST NEXT WEEKLY TREND CHART
If you like this analysis, smash the "like button" and leave a comment below to share your thoughts
or let me know what crypto you want to see!
Trading is a reflection of yourself. Learn more daily and be ready for every opportunity.
Have a nice trading!
Another ALTSEASON after this correction? Trading kept Simple.Please Like or Follow if you enjoyed this content.
UPDATE: Total3 (Cryptomarketcap minus BTC and ETH martketcap) dips into support. Altcoin marketcap is moving in a range. So it's not man over board. Fear is high. Marketcap can dip to 700B, and we are still in the same range. Either it goes sideways here or one more dip. And we are gonna see another Altseason. Question is are we gonna see a mini Altseason or a MONSTER ALTSEASON?
RSI is now about the same level as the May bottom. One more leg down to scare people out, so the whales can pump one more time? The price is currently on the negative side of the Ichimoku . But that's not something we haven't seen before.
My 'Supertrend Ninja' indicator gave only 3 bullish signals for ALTSEASONS in 2021. Making each signal very reliable. I am patiently waiting for the first bullish ALTSEASON signal in 2022. "The Crypto market is a device to transfer money from the impatient to the patient.”
With each trade proper risk management is essential. Either by using my script "Trailing Stoploss Bottom Activation indicator", visible as grey dots below the candles. Which sends an alert, when current price goes below the previous candle low. Or using my "Heikin Ashi Trailing Stoploss Activation", the indicator(in my scripts) with green and red blocks. Or third option, exit when the Supertrend Ninja indicator displays a vertical red line with a downwards pointing black arrow. Remember, the first stop(loss) is always the cheapest stop.
Supports and Resistances are highlighted as grey blocks. Supports and resistances are automatically drawn using my indicator "Yo Show Me Some Support - and Resistances". Pun intended.
Thank you for reading.
Namasté 🙏
What Indicators Do I Use:
In the chart I am using my "Supertrend Ninja indicator", which is a trend-following indicator (Green and red vertical line with arrows).
When the background of the candlestick closes green (vertical line) with an upwards pointing pink arrow. It indicates a possible bullish (up)trend.
Disclaimer: Ideas are for entertainment purposes only. Not financial advice. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering trades. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns.
Altseason is coming!Hello, everyone!
If this Bitcoin analysis plays out we are about to see new local altseason. Altcoins is going to outperform Bitcoin. We can see that the Broadening Falling Wedge has been formed by the TOTAL3 – capitalization of cryptomarket excluding BTC and ETH. Now this wedge have been broken to the upside. Also we can see the retest of it’s upper band. I expect the target zone according to left picture, which corresponds to $1.10T. In this case the strong fundamental altcoins can grow significantly.
DISCLAMER: Information is provided only for educational purposes. Do your own study before taking any actions or decisions at the real market.
MY MINIMALIST CHART ANALYSIS FOR TOTAL 312.5.21
ON A WEEKLY CHART
Disclaimer:
The findings of the following analysis are the sole opinions of the publisher of this idea and should not be taken as a piece of investment advice.
BITCOIN, ETHEREUM and the ALTS Do we HODL, FUD or FOMO?
Looking at the TOTL3 Chart, Retracement/Correction looks pretty normal and healthy based on the Fib Levels and sequential patterns of the market.
The BOTTOMS of the BOXES confirms to re-tests levels in which are all possible key support levels.
1) We can expect a reversal on a 0.618 when the market will re-test 673 for the second time or continue further down to the 0.786 or 1.0.
2) HODL and everything looks good for you. FUD and SUPPLY RISES giving a second chance for FOMOs to grab this opportunity. Institutional traders love this kind of bargain as well ,
so we may see accumulation and distribution within a couple of weeks depending on how traders, especially retailers look at it as an opportunity or not.
3) We will watch out for H&S patterns, Double Bottoms and measured moves.
A simple analysis for TOTAL3H ello friends
As we can all see, the market is in dire straits with optimistic cows and pessimistic bears
In my opinion, the TOTAL3 index is one of the best tools for better market analysis and understanding.
And based on this analysis that I share with you, I think cows are more likely to win than bears.
Of course, no strong technical signal has been issued yet to complete the correction, but my focus is more on the possibility of changing the trend.
******Appropriate entry points for supports and resistances according to the chart*******
If you like this idea, Please Follow me and do not forget that your likes and comments are very very important .
Thank you dear friends.
Be generous and rich.
CRYPTO BEARISH SCENARIO, SENTIMENT
All analysis and price reference is to weekly Open Close unless indicated otherwise.
Green and White boxes specify a date range of relevance.
There are 5 Down Arrows indicating specific weeks, color coded for ease of reference.
(IF you are color blind; Down Arrows are Green, Yellow, Orange, Red, White chronologically respectively.)
The hypothesis is that the Altcoin Market Cap can serve as a gauge for sentiment
towards Crypto Sector along with BTC and ETH price chart.
Looking towards the green box, after BTC peaked, it took several weeks for ETH
and Altcoins to peak. In fact they peaked only after BTC had a weekly close
lower than its previous weekly low indicated by the Green Down Arrow. At this
point ETH barely corrected and Altcoins were still too bullish to dump they
printed the shortest red candle basically a doji;
Sentiment was highly bullish still.
When BTC closed below its January high (Yellow Down Arrow), only then ETH and
Altcoins fell and although Altcoins printed the largest red candle following ETH,
both of them managed to close higher than their January highs in summer. So, within
the green box market sentiment was following BTC but lagging behind. And during
summer ETH and Altcoins painted a more bullish structure than BTC.
Almost as if BTC price was being manipulated but the sentiment was unaffected as a whole.
When BTC started its August run, Altcoin Market Cap printed a new ATH and ETH retested
its ATH where BTC wasn't even close to reaching it yet. At the Orange Down Arrow only
BTC printed a weekly close that's lower than the previous week and ETH had the largest
red candle. Although altcoins wicked below the May ATH they consistently closed above
their ATH until BTC had a weekly close below the high of Yellow Down Arrow also they
had the smallest red candle of the three unlike what happened in may at the Yellow Down Arrow.
This showed that the sentiment was high enough to pull the market up and trending.
Inside the white box BTC and ETH had started their bull run but market sentiment was barely moving.
3th Candle into the white box BTC had already printed a higher high and it took ETH 5 and
Altcoins 6 weeks to do the same. Also Altcoin market cap broke below its trendline
and was now trending below it finding resistance to close above. When BTC closed below its April ATH,
Altcoin Market Cap did a final Retest of the trendline. We can see that the market sentiment
was having trouble breaking above the trend investors were expecting a larger correction. As
BTC and ETH were rising investors were hesitant to jump into Alts. IF we use Altcoin Market Cap,
sentiment as a leading indicator. Altcoin Market Cap breaking far below the trendline could be
the sentiment that BTC and ETH now face.
As BTC broke below the trend at the White Down Arrow this brought also ETH back down to trend.
This weeks candle is currently breaking below.
As BTC moves, Altcoins move painting a slightly different chart because of the nature
of the underlying assets. Altcoins are viewed as highly speculative high risk high reward
assets so they move more when sentiment is highly bullish. This innate difference
is what we are using to gauge the market sentiment.
IF ETH follows the downwards trend, pressured by sentiment and BTC breaking below trend
then that could in effect print more red candles for Altcoins and breaking below September Low.
This could create a cascading effect dumping all the way down to 30k or perhaps a little lower,
before BTC sees a new macro bullish move.
FIB Levels
If we go up to around 53-57k we could find resistance at 0.5 0.618 fib levels and head right
back down. Printing a large head and shoulders. Which would then cause the prementioned move that
brings us down to 30 k.
I tried to draw a speculation of how BTC may get rejected from these fib levels(RED LINE).
I tried to respect 0.618 0.5 1,272 and 1,618 as well as break and retest points.
Then copied the bar pattern from April Peak and resized it, the patterns also seemed to fit
so I also left that as a faint yellow bar pattern. Nevertheless they are both dubious and
wildly speculative at best.
This scenario is called three peaks and the domed house, however I am not an expert on it, I
do not know if it applies to these assets and conditions. Although combined with market
sentiment and resemblance of chart pattern to BTC it could be the large dump that
investors feared but in a way expected. Perhaps after that it will be enough to
moonshot over 100K
Towards summer-fall next year.
I will try to include the URL to the pattern here but if I fail, you can search;
"Three peaks and domed house"
www.google.com
It looks something like this if URL didn't show;
I am incredibly bullish on Crypto and Blockchain and over 90% invested in Crypto.
Full Disclosure I plan on decreasing my exposure to 75% if we pump to those prementioned fib levels.
.. only to buy more :=)
Just my 2 Sats.
-Kaynaki
BTC forming an ending diagonal ?I've long held to the theory, that the 2011-2013 BTC bull run is equivalent to the 2015-2021(22) bull run.
So my fibonacci lines are from 2015 low to 2018 high.
I suspect BTC is forming an ending diagonal. In addition, I would not be surprised to see BTC do a throwover for the final wave 5 of the ending diagonal to nail the 4.236 fib of years 2015-2022 bull run cycle.
This would fit very well with the current curve trend of BTC on a log graph.
If you are a trend line person, I might as well throw this in there.
**TOTAL**
Now let's look at TOTAL. If you hold that the bull cycle is from 2018 to 2021, then yes TOTAL has touched the 4.236 fib.
But, if the cycle is from 2015-2022, then it has not touched the 4.236 fib. TOTAL has one more push to go. It would also form an ending diagonal.
But, unlike BTC that would NOT require a throwover to touch exactly the 4.236 fib, TOTAL would easily touch the 4.326 fib with an ending diagonal
**TOTAL3** (TOTAL - BTC - ETC)
TOTAL3 doesn't have a history since 2015, so I can't do a fibonacci. But, it is forming the same ending diagonal pattern.
It might possibly do a throwover, but I wouldn't bet the bank on it.
All Crypto Market Cap UpdatesHello friends, today you can review the technical analysis on the 1W linear scale chart for the Total Crypto Market Cap ( TOTAL ), the Total Crypto Market Cap excluding Bitcoin (TOTAL2), and the Total Crypto Market Cap excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum ( TOTAL3 ).
#CryptoPickk noted in the chart:
1) Reviewing the Crypto Market Caps for the TOTAL, TOTAL2 and TOTAL3 are a must as they all work in tandem. This will give you an indication where the Crypto Market (Bitcoin, Ethereum and Altcoins) are headed.
2) The chart shows each of the market caps have formed a multi-month Cup and Handle Pattern as well as bouncing off of a multi-month trendline.
3) The target for each of the Cup and Handle Patterns are noted.
4) Keep an eye on the Volume as it is picking up.
5) There is positivity coming up, but expect as much volatility.
What are your opinions on this?
If you enjoy my ideas, feel free to like it and drop in a comment. I love reading your comments below.
Disclosure: This is just my opinion and not any type of financial advice. I enjoy charting and discussing technical analysis. Don't trade based on my advice. Do your own research! #cryptopickk
Bullish Altcoin marketI think we will see a continuation of the bull market for Alts as long as it keeps support. It would still be bullish to see come back down again to 0.5 fib level and the 2nd lower trendline. If it doesn't correct again we should see market go to the 1.618 fib level.
Any comments or advice on my TA is greatly appreciated :)
*not financial advice*