Get started

Total3

Altcoins Can Drop Another 75% - Worst Case Scenario!In this analysis I want to talk about a long-term parallel channel on TOTAL3, which is the total marketcap of all altcoins. Preface: before everyone gets offended etc, this is not my most likely scenario. Big chance that this pattern won't play out. Nevertheless, it's important to consider different market outcomes. Trading consists of IF>THEN decisions. Ask yourself, if the market drops another 75% from here, what will you do? Now into the analysis. The parallel channel is constructed from the top resistance and anchoring that resistance to the 2020 covid dump. As seen on the chart, alts lost over 92% of their value in the 2018 cycle. Currently, alts have lost 75% of their worth during the last cycle. If alts were to go down towards the bottom yellow support, they could lose around 85%-88% (depends on time) value. In other words, if this worst case scenario were to play out, alts could lose 70%-7% of their CURRENT value. Is this pattern likely? No. Should you prepare for it? Yes. Keep it simple, assume that the bottom support area is a great long-term entry point and can function as a bear-market bottom in case we go down further. There is definitely some risk of a recession as per my last yield-curve analysis. Furthermore, the SAHM Rule Recession indicator (google it) signals that a recession is coming. If the stock markets would go down like in 2001 and 2007, we're in for a wild ride in crypto. Happy to hear your thoughts.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3
by FieryTrading
16
Total 3 The chart illustrates the total cryptocurrency market cap, excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum, currently consolidating within a descending channel, often recognized as a bullish flag pattern. This pattern emerges after a strong upward movement, suggesting the potential for further gains once the consolidation phase concludes. The market is fluctuating between two red trend lines, which represent the upper and lower boundaries of this flag. Key levels of support and resistance are highlighted on the chart. The resistance level, around 783 billion USD, has been tested previously but remains unbroken, causing the market to pull back. On the downside, the chart identifies a strong support zone near the 550 billion USD marked in blue. This area has consistently served as a critical support level, making it a pivotal point to monitor for any potential bounce. The overall sentiment expressed is one of optimism, a massive bull run for altcoins. The ongoing consolidation within the bullish flag is viewed as a temporary phase before a likely breakout to the upside. After a confirmed breakout from the bull flag which could confirm the continuation of the upward trend and potentially signal the beginning of a new altseason. This indicates that the market may be on the verge of a significant move, and traders are advised to monitor these key levels for possible trading opportunities.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3Long
by TheCryptoCity
BTC : Spot the DIFFERENCE - Why THIS TIME is DIFFERENTYesterday, I made a very comprehensive update on why BTC likely has a hard drop coming - the only problem is it published the video on the BTC.D chart 🥴 So, you've likely missed it and I will repeat it here today because it's a VERY clear signal. Altcoin dump happened BETWEEN the first turquoise and the purple vertical line, from halfway onwards: Up until this point BTC did correct, but only around -27%. (BTC has currently corrected -33%) The price THEN went on to drop another -20% before bottoming out at point 4 on the Elliot Wave Theory: RECAP: What happened AFTER the 27% drop that led to another hard drop, ending at -50%? The BTC.D started INCREASING whilst BTC price DECREASED and TOTAL3 DECREASED . Now look at the chart again, again at point 3 of Elliot Wave Theory (the second turquoise vertical line). In other words - we're still waiting to reach point 4. The in-depth explanation here: ______________________________________ CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 COINBASE:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSDT
Short
by CryptoCheck-
BTC : HARD DROP Likely BEFORE New ATHHold on to your horses - in today's analysis we're going to do a really deep dive on Bitcoin, the altcoin market (TOTAL 3) and Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) Make sure you watch all the way until the end to reach the final conclusion! In this video, I systematically point out two main reasons why the corrective phase isn't over, as well as what could possible happen NEXT based on the rotations between alts and BTC. COINBASE:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSDT CRYPTOCAP:BTC CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D For months I've been anticipating a multi-month corrective pattern, before another impulse wave up which I believe leads us to our final all time high (ATH) for this bullish cycle. Although I've said "multi-month" quite a few times... who knew it would be such a drag! I nearly thought BTC was ready to turn towards the upside, but after THIS* happened (together with the analysis in the video) it's likely we're still heading lower: *https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/h2bMes4J-BTC-FINALLY-Bullish-BREAKOUT/ THIS* is referring to my update on BTC two days ago, where it seemed like a bullish breakout. At this point however, the price is not able to hold the support zone (which was the condition I listed) and therefore it's likely a fakeout. If you're looking for the idea I referred to in the analysis on the Altcoin dump find it here:👇 _________________________________
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by CryptoCheck-
Crypto At A Crossroads: Is This Time Different?In this analysis we're going to take a look at TOTAL3, which is the total marketcap of crypto excluding BTC and ETH. In other words, all 'smaller' altcoins. As seen on the chart, the altcoin market has been in a dire state since the start of April, almost 5 months at this point. For now, the bearish channel pattern stays intact. I'm anticipating some kind of breakout in the near future, we simply can't trade within this pattern forever. Looking at recent history, the bears have the short-term overhand since we rejected the top resistance yet again. However, once a support/resistance is used too many times the market anticipates it and will trade against it. This means that bulls might wait for investors to short in huge numbers and start to buy and cause a minor short-squeeze. Personally, I'm leaning bullish. Alts have gotten a severe beating over the months and are currently looking quite attractive, especially with BTC trading around 63k and a very high BTC Dominance. For now, we're in a grey area. Wait until this pattern breaks for long-term entries.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3Long
by FieryTrading
TOTAL 3 - Crypto Total Market Cap excluding BTC and ETHVery technical. A global trend, followed by a correction to the 0.618 Fibonacci level and the global order block, which is also the PoC (Point of Control) of the entire trend movement. We're clearly moving within a kind of wedge. We haven't been fans of technical analysis for a while, but part of it will always stay with us. I think this is one of those moments when, after it plays out, people will look back and say: "How obvious it was." There are two options here: either one more update of the lows on altcoins or a correction upwards. Two scenarios, but globally, it doesn't change anything.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3Long
by -NIKO-
TOTAL 3 Update - Aug 15 2024in the previous analysis it was stated that 565B is an important level and losing this level can lead to touching much lower levels, something that actually took place and #TOTAL3 touched 470B as well ! The recent choppy upward move in #BTC and the rest of the market was most probably a retest of the broken key levels and we can see that just like BTC's case, TOTAL3 has failed to push above the supply zone. Since BTC is probably heading for 50,000 low again, TOTAL3 will also dump. 4H close below 546B level shall be a further confirmation for the downward move.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3Short
by AlgoBotTrading
Crypto Altcoin market cap - daily chart viewTOTAL3, which measures the market cap of all cryptocurrencies except Bitcoin and Ethereum, is currently sitting at a crucial support level. This is the third time it has tested this zone, making the next few weeks critical for the future of altcoins. For any chance of an altcoin recovery or the start of an alt season, a strong reversal is needed. If TOTAL3 can bounce back from this level, it could spark new interest and momentum in the altcoin market. However, if it breaks down further, we could see more weakness across the board. I'm hopeful that we'll see a reversal in the coming weeks, which could reignite the altcoin market. Follow our TradingView account for more technical analysis updates. | Like, share, and comment your thoughts. Cheers GreenCrypto
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3Long
by GreenCryptoTrades
1
TOTAL3 - Bulls taking a napTOTAL3 began forming a descending parallel channel (Bull Flag) on March 31 and has been trading within it. We recently had the third touch at the top of the channel, but it failed to break, showing signs of exhaustion indicating a greater probability of decline in the short term. I will continue to monitor, but I only believe in all-time highs for altcoins when this channel is broken, but I wouldn't be surprised if we visit 450-480B before that happens.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3Short
by The_Trading_Wizard_
TOTAL3 - Total Altcoin marketcap | Headed in the right direction Altcoin marketcap is currently trading inside the channel and it's been inside the channel since 2024 with market cap reaching the peak in first quarter of 2024 Currently the marketcap is around the resistance line and expected to break out from the resistance zone. we can expect a clear bullish confirmation after the price breaks the $750B barrier. By the end of 2024 i'm expecting the altcoin marketcap to reach 1T Follow our TradingView account for more technical analysis updates. | Like, share, and comment your thoughts. Cheers GreenCrypto
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3Long
by GreenCryptoTrades
Total 3: Alts about to see fresh lows, then real bull run startsI sold out of all of my crypto yesterday because when I looked at the chart, I realized that we've started the final selloff before the real bull run begins. As you can see from the chart, after the run in 2021-2022 we've been in the process of correcting. It's my view that this year's run was corrective, not impulsive like many are thinking-- and that altcoins will hit new lows by the end of 2022. I've shared a lot of bullish altcoin charts recently, but I've changed my view and am not bullish anymore. I don't think we'll see large bounces, I think it's going to be a rather quick path to new lows. Lows that you didn't even think were possible. This will be the greatest buying opp to exist in crypto and because most people are about to hold alts all the way down, they won't have any cash left to buy the bottom. It's going to make people never want to invest in crypto again because this last move will be one of the biggest fakeouts in crypto and people will lose a lot of money. However, after we hit the support levels on the chart, it'll present the greatest buying opp of any cycle. I think we go from ~200B to $2.5-4B when this next run starts. I think we'll bottom before 2024 ends. The next cycle will go until the end of 2026. Get prepared...
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3Short
by benjihyam
16
Bitcoin All Time High NOT PRICED IN YETFor weeks now, I've been talking about why the all time high for Bitcoin is NOT YET in. (Proof here) Here are the main reasons why. 👉 Elliot Wave Theory I've been discussing EWT for many weeks alongside with the bearish M-Pattern that marked the beginning of the corrective wave (3-4). Once the corrective wave finishes, which I expected to be a multi-month playout, the final impulse wave up awaits us (4-5). 👉 Bitcoin-Dominance Increasing & ALTS Bottom Considering MANY alts have seen bottom patterns after corrections (as discussed in the video), its safe to say the dump is over. But BTC.D is still increasing... If you want to further understand WHY this is a good sign, see HERE: _____________________________ KUCOIN:BTCUSDT CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3
Long
by CryptoCheck-
When is the best time to buy Altcoins?The short answer is... Now, this year into early next year. Although I would expect a lot of similarities this market cycle, I would also expect some differences. So let's start with the yellow diagonal line with the up trend. This line was originally drawn through the BTC price action. Look at how it actually works perfectly with the TOTAL3, PERFECT!! So, according this chart the alt cycle big moves won't come until 2024 around the September time frame. If we pay attention we will notice a separation From the the BTC market cap to the TOATL3 market cap that opens up during the bear market. We can also see it also mimics the bitcoin market cap until it finally closes the gap in the final stage. Solid yellow line is the BTC market cap & the candles are the TOTAL3. The bars between moves 88 BARS is from top to top 57 BARS is from top to the start of the final wave (double bottom) 36 Bars is from when it breaks the up trend to Not market on chart. 62 bars from the breakdown of the trend line to breakthrough back above it would but it in early February of 2025, pretty much right on schedule. This chart is on the 2 time frame so each bar equals 2 weeks.. The indicators below are TDI and RCI 3LINES. Here is where some of the differences might come in to play. we'll look at the TDI first. I want you to keep in mind that I have zoomed in this indicator to show the moves more clearly. In 2019 the RED line (fast moving line) made a fairly big move up and broke through the top of the channel. It then dropped below the middle line (Yellow) and went sideways until it's next move again piercing the top of the channel although not as high into the inevitable COVID Crash. Comparing to this bear market the TOTAL3 has made a move off the assumed bottom but it wasn't as strong as the move in 2019 as shown by RED line. Also this time the RED line seems to have found support on top of the Yellow line showing more strength in the correction phase. If it does n=hold I would expect the next move to be higher than the initial one which would be different from the last bear market. I also think this will continue all the way up. RCI 3LINES RED FAST / BLUE 2ND FASTEST / GREEN SLOW The all important Blue line has crossed up on the green line. Once the red line turns back up, the move will follow. All in all it is good time to start to accumulating your altcoins of choice. Keep in mind although they do move together for the most part, they all have they own cycles as well. Thank for looking. Let me know what you think down below. WeAreSat0shi
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3Long
by WeAreSat0shi
25
Why ALTSEASON 2.0 is HEREIf you've been following for a wile, you'll know I've been speaking of Elliot Wave theory and cycles - and how, from a macro perspective, we are currently in a multi-month correction before another impulse wave up. By looking at the TOTAL3 chart, as discussed in the video, it seems likely that this may only be the BEGINNING for altcoins... and you'll see why. Even though multi-month corrections can be demotivating, patience rewards the faithful! Check out yesterday's analysis on Altcoins that are strong right now despite the recent dip: _____________________________ CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3Long
by CryptoCheck-
4
Potentially huge rally in $SEI brewingMy chart is a pair analysis, showing the ratio of SEIUSDT to TOTAL3 (multiplied by 10^15 to make scale visible). It shows that SEI is a "high beta", "momentum" coin relative to the rest of the market and trades very cleanly, respecting moving averages. I see a potential for SEI to outperform the market by as much as 500% over the coming weeks/months. Could mean anything between 10x and 100x in absolute terms, assuming the market rallies as well. The trigger would be a break of moving average to the upside.
Long
by adammska
defi summerthis chart portrays the total market cap of the defi dominance. it's currently sitting at 3.98% with an inverse h&s on a weekly timeframe. my projected upside target sits at the ath of about 7.95% --- the last meaningful defi summer we experienced was in 2020. ☀ let's make this one count. --- i'm projecting this defi market cap dominance to hit 8% into the presidential election where a soft top will likely be created. i've shared a lot of plays over the last few months with our members, and we're just chilling into november. --- tldr; hodl into a 3-4 month long alt season, and tp into the presidential election.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALDEFI.DLong
by Eloquent
BITCOIN VS ALTCOINS Since the beginning of 2023 BITCOIN has been on a relentless upward trajectory. As the highest market cap cryptocurrency it often sets the tone for the entire market. When Bitcoin goes up it tends to drag the rest of the market up with it and the same when Bitcoin falls is the general rule of thumb. This post is to showcase the difference between Bitcoins market cap (TOTAL) Vs the Altcoin market cap which excludes Bitcoin and Ethereum (TOTAL3) . As the market leader Bitcoin is often the first mover and that can be seen in the chart on the left, we have at first glass a mirror image on the TOTAL3 chart on the right but with a few key differences: - When Bitcoin fell from its ATH in November, price found it's bottom at the previous cycles ATH as seen by the blue horizontal ray. Whereas the altcoin market continued to drop below its previous ATH by another 19.67% . It's an important difference because it shows that altcoins are worse off in a bear market when compared to Bitcoin, and they start from further back once the Bullrun arrives. - We can see that both charts are very similar, the next biggest difference is clearly the progression made in this Bullrun so far. Bitcoin has already moved past its "right shoulder" of the head and shoulders price pattern, TOTAL3 however is still some ways off that mark, the chart shows altcoins have a 38% gap between current level and the top of that "right shoulder" . The reason for the gap in the race can be explained the same way each cycle because they're exactly the same patterns each cycle. Bitcoin is the first mover as it is the biggest by market cap, the same cycle of capital injection happens each and every time: BITCOIN ----> LARGE CAPS ----> MID CAPS ----> SMALL CAPS Profits get rotated into the next more risky investment over and over until the blow off top and retail are left holding their positions all the way down. This will most likely still be the case this cycle however there is a new player on the field... BTC ETF's... This is new and exclusive to this cycle and I believe this will partly change the dynamic of the cycle when compared to years gone by. With over $10 BILLION DOLLARS of net inflows into BTC the institutional buyers are now here in a much bigger way than ever before, how will this disrupt the money flow? It could prevent profits from rotating somewhat into the large caps, but not completely. Naturally the ETF providers will have a large stake in the holding of BITCOIN and are going to be less inclined to sell when the cycle looks to near its end as they are still providing the service to their customers. Having less sellside pressure will help BTC hold its value. The altcoins may get the negative side of this as less profits in theory will rotate into smaller cap coins and result in a smaller 'Altseason" . This is the cost of institutional adoption. There is always the possibility of altcoin ETF's but that is another discussion. For now I can see altcoins playing catch up later this year and going into 2025.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3
by ProR35
7