Bitcoin FULL Analysis PART 2In a previous analysis, I discussed the relationship between Bitcoin, the Altcoin market and Bitcoin Dominance.
An important rotation exists between these three; and by using TOTAL3 together with BTC.D, you can get a clearer picture of where BTC is trading in the current cycle.
In this video, I make an important suggestion based off Elliot Wave Theory. This theory is backed up by the points mentioned but also by the Logarithmic view:
From the log scale, we can see BTC is still trading relatively low compared to previous cycle top-outs. So the question remains - the end... or just the beginning?
________________________________________
COINBASE:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
Total3
TOTAL3 on the verge of a massive breakoutThe altcoin sentiment is in the gutter, FUD everywhere, everybody is calling for "recession", including the stock market. Perfect conditions to turn the ship around and blast off to new highs and leave sideliners angry.
Historically, squeezing Boilinger bands point to a big volatility move after consolidation. Let's see how this play out.
TOTAL3 update - Sep 08 2024#TOTAL3 followed previous analysis and started to drop from the vicinity of the 630B zone and crossed below the support zone of 565B - 580B .
520B area was a demand zone which was touched on Friday. it seems TOTAL3 is heading for a retest of the broken zone of 565B - 580B meaning that altcoins are going to have some upward move during the upcoming week.
CHEAP ShitcoinzIf you believe in the Crypto 4 year cycle
Here is a thread of cheap altcoins in USD terms, that have good technical patterns or sitting on previous support zones from which prices have rallied before.
There are no guarantees only probabilities.
Your capital is at HUGE risk gambling on S coins.
With that being said.
Let's kick it off with LOOM network.
We are in the most critical period for altcoins.There is a gap and pins that can be filled in the middle term.
There is also a nice falling wedge can be break up any time. Above 0.5 is bullish for me.
I showed other important levels on the chart.
A possible new downtrend wave would be a good buying opportunity for me.
* What i share here is not an investment advice. Please do your own research before investing in any digital asset.
* Never take my personal opinions as investment advice, you may lose all your money.
TOTAL3Analysis for TOTAL3/USDT: Weekly Timeframe 📊
The chart displays the Crypto Total Market Cap excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum (TOTAL3) on a weekly timeframe. Below is the analysis based on the forecast lines and significant dates:
🟢 September 21, 2026 - Buy Date (Green Line):
This marks a local bottom, indicating a potential opportunity to start accumulating positions in TOTAL3. The market is expected to experience a downward trend leading up to this date, presenting favorable conditions for long entries.
🟥 March 10, 2025 - Sell Date (Red Line):
The forecast suggests a local peak on this date, signaling an optimal moment to take profits or tighten stop-losses, as a price correction may follow shortly after.
🟥 February 28, 2028 - Sell Date (Red Line):
This date represents another peak, offering an excellent time to close positions and avoid potential price downturns. The market is expected to rise up until this point before a correction begins.
Note:
All times are based on Los Angeles time (UTC -7). There may be a margin of error of 1-2 candles depending on the timeframe.
Altcoins Can Drop Another 75% - Worst Case Scenario!In this analysis I want to talk about a long-term parallel channel on TOTAL3, which is the total marketcap of all altcoins.
Preface: before everyone gets offended etc, this is not my most likely scenario. Big chance that this pattern won't play out. Nevertheless, it's important to consider different market outcomes. Trading consists of IF>THEN decisions. Ask yourself, if the market drops another 75% from here, what will you do?
Now into the analysis.
The parallel channel is constructed from the top resistance and anchoring that resistance to the 2020 covid dump.
As seen on the chart, alts lost over 92% of their value in the 2018 cycle. Currently, alts have lost 75% of their worth during the last cycle. If alts were to go down towards the bottom yellow support, they could lose around 85%-88% (depends on time) value.
In other words, if this worst case scenario were to play out, alts could lose 70%-7% of their CURRENT value.
Is this pattern likely? No. Should you prepare for it? Yes. Keep it simple, assume that the bottom support area is a great long-term entry point and can function as a bear-market bottom in case we go down further.
There is definitely some risk of a recession as per my last yield-curve analysis. Furthermore, the SAHM Rule Recession indicator (google it) signals that a recession is coming. If the stock markets would go down like in 2001 and 2007, we're in for a wild ride in crypto.
Happy to hear your thoughts.
#TOTAL3#TOTAL3
#ALTS
The altcoin market is heading for a very good rise by the end of this year 2024
Targeting 1.2 trillion
The price is moving in a descending channel on the 4-hour frame and is largely committed to it and is expected to break it upwards
We have a rebound from a major support area at the lower line of the channel at
573 B
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator, which supports the rise
BTC : Spot the DIFFERENCE - Why THIS TIME is DIFFERENTYesterday, I made a very comprehensive update on why BTC likely has a hard drop coming - the only problem is it published the video on the BTC.D chart 🥴 So, you've likely missed it and I will repeat it here today because it's a VERY clear signal.
Altcoin dump happened BETWEEN the first turquoise and the purple vertical line, from halfway onwards:
Up until this point BTC did correct, but only around -27%. (BTC has currently corrected -33%)
The price THEN went on to drop another -20% before bottoming out at point 4 on the Elliot Wave Theory:
RECAP: What happened AFTER the 27% drop that led to another hard drop, ending at -50%? The BTC.D started INCREASING whilst BTC price DECREASED and TOTAL3 DECREASED .
Now look at the chart again, again at point 3 of Elliot Wave Theory (the second turquoise vertical line). In other words - we're still waiting to reach point 4.
The in-depth explanation here:
______________________________________
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 COINBASE:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSDT
BTC : HARD DROP Likely BEFORE New ATHHold on to your horses - in today's analysis we're going to do a really deep dive on Bitcoin, the altcoin market (TOTAL 3) and Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) Make sure you watch all the way until the end to reach the final conclusion!
In this video, I systematically point out two main reasons why the corrective phase isn't over, as well as what could possible happen NEXT based on the rotations between alts and BTC.
COINBASE:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSDT CRYPTOCAP:BTC CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
For months I've been anticipating a multi-month corrective pattern, before another impulse wave up which I believe leads us to our final all time high (ATH) for this bullish cycle. Although I've said "multi-month" quite a few times... who knew it would be such a drag! I nearly thought BTC was ready to turn towards the upside, but after THIS* happened (together with the analysis in the video) it's likely we're still heading lower:
*https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/h2bMes4J-BTC-FINALLY-Bullish-BREAKOUT/
THIS* is referring to my update on BTC two days ago, where it seemed like a bullish breakout. At this point however, the price is not able to hold the support zone (which was the condition I listed) and therefore it's likely a fakeout.
If you're looking for the idea I referred to in the analysis on the Altcoin dump find it here:👇
_________________________________
Crypto At A Crossroads: Is This Time Different?In this analysis we're going to take a look at TOTAL3, which is the total marketcap of crypto excluding BTC and ETH. In other words, all 'smaller' altcoins.
As seen on the chart, the altcoin market has been in a dire state since the start of April, almost 5 months at this point.
For now, the bearish channel pattern stays intact. I'm anticipating some kind of breakout in the near future, we simply can't trade within this pattern forever.
Looking at recent history, the bears have the short-term overhand since we rejected the top resistance yet again. However, once a support/resistance is used too many times the market anticipates it and will trade against it. This means that bulls might wait for investors to short in huge numbers and start to buy and cause a minor short-squeeze.
Personally, I'm leaning bullish. Alts have gotten a severe beating over the months and are currently looking quite attractive, especially with BTC trading around 63k and a very high BTC Dominance.
For now, we're in a grey area. Wait until this pattern breaks for long-term entries.
TOTAL3 Update - Aug 25 2024After Powell's speech regarding a rate cut in September the whole market showed a positive reaction and #TOTAL3 was able to push above the resistance zone. (In fact there was no close below the 546B key level as the confirmation for the bearish move!)
Current analysis shows that 630B zone a possible resistance zone which can dump the market so naturally it's logical to look for Short/Sell setups in the market!
TOTAL 3 Update - Aug 15 2024in the previous analysis it was stated that 565B is an important level and losing this level can lead to touching much lower levels, something that actually took place and #TOTAL3 touched 470B as well !
The recent choppy upward move in #BTC and the rest of the market was most probably a retest of the broken key levels and we can see that just like BTC's case, TOTAL3 has failed to push above the supply zone.
Since BTC is probably heading for 50,000 low again, TOTAL3 will also dump. 4H close below 546B level shall be a further confirmation for the downward move.
Crypto Altcoin market cap - daily chart viewTOTAL3, which measures the market cap of all cryptocurrencies except Bitcoin and Ethereum, is currently sitting at a crucial support level. This is the third time it has tested this zone, making the next few weeks critical for the future of altcoins.
For any chance of an altcoin recovery or the start of an alt season, a strong reversal is needed. If TOTAL3 can bounce back from this level, it could spark new interest and momentum in the altcoin market. However, if it breaks down further, we could see more weakness across the board.
I'm hopeful that we'll see a reversal in the coming weeks, which could reignite the altcoin market.
Follow our TradingView account for more technical analysis updates. | Like, share, and comment your thoughts.
Cheers
GreenCrypto
TOTAL3 - Bulls taking a napTOTAL3 began forming a descending parallel channel (Bull Flag) on March 31 and has been trading within it.
We recently had the third touch at the top of the channel, but it failed to break, showing signs of exhaustion indicating a greater probability of decline in the short term.
I will continue to monitor, but I only believe in all-time highs for altcoins when this channel is broken, but I wouldn't be surprised if we visit 450-480B before that happens.
TOTAL3 - Total Altcoin marketcap | Headed in the right direction
Altcoin marketcap is currently trading inside the channel and it's been inside the channel since 2024 with market cap reaching the peak in first quarter of 2024
Currently the marketcap is around the resistance line and expected to break out from the resistance zone.
we can expect a clear bullish confirmation after the price breaks the $750B barrier.
By the end of 2024 i'm expecting the altcoin marketcap to reach 1T
Follow our TradingView account for more technical analysis updates. | Like, share, and comment your thoughts.
Cheers
GreenCrypto
Total 3: Alts about to see fresh lows, then real bull run startsI sold out of all of my crypto yesterday because when I looked at the chart, I realized that we've started the final selloff before the real bull run begins.
As you can see from the chart, after the run in 2021-2022 we've been in the process of correcting.
It's my view that this year's run was corrective, not impulsive like many are thinking-- and that altcoins will hit new lows by the end of 2022.
I've shared a lot of bullish altcoin charts recently, but I've changed my view and am not bullish anymore. I don't think we'll see large bounces, I think it's going to be a rather quick path to new lows. Lows that you didn't even think were possible. This will be the greatest buying opp to exist in crypto and because most people are about to hold alts all the way down, they won't have any cash left to buy the bottom.
It's going to make people never want to invest in crypto again because this last move will be one of the biggest fakeouts in crypto and people will lose a lot of money.
However, after we hit the support levels on the chart, it'll present the greatest buying opp of any cycle. I think we go from ~200B to $2.5-4B when this next run starts.
I think we'll bottom before 2024 ends. The next cycle will go until the end of 2026.
Get prepared...
Bitcoin All Time High NOT PRICED IN YETFor weeks now, I've been talking about why the all time high for Bitcoin is NOT YET in. (Proof here)
Here are the main reasons why.
👉 Elliot Wave Theory
I've been discussing EWT for many weeks alongside with the bearish M-Pattern that marked the beginning of the corrective wave (3-4). Once the corrective wave finishes, which I expected to be a multi-month playout, the final impulse wave up awaits us (4-5).
👉 Bitcoin-Dominance Increasing & ALTS Bottom
Considering MANY alts have seen bottom patterns after corrections (as discussed in the video), its safe to say the dump is over. But BTC.D is still increasing... If you want to further understand WHY this is a good sign, see HERE:
_____________________________
KUCOIN:BTCUSDT CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3
Why ALTSEASON 2.0 is HEREIf you've been following for a wile, you'll know I've been speaking of Elliot Wave theory and cycles - and how, from a macro perspective, we are currently in a multi-month correction before another impulse wave up.
By looking at the TOTAL3 chart, as discussed in the video, it seems likely that this may only be the BEGINNING for altcoins... and you'll see why.
Even though multi-month corrections can be demotivating, patience rewards the faithful!
Check out yesterday's analysis on Altcoins that are strong right now despite the recent dip:
_____________________________
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3
TOTAL3 Chart IdeaALTS are screaming buy here.
- Weekly RSI is below 50
- Stoch Weekly RSI is at the bottom
- TOTAL3 is sitting at 0.618 fib level on weekly
- Rising wedge on BTC.D in weekly TF has been broken down and retested
- ETH ETF is launching next week
Super bullish for ALTS atleast until Oct 2024
Potentially huge rally in $SEI brewingMy chart is a pair analysis, showing the ratio of SEIUSDT to TOTAL3 (multiplied by 10^15 to make scale visible). It shows that SEI is a "high beta", "momentum" coin relative to the rest of the market and trades very cleanly, respecting moving averages.
I see a potential for SEI to outperform the market by as much as 500% over the coming weeks/months. Could mean anything between 10x and 100x in absolute terms, assuming the market rallies as well. The trigger would be a break of moving average to the upside.