This Simple Chart Tells Us All We Need to Know About Altcoins RNTraders,
Don't really have to say much more here. This is the altcoin total market cap excluding BTC and ETH. Alts continue to face trouble and it looks like more selling will ensue. Stay out of leverage and trade carefully. Ensure those stops!
Total3
TOTLA 3 is Bearish For NowA correction to the support range is seen for TOTAL 3.
After its rise, it has reached the monthly SWAP resistance range. This level is strong and can cause TOTAL 3 modification.
I have also identified the support range from which we expect a jump upwards.
Indeed, according to the TOTAL 3 chart, altcoins are not bullish at the moment and will undergo a 15-25% correction.
$BTC vs $ETH vs $TOTAL3Let's compare CRYPTOCAP:BTC vs CRYPTOCAP:ETH vs CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL 3 (= NO #BTC or #ETH)
These are all showing negative divergence on RSI & $ flow on daily.
(Showing 2b cautious, this is NOT reason for a TRADE)
#ALTCOINS have done VERY WELL, They are currently OVERSOLD & can remain that way for a very long time, just saying.
They did it from 12/2020 - 5/2021
Then peaked 11/2021 after ATH
Please see profile for more info..
Not all charts here.
Altseason Indicator. Capitalization excluding BTC ETH USDT USDCLogarithm. Time Frame 1 week. Understanding the capitalization and growth potential of altcoins without BTC ETH and top steiblcoins USDT, USDC and DAI gives a brighter and more accurate picture of the timing of the start and development of that long-awaited altcoin season of more pronounced scale than now on 16 10 2023 - at the time of publication 8 12 2023.
1) The capitalization of these assets has long been in a squeeze - consolidation, this is a direct correlation with the accumulation zones. We are conventionally in the final phase of accumulation (almost).
2) Please note that there has been no real capitulation (perhaps there will not be, and if there is, it will be V figuratively, but that is not the point). Very much emphasize your attention to the timing of the length of this phase and past late 2018 and 2020.
3) Also note to your eye that at that time 2018-2020 there was not such a big capitalization outperformance from the rest of the BTC and ETH market. Compare that to the situation now, how much other altcoins are "undervalued" speculatively. You also need to realize that there is a correlation with stablecoins and their huge portion of the overall market compared to the time before.
How to enter these parameters on tradingview? .
In order to capitalize alts from TOTAL3 (initially without capitalization of BTC and ETH) and exclude all large-capitalization stablecoins from it, you need to do the following:
In the ticker entry line in tradingview write:
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3-CRYPTOCAP:USDT-CRYPTOCAP:USDC-CRYPTOCAP:DAI .
Accordingly, a chart is created that subtracts the capitalization of the designated stablecoins (USDT, USDC, DAI) from TOTAL 3.
Santa Rally for Altcoins on the cardsTOTAL3, an indicator of altcoin market capitalisation excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum, has made a significant move🔔.
We've breached and closed above on a weekly timeframe some serious key levels. And are above the Bear Market high.
By surpassing and maintaining above the bear market high on a weekly timeframe.
While this doesn't mean we won't see a pullback in the near future, it does set up some nice space to move leading up to the BTC halving.
It also comes at a timely point in the macro landscape, with the US monetary policymakers this week agreeing that rates will be dropping in 2024. With 3 rate cuts planned at this stage.
These tailwinds, combined with Bitcoin potentially ranging, could see a swell of liquidity returning to the #altcoin markets.
🎅 #SantaRally?
Total3 Chart Analysis: Strong Resistance! 📉⚠️Today, let's turn our attention to the Total3 chart (excluding BTC & ETH), where a compelling narrative unfolds. The chart currently finds itself in a precarious position, trading within the vicinity of a significant resistance zone. Caution is advised, as potential corrections may be on the horizon. Here's an in-depth analysis of the chart dynamics and what to anticipate in the coming sessions. 📊🔍
Analyzing Total3 (Exclude BTC & ETH): Charting the Resistance Zone
Encountering Strong Resistance:
Critical Zone: Total3 is navigating a zone of formidable resistance, marked by historical significance on the charts.
Chart Context: This resistance is crucial as it has played a pivotal role in the past, influencing market dynamics.
The Challenge of Overcoming Resistance:
Testing Bulls' Strength: The current scenario poses a challenge for bulls, as breaking through this resistance demands considerable strength.
Potential for Corrections: The prolonged interaction with this resistance zone raises the likelihood of corrections or a pullback.
Anticipating a Retest:
Trendline Retest: The analysis suggests an imminent retest of the trendline previously breached by Total3.
Validation Check: A successful retest would validate the strength of the breakout, offering insights into the sustainability of the upward trend.
Cautious Approach for Traders:
Risk Management:
Protecting Gains: Traders should consider implementing robust risk management strategies to protect gains.
Volatility Awareness: Acknowledge the potential for increased volatility, especially around the resistance zone.
Watching Trendline Dynamics:
Retest Confirmation: A confirmed retest and subsequent bounce off the trendline would instill confidence in the continuation of the upward trend.
Failure Warning: Conversely, a failure to hold the trendline may signal a shift in market sentiment.
Conclusion:
Total3's encounter with a substantial resistance zone necessitates a cautious approach. Traders should monitor the dynamics closely, with a keen eye on the potential retest of the trendline. The outcome of this interaction will likely provide valuable insights into the market's next moves.
❗️Get my 3 crypto trading indicators for FREE!
Link below🔑
Altseason Indicator Total 3 - capitalization without BTC and ETHLogarithm. Time frame 1 month. The chart shows two major and one minor cycle of pumping alts and the market as a whole. This chart emphasizes the time of alts pumping without taking into account the heavyweights BTC and ETH , which occupy a huge share of the crypto market.
That is, directly makes it clear when the long-awaited alt season begins. All major previous and future alt season on the chart. Note that these are the maximum prices for most altcoins in a certain phase of the market. Be sure to clean out your pockets alts during these times.
The capitalization of these assets has long been in a squeeze - consolidation, there is a direct correlation with the accumulation zones. We are in the final accumulation phase.
Note that there has been no real capitulation (perhaps there won't be, and if there is, it will be V figuratively , but that's not the point).
That is, as soon as the reversal levels (marked in yellow) are broken through - the prices of these groups of assets begin to rise. The "participation" phase is launched on the market. That is the price movement to the distribution zones.
As a rule, by this phase of the market ( distribution ) capitalization grows 10 times , prices accordingly. This is the time - "the hamster is not scared", i.e. the time when one should get rid of (lock in super profits) from "promising crypto garbage".
Below provided is a basic variation of asset group grading on tradingview that makes sense to monitor and use as true market indicators. This gives insight into potential asset group pumps/dumps or market phase changes. These types of "ideas" are done once and for many years. Because relevance is never lost if you understand the point
1) Market capitalization of different assets:
Crypto total cap - total market capitalization of the market in $
Crypto total cap 2 - market capitalization excluding BTC in $
Crypto total cap 3 - market capitalization excluding BTC and ETH in $
2) DeFI projects:
Crypto total cap DeFI - DeFI cryptocurrency capitalization in $
Crypto total cap DeFI.D - capitalization in % terms of DeFi dominance to the market
3) Major Stablecoins:
Market cap USDT - USDT capitalization in $
Market cap USDT % - capitalization in % terms of dominance to the whole market
Market cap USDC - USDC capitalization in $
Market cap USDC % - capitalization in % dominance expression to the whole market.
4) Bit cocaine
Market cap BTC $ - capitalization of BTC in $
Market cap BTC dominannce % - capitalization in % dominance expression to the whole market.
5) Ethereum
Market cap ETH $ - capitalization of ETH in $
Market cap ETH dominannce % - capitalization in % expression of dominance to the whole market.
6) USD index (DXY)
The US Dollar cyrrency index is the most important indicator of the pamp/dump markets as a whole (more globally, not just crypto).
Market cycles are humans behavior, what is displayed on the price chart and which lends itself to cyclical thinking/actions, which shapes the market direction. .
Below I will publish similar ideas — indicators that I have published previously for several years and that for obvious reasons remain relevant. I will also make analysis of new groups of assets by capitalization from the list, which have not been analyzed before. But, I will do all the analysis of instruments only when I have free time.
BTC Bull Run (2021 vs 2023)A comparison of the position of the chart when Bitcoin rises in 2021 and the extent of the impact of the acquisition on the market when it falls after the rise to the same current price areas of 43k.
While thinking, I received an alert notification from Trading View with news that intersects with the current thinking
News About at tradingview
and it is from cryptopotato cryptopotato.com
Author: Chayanika Deka
#TOTAL3 ALT SEASON WYCOFF ALIGNMENTI see there is 2 models overlaying each other. The Black text states we are in the sos stage where as the red text states we have more to go before the ALT season bull run.
Definitely in the last stages of accumulation and towards breakout.
Refer to my video stream for more indicators supporting this thesis.
regards,
S.SAri
ALT Cap & BTC Cap | Happy Together Liquidity is Kinglooks like BTC has a banker of it's own to get liquidity and maintain Fear Greed
as well as ALTs uncompromised from BTCs funding
LONG story short... Alts have body guards to support fresh investors not to panic and reward towards Q4 and Q1 next year
XRP Bull trap, ALTS PullbackHi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈📉
A bull trap is "false" signal that shows a bearish trend (such as the lower highs in XRP) has reversed and is now heading upwards, when in fact, it will continue to decline. Often a large wick towards the upside is observed, shaking out traders favoring the obvious move (shorting).
It's important to note that for the first time, the TOTAL3 chart is about to close a red candle ALONG with Bitcoin Dominance:
This indicates that the entire crypto environment is being drained of liquidity, and corrections will follow.
Again, I wish there were more options... I'm choosing "short" to label my outlook even though I would not trade with leverage on XRP. The bulltrap and the TOTAL3 chart indicates we're heading lower, and so my bias for the short term is testing next immediate support zones.
If you found this content helpful, please remember to hit like and subscribe and never miss a moment in the markets.
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CryptoCheck
BINANCE:XRPUSDT CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3
TOTAL3#Total3
We'll check the penis.
In the weekly time the trend was broken and we are leaving the side of the Side area
We have a resistance range that we expect to climb in the event of failure until green targets
If this will happen, we will see more growth than the penis.
By reaching any resistance range, if you enter the currency, you must not forget the profit.
BTC - MUST WATCH For Short Term TradersHi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈📉
As you know, we're trading in the opening moments of a new bullish cycle.
As we gradually make our way up towards a new ATH over the next few months, technical indicator tools will be crucial to help catch those perfect swing-trades.
Today's analysis is an absolute MUST watch for beginners- to intermediate-level traders. The important concepts in this video are all about why you can't watch the BTC chart alone, and which other charts you need to watch together with BTC as well as which indicators are great for short term trades, and how to use them TOGETHER.
Again, I'm "forced" to label this post as long but like I said yesterday, I wish there were some other options. I'm ultimately labeling it as "long" because we are in a bull market and corrections are just opportunities for swing trades. Shorting in a bull market is risky business and I am all about risk management in setups.
If you found this content helpful, please remember to hit like and subscribe so you never miss a moment in the markets.
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📢Follow us here on TradingView for daily updates📢
👍Hit like & Follow 👍
We thank you for your support !
CryptoCheck
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
🔥 Altcoin Market Inverse Head & Shoulders: New Alt-Season? 🚨The altcoin market, measured by TOTAL3 - the total altcoin marketcap, has been severely underperforming Bitcoin this year.
However, there might be coming an end to the seemingly endless suffering of alts in the coming months. The inverse head & shoulders pattern, which started to form over 1.5 years ago, has broken bullish.
Classically, inverse head & shoulders formations occur at market bottoms and signal the change of a long-term trend.
Can this be the bottom? Potentially yes! Bitcoin dominance is still on the rise, so BTC will likely outperform alts in the near future, but this will end somewhere next year - which will most likely kick off the new bull-season as well.
Exciting times for altcoin traders.
Be careful of the next stepFrom the first look at the chart, we find that the price is going through a large sideways period extending to approximately 440 days, and it is not creating a repression or a new bottom, and this could be normal, especially since it corrects the previous large decline from the top, calms the inflation of the indicators on the weekly frame, and prepares for the next movement... which is from My point of view is that it is extremely bearish for the shaded area below, and it will take alternative currencies to new lows, and only from this area when it reaches it in the coming months. We will update the analysis at that time.
Note: The analysis fails if the price closes above the 380 area
Please clarify that I am helping you with my point of view, which may be right or wrong, and see my previous analyzes of many currencies and forex in order to judge the owner of this analysis with a more accurate look
Good luck
#Others #altcoins #marketcap is about to fall in STF ?This is #total3 #altcoin marketcap , excluding #btc and #eth top major coins. This chart is showing early weakness in short time frame. As #bitcoin #dominance on the rise, this is not unusual. The big picture will be revealed soon , when #btcd moves hard.
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE.
🔥 Your Altcoin Can Potentially Fall MUCH Further: WARNING! 🚨In this analysis I want to take a look at a dire market outlook which is not even that far-fetched. We should talk about the possibility of the altcoin marketcap (TOTAL3) falling another 50%, which would mean that the average altcoin will lose around 50% of its value from this point until the bottom.
Back in 2018, TOTAl3 fell around 92%, while it has only fallen by 75% this bear market. The difference seems small, but if we were to fall towards a 92% top-to-bottom decline this bear market, it would mean we had to fall another 70% from this point onwards.
I'm a big believer in the law of diminishing returns when it comes to crypto, but a mere 75% decline seems too little for me.
There's some bad news on the horizon which can make the altcoin marketcap decline by another 50%.
- Rising Bitcoin dominance.
- Rising bond yields
A 50% crash from this point would bring the top-to-bottom decline to 85% (bottom yellow area). This would seem to be more in line with the diminishing returns hypothessis.
Do you think we will crash more from this point? Share your thoughts and charts.🙏
Altcoins setting up for MASSIVE MOVE in a few monthsJust noticing some things as research is done.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC showing signs of POTENTIAL bottoming. However, it is NOT strong by any means. But, some is better than none.
CRYPTOCAP:ETH is also in a similar pattern but it is underperforming.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL 3 = NO #BTC or #ETH looks interesting, indeed!
It may take some time but it is setting up for HUGE MOVE!
This move will likely not resolve until late 2023 - early 2024.
Total3: 500D trendline brokenThe Total MC excl. BTC and ETH (Total 3) has broken a trendline that it has been under for 500+ days.
Currently it's retesting an order block/weekly level.
The Altcoin Season Index (Blockchaincenter.net) is at 39 and climbing.
Putting on my rose coloured glasses: up from here? :)
An incoming last correction wave for #altcoins #total3 presents #altcoins ' market cap excluding #btc and #eth . After the 1st long correction wave, the chart formed falling channel. This formation will be completed with the 3rd correction wave and the dip of the channel will occur. When Elliott' s 123 correction wave is finished, the falling channel will turn bullish. This may be after the halving. 3rd wave seems to plunge altcoins' average by min. %30. Be careful till Q2 2024.
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. Dyor.
TOTAL3 - (DAI USDT USDC market caps)In case you are not familiar:
TOTAL3 = Total crypto market cap - BTC and ETH market caps.
What I did in this chart is further subtract out the three major stable coin market caps.
TOTAL3 - (DAI USDT USDC market caps).
To be exact:
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3-CRYPTOCAP:DAI-CRYPTOCAP:USDT-CRYPTOCAP:USDC
Since their price is pegged to $1, they serve as a dampening effect to the chart. I remove them to get more of a true value for what TOTAL3 should be.
I then did an Elliott wave analysis. In addition, I set a fibonacci target of -0.236, although this is not a traded asset, but a aggregation of traded assets. So we'll see. It looks like alts will do one more wave down, then the bull run starts.
I am a CEWA level 1 Elliottician.