TOTAL3 free to runI never had the time or I forgot to post something about this over the last month, however TOTAL3 turned pretty bullish after breaking out two different resistances. As you can see the second one was retested and since then we're in up only mode. I expect some reaction once we get to next resistance.
I personally don't see any real resistance until that daily one I indicated on the chart. This bull season is going to be fun unless you messed up every single coin/token in your bag! In that case it will be very sad!
Total3marketcap
TOTAL 3 ~ Potential Breakout in April 2024TOTAL 3
Altcoins minus BTC & ETH
✅Price has broken above the 200 DSMA
✅Price has broken out of the pennant
⏳126th week is 1st April 2024
Earlier today I shared TOTAL 2 which includes CRYPTOCAP:ETH and suggested that including ETH altseason could initiate from Feb/Mar 2024.
TOTAL 2 breaking out ahead of TOTAL 3 makes a lot of sense as this is what has happened in prior cycles
FIRSTLY, bitcoin leads the whole market like it has been.
Secondly, liquidity moves into Layer 1 altcoins like CRYPTOCAP:ETH , CRYPTOCAP:ADA & EURONEXT:ALGO = TOTAL 2 in Feb/Mar
Thirdly, liquidity moves into Layer 2 altcoins like CRYPTOCAP:IMX , CRYPTOCAP:MATIC & NASDAQ:OP (TOTAL 3 in Mar/Apr)
After that the Memecoins and shxtcoins have their wild runs, which usually coincides with peak euphoria and the end of the bull market or a sizable correction. This is why you leave the gambling with small small positions until later in the cycle for those memecoin plays.
I hope this helps you frame the timeline of the market in you mind. It may not happen exactly as outlined with the dates but the sequence will likely be the same so we can watch out for Layer 1's and Layer 2's moment next.
PUKA
TOTAL 3 Cycles SynchronizationHere is the Cycles Synchronization of Crypto Total Market Cap Excluding BTC and ETH (TOTAL 3). At some point, between mid november and mid december 2025, I do expect around 2T Market Cap to be the top for the cycle. 1 year later, the Market Cap could be at around 1T or a bit less, I think.
Will follow with interes...
TOTO, pull ouva (total3 update 20jan24)Hi all, big and small
folks, hear my talks
'bout Toto thy Dog
and mistriz in fog
are u afraid? I am. BUT ure nothin', if u fearless. And the bigone, if u command ur fear and make unFOMOed disigionz (Im no, just learnin'.)
SOO
az u can see my beautiful chart, a painted all there already: equal Waves 1 and 3, ugly WXY Wave 2 and the stuff.
in MY ALT count we will moved via ZigZags, I will update it later when an enlightenment will be obtained
see ya!
TOTLA 3 is Bearish For NowA correction to the support range is seen for TOTAL 3.
After its rise, it has reached the monthly SWAP resistance range. This level is strong and can cause TOTAL 3 modification.
I have also identified the support range from which we expect a jump upwards.
Indeed, according to the TOTAL 3 chart, altcoins are not bullish at the moment and will undergo a 15-25% correction.
Altseason Indicator Total 3 - capitalization without BTC and ETHLogarithm. Time frame 1 month. The chart shows two major and one minor cycle of pumping alts and the market as a whole. This chart emphasizes the time of alts pumping without taking into account the heavyweights BTC and ETH , which occupy a huge share of the crypto market.
That is, directly makes it clear when the long-awaited alt season begins. All major previous and future alt season on the chart. Note that these are the maximum prices for most altcoins in a certain phase of the market. Be sure to clean out your pockets alts during these times.
The capitalization of these assets has long been in a squeeze - consolidation, there is a direct correlation with the accumulation zones. We are in the final accumulation phase.
Note that there has been no real capitulation (perhaps there won't be, and if there is, it will be V figuratively , but that's not the point).
That is, as soon as the reversal levels (marked in yellow) are broken through - the prices of these groups of assets begin to rise. The "participation" phase is launched on the market. That is the price movement to the distribution zones.
As a rule, by this phase of the market ( distribution ) capitalization grows 10 times , prices accordingly. This is the time - "the hamster is not scared", i.e. the time when one should get rid of (lock in super profits) from "promising crypto garbage".
Below provided is a basic variation of asset group grading on tradingview that makes sense to monitor and use as true market indicators. This gives insight into potential asset group pumps/dumps or market phase changes. These types of "ideas" are done once and for many years. Because relevance is never lost if you understand the point
1) Market capitalization of different assets:
Crypto total cap - total market capitalization of the market in $
Crypto total cap 2 - market capitalization excluding BTC in $
Crypto total cap 3 - market capitalization excluding BTC and ETH in $
2) DeFI projects:
Crypto total cap DeFI - DeFI cryptocurrency capitalization in $
Crypto total cap DeFI.D - capitalization in % terms of DeFi dominance to the market
3) Major Stablecoins:
Market cap USDT - USDT capitalization in $
Market cap USDT % - capitalization in % terms of dominance to the whole market
Market cap USDC - USDC capitalization in $
Market cap USDC % - capitalization in % dominance expression to the whole market.
4) Bit cocaine
Market cap BTC $ - capitalization of BTC in $
Market cap BTC dominannce % - capitalization in % dominance expression to the whole market.
5) Ethereum
Market cap ETH $ - capitalization of ETH in $
Market cap ETH dominannce % - capitalization in % expression of dominance to the whole market.
6) USD index (DXY)
The US Dollar cyrrency index is the most important indicator of the pamp/dump markets as a whole (more globally, not just crypto).
Market cycles are humans behavior, what is displayed on the price chart and which lends itself to cyclical thinking/actions, which shapes the market direction. .
Below I will publish similar ideas — indicators that I have published previously for several years and that for obvious reasons remain relevant. I will also make analysis of new groups of assets by capitalization from the list, which have not been analyzed before. But, I will do all the analysis of instruments only when I have free time.
#TOTAL3 ALT SEASON WYCOFF ALIGNMENTI see there is 2 models overlaying each other. The Black text states we are in the sos stage where as the red text states we have more to go before the ALT season bull run.
Definitely in the last stages of accumulation and towards breakout.
Refer to my video stream for more indicators supporting this thesis.
regards,
S.SAri
#Others #altcoins #marketcap is about to fall in STF ?This is #total3 #altcoin marketcap , excluding #btc and #eth top major coins. This chart is showing early weakness in short time frame. As #bitcoin #dominance on the rise, this is not unusual. The big picture will be revealed soon , when #btcd moves hard.
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE.