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Bitcoin Breakdown, Pi Cycle Top Projections, and USDT.D UpdateIn this video I break down what I'm seeing with Bitcoin and the possibility for an even deeper correction into the Green Buy-Block zones. I also revsit my Fibonacci projections for this cycle, with initial targets of up to $150k and ulitmately a $200k high target based on the 3.618 Fib retracement projection. There's confluence with these targets using the measured moves from the recent Bull Flag breakout as well. The BIG question is, where do we go from here? Here we check out the Pi Cycle Top indicator, and I make some potential projections... And propose the idea of a dual-cycle top, like we saw in 2013. It makes sense, that we see a Jan / February pump to new highs, followed by a recessionary bust in Q2 (March) into the summer and potentially into Q3. But then rally strongly up from there in Q4 as Oct, November and December are typically very bullish in a 4 year cycle. Either way, I think $200k is the cycle top, if we can get there. The USDT.D study has also been updated, to show 'sticky' support here on the lower trendline, allowing BTC to push higher again above $100k and even rally higher per above. But then we'll likely see a reversion to the mean, with the USDT.D and Total Market Cap / Bitcoin prices. Check out the video, and share some love with a Like, Comment, and Share. Best to luck to everyone! - Brett
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by BrettFogle
TOTAL and PROFITS short story Today is another red day for crypto. This shows how easy it is for us to get carried away with the good feelings of green days and forget about days like these. Taking profits makes so much sense now as a trader. But that’s not all—we need to keep those profits for future entries, and good entries, not the kind driven by FOMO, greed, or revenge. A lot of work needs to be done on our personalities just to stay in this game long enough to make it. This self-improvement can be tricky and tiring, which is why time in the game is so important. And time in the game is made possible by profit-taking. Taking profits gives us the breathing room to work on ourselves with the help of the markets. It’s not easy, my fellow traders, but let’s hope for better, greener days ahead. A little bit of TA on TOTAL (Daily Time Frame): the system is switching short because the PSAR is red and above the price. The only thing we can do now is wait for the price to stabilize—no price targets, just wait and see what happens. Take care, my fellow traders. See you on the other side of the top.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALShort
by vagada
Bearish USDT.D Bounce Off Support Trendline, Total 2 + Total3 Here's a follow up study to my USDT.D analysis from a few weeks ago, showing the markets typically sell off and put in a near term market top when Tether Dominance bounces off this key trendline (since 2018). This is likely a sign of further downside on Bitcoin and the Total Market Cap with a further 20% correction likely before we bounce again. Hopefully in time for a Santa Claus Rally. Also I look at how price clearly rejected on the Total 2 and Total 3 Market Cap's at the old ATH's from 2021. So it's no surprise markets are selling off here. I've been saying 'Show me the charts, and I'll tell you the news' for years... So while Powell's comments today were Bearish, it was incidental. The market needed a cooldown, and the FOMC comments today were just the catalyst. Let me know what you think below, and go ahead and like the video if you'd like me to do more of these here on the TV channel. For more about us, check out the links in my Bio.
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DShort
by BrettFogle
2
Cocoa vs BTC. Introducing Cocoa Futures Commodities TradingCommodity trading has been booming in recent months and years, as everything from industrial metals to oil, precious metals to soft commodities (coffee, cocoa) is getting hotter. Last week, coffee futures traded in New York ICEUS:KC1! reached 348 cents per pound of beans, a new historical high, and frozen orange juice concentrate futures ICEUS:OJ1! exceeded the $5 mark for 1 pound, reaching also a new all-time high. The macroeconomic situation, the continuing geopolitical uncertainty, as well as the overall market volatility caused by these large movements, create a lot of new opportunities. In addition, the food and environmental crisis sweeping across the planet (a special type of environmental situation when the habitat of one of the species or populations changes in such a way that it calls into question its further existence) is creating extreme bottlenecks in supply chains everywhere, which leads to shortages on the one hand, and a corresponding increase in prices and opportunities on the other. Both private investors and professional market participants can use Commodities Cocoa Futures to expand the possibilities of investment strategies - hedging risks and profiting from price fluctuations. For market participants involved in the production and processing of cocoa, futures contracts will allow them to better protect their income from undesirable changes in exchange prices for cocoa beans. In addition, for those market participants involved in the wholesale purchase of cocoa, futures contracts allow them to better protect their margins from undesirable price fluctuations in exchange prices for cocoa beans, which lead to an increase in purchasing costs. The underlying asset of the futures is the price of cocoa beans on foreign markets. The contracts reflect the dynamics of the price of cocoa beans supplied from countries in Africa, Asia, Central and South America to any of the five delivery ports in the United States. In fundamental terms, on November 29, 2024, the International Cocoa Association (ICCO) raised its estimate of the world cocoa deficit for 2023/24 to -478,000 tonnes from -462,000 tonnes forecast in May, the largest deficit in more than 60 years. ICCO also lowered its estimate of cocoa production for 2023/24 to 4.380 million tonnes from 4.461 million tonnes in May, a -13.1% decrease from the previous year. ICCO forecasts world cocoa stocks to be 27.0% in 2023/24, a 46-year low. Cocoa prices have risen sharply over the past months due to uncertainty about future cocoa supplies. Recent heavy rains in Ivory Coast have led to reports of high mortality of cocoa buds on trees due to heavy rainfall. Unfavorable weather conditions in West Africa are pushing cocoa prices sharply higher. Heavy rains in Ivory Coast have flooded fields, increased the risk of disease, and affected the quality of the crop. Newly harvested cocoa beans from Ivory Coast are showing lower quality, with quantities of about 105 beans per 100 grams. Ivory Coast regulators allow exporters to purchase quantities of 80 to 100 beans or slightly more per 100 grams. In other words, West Africa is now exporting at its maximum productive capacity, but the deficit in world reserves remains and is growing. The arrival of seasonal harmattan winds could also worsen the situation. Declining global cocoa stocks is also a bullish factor for prices. Cocoa stocks tracked by the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) at three major US ports (Delaware River Port, Hampton Roads Port and New York Port) have been declining for the past year and a half and fell to a 20-year low of 1,430,974 bags on Friday, December 13, 2024 (down 15 percent over the past month). Another important factor for prices is the seasonal approach of the Christmas and New Year holidays, especially in the main cocoa consuming regions - the US and Europe. Cocoa prices on world markets are again returning above $ 10,000 per ton, while crypto fanatics in their manic persistence to get the last unmined bitcoin are ready to burn the planet Earth to hell and only deepen the food and environmental crisis striding across the planet. The main graph represents a comparison across BTC and Cocoa prices over past several months. So, what would you like to choose amid of recent rally in both assets - sweet cocoa or binary digits inside your computer? Or are you staying on the sidelines? Let’s talk about it! Send your thoughts and questions into comment box below to discuss about Cocoa Futures Commodities Trading!
CAPITALCOM:CCH2025Education
by Pandorra
7
ALTS Market Cap Chart AnalysisThe ALTS market cap has broken out of a descending broadening wedge, triggering a strong bullish rally. However, it is facing resistance at a key horizontal supply zone. The Ichimoku Cloud shows strong bullish momentum, indicating the possibility of a continued upward move. A decisive breakout above this resistance level could trigger a significant rally, further strengthening the upward trajectory of the ALTS market. For updates on other coins or personalized insights, feel free to reach out to DM. @Peter_CSAdmin
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2
by CryptoSanders9563
TotalCrypto Market Pullback: What's Next for the Bull Run?Hello, crypto enthusiasts! How are you today? I hope you're doing well and not letting this price action ruin your day. Times like these can be tough if you're unprepared or trading with emotions instead of following a proper plan or system. This chart represents the **Total Market Cap** of cryptocurrencies, and as we can clearly see, it's heading down. Today marks the second consecutive day of downside price action, accompanied by increased volume. Yesterday was the ideal exit point for the long trade that started after the U.S. elections. The signal was simple: **price pierced the PSAR**, indicating that the trade should be closed. While this index doesn’t represent an actual tradable position, it reflects the system's logic. Since this index aggregates the price action of all crypto assets, its decline suggests that most crypto assets are also experiencing downside pressure. While exceptions exist, this is the general trend. Technical Analysis with Oscillators - **RSI**: The Relative Strength Index has dropped from overbought levels (above 70) and is now at **~52**, signaling weakening bullish momentum. This suggests a potential continuation of the downtrend. - **MACD**: The MACD line is trending down and crossing below the signal line, which indicates bearish momentum. This crossover often signals a further downside. - **OBV**: The On-Balance Volume is showing a decline, confirming that selling pressure is dominating the market, supporting the bearish move. What’s next? - **First Target**: The 2021 top, marked by the black line, where we may see a reaction. - **Second Target**: The **0.236 Fibonacci retracement level**, which provides another possible support area. Of course, nothing is ever certain in trading. Tomorrow, the market could rally and ignore all current signals, but for now, the price appears to be trending downward. A few reminders: - In crypto, things rarely go the way we want. - Stay prepared for every scenario and keep your portfolio ready to re-enter the market. - Avoid letting hope and fear dictate your decisions—they won’t lead to profit. I'll keep monitoring the markets and share my thoughts as they develop. If you found this analysis useful, feel free to like, share, or comment below. And as always: **stay safe and keep calm!**
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by vagada
BTC/EUR. Eyeballing across the €100'000 roofBitcoin robustly pumped to $100,000 and above for the first time on Wednesday, December 4, 2024 surging to a new record after President-elect Donald Trump unveiled administration picks seen as holding the keys to ushering in crypto-friendly policies when he takes office in January. Chief among the picks is Paul Atkins, whom Trump intends to nominate to lead the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), which regulates cryptocurrency. Atkins, know in social media as a crypto advocate and former SEC commissioner, is expected to regulate cryptocurrency with a lighter touch than Gary Gensler, who leads the commission under the Biden administration. Gensler, who aggressively fought the industry’s expansion in the US, is set to resign on Inauguration Day. Bitcoin touched $100,000 just hours after Atkins was announced as Trump’s choice for SEC chair. This is all right with the new milestone (counted in greenback), built on the stunning rally since Trump won the presidency throne on November 6, which fueled a $6,000 one-day spike in bitcoin that brought it to a new record above $74,000. A week later, it hit $90,000. By the way.. The main technical graph for BTC/EUR COINBASE:BTCEUR says €100'000 milestone has not been passed through yet to this time. While talks are talking, last exam is not passed yet. Macro data still stoke fears over a possible recession and the notion that the Federal Reserve could be too slow with cutting interest rates. Non-farm payroll added just 12K new places last month. Fresh labor market data is on the radars on Friday, Dec 06 (+202K non-farm payroll forecasted). Sure, there is "no guarantee", though.. until last exam is not passed yet. In case of success only, we can talk about further growth towards 150 thousand euros.
by Pandorra
A Look Again At RSI The RSI is beginning to print very bullish horizontal movement that is the print of a bull market The left hand side of this pattern is already printed, with the white vertical line being the middle of the pattern, now what is emerging is the right hand side of this larger structural pattern on the RSI, also indicative of a bull market. Early 2025 is going to be very bullish. Little white circle is where we are now corresponding to the last pattern if they evolve relatively the same.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2Long
by Bixley