Bearish 5-0 on (Total 3 Excluding - LTC and Stablecoins)There is a Bearish 5-0 visible on the Daily on the Total Market Cap Ex- BTC, ETH, LTC, and the two big USD-based Stable Coins; if it plays out, I think Total 3 will make a new low that will likely take it down to the macro 0.886.
We also have some Hidden Bearish Divergence on the RSI to back it up.
Totalmarketcap
BITCON, TOTAL MARKET CAP & DXY - POSSIBLE BEARISH SIGNSI know the sentiment of late has been very bullish on crypto especially with the Blackrock ETF on the horizon. They just resubmitted their ETF application to the SEC for review today and approval of this would very likely cause a crypto boom. However, the Total Crypto Market Cap is showing signs of weakness which is causing me to reassess our current situation. Until the approval of this ETF, the market is fair game. Given the overall bullish sentiment in the market, a strong pullback would make sense to check the market and close some over zealous longs. The DXY has also had a very hard sell off. A small recovery could also cause further downward pressure on the crypto market.
Looking at the chart for Total Market Cap, I've outlined the bullish inverse head and shoulders we have forming. However, the right shoulder has made a lower high followed by a nasty sell wick back below the neckline. I think it is possible that we see a sell off here as we form more of a bullish continuation pennant in this right shoulder before take off. The daily MACD also just crossed bearish and has been signaling some bearish divergence compared to the price action.
The DXY chart (which will be included below) also had a strong sell off last week. A small recovery might be in store and this would add further selling pressure on BTC and the crypto market as a whole.
I want crypto to moon like everybody else, but the tea leaves are signaling the time might not be just yet. Keep your guards up and protect your funds because you'll want as much as possible in crypto in this next boom. LFG!!
USDT.D DAILY : MARKET ROADMAPHi guys Hope you well.
UMM , As I said before this chart can show us the roadmap of crypto market . now I expect to go the demand box and then pullback , we have same area in bitcoin and total market cap chart .
use this chart for your trade.
SecondChanceCrypto
⏰25/JUNE/23
⛔️DYOR
Always do your research .
If you have any questions, you can write them in the comments below.and I will answer them.
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TOTALMARKETCAP :CRYPTOHi Guys Hope you well.
As it was said, the downtrend channel was broken and made a significant growth. Now I am waiting to reach the daily supply area, after which we can move towards the trend again. Just note that due to the dominance of Bitcoin, the status of other altcoins is different from Bitcoin.
SecondChanceCrypto
⏰25/JUNE/23
⛔️DYOR
Always do your research .
If you have any questions, you can write them in the comments below.and I will answer them.
And please don't forget to support this idea with your likes and comments.
THIS BREAKOUT WILL CONFIRM THE BEGINNING OF BULL MARKET!!Hello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support it with a like and follow.
Welcome to this Total Market Cap update. Looks very interesting.
As you see in the chart, Total M.cap is verge on the breakout in the weekly time frame. Forming a descending triangle in the weekly time frame. If it gives a clear breakout this week, then this will be the confirmation of the beginning of a bull market. Or if we get a rejection from here then we see some correction in the market.
As of now, wait for a confirmed breakout, and meanwhile, just do quick scalps.
What do you think about this?
Do you also think that the bull market will begin from here or do you think that we see another big drop before the bull run?
Share your views in the comment section.
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Thank You!
TOTAL Market Cap and Volumes indicatorsHow has Volume changed over the years?
Crypto TOTAL Market Cap and Volume
The vertical lines are key moments in TOTAL PA
Starting back in 2017 and again in July 2019, Note how the volume on the Standard VOLUME indicator ( right under PA ) would seem as expected. It increased steadily Till Jan '21 and has been decreasing since, despite a New ATH in Nov '21
Below that is the VAPI ( Volume Accumulation Percentage Indicator)
Note how VAPI was DECREASING before the ATH '17 and High that followed. That then happens again in Nov 2021
In #BTC push since Jan '23 the peak was late Jan and has been decreasing since even though we hit a high on PA in April
Worth learning about in detail
Then the OBV (On-balance volume)
this is fairly straight forward an o real surprises. It was rising till May '21, Dipped and came back up for the Nov '21 ATH. and has been decreasing since. It is easy to read but sometimes can be misleading as we see from above. BUT note how the lower MA's in this indicator "Spike" just before a change of trend
MVRV - Z Score (Market Value to Realised Value Ratio)
This is NOT Volume based but works well with the VAPI and VFI
This one is also worth you Looking into in detail
Tends to Peak and retrace before ATH also
VFI ( Volume Flow indicator)
This is possibly one of my favourites. Very easy,
From 2017 ATH, rapid Drop below ZERO line and then back up to next high in July '19 - ranged pretty well above 0 till Jan '20 and then rose till reached Top in Jan '21 and stayed there till ATH.
It has been descending ever since
For Me VAPI and VFI work well and using the MVRV Z just adds a cushion of info that adds up
Using these to project forwards ( which is never recommended but I like living dangerously ) it is very possible that we will not start heading towards a New ATH until we reach the ZERO line on the VFI in Sept this year. September is not normally a great month so this could be the Turn around month and Oct is lift off ?
This projection also works for the "Waterline" on the Z score to bounce off- last time it did that was March '20, that is if it falls through the line of support it is currently on
Very hard to do a projection on the OBV but the VAPI does also suggest that in Sept this year, it may have reached a Max downside
And Now, I HAVE to say, This could all be So completely Wrong and we could see something completely different and it is highly likely given the current Fundamentals in the world
But at the same time, We have the expected date of Halving in April '24 and the run up begins anywhere from 300 day before ( around now ) , with the next ATH up to 500 days after Halving
SO, Anything can happen from now till April '24, its just things maybe different this time ?
Or will PA begin its push up soon and th eidea of Sep is in fact, a "Dead" Zone during that climb up ?
Time Will tell
This is NOT advice, Just a thinking cap
Enjoy
TOTAL market cap: where it will go?
Let's make it simple: the total market cap is still in a big range since May 2022.
The range's low was marked in December 2022. The range high has been confirmed recently in April 2023, almost a year after the whole market entered in this darvas box (May 2022).
This week, the mid-range (Fib 0.5) was revisited. This level is also where the MA200D is found. Consequently, it's normal that whole market has been bouncing strong from there.
What will be the next to happen?
In charts, I put three scenarios which I consider the most probable to happen. Among them, I have a preference for scenario B, in short-term: The whole market cap to decrease to Fib 0.618. For a further projection, I thinkt that it's still soon to say.
The reasons for my choice (B) are:
From a technical analysis point of view, the total marketcap faces strong resistances: EMA 50D and the trendline starting from April 2023. Moreover, the volume indicator CMF lost its trendline.
On fundamental aspects, the war between SEC and Binance is just at the beginning. Another one is that it will take time (months) for SEC to reply to Blackrock's application on bitcoin ETF.
I'd appreciate if you can share your view on the crypto market and your comment o.n this analysis.
Have a good new week!
Crypto Total Market Cap, $There are several factors that could contribute to the significant drop in cryptocurrency market capitalization to around $42 billion. The following events or factors could affect such a decline:
Massive sell-off of cryptocurrencies: If there was a massive sell-off of cryptocurrencies by investors and traders, demand would decrease and prices would fall. This type of sale could be due to, for example, security concerns, regulatory restrictions or broader economic factors.
Regulation and bans: If countries or regulators take strict measures against cryptocurrencies, such as outright bans or significant regulation, this could lead to a decrease in investor interest and restrictions on cryptocurrency trading.
Technical Issues: In the event of serious technical issues or vulnerabilities in blockchain networks or cryptocurrency exchanges, there could be investor distrust and reduced demand for cryptocurrencies.
Negative Public Opinion: If public opinion about cryptocurrencies were to change dramatically due to, for example, widely publicized fraud, hacking or loss of money, this could lead to a loss of confidence and a decline in the value of cryptocurrencies.
USDT/USD Hidden Bearish Divergence Deathcross SetupUSDT, the so-called stable coin, is now below the Bullish Control Zone on the RSI and is showing MACD Hidden Bearish Divergence on multiple Intraday Timeframes at this level after failing to take back the 55 and 89 EMAs. If this goes as any other chart normally would, I would expect it to go back down to the lows of the range, which in this case would take us down to around 94 cents, but I wouldn't be surprised if it went lower.
[UPDATE TOTAL] I said it multiple times. This a good scenario.Accumulation means accumulation.
Short term:
A) quick pump, then down, then deviation (yellow line), then trend range down, then deviation to 1st of Jan 2021, then up.
B) quick dump, then up, then A)
Long term:
A) meltup after accumulation, then down
B) Up then down again after halving
See chart.
This is one of the scenarios I'm watching.
TOTAL2 IdeaIn idea showing a large up move on the market cap chart
I don't think the current market cap is appropriate at all. We are yet to see the top.
The yellow line shows top points, with the last top being hit in 2017.
The last bull run in my mind was a sort of quasi bull run, leading to the one we are about to see.
Solana is it time for a retest?Here I am again testing the ALPHA and ALPHA NOVA indicator, we will see what it will bring, we have something to test there, the reasons to go up are here, so we will see.
For me, overall, either there will be another phase and the whole market will go up or it will go according to the summer scenario and we will look at very ugly numbers.
BTC/USD (Bitcoin) - 6 Month Uptrend Support Level Test - DailyBitcoin (BTC/USD) price has been downtrending inside a falling wedge pattern for the past 3 months.
Price is currently below the 6 month uptrend support trendline, and is testing the $25000 zone.
If the Bitcoin price closes and continues to fall below $25000, the 6 month uptrend could be at risk.
The next one to two months of Bitcoin price action will likely determine if the uptrend continues or not.
Support Price Levels above $25000 to $20000 must hold for the uptrend to continue in 2023.
Support Price Levels: $25000, $23000, $21000, $20000.
Resistance Price Levels: $27000, $28000, $29000, $30000.
Weekly and Monthly consolidation of Bitcoin was likely due to negative catalysts such as: SEC and CFTC lawsuits against USA crypto exchanges, crypto regulation changes, inflation, decline of metals and commodities, low consumer sentiment, regional bank crisis, recession risk, etc.
CRYPTO MARKET CAP is completing an IH&S and set a 2.18T target.The Crypto Total Market Cap (TOTAL) has broken above its Bear Cycle Falling Wedge since March and is now about to complete the Right Shoulder of the Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern whose Head priced the bottom.
The 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) is the Support since March while the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) the Resistance since May 2022. Standard IH&S patterns go for a 2.0 Fibonacci extension and as you see that falls almost exactly on the 2.17T Resistance (March 28 2022 High). That's at 2.18T and it is our long-term target.
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Is the Crypto total looking to complete the 5th wave?Could we see another leg up for wave 5 completion before the ABC correction?
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Yes it's possible, the market cap could make it's local blow off top and get a re rejection off the 200 3day MA. The mechanicals are lining up for a "possible" move. We wait for the confirmation as there is non yet. The RSI would have to get above it's mid ranging uptrend line with a possible short term break above the top, and the Stochastics would have to make a strong move up. The first glimmer is the Stochastics and there is no confirmation yet.
The Sentiment Oscillator is showing clear bear divergence but it doesn't mean that the final wave isn't possible.
So far this is a text book Elliot wave pattern. It even has a deep wave 2 correction which then usually means a shallower wave 4 correction into the blow off wave 5, and then the eventual A,B,C correction.
We wait and see... signals need to confirm.
Thanks
WeAreSat0shi
TOTAL ANALYSIS (1D)Hi, dear traders. how are you ? Today we have a viewpoint to SELL/SHORT the TOTAL symbol.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You