TM 1D Investment Long Conservative TradeConservative Trade
+ long balance
+ 1/2 correction
+ ICE level
+ support level
+ biggest volume 2Sp+
- not waiting for a test
Monthly Trend
"+ long impulse
+ T2 level
+ 1/2 correction
+ support level
+ biggest volume Sp
+ weak test?"
Calculated affordable stop limit at $168.93
Take profits
20% at 1 to 2 R/R
20% at 1/2 1D
20% at 1D Creek
20% at 1/2 1M
20% at 1M T1
Toyota
TM 5M Long Daytrade Aggressive Trend TradeAggressive Trend Trade
- short impulse
+ volumed TE / T1
+ support level
+ volumed 2Sp+
+ weak test
- above first closed bullish bar level entry
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit
Hourly context counter trend
"- short impulse
+ biggest volume transitory extremum / T1
+ support level
+ biggest volume manipulation"
Daily context (trend)
"+ long impulse
+ T2 level
+ support level
+ volumed manipulation
+ 1/2 correction"
Monthly context (trend)
"+ long impulse
+ SOS level
+ 1/2 correction
+ support level
+ weak approach
+ volumed manipulation"
TM @NYSE
Sell Limit 200.85, GTC
Sell Stop 199.53 LMT 199.97, GTC
TM Daytrade M5 Long Aggressive CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade
- short impulse
+ volumed transition extremum / T1
+ support level
+ volumed manipulation
- no trading signal (last M5 of the day)
Calculated affordable stop limit
Take profit $205.59
Hourly context:
"- short impulse
- unvolumed transitory extremum / T1
+ support level
+ volumed manipulation"
Daily context:
"+ long impulse
- biggest volume on top
+ T2 level
+ support level
+ volumed manipulation
- 1/2 correction?"
Monthly context:
" + long impulse
+ SOS level
+ 1/2 correction
+ support level
+ weak approach
+ volumed manipulation"
OCO 4A: Sell Shares of TM Limit at $205.99 (Good 'til Canceled)
OCO 4B: Sell Shares of TM Stop at $201.58 Limit at $201.70 (Good 'til Canceled)
$TM 220 - 240 - 25O AFTER EARNINGS ?NYSE:TM 220 - 240 - 25O AFTER EARNINGS ?
6 REASONS !!
Strong Quarterly Earnings: Toyota has shown strong financial performance in the recent past, with its profit in the latest quarter jumping nearly threefold from a year ago as vehicle sales grew globally. This indicates a strong demand for Toyota's vehicles and the company's ability to capitalize on this demand, which could positively impact its stock price.
Increased Net Profit Forecast: Toyota ramped up its annual net profit forecast to $26.1 billion after reporting it more than doubled in the first six months of the year. This indicates the company's confidence in its future performance, which could boost investor confidence and drive up the stock price.
Record High Stock Price: Toyota's shares hit a record high after reporting strong earnings and raising its fiscal-year earnings forecast. This shows that the market responds positively to
Toyota's financial performance, and further strong earnings could lead to a higher stock price.
Year-on-Year Earnings Growth: Despite a recent decline in earnings quarter-on-quarter, Toyota's earnings are up +97% year-on-year. This indicates a strong recovery and growth trajectory, which could lead to a higher stock price in the future.
Positive Market Sentiment: The market's response to Toyota's earnings reports has generally been positive, with the stock price rising after strong earnings reports. This suggests that if Toyota continues to report strong earnings, the market could respond positively, potentially pushing the stock price towards $250.
Dividend Yield: Toyota pays an annual dividend of $5.10 per share and currently has a dividend yield of 2.38%. This could attract investors looking for stable returns, potentially driving up the stock price.
TOYOTA 254 TP AFTER EARNINGS !! Toyota’s Earnings Report Highlights
Third-Quarter Fiscal 2024 Performance:
On February 6th, 2024, Toyota Motor Corporation reported its third-quarter fiscal 2024 earnings.
The company posted earnings per share (EPS) of $6.81, significantly surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.66.
Toyota’s consolidated revenues for the quarter were $81.5 billion, beating analyst estimates of $73.7 billion.
Investment Strategy and Hybrid Vehicles:
Toyota’s strategy of focusing on hybrid vehicles rather than electric vehicles (EVs) has paid off.
While many automakers are heavily investing in EVs, Toyota’s commitment to hybrid technology has resonated with consumers and investors.
Sales Volume and Operating Income:
A year-over-year improvement in sales volume likely bolstered Toyota’s results in the third quarter.
However, operating income in China declined due to fluctuations in foreign exchange rates and increased selling expenses.
Market Confidence and Future Outlook
Toyota’s strong financial performance, innovative approach, and consistent growth have instilled confidence in investors. As the automotive industry continues to evolve, Toyota’s hybrid focus positions it well for the future.
Toyota (NYSE: TM) Plans To Invest $8 Billion in EV Battery PlantToyota (TM) announces plans to invest an additional $8 billion in its EV battery plant based in the U.S.
The automaker announced that it will invest an additional US$8 billion into its battery plant in North Carolina, increasing the annual production capacity to 30GWh. The battery factory in Liberty, North Carolina, has been under construction since last year and is expected to begin mass production in 2025.
Price Momentum
TM is trading near the top of its 52-week range and above its 200-day simple moving average.
Investors have been pushing the share price higher, and the stock still appears to have upward momentum. This is a positive sign for the stock's future value.
Ford - A Cautious Post-ER Long ScalpFord is one of the richest charts among all of the U.S. equities to chew and savour for an analyst.
The reason is, its relevant price action to today spans some 22 years, and we can only see it on the monthly:
Notably, $26~ was a curious place for price action to stop and reject 18 months ago, leaving monthly hallmarks of potential targets
And looking at the weekly:
The rejection was so gappy, closed in ranges not seen on the monthly, but left open ranges not seen on the weekly.
And yet in 18 months, the flat bottom formed under $12 is no cause for bullish continuation. "Support" as retail traders are taught to believe in, is made to be broken.
Therefore, this chart would absolutely never be a long, in my opinion, except that price action you can only see on the daily has created a set of goalposts.
And those goalposts are at the $15.42 level, which formed a perfect double top composing the July high.
Before we begin, I want to warn you that trading the markets right now come with significant geopolitical risks surrounding China.
The International Rules Based Order is frequently going off about "de-risking" from China, but not "decoupling," and the meaning of this is pretty significant.
You should note that the propaganda machine is always targeting "China" but not "The Chinese Communist Party."
Don't you think it's strange that despite the CCP's 100 years of murdering significantly more of its own people than Hitler did in general that the global Party doesn't take advantage of the CCP's heinous human rights abuses and totalitarianism to take it down?
Instead, they're always going after China, its 5,000 year old culture, and its 1.4 billion pre-Wuhan Pneumonia population?
It's because the IRBO wants to take control of China as the CCP falls. They won't take control of it directly, because they're not Chinese, but will install a puppet from Taiwan.
And this is where "War With Taiwan" garrling comes from. It's not that Xi Jinping is going to invade Taiwan, but that the IRBO intends to take control of China with Taiwan as a proxy.
But Xi can always weaponize the 24 year persecution of Falun Gong, started by former Chairman Jiang Zemin on July 20, 1999, to protect himself and China, because Wall Street and the World Government have been extensively visiting Shanghai (Shanghai Gigafactory what?) to train Marxism.
And training Marxism in Shanghai means depositing collateral with the CCP.
Xi has never persecuted Falun Gong. Instead, Xi has even protected Falun Gong from the Jiangling thugs in Hong Kong, and that was the real purpose of the National Security Law and the installation of John Lee as Chief Executive.
Notable that Lee was banned from attending the San Francisco APEC conference in November by Joe Biden, in that light, wouldn't you say?
So, back to trading.
Generally, the market makers will not leave this kind of double top in play, because short sellers love to go bigly short under them because "it's strong resistance," before taking new lows.
It's noteworthy that Ford is only a ~$50 billion company. Compare that to Tesla and decide which company is over/undervalued.
And all of that is just theoretical, but when we combine it with the fact that Friday's earnings were actually pretty good, but Ford dumped, and back into the box that preceeded its breakout, making it a classic breakout-retrace long, we have a trade setup.
So here's the idea.
Unfortunately, I believe that there is extremely high probabilities that the indexes are topping to end July or to begin August, which I go over here:
# SPX - The Sound of a Shattering Iceberg
Ford would probably get drug down in a 200+ point SPX correction.
That means that while we have significant bullish upside targets, at the $18 and $22 levels, all of the long term price action considered, we probably have to raid the bottom under $10 before Ford can really and truly rally during an index recovery.
So what we have is a long from where we are on Friday, +/- $12.80, with a target of $16.
This is a pretty nice range to collect.
Rather than use a strict price based stop, what I would like to say is that if Ford does not trade up and away from this $13 level within the next two weeks, it would indicate that big money is up to something else, and a long trade is either not valid or too risky to bother with.
Conversely, if you're bold and brave, shorts/puts over $15.50 with a target under $10 before 2024 may equal an even better payout and risk reward setup.
This trade is something of a coinflip that I only have moderate confidence in. What I have confidence in is that the MMs will not leave $15.50 in tact before they really dump it.
I also don't believe they'll leave these perfect flat bottoms in tact before they pump it.
So, be careful, and good luck. Plays like this are a lot better than gambling on the latest dumpster fire coin (AMC, SPWR, lol) spread on Marxist messenger Reddit.
Toyota shortThe company is focusing on two key areas - namely manufacturing and battery technology. While Toyota is developing a dedicated EV platform to help cut costs, it is looking to deploy a highly automated manufacturing process at a new EV unit called BEV Factory, established last month. Toyota is known for its manufacturing efficiency and processes with internal combustion engine-based cars, and the company’s specific plans for EVs could be seen as positive by investors. Toyota is looking to produce 1.7 million vehicles from its BEV factory by 2030. Toyota also appears to be making good progress on the battery front. The company is developing its next-generation lithium-ion batteries which should be ready by 2026, while also looking to commercialize solid-state batteries by 2027 or 2028. Solid-state batteries help make EVs safer by avoiding the use of flammable liquids, while considerably increasing range and reducing charging time. Durability has been a huge challenge for these batteries, but Toyota indicated that it has made technological breakthroughs on this front.
trend short
Toyota formed a Box Formation with target to 176.11 - WARNINGBox formation has formed over the last couple of months with Toyota.
We have had the range show higher lows, showing a bullish bias.
7>21>200
RSI>50
Target 176.11
WARNING
The price action and liquidity is not very high with this chart. We are seeing a ton of gaps and volatility which is not conducive for trading.
Either we need to risk little or really widen that stop loss to avoid unnecessary jumps to hitting it too soon.
Toyota Motor Corporation DCA - Rectangle Reversal Company: Toyota Motor Corporation
Ticker: 7203
Exchange: TSE
Sector: Automotive
Introduction:
Hello and thank you for taking the time to read my post. Today, we analyze the daily chart of Toyota Motor Corporation, focusing on a potential Rectangle reversal pattern. This pattern may indicate a change in the trend and offers trading opportunities for both short-term gains and long-term positions.
Rectangle Reversal Pattern:
The Rectangle pattern is a consolidation pattern that forms when the price is bounded by parallel support and resistance levels. It can act as a continuation or reversal pattern, depending on the preceding trend and the breakout direction. A breakout above the resistance level signals a potential trend reversal.
Analysis:
On the daily chart, Toyota Motor Corp has been in a clear downward trend, as indicated by the blue diagonal resistance line. However, the Rectangle pattern, which has four touch points at the top and five at the bottom, could potentially serve as a reversal pattern.
Currently, the price is attempting to break above the 200 EMA. If a breakout occurs with a candle close above this level, the price target is ¥14550, representing a gain of approximately 7.5%. This setup could also present a good opportunity to build a longer-term position, depending on the trend opportunity and whether the Rectangle pattern truly acts as a reversal signal.
Conclusion:
The Toyota Motor Corp daily chart analysis highlights a Rectangle reversal pattern, signaling a potential trend reversal. Traders should closely monitor the 200 EMA for any signs of a breakout. As always, it's essential to consider risk management and proper position sizing when trading based on chart patterns.
Please note that this analysis is not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence when investing or trading.
If you found this analysis helpful, please like, share, and follow for more updates. Happy trading!
Best regards,
Karim Subhieh
Bobby's Homework Assignment1. 7. 23 This video is a look at Toyota. The focus is on structure. It is also about accepting did Marcus can give you very strong signals, and very good trade potential, especially if you understand that Traders can make very good returns in one direction, but will almost certainly be limited because the market dynamics suggest that the market is much more likely to trade in the other direction. In other words, if you think like a buyer and the seller, you can get a sense of direction, and possibly take advantage of the market in both directions. In this example, my belief is that our Market is breaks down it takes out structure is the tell if the market will go lower, but in this case, the market found a 28-point reversal higher even though the market was likely to make new lows... at this kind of behavior makes smart money a lot more profitable Group of Traders. Markets are designed to wash and rinse buyers and sellers... and this is what gives good Traders the ability to make more money.
TESLA downside targetsThanks for viewing,
Yeah yeah yeah, I'm really inviting some comments of FUD etc. Yes, the parallels between US tech in the stockmarket and the crypto market in late 2018 exist. Look I like Elon, and what he is doing. You can't question his results. I also like TESLA, but not at this price. There is no reasonable explanation for why TESLA should be so highly valued that it lost an equivalent value that amounts to 150% of European Banking combined market cap. Why it should be worth more than Toyota (yes I know TESLA does more than make cars).
So anyway, these are some likely short-term sources of support;
The 1:1 extension of the previous sharp correction at $289,
The 0.5 Fib retracement level at $286,
The 200 day MA which will be something around $250 in a couple of weeks,
What I have labelled the wave (4) low at $273,
Failing that the 0.61 Fib retracement level at $235.
The MACD moving averages and histogram are pointing down.
The 30 RSI level is quite a way below.
Will I be a buyer? Nope. I believe in what he is doing, but I stick to value investing principles i.e. The stocks I buy need to generate consistent cash returns and should also be undervalued. No matter how bullish you are on TESLA, a 650% rise in 12 months - without an associated growth in earnings points to people buying DREAMS. When there are no dividend returns underlying the massive gains, gains are more "fragile", peoples hands are weaker, and a lot of people will be shaken out or liquidated (2020 has seen a large inflow of inexperienced traders using leverage - I have definitely been burnt by leverage before).
My belief if that the global economy is entering into the deleveraging phase of a long-term debt cycle. This started to be evident in 2019, the current health crisis will likely deepen the recession. So... where will all the employed, cashed up, buyers of new cars come from? I am more bullish on used car auction houses etc because people need to seriously reduce expenses in the face of higher unemployment and a worsening real economy. Any bad news added on top will send the stock towards the low-end of the range... or even below. Who knows.
Protect those funds.
Toyota Motor chart for toyota---motor company---will be following over the next few years---toyota has always been a leader in provide good reliable vehicles for people to own for many years--and the mileage proves their quality. thinking people should jack toyotas price because you know theyll eventually become like elon musk company--- or similar in years to come.....I can see a decline in sales--over the next few months because the company doesnt want to change to ev or electric--- but things will change
Toyota is losing it. TMImmediate targets 188, 182. Invalidation at 229.
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe
Auto Industry Stock. Ford, VW, BMW, Toyota, Honda, and TESLA?In this video, I do a quick breakdown of a few major automotive stocks. I wanted to mention their Earnings per share (eps), P/E Ratio, and dividend percentage. Ford is at a longer-term PE ratio low right now. Watch the video for more details. I get into Toyota, Ford, Honda, Tesla, BMW, and VW (Volkswagen).
$TMLast week we saw pretty nice spike in $TM with the announcement of the shares buyback. I bet against it even though i had it targeted to reach $206, but with all the uncertainty in the market I thought it wouldn't make it. As it hit the peak of $213 we can see it formed a head and shoulders pattern which brought us back down into the 2nd gap of the original breakout. Now we have a mini inverse head and shoulders that should only push the stock around $210 being as though it is on a smaller time frame and a short downtrend it won't have any real effect. My target for this week is $209-$206 maybe $205 for the lowest. I do see this continuing to go down into next week through into the 1st gap and back to retest the original breakout around $199/$200 area.
NYSE:TM
1/9/22 TMToyota Motor Corporation ( NYSE:TM )
Sector: Consumer Durables (Motor Vehicles)
Market Capitalization: 275.821B
Current Price: $200.44
Breakout price: $201.50
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $193.00-$186.00
Price Target: $220.00-$222.00
Estimated Duration to Target: 52-58d
Contract of Interest: $TM 4/14/22 220c
Trade price as of publish date: $4.30/contract