Toyota stock analysis. All time highs soon?Hi everyone,
Today we are taking a look at NYSE:TM Toyota stock.
This issue has been in the game for a while and it's not one of your parabolic stocks.
NYSE:TM stock tends to move aggressively in the short term, followed by a longer low volatility period afterwards.
This stock takes a lot of time to make new ATHs.
Recent action.
Stock price has been rejected by a 20-year-old trend resistence 5 times already.
Persistence of the price action looks good for the stock.
However , based on previous stock fluctuations from the highs, I would not expect price to break the resistence just yet.
Future action.
The stock is famous for consolidating in the same range for many years. Even in a bull market Toyota stock moved sideways (2013-2018). Therefore, being at the top of the trend channel, we might see a proper downward flush.
We could see 145 in the next 6 months.
Even if we break the 20-year resistence ( 190 level) and hold there, I cannot see this stock going parabolic to the moon.
I would recommend to be conservative on this one.
Trade wisely and good luck!
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Disclaimer!!!
This is not financial advise.
Toyota
TOM is reaching the 16.50As expected, TOM has reached the point of 16.50 euro/share, and even exceeded a little, by hitting the 16.58 euro/share much earlier than the end of 2021.
Since TOM is at it's highest point ever, I think it will now start it's way down, back either to 15.50 or even to 14.50.
Considering the new lock-downs and rising inflation, remaining on such high levels is quite a risk, even though NY sales are coming soon.
Additional sign of risk is PE ratio of Toyota, which has severely dropped both since COVID and the 1/5 split of September.
TOM / Q4 2021TOM continues it's way up.
Short-term
Considering the economy rise in general, TOM will continue it's way up to +-16.50, at least in as long as general economical situation will remain the same.
By looking at the recent trend of TOM, the reach of 16.50 may take longer than initially expected, but in reality it may perform even better than planned, considering the New Year boost, which comes very soon.
Mid-term
Speaking about the mid-term, the new e-cars market will add value, which is being strongly supported by the ecological initiatives and massive investments.
Very long-term
Many other stocks have skyrocketed after the lockdowns, and it may seem as if the current price is of TOM is also away higher than it should be if there was no COVID.
In fact, he white line in the chart, is a global trend of TOM for the whole period available.
This trend fits perfectly the prices of today, which means that the price level is at a quite safe level.
Other factors
Technological innovation, demand in mobility and ecological concerns/investments, are making the current price level pretty much realistic, or even under-evaluated.
Forecasts of housing prices in Europe are very bullish in the coming 1-3 years, which can be quite a reason to believe that current global trends will continues as well within the mentioned period.
Summary
TOM is being traded at a realistic price level, or even underestimated.
Both factors + global bully trend + tech demand + ecology = will keep rising the TOM value as well as many others on the market.
Forecast
TOM will reach 16.50 withing this year or earlier.
China fear was an entry opportunityIn my latest post on the 19th Jul 2021, I mentioned: "It is possible that wave 2 is not complete yet and we may see another leg down before taking off hard to make new highs as the 3rd impulsive wave."
This is what happened and we should be on our way to the higher prices. Target 1 should be $59 and Target 2 should be $74 for the medium term. Note that still there is a slim possibility of morphing this correction to a more complex pattern, however as China fear pushed the Chinese stock prices to lower prices and offered an opportunity to get in at lower prices, such a pattern conversion should be regarded as an entry opportunity. EV stocks will shine in 2022 and 2023 as the sales will be more prevailing and more companies will come up with new EVs and technologies. As an example, Toyota has promised the introduction of 70 new models until 2025 out of which 15 will be fully electric. $LCID and $FSR are the two notable EV companies in the US that will introduce their luxury sedan and cross-over SUV in 2021 and 2022 respectively.
My last post on $XPEV:
Please DYODD. This is not financial advice.
Nice spot for buying ToyotaWe use the previous resistance as support/hold the range between: 80.19$ – 78.30$
If we go lower as 75.96$ and closing the monthly candle below its more likely that we are going more downwards and testing 60.25$ and this needs to be hold for our longterm uptrend. Anyway we are trying to buy between 80.19$ – 78.30$ with an stop loss little bit below 75.96$ . First take profit 89$ and second take profit: 94.89$ .
What are you thinking about our trading idea? Your thoughts are always appreicate here.
GM UptrendSince the beginning of the year General Motors has started doing healthy bullish things on its chart.
We have another uptrend that is in play, and if the trend holds we can look for a retest of the $60.30 resistance level. A break and hold above that level could send us 15% to the upside to the top of the channel.
***Also, please be aware that the current market is fueled with uncertainty at the moment, so a breaking of this uptrend is very much possible. Until then, however, we assume GM remains in the trend until it doesn't.
If the trend breaks, we have our stop losses at $57.43 and the final line in the sand at $55.82.
Keep it simple and buy ToyotaNot much to say here other than Toyota is 100x better than Tesla in everything. Personally I don't believe that a company who has a CEO like Elon will ever be successful, so I'd rather buy the most successful company out there that just had a major breakout. Definitely one of the most bullish stocks out there.
TOYOTA Stock Analysis Some companies that stockpiled chips are reaping the benefits now. Toyota said on Wednesday that it doesn’t expect to reduce its rate of production because it had stockpiled four months worth of chips to ride out the shortage. Toyota raised its full-year earnings forecast by 54%.
The Idea is to go long
You don't want to miss TM againToyota is betting big on new energy autos including their investment in TSLA as well as their own Hydro cars.
TM's SUV is undisputed king in Chinese market and they pay twice as much for them as what we do in the US.
If you are big on new energy cars you really can't miss Toyota.
Disclaimer, this is only for entertainment and education purposes and doesn't serve by any means as a buy or sell recommendation.
Personally I hold both long term long positions and occasionally short term short position, for disclosure purpose.
TOYOTA MOTOR CORP: Important Breakout & Bullish Continuation
Confirmed breakout of a bullish flag pattern on Toyota.
Taking into consideration that the market is trading in a bullish trend
this breakout will most likely initiate a bullish rally.
I will buy on a retest of 618 retracement of the last minor bullish leg.
goals:
7286
7523
TESLA - Hyped Car - Hyped StockWhat an insane rally of Tesla over the last months. Many investors which were short got crazily burned. Their portfolio might have massive losses. Did they underestimated this company or do they still see Tesla as a normal Automobile Company?
What we know: The company makes massive of revenues but generates at the moment only a couple of millions in profit. That´s the reason, why many investors see NASDAQ:TSLA as an overprized company. But, are they really overprized or just incorrect categorized?
The right classification: From my view, Tesla is no Automobile Company as XETR:BMW , XETR:DAI , XETR:VOW3 or TSE:7203 . It´s more! It´s a Technology/Software Company which archieved many things in the last years, and not many have believed in the success story of Tesla. It was written bankrupt close to every quarter.
Software + Infrastructure: Tesla has an advantage of roughly 5 years, compared to other car manufacturers. There are many reasons! It has already its own software for an (1) excellent autonomous driving, (2) battary management and (3) software updates over the air. Further it has an incredible charging infrastructure. Therefore Tesla sold the most Electric Cars, globaly.
Yes, Tesla is hyped. But we might see new highs in the next years, IF other car manufacturers don´t get the curve and are not able to compete on the market for Electric Cars. And electric stands for technology and software, which Tesla already has. Maybe the quality of each car is not always the best but with some german accuracy this can be solved easily.
Let me know, what do you think about Tesla. Are they overprized? Right now, NASDAQ:TSLA might have reached its upper band of a trendchannel and is ready for a small correction. If we see an incredibly selling pressure, Tesla could see a bigger down turn. For long term investors it might then the right time to buy.
>> And never fortget ! -- Plan your trade and trade your plan ! <<
Let's Check in on the Toyota FlagToyota, much like many stocks and indices around the world, has an all too familiar flag formation off the March lows. Toyota's is very clean in structure, with two distinct "humps" inside of it. I very much expect this to break down.
In the first crash, it broke a long-term trend line (red) that dates back about eight years. That will be easily broken again soon.
Beneath that (below) it has an even longer-term trend line support (blue) going back to the 1980s. If the markets totally fall apart, I expect we can eventually find support at those levels.