AUD/JPY Update TP2 HitAUD/JPY reached our second Profit. We have to expect more downside potential due to the fact that this Pair broke our symetrical triangle to the downside. So if your still in this Trade you can hold onto it.
Trade safe, Daniel
Likes and Comments would keep me motivated to post more Setup
Tp
EUR AUD on the rise i think. WEEKLY FRAMEWell, strong up trend has been continuing for some time met with some overbuying resulting some downtrend lately. This weeks inverted hammer candle shows a bullish reversal along with the 1.480 level of resistance shows bullish jumps with past price analysis shown with the green rectangle. Price has touched the 20 EMA (red) line and is just below the 50 EMA too (blue)
SHORT the DAX at 10250 using a pending order.FX:GER30
Short the dax when it reaches the 10250 Highs, profiting on the back on the support level when it drops down again. Only a matter of time when it corrects itself. The stochastic shows alot of choppiness so this bullish wave will come to an end soon.
NZDUSD downmove with Take ProfitsNZDUSD reached a new minor accumulation area.
New target is well visible as well as the previous one I took last week on wednesday.
I'm guessing this is leaning towards a big dip down as the trend based fibonacci extensions miraculously match the
important support/resistance levels I drew on the daily chart.
A match on all three 1.618, 2.272 and the 2.618 which are all rounded mid and big figure numbers.
EUR/USD LONG POSITION TP 420 - 570 pips1) Buy Limit 1.1080 SL 1.0880 TP 1.1500 = 420 pips TP
2) Buy Limit 1.0930 SL 1.0800 TP 1.1500 = 570 pips TP
Ramane de urmarit Strapungerea / Testarea si Confirmarea nivelului 1.1130
Fundamental mai mult politic ar putea influenta miscarea in sens invers dar economic EUR este in crestere!
Cel mai probabil va urma o miscare laterala pe o perioada. Pe la mijloc-sfarsit de MARTIE o sa apara oportunitatea de BIGSHOT pana in nivelul 1.1500
USD/JPY SELL SELL SELL !!!Also another sell setup
1. price has come to previous structure and shown a huge bearish candle
2. price put in a bearish engulfing candle
3 price is downtrending
4.previous candle was a doji
on the daily previous candle was a bearish hammer sign of more sellers in the market :)
USDCAD long-term is SO bearishAs We all know nothing goes up/down in a straight line, and with all the bearish sentiment for Oil and CAD we are sure that the turning point is near. Of course, one of the most important rules is not to try to catch the turning point (TP) "do not catch a falling knife" *****So we are not saying to short USDCAD now******
In the monthly chart it is clear that since 2007 the pair has done a 5-3-5 correction "(a)-(b)-(c)" for the impulsive downward move that started in 2002 and lasted 5 years. and as a confirmation, that this price action is corrective, we can see it is moving within parallel lines. "impulsive waves do not move in parallel lines".
In addition, I highlighted a potential resistance box where we could see the turning point happening.
In the weekly chart, we present the RSI divergence, which is the best indication for exhaustion of a trend. Plus, the red box represent an area where a cluster of fibonacci extensions fall which would act as a great resistance for the TP.
Again, this analysis is in line with with our analysis for Oil which is almost finishing the bear trend.
*******AFTER THE TP******
Elliott Wave analysis and Cyclical analysis is not about predicting the future; its more about adjusting and benefiting before its too late. So we don't know the actual price path after the TP but we are sure that the price will go lower in at least 3 waves "which could be wave (x) (5-3-5) towards the lower trend line in the monthly view" or it could go impulsively down beyond the trend line
Happy trading :)
USD/TRY D1 Perspective I had a request from a friend to analyze USD/TRY:
On daily perspective I saw a nice classical Elliot Wave with double zigzag till point E correction waves.
Before starting the analyze I want you to eliminate the harmonic pattern that I draw there; First we start with trends and the potential of opening trade. PA (Price Action) creates trend and trends give us opportunity to open a position trade by its steep. On S2 line we had 2 potential of Buy and why we do not Sell on R1.2 is because of its upward steep and we will never Sell on upward trend and never do amateurish scalping and we do not close our deal until either S2 breaks or we see a PA TP Signal which we had it on the top and Also a good Sell Signal at the same time.
Remember as a good trader how we open Sell Position is not when ever we see double top just sell on it. Even though we have seen a bearish PA on the top we still should wait ti S 1.1 trend to break and then we can open Sell position with SL of above R 1 + Spread. Since price follows our expectation we will sell any time if price touches the R1.1 with SL of above it. (Remember you must first observe that does the price are going to touch and pull back or it will breaks the trend. You never Sell if your trend is broke out. You follow the price till you reach the Future Expected Price A (FEPA) and if price does not change direction; you will follow the same strategy till you reach FEPB. (If R 1.1 dose not break).
Since we have S 2 Trend line seems to be stronger than R1.1 you also can expect an uptrend around that area. If we see S 2 Breaks R 1.1 we get ready to see a harmonic pattern in future.
Our expected Patterns and Elliot are not our signal, it's just a map and idea that we can look at them some time. We trade based on your best friend (trend) and PA.
Any time if the harmonic pattern is completed you can expect for a bullish movement.
Remember you will close all the sell position if R 1.1 breaks and will not open any position till you reach on 1 safe trend. Hold is also an option.
FEP are found by Orbits strategy that I have explained in many of my previous perspective. If you are new to it please read my previous analysis and if still you have problem with it feel free and email me at farsi.masoud@gmail.com
GBP/USD Daily PrespectivePatterns can be failed very unexpectedly.
Patient is the key of success. Open your trad on a strong trend.
Later I will explain about how to adjust SL and TP.
I will also explain how to get reversal signal and have more confidence on your decision.
It's all about Risk to Rewards. Get yourself mentally ready and deal for long term instead of amateurish scalping.
Email me if you have any question: farsi.masoud@gmail.com
USDJPY Outlooksorry guys, it's been a while since my last post and today i will give you my usdjpy outlook next week. as you can see we have bearish bat pattern completion, not only that but we have bearish butterfly pattern that already complete too. i have 3 options of TP
1st : the .382 retracement
2nd : .618 retracement
3rd cypher pattern completion
any thoughts or idea will be great.
thanks and good luck
USD/CAD near long-term profit zoneUSD/CAD reacted very well to the formation 'Head and Shoulders'. 1.1571 is 200% fib measurement of the low of the right shoulder and the high of the high shoulder. Also to keep in mind we have a 0.618% fib very close (fib of the 2011 low and 2009 high). On the other hand, to give us even more support of this zone, we have a very clear trend line (blue line) which we can see a nice reaction from it.
So, lets see what happens when we get there, keep this levels in mind and we might correct from it.