$QQQ Support and Resistance Areas?QQQ had a big bearish candle on Friday. If you look left on the chart there were 2 comparable recent days. On Dec 18, 2024, and Jan 7, 2025, both lead to further downside. On Dec 18, the decline before a rally was about 5.3% and the Jan 7 decline was around 4.9%. Friday’s decline was about 2.4%. “If” those declines are any guide, we could expect another 2.5% to 3% additional deterioration. Which portends a pullback to around 512 to 510. Think of those as areas of concern, not a prediction. I have also drawn in horizontal lines that “may” become areas of support or resistance. In addition, we are touching an area of upward sloping line (area) that has defined a series of higher lows over the last 4 weeks.
In summary, it is a good idea to have an open mind about any outcome over the next few days to weeks and simply look at these areas to see if they do indeed end up being turning points.
One more point, this is an index fund and as such looks at heavily weighted stocks. We are likely in a period of picking individual stocks that are leading and using this index simply as a guide to overall market health.
I hope that helps.
TQQQ
Opening (IRA): TQQQ April 4th 70 Covered Call... for a 68.05 debit.
Comments: Starter position in the first weekly in April ... .
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 68.05
Max Profit: 1.95
ROC at Max: 2.87%
50% Max: .98
ROC at 50% Max: 1.44%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, add at intervals assuming I can get in at strikes better than what I currently have on, and/or roll out short call if my take profit is not hit.
Opening (IRA): TQQQ March 21st 69 Covered Call... for a 67.07 debit
Comments: Not finished with March yet ... . Taking less risk here than I would ordinarily do to give me more room to be wrong, selling the -84 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 16 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 67.07 debit
Max Profit: 1.93
ROC at Max: 2.88%
50% Max: .97
ROC at 50% Max: 1.44%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, add at intervals if I can get in at break evens better than what I currently have on, and/or roll out my short call if my take profit is not hit.
Opening (IRA): TQQQ March 21st 72 Covered Call... for a 68.95 debit.
Comments: Starter position on weakness. Selling the -75 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 68.95
Max Profit: 3.05
ROC at Max: 4.42%
50% Max: 1.53
ROC at 50% Max: 2.21%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, add at intervals, assuming I can get in at strikes/break evens that what I have on at the time, and/or roll out short call if my take profit is not hit.
Opening (IRA): TQQQ March 21st 68 Covered Call... for a 64.63 debit.
Comments: Starter position on weakness, selling the -75 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with built-in short call defense.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 64.63
Max Profit: 3.37
ROC at Max: 5.21%
50% Max: 1.69
ROC at 50% Max: 2.61%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, add at intervals assuming I can get in at strikes better than what I currently have on, and/or roll out short call if my TP is not hit.
Opening (IRA): TQQQ March 21st 71 Covered Call... for a 67.75 debit.
Comments: Starter position, selling the -75 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 67.75/share
Max Profit: 3.25
ROC at Max: 4.80%
50% Max: 1.63
ROC at 50% Max: 2.40%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, add at intervals (assuming I can get in at break evens/strikes better than what I currently have on), and/or roll out short call if my take profit is not hit.
Opening (IRA): TQQQ March 21st 69 Covered Call... for a 65.42 debit.
Comments: High IV + weakness. Selling the -75 call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 65.42
Max Profit: 3.58
ROC at Max: 5.47%
50% Max: 1.79
ROC at 50% Max: 2.74%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, add at intervals (assuming I can get in at a break even better than what I currently have on), and/or roll out the short call in the event take profit is not hit.
TQQQ I Potential Long Opportunity from Support Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** TQQQ Analysis - Listen to video!
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Opening (IRA): TQQQ December 20th 74 Covered Call... for a 71.29 debit.
Comments: Selling the -75 delta call against stock to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with built-in short call defense.
I'm looking at this as a starter position because I kind of have a feeling that I'm going to regret not putting this on in weakness/higher IV and will be adding at better strikes/break evens (only time will tell).
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 71.29/share
Max Profit: 2.71
ROC at Max: 3.80%
50% Max: 1.36
ROC at 50% Max: 1.90%
Opening (IRA): TQQQ January 17th 65 Covered Call... for a 61.79 debit.
Comments: Adding a "rung" at a break even better than what I currently have on, selling the -75 delta call against stock to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 61.79/share
Max Profit: 3.21 ($321)
ROC at Max: 5.20%
50% Max: 1.62 ($162)
ROC at 50% Max: 2.60%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, roll out short call on take profit test (which is at 63.40).
Gold Spot intraday setup. The Pushmi - Pullyu animalRemember Dr. Dolittle? He was a vet who could talk to animals. One of the rarest was the “pushmi-pullyu,” a llama with two heads (one head was where the ass ought to be).
The pushmi-pullyu was a gentle creature that did not like to be stared at. And yet the other animals in Africa convinced him to go with the good Dr., and be put on display in Europe, because Dr. Dolittle was a kind soul who needed money to look after all the animals in his “care”.
It's gone a bit since Gold explosion last week, due to Biden's gaffe to authorize the yellow/blues regime use US-made missiles inside Russia's legal area, while the rods of Russia's retribution hanged like the sword of Damocles over all of Europe, on the basis of reciprocity.
Last week Gold spot added +153 US Dollars just in 5 Days. That was the best in history ever 1-week return, since January, 1980. Additionally, in percentage points Gold spot added +5.97 percent in a week. It was the 3rd best 1-week return over past decade.
Gold spot in Euro OANDA:XAUEUR at the same time continues its gain 11th straight month in a row.
The main intraday graph is for Gold spot OANDA:XAUUSD , and it indicates that Gold has retraced a bit to its key $2670 level (that was discussed in earlier published ideas), and ready to take Adv. again, since Trump-a-rally rolled out into the all-the-world fart.
UltraPro QQQ. Trump-a-rally gives no light for leveraged betsIt's gone 10 days or so, since Mr. Trump has secured a win over his Democrat-rival Kamala Harris in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as it declared by the Associated Press.
Since that, a lot of stocks soared in a meme-style mode, while Bitcoin clears $93,000 and Dogecoin soared amid Trump-fueled crypto rally.
The main graph is for UltraPro QQQ NASDAQ:TQQQ and it indicates, that major 82-Dollars resistance for leveraged bets on Tech sector has not been broken yet.
👉 NASDAQ:QQQ is a traditional ETF that tracks the Nasdaq-100 Index, suitable for long-term investors seeking broad exposure to tech-focused stocks.
👉 NASDAQ:TQQQ is a leveraged ETF that aims to deliver triple (3x) the daily returns of the Nasdaq-100 Index, making it only suitable for short-term traders.
Since US dollar interest rates are still near multi year highs and Powell says the Fed is in no hurry to cut interest rates.. all of that means Trump-a-rally gives no light for leveraged bets (yet).
Potentially everything can be clear in January, 2025 only.
GL y'all. Cheers, @Pandorra 😎
Opening (IRA): TQQQ August 16th 73 Monied Covered Call... for a 70.80 debit.
Comments: High IV at 55%. Buying a one lot and selling a -75 call against in the August 16th monthly to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with built-in short call defense. I looked at doing something in the 45 DTE wheelhouse, which would be the August 30th expiry, but it was less liquid than the monthly, so opted to go shorter duration, with the plan being to roll out to the September monthly should we get further weakness and/or a test of 73. Otherwise, I'll look to just take profit at my standard 50% max.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 70.80
Max Profit: 2.20
ROC at Max: 3.11%
50% Max: 1.10
ROC at 50% Max: 1.55%
Opening (IRA): TQQQ Sept 20th 63 Monied Covered Call... for a 59.60 debit.
Comments: High IVR/high IV at 68.7/63.1%. Selling the -75 delta call against stock to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call.
Additionally, adding at strikes/break evens better than what I've current got on (the August 16th 73 covered calls; break even 70.80).
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 59.60
Max Profit: 3.40
ROC at 50% Max: 5.70%
50% Max: 1.70
ROC at 50% Max: 2.85%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max; roll the short call out for duration on side test.
Opening (IRA): TQQQ Oct 18th 59 Monied Covered Call... for a 56.10 debit.
Comments: This isn't at a lower strike than what I currently have on, but I'm (somewhat) fine with it, since I'm still below what I have in mind to be maximally deployed in this instrument.
Selling the -75 delta call against stock to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built in defense of the short call.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 56.10
Max Profit: 2.90
ROC at Max: 5.17%
50% Max: 1.45
ROC at 50% Max: 2.58%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, roll out in-profit short call for duration and credit.
TQQQ I Next long opportunity - following correction from 74.87Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** TQQQ Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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Opening (IRA): TQQQ Dec 20th 47 Covered Call.. for a 42.71 debit.
Comments: Since all my rungs are now out in Dec, adding one at lower break evens than what I currently have on, selling the -75 delta call against long stock to emulate a 25 delta short put, but with built-in short call defense.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 42.71
Max Profit: 4.29
ROC at Max: 10.04%
50% Max: 2.15
ROC at 50% Max: 5.02%
SQQQ I It will decline from top of the resistance channel
Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** SQQQ Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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Opened (IRA): TQQQ Sept 20th 58 Monied Covered Call... for a 54.85 debit.
Comments: Added to my position at a strike/break even better than what I currently have on.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 54.85/share
Max Profit: 3.15 ($315)
ROC at Max: 5.74%
50% Max: 1.58 ($158)
ROC at 50% Max: 2.87%
Opened (IRA): TQQQ Sept 20th 53 Monied Covered Call... for a 50.14 debit.
Comments: Added another rung here on weakness/high IVR/IV (83/69.8), selling the -75 delta call against stock to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put with the built-in defense of the short call.
Will generally look to take profit on rungs at 50% max, roll out the short call for duration and credit if it doesn't hit at 21 DTE.
Opening (IRA): TQQQ Sept 20th 49 Monied Covered Call... for a 45.45 debit.
Comments: Last rung in Sept ... . Selling the -75 call against stock to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta long put with the built-in defense of the short call.
Metrics:
Break Even/Buying Power Effect: 45.45
Max Profit: 3.55 ($355)
ROC at Max: 7.81%
50% Max: 1.78 ($178)
ROC at 50% Max: 3.91%