TQQQ
NASDAQ, Statistic, and Fibonacci...Institutional investors call themselves "Smart Money" because they have access to more data and analyze it better than us at any moment.
If you check Fibonacci time zones on NASDAQ, you will be shocked:
1- weekly chart: post-pandemic Bull market last 55 weeks. (55 is the 10th number in the Fibonacci sequence)
2- In the hourly chart, it follows the time zone and retracement levels:
The important question here is to find the next probable reversal zone:
Model A:
Model B:
Now let's review the past and see what was the most common pattern in NASDAQ weekly chart in the past 60 weeks using some statistics:
Weekly chart:
1- Between March 2020 and April 2021 (55 wks) we had 31 green and 24 red candles! Net outcome:+107% (average +1.95% weekly)
Even in the longest bullish market, 43% of weekly candles were Red!
2- The Most common pattern: 1 Geen candle followed by 1 Red. repeated 9 times!
3-For the first time in the past 60 weeks CURRENCYCOM:US100 closed in rd for 4 consecutive weeks! and this has happened after that 55 weeks!
4-During the longest Bullish market ever, we see a 5 consecutive green candle only once, 4 consecutive green twice, 3 consecutive green once, and 2 consecutive green 3 times!
How we could use this information?
Let's assume you bought TQQQ every week. Your chance of closing your trade and making profits could be 70%! This is way above the 51% success rate of the Medallion fund of Reinacence Technologies which is the most successful fund of all time.
How we should use all this information:
Scenario A: You believe we are in a Bullish market: Buy TQQQ every Friday. (This could be good after 4 consecutive weekly red candles, but not recommended)
Scenario B: You believe we are in the Bearish market: Buy SQQQ every Friday. ( IMO: This could be a better choice in a longer time frame)
Moonphases backtested QQQ NQ NASMoon phases begin 3 days after, marked by vertical lines. If the trend started the same day I gave it credit. If you could've lost considerably holding till the next moon, I put it in yellow, but still gave credit for initial trend.
Full moon (bot) was correct 9/9 1 ylw
New Moon (top) was correct 7/9 2 ylw
So it seems you can trust moon phases more than most indicators! Overall 88% accurate, with Fulls near 100%, and News @ 77% accurate.
$PLTR - Palantir Heading Lower, BEARISH immediate and short termRejected Falling Channel for 3rth Time. Falling Channel intact.
QQQ 50% decline by EOY 8500 If QQQ has a 50% decline and goes to 8500 by end of the year(see chart), then TQQQ will have 150% decline and wipe-out entire positions. I think we all knew this was coming, just hope the newbies understand that TQQQ can go to 0 when you are dealing with 3 times leveraged funds. They had a great ride but the train is coming to a stop!!! Take cover!!! Feel free to express your opinions.
Time to short QQQ again!! 1st target 12,400Many things pointing to lower QQQ. The probability of QQQ going to 12,400 is much greater than QQQ breaking resistance. This is looking to me that it will selloff in the next two trading days. What are your thoughts? Please understand that this is for my own personal trading style. Please do your own due diligence and trade safe!!
TQQQ - BONDS vs NASDAQ 👊-The last couple of weeks were tough as the non-ending rise in bonds was dragging the Nasdaq lower and lower each day.
-Now, finally, after a strong rally in bond yield we can see a sharp drop-down in the yield (orange). This is the chance for Nasdaq!
-As long as TQQQ manages to keep the nose above the 85, it will maintain the possible bullish run. However, it is still not clear if
the bond rally has come to an end!
-Lets all closely watch these 2 fighting over the throne with eachother and pay close attention to the possible re-test @ 85!
Potential bear flag for FNGU - maybe 45% downside? FNGU is a 3x leveraged fang etf.
We've had a small consolidation (flag) but now we've started moving downward again (potential bear flag pattern).
Bear flag price target of roughly $15 would mean a 45% fall from current price.
Price target lines up with support levels of around $15 which we bounced off of multiple times in September 2020.
We also recently crossed below the 50d MA on the 4H.