QQQ ATHsGoing off my last $NQ1! idea published...near picture perfect and just a few hairs off fresh all time highs...
Obvious resistance again, but the grind up and growth leading for weeks is tilting towards a bullish breakout in a big way IMO. of course it's gonna be choppy, of course there's gonna be huge size on the bid and ask. No telling what could happen when price reaches that point...usually probes through to check it out. I'd expect something similar tomorrow or overnight even.
Good luck, and stay flexible.
TQQQ
TQQQ LongMost definitely alot of short interest at these prices...but nuances my friends. Resistance flipping to support (tentatively holding) with another day of a lot of absorbing on the bids...Could see a breakout back up to retest ATH levels.
There is still a downside gap unfilled from last week...but as you should know the indices don't mind leaving them behind for a few weeks before eventually filling. Good luck.
$QQQ's Tentatively attempting to hold here for a move higher. OBV showing constructiveness, 25 day ROC curling back up to neutral. Resistance trying to flip to support, and a ton of absorbing on the bids intraday and a strong move up showed some character change...maybe not enough to push for new ATH's but in these 50/50 setups I'll lean bullish almost everytime. On watch.
TQQQ looking to start downswing to test 1YR support Looking a the TQQQ 1 year chart, looks like we are going to see a downswing to test support again after hitting a triple top at ~$111.89 since March. Current channel movement looks to mimic that from March. My entry point is $93 on June 14th but may come up to $95 to get lifted. What are your thoughts?
Upside vs Downside
You can see what the Nasdaq has been doing for the past few days - nothing.
There is serious overhead resistance. Unless it breaks through the easiest path is a 61% retracement and fill the gaps below and try again.
Again if the trendline get broken all bets are off.
Nasdaq is better at filling gasps better the SPX.
NASDAQ, Statistic, and Fibonacci...Institutional investors call themselves "Smart Money" because they have access to more data and analyze it better than us at any moment.
If you check Fibonacci time zones on NASDAQ, you will be shocked:
1- weekly chart: post-pandemic Bull market last 55 weeks. (55 is the 10th number in the Fibonacci sequence)
2- In the hourly chart, it follows the time zone and retracement levels:
The important question here is to find the next probable reversal zone:
Model A:
Model B:
Now let's review the past and see what was the most common pattern in NASDAQ weekly chart in the past 60 weeks using some statistics:
Weekly chart:
1- Between March 2020 and April 2021 (55 wks) we had 31 green and 24 red candles! Net outcome:+107% (average +1.95% weekly)
Even in the longest bullish market, 43% of weekly candles were Red!
2- The Most common pattern: 1 Geen candle followed by 1 Red. repeated 9 times!
3-For the first time in the past 60 weeks CURRENCYCOM:US100 closed in rd for 4 consecutive weeks! and this has happened after that 55 weeks!
4-During the longest Bullish market ever, we see a 5 consecutive green candle only once, 4 consecutive green twice, 3 consecutive green once, and 2 consecutive green 3 times!
How we could use this information?
Let's assume you bought TQQQ every week. Your chance of closing your trade and making profits could be 70%! This is way above the 51% success rate of the Medallion fund of Reinacence Technologies which is the most successful fund of all time.
How we should use all this information:
Scenario A: You believe we are in a Bullish market: Buy TQQQ every Friday. (This could be good after 4 consecutive weekly red candles, but not recommended)
Scenario B: You believe we are in the Bearish market: Buy SQQQ every Friday. ( IMO: This could be a better choice in a longer time frame)
Moonphases backtested QQQ NQ NASMoon phases begin 3 days after, marked by vertical lines. If the trend started the same day I gave it credit. If you could've lost considerably holding till the next moon, I put it in yellow, but still gave credit for initial trend.
Full moon (bot) was correct 9/9 1 ylw
New Moon (top) was correct 7/9 2 ylw
So it seems you can trust moon phases more than most indicators! Overall 88% accurate, with Fulls near 100%, and News @ 77% accurate.
$PLTR - Palantir Heading Lower, BEARISH immediate and short termRejected Falling Channel for 3rth Time. Falling Channel intact.