TQQQ
Reversal?Potential reversal identified based on August price action.
We are at a tipping point for tech.
Weekly technicals are oversold.
MACD monthly remains negative.
Jobs report and further Fed hikes may amplify this technical analysis may tip the scales and send tech plummeting.
Good luck,
Opinion - not financial advice
$QQQ $SPY Full Bull control but its a little extended.- QQQ and SPY has a very strong bull move last 4 days with zero signs of bears but they move is quite extended and im looking for a daily consolidation to shape up
- If the consolidation is healthy the bull move will likely continue so i will be watching how the consolidation shapes up.
- SPY is approaching some key resistance around 410 area also potentially shaping up a daily H&S we'll have to see how it trades around 410 Next week
- i will be on team bull until bears show me signs of weakness during daily consolidation.
$NDX outperforming & held Fibonacci levels$NDX is still moving well
Fibonacci levels have HELD well many times since OCT
Originally when we called BULL
Next Fib level is 78%
The most likely target sine there is no MAJOR resistance along the way
12Month #NDX is interesting, no?
#stocks $QQQ $TQQQ $SQQQ
Daily $QQQ Market Breakdown, Potential Bull flags in Tech Sector- SPY and QQQ have been very choppy due to sectors rotating around may potentially continue unless we start seeing XLF forming daily uptrends and joining team bull.
- Or we see XLF / KRE go sideways and QQQ and SOXX/ SMH join team Bear.
As of now there are zero red flags for QQQ and SMH daily time frame so i am slightly more bullish in my intra-day scalp trades. Wont be holding anything overnight until we get a clear direction in the market i am open to both bearish or bullish trades just want a clear direction.
$QQQ $SPY BEAR LACK Follow Through, Key Levels to Watch- $SPY $QQQ bear had all its chances to bring QQQ down after a bear break this morning out of the tightening range we had in the last 4 days but bears couldn't follow through.
- Want to see QQQ Bulls gain back its hourly uptrend and break above 308 area of resistance.
- want to see XLF / KRE bounce for SPY & SPX to break out of its equilibrium bull. of course vice versa for the bears.
- zero red flags on the daily time frame for SOXX / SMH / QQQ
$TSLA Price Action Breakdown, $QQQ Future Price Outlook- $QQQ about to break its tightening range, this will be very important for TSLA,
- currently TSLA does not have enough relative strength to hold up if QQQ breaks bear. so it will likely break bear with it.
- Bullish pattern: Daily Inverse H&S Weekly Cup & Handle
- XLF / KRE gapped up nicely but bear took over after cash open.
2023 Looks Very BloodyStocks look poised to head sharply lower through the rest of this year. The banking crisis has been snoozed like your alarm clock blaring at you first thing in the morning. The thing is you only get about 5-10 mins before it blares at you again. More bank failures are coming. Most banks are holding treasuries with unrealized losses and myself and others are combing through balance sheets and finding weak players asking to collapse.
This summer looks very negative. My hunch is the debt ceiling issue is going to compound the bank crisis. There seems to have been no progress made at all between Republicans and the White House over the last couple months and we only have 2-3 more months before this becomes a catastrophe. Myself, along with many others, believed initially that this was a non-issue, but the charts are saying otherwise. Perhaps we should not dismiss this as impossible. It could be a black swan that's right in front of everyone's noses but they don't think it is worth inputting into their risk calculations yet.
The rally from the October lows is not impulsive. There is no wave count to be made that is bullish there and the upward action has cut back into previous highs a couple times so there are many reasons to believe further downside is much more likely.
It is going to get a lot worse before it gets better folks.
I hope you all have your seatbelts on and some money in Volatility.
There won't be a warning. One morning we'll just wake up and 6 more banks have announced stress and people will start freaking out. Volatility will spike 40% in a day and people will rush in.
Good Luck.
PINS ARE RE-SETTING- BUCKLE UPThe bear is done with the cigarette break and is about to come back strong.
I am seeing a re-start of the beginning of the correction, except with greater price magnitude.
SQQQ is oversold and the MACD is about to turn up.
Except an interesting next couple of weeks.
This correction has several months to go.
SQQQ could easily reach $50 and my most aggressive estimate is $90+ by the time correction hits bottom.
Good luck!
Not financial advice.
$QQQ Equilibrium In Play till Monday. $SPY need 1h trend change- QQQ Equailibirum key break will be Monday which will determine which way SPY is going to move.
- SOXX / SMH turning from lead bull into lead bear today, weakest sector since Dec 2022. May drag down QQQ if it continues. Will short this sector if it continues on SOXS.
- SPY bulls want to see a hourly uptrend form, Bears want to see QQQ bear break Equilibrium and drag SPY down.
- XLF / KRE gapped down and bounced all day, big enough bounce now for bulls to try to form an hourly uptrend, but before that bulls has changed nothing on the daily timeframe.
Long SQQQ @ $32.50As we come to a crossroads between a banking crisis, debt crisis and other catastrophic financial and geo-political events going on, SQQQ has set a new yearly low. I have sold my TQQQ and will start accumulating SQQQ at this price.
Our CM_Williams_Vix_Fix Finds Market Bottoms indicator is signaling a heavy floor in this area.
We just broke up from underneath our Keltner Channel, which is a sign of a potential reversal.
With SQQQ's lowest low being around 28.00 there is only so much support under us, but I do believe this is a good time to accumulate.
Our momentum indicators are showing a slowed movement in SQQQ's price move downward.
While the markets are extremely bullish right now, what goes up must come down. I believe this large pump is all a facade and we're going to see a turning point soon.
Conversely TQQQ is double topping and momentum indicators are showing a slower movement in trading momentum and volume.
We'll check back in as soon as we see this play out!
"IT'S A TRAP"Market appearing to regain momentum, but I think it's a trap.
Similar price action as when the correction began.
Resistance is strong 12,800.
The bear was taking a cigarette break as far as I am concerned.
Buckle up and prepare for the last leg (DOWN) of this correction.
I maintain an expected bottom of July 2023
Good luck
Not financial advice
$NASDAQ $QQQ $SPY closed near key resistance, FOMC 2pm EST- NASDAQ QQQ and SPY closed near resistance QQQ im looking at $311 daily time frame triple top.
- FOMC 25BPS tomorrow 80% chance, need to see in Powell's speech if this is our last hike or we get a pause, also information on the banking situation too.
- XLF is going to be key factor tomorrow for SPY's direction, went completely sideways today will break strongly in a direction tomorrow.
- i am slightly bearish here since we are right at key resistance but FOMC can change that in an instant, for ex we get a pause after this hike then we are very likely breaking that resistance if that happens i am bullish and going long.
KRE / XLF / QQQ / SPY Triple Top Resistance into Wednesday FOMC- KRE and XLF still in a bear flag territory, Both are closing in on their tightening range and will break very soon either tomorrow or Wednesday. we will get a lot of volume and volatility once this breaks.
- QQQ & SPY have a Triple top resistance, if XLF break bull SPY will very likely break that resistance, so will watching all 4 closely.
- FOMC Wednesday 0.25BPS is still around 70% chance, what bulls want to see is Powell saying we are pausing after this hike, Bears want to see more 0.25BPS hikes.
tech stocks are about to blow upthis falling wedge pattern could remarkably strong soon.
I personally belive that strong upside is open for nasdaq and snp500 which are related with QQQ etf.
wonderful upside is expected and MACD is getting strong and downward trend is about to end.
Look at the ABCDE pattern in narrow box.
XLF Triple Bottom Support for SPY Bulls, QQQ Daily Bull Flag, - XLF holding triple bottom support 15m, holding above yeseterdays low bounce off of it 3 times today, first initial sign for the bulls. Now bulls need the hourly trend change for XLF back to an uptrend to help SPY
- QQQ's drop may seem a lot today due to how fast we pulled back from the morning but we are still way above 0.386 fib retracement on daily therefore QQQ is still in a bull flag zone.
- if XLF starts bouncing and changing trends i am likely going to swing some short term bull positions in the leverage 3x SPXL TQQQ TNA
AAPL/MFST Key Resistance for $QQQ. XLF Houly Bullflag, 25BPS- 7.5% move on QQQ/NASDAQ in 4 days. AAPL and MSFT now hitting key resistance, will be watching to see if it can break above or not for QQQ to continue.
- likely a slight pullback hourly consolidation for QQQ before attempting another leg up.
- after ECB hiked 0.5% this morning our rate hike of 25Bps increased to 80% chance this morning.
- XLF hourly bullflag still possible need to see bulls show up and hold above 0.382 fib
- as long as hourly trend is intact for the bulls on QQQ / SPY / SPX there is no red flag at all for the bulls.
RESET PINS AND PREPARE FOR STRIKES XXXNDX is at a critical inflection point
It is testing the 200 Day EMA and based on comparison to prior price patterns, it will likely fail.
This will trigger the next phase of this correction
I predict a few more strong days for NDX to trap the bulls, and then the pins will reset for the aggressive downturn.
I estimate the bottom will be July 2023.
Not financial advice.
Good luck
PPI, XLF No Bear follow through, Rate Hikes, QQQ Lead Bull- PPI data came in better then expected increasing the likelihood of a pause to 50-60%
- XLF gapped down new lows but closed around cash open area, meaning there wasnt a lot of bear follow through after the gap down. The first sign bulls want to see is XLF holding its lows and start to bounce or even just going sideways is good for tech bulls. Bears want to see new lows.
- QQQ lead bull held up the SPY. making 15m higher lows each time while SPY was making new lows in the end afternoon once XLF started bouncing just even a little bit you saw both SPY and NASDAQ had a nice rip higher.
- Looking for SPY to form its daily uptrend then i would be playing on the bull side for swings on TQQQ or SPXL, for now im still scalping day trades and going all cash before end of the day.
- Next FOMC meeting is going to be a lot more key then any other previous ones to see if Powell actually pauses or hike 0.25BPS even if he hikes 0.25 we still want to see what he say in his speeches is he going to say this is the last hike and we are pausing after this 0.25.
$NDX posts impressive rally! $DJI pumps but OIL & BANKS holdDidn't get the bottom but got most of this intraday rally.
Went green & we covered all exposure done today.
Very nice day!
Could rally more but WE ARE DONE.
Going to park in a few to hang out with the girls.
$TQQQ $UDOW $COIN#UDOW #TQQQ #COIN #stocks #trading
CPI, QQQ Triple Top, KRE / XLF sector, Rate Hikes- CPI data tomorrow will likely determine if we can break that triple top on QQQ
- money rotating around today to tech sectors no a complete FEAR day where money is leaving the market.
- KRE / XLF ETF needs to bounce for SPY to bounce
- 0.25bp current priced in at 62%, and a pause at 38%
- if we break that triple, im looking for a daily bounce and would liking be more long bias then.