USDJPY NEXT MOVE Assumption of a Bullish Continuation (Without Confirmation)
• Disruption: The projected upward path to the “Double Top Resistance” presumes a bullish continuation without confirming signals (e.g., bullish candlestick patterns, volume spikes, or RSI divergence).
• Alternative View: Price is currently rejecting the resistance zone and heading downward—this could be the start of a deeper retracement or trend reversal, not just a dip.
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2. “Strong Support” Zone is Based on a Single Bounce
• Disruption: The “Strong Support” zone is derived from a single historical reaction. It might not hold on the next test, especially if momentum and volume increase on the way down.
• Counterpoint: Stronger support typically comes from multiple prior reactions or a broader consolidation zone.
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3. Lack of Consideration for Bearish Structure
• Disruption: The broader structure is bearish (from left to right on the chart), with lower highs and lower lows. The analysis skips over this longer-term downtrend context.
• Alternative: Instead of anticipating a return to 148, traders might watch for short setups if price fails to break back above the resistance cleanly.
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4. Volume Decline During the Recent Rally
• Disruption: The bullish leg into early May shows diminishing volume. This divergence between price increase and falling volume weakens the bullish case.
• Warning Sign: Could indicate a bull trap, followed by a sharper fall through the support.
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5. Overemphasis on “Double Top” without Neckline Break
• Disruption: The projected double top at ~148 assumes that level will be revisited. But without a confirmed breakout through 144.000, it’s premature to predict such a move.
• Risk: Traders buying now on this expectation may be caught in a pullback that dips below the “Strong Support.”
Trade
-1% GBPAUD & +2.5% GBPCHF Trade RecapsTwo positions I took over the last 10 trading days, both 4H entries, one long and one short.
FX:GBPAUD Short -1%
FX:GBPCHF Long +2.5%
Top down analysis explained in the video and also my thought processes behind playing both entries as limit orders to maximise R:R and protect stops much better.
Gold price analysis May 6Due to the impact of world economic and political tensions. The gold candle has reversed to increase again with the D1 candle increasing by nearly 100 prices.
The gold uptrend has formed and it is easier to trade to find entry zones. Today's beautiful Buy zone is noticed in the price retests to the Break out zone. 3328 is considered a buying opportunity today. Currently, gold is sideways in the 3372 and 3354 range. Watch for a breakout to trade the breakout and wait for the main entry zone. When gold increases, it will encounter barriers or targets for buy orders at 3410. Today is a day without much important news, so the 3410 and 3328 ranges are considered strong. If it breaks through this range, pay attention to the quite far range around 3445 and 3270
BTCUSD - [TRADE UPDATE]MARKET CONDITION
From my previous post i said i was anticipating a Accumulation, Manipulation & Distribution market profile and it seems like the first two phases has been completed. I would want to see huge movement to the downside this new week to start the Distribution phase.
TRADE UPDATE
I'm currently in a swing short from that daily supply zone and i'm still anticipating more downside going into the new week/month.
SUMMARY
I'll be observing Price Action and managing my trade accordingly. Drop your take on BTC in the comment lets break down some few things together.
EUR/CAD Short, AUD/CAD Short, USD/CHF Long and USD/JPY ShortEUR/CAD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
AUD/CAD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
USD/CHF Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse up above area of value.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
USD/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
XAUUSD (GOLD) | 4H | SWING TRADING Good morning, my friends,
Gold is currently at the 3355.0 level.
Even if gold makes a correction at this point, my target remains 3461.0.
This is a swing trading model, so there may be delays in reaching my target. However, I am confident that I will reach it eventually.
Once we hit that level, I will share an update for you all.
Dear friends, your likes are always my biggest motivation to keep sharing analyses. That’s why I kindly ask each of my followers to show their support—please don’t hold back on the likes.
I sincerely thank everyone who supports me with their likes. It truly means a lot
EURAUD | 4H | SWING TRADINGHey there;
Traders, your likes are always my biggest source of motivation for me to share analysis. For this reason, I would like to ask each and every one of my followers; please do not miss your likes.
I sincerely thank everyone who supports me with their likes.
SIGNAL ALERT
BUY LIMIT ORDER ( EURAUD ) 1,74560
🟢TP1:1,75388
🟢TP2:1,77709
🟢TP3:1,81747
🔴SL:1,71135
RR / 2,00
USOIL | 4H | SWING TRADING Good morning, dear friends
Due to high demand, I’ve prepared a USOIL analysis for you. My target level is set at 63.600.
Once my target is reached, I’ll be sharing updates under this post.
Dear friends, your likes are always my biggest motivation to keep sharing analyses. That’s why I kindly ask each of my followers to show their support—please don’t hold back on the likes.
I sincerely thank everyone who supports me with their likes. It truly means a lot
Avalanche (AVAX) RectangleBINANCE:AVAXUSDT is trading within a well-defined rectangle, after breaking out of a steep falling channel earlier this year.
Key Observations
• The current range has two clear touches on both support ($15.50) and resistance ($23.00), forming a valid rectangle structure.
• This follows a sideways channel breakout, suggesting a consolidation phase which is often a precursor to a larger move.
Range Levels
• Resistance – $23.00: Capped price twice in April, marking the upper bound of the rectangle.
• Support – $15.50: Held firmly on two separate pullbacks.
• Midrange Bias – As long as AVAX remains within this box, directional conviction remains limited.
Breakout/Breakdown Scenarios
• Bullish Breakout: If AVAX closes decisively above $23.00, the measured target would be ~$30, based on the rectangle height projected upward (linear scale).
• Bearish Breakdown: If it loses $15.50 support, the downside target becomes $10.50, calculated using the same rectangle height on log scale (to reflect proportional downside risk).
Until either side breaks, this remains a range-trading environment.
GBP/JPY Short, GBP/USD Short, AUD/CAD Short and AUD/USD ShortGBP/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
GBP/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Corrective tap into area of value.
• 4H risk entry or 1H risk entry after 2 x 1H rejection candles.
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
AUD/CAD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
AUD/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down below area of interest.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
USDJPY Analysis week 19🌐Fundamental Analysis
Signs of rising inflation in Japan still open the door for the BoJ to tighten interest rates further. Moreover, persistent geopolitical tensions and uncertainty over US President Donald Trump’s trade policies have kept investors on edge. Moreover, bets on more aggressive easing by the Federal Reserve will limit any meaningful gains in the dollar and help limit deeper losses for the lower-yielding yen.
🕯Technical Analysis
After a breakout and bounce late Friday, USDJPY is looking to continue its strong uptrend. Last week’s high of 145.900 will act as a temporary buffer before the pair heads towards the weekly resistance around 148.000. On the other side, last week’s liquidity sweep converging with the trendline also creates an important buying zone for the week if the pair reverses. The support level that the bears are strong at is also the weekly support level of interest around 142.000.
📈📉Trading Signals
SELL USDJPY 148.000-148.200 Stoploss 148.500
BUY USDJPY 142.000-141.800 Stoploss 141.500
Gold Price Analysis May 2D1 frame confirms closing below the disputed zone showing the downtrend continues to extend in the following days
The recovery in the Asian and European sessions can be a stepping stone for a decrease in the US session. Sellers are waiting for high price zones and old breakout zones to sell their goods. The 3271-3273 zone plays an important role in the bearish structure as long as this zone is held by the sellers, the possibility of a price increase is relatively low.
The barrier in the Asian session around 3257 will be where we consider the trading strategy. If the European session breaks this zone, we can buy at the target of 3271-3273. If the US session does not break this zone, SELL breaks it, the downtrend structure is broken and holds the BUY order until 3299. The daily resistance zone will be 3312. When 3371 is not broken, SELL and this is a good Swing signal to 3200. The possibility of a strong sell-off after Nonfarm is also understandable.
Strategy: If it does not break 3257 but falls, wait for the reaction at the border of 3243. When this zone is broken, the trend is broken, then we only SELL. If it increases from 3243, then maintain the above strategy with a better entry.
EUR/CAD Short, USD/JPY Neutral, AUD/JPY Neutral and EUR/USD LongEUR/CAD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
USD/JPY Neutral
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
AUD/JPY Neutral
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
EUR/USD Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse up above area of interest.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
$MARA $14.5 call *This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management
!! This chart analysis is for reference purposes only !!
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CAD/CHF Short
🔻 CAD/CHF Swing Short Setup
Sell Limit Entry: 0.6040
Stop Loss: 0.6115 (above recent daily highs)
Take Profit 1: 0.5800
Take Profit 2: 0.5700
Risk-to-Reward: ~2.6:1 to TP1, ~4.5:1 to TP2
Fundamentals:
CAD is weakening from falling oil, soft economic data, and global trade risk.
CHF is gaining on risk-off sentiment and its safe-haven status.
Technical Confluence:
Monthly chart just broke below long-term support at 0.6000 for the first time ever.
Weekly chart shows price retesting 0.6000–0.6050, a perfect break-and-retest setup.
Daily shows price stalling beneath resistance without strength — no bullish breakout attempt yet.
Target Logic:
TP1 at 0.5800 is just above the panic wick zone — realistic and conservative.
TP2 at 0.5700 aligns with the extreme 2015 SNB spike low — stretch target only if momentum continues.
EURUSD hit Take Profit within just 15 minutes.As always, EURUSD knows how to surprise us :) Yes, the trade reached our TP precisely at a 1:1.50 RRR, then immediately spiked upward. That’s the FX market — the faster you exit with profits, the better!
🔔 I post detailed trade ideas and daily market analysis like this every day on my TradingView profile.
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XRP Potential Falling Wedge / Bull PennantBINANCE:XRPUSDT is consolidating within a structure that could be interpreted as either a Falling Wedge or a Pennant — both typically bullish in the current context.
Dual Scenario Setup
• Falling Wedge – A classic bullish continuation structure. Breakout target: ~$4.00.*
• Bull Pennant – A high-conviction continuation pattern. Breakout target: ~$5.30.*
* Both targets are measured from the presumed breakout point and are only valid if price breaks out in the near term.
Key Technical Levels
• Resistance: ~$2.40 – The descending trendline capping price since January.
• Support: ~$1.60 – Confluence of support support trendline + 0.618 Fib retracement of the rally + 1-Year EMA.
• Supply Zone: ~$3.40
• A break below ~$1.60 would invalidate both patterns and shift bias to bearish.
Volume Note: Gradual decline during consolidation supports both wedge and pennant interpretations. A spike in volume post-breakout would confirm strength.
Until a confirmed breakout above ~$2.40 resistance, this remains in a No-Trade Zone for me — but one worth watching closely.
NZD/CAD Long, EUR/USD Short, CAD/JPY Short and GBP/AUD ShortNZD/CAD Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse up above area of value.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
EUR/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
CAD/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Corrective tap into area of value.
• 4H risk entry or 1H risk entry after 2 x 1H rejection candles.
GBP/AUD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If tight non-structured 1H continuation forms, 15 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 15 min chart.
• If tight structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.