Gold drops below $2,50 after CPIA break below $2,455 on a closing basis would help confirm the start of a fresh down leg within the range, thereby extending the sideways trend. If so, the price will probably move down to $2,400 or perhaps the range floor in the $2,390s. Due to the fact the range is tapering slightly, it might also be a triangle pattern in the final stages of development.
A decisive break above the range ceiling, however, would indicate the development of a more bullish trend. Such a breakout would probably follow through higher to at least $2,550, calculated by taking the 0.618 Fibonacci ratio of the range’s height and extrapolating it higher.
A decisive break would be one characterized by a long green candle that pierced clearly through the level and closed near its high, or three green candles in a row that breached the level.
Trade!
GBP/AUD Short, NZD/JPY Short, USD/CAD Short and EUR/CAD ShortGBP/AUD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If area of value tapped into, risk entry after a 1 hour rejection from it.
NZD/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
USD/CAD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
EUR/CAD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
USD/CAD Trade Setup: Long Position from Fibonacci Golden PocketI've entered a long position on USD/CAD, using the Fibonacci retracement for my setup. The entry is based on the golden pocket level, a key area between the 61.8% and 65% retracement levels, which often acts as strong support.
Although I've been underwater on this trade for a while, I'm still confident in the strength of the golden pocket.
My stop loss is strategically placed below this level at 1.37115 to protect against further downside. I'm targeting the 0.382 Fibonacci level for my final take-profit at 1.38110.
I'm also considering adding to my position if we get a four-hour close above the EMA on the 4-hour chart, which would further confirm the bullish setup.
I'll keep you posted as the trade develops.
Gold Trade Setup: Short Position on Ascending TriangleI've identified an ascending triangle on the gold chart and have taken a short position from the top of the range. My entry is at 2,443.506 with a stop loss placed just above the triangle at 2,446.460.
Ascending triangles typically signal a bullish breakout, but I've positioned for a potential pullback or false breakout. My stop loss is set conservatively above the triangle to protect against any upside breakout. I'm aiming for a favorable risk/reward ratio by shorting at resistance, with plans to take profits at the 15-minute EMA level, which is currently at 2,436.7.
I'll update as the trade progresses.
GBP/AUD Short, USD/CAD Short, NZD/USD Long and GBP/CHF ShortGBP/AUD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If area of value tapped into, risk entry after a 1 hour rejection from it.
USD/CAD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
NZD/USD Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse up above area of value.
• If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
GBP/CHF Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
SPECUSDT.P-Bull flag Specusdt.p Bullish Setup: Bull Flag Breakout
The SPECUSDT.P pair has formed a classic bull flag pattern, and we've just seen a breakout above the structure at 6.008. While this is a promising sign, I’m waiting for a 4-hour candle close above the flag to confirm the breakout before entering a long position.
Entry: Watching for confirmation above 6.008.
Stop-Loss (SL): Below the EMA at 5.879.
Take-Profit (TP): Targeting 6.749.
This setup offers a good risk-to-reward ratio, with a well-defined SL and TP.
Always manage your risk accordingly.
EURUSD analysis week 33Fundamental Analysis
EUR/USD traded sideways above the round-figure support of 1.0900 in New York trading on Friday. The ECB is expected to cut interest rates two more times this year as the Eurozone economy struggles and price pressures are on track to return to the desired 2%. However, ECB officials have yet to commit to a predetermined rate-cutting path as they expect a path towards the central bank's 2% target.
The US dollar (USD) consolidated in a narrow range, with investors focused on the extent to which the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates at its September meeting. Looking ahead, the next trigger for the US dollar will be the US (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for July, due out on Wednesday.
Technical Analysis
GBPUSD continues to trade within an ascending channel with the nearest support and resistance in the price range of 1.100 and 1.074. On the H4 timeframe, the EMA 34 has crossed above the EMA 89, indicating that the market structure is starting a new uptrend in line with the current price channel with the highest Resistance at the peak of the beginning of this year around 1.112. On the other hand, any daily close above the support level of 1.075 would confirm that EURUSD could break the ascending channel and move towards the support level of last month around 1.062.
Resistance: 1.100-1.112
Support: 1.075-1.062
Trading Signals
SELL EURUSD zone 1.100-1.102 SL 1.104
BUY GBPUSD zone 1.075-1.073 SL 1.071
SPX are we bullish or bearish? The S&P 500 closed the weekly firmly.
Finally putting in a high volume reversal, has the SPX bottomed here?
One thing is for sure we are still putting in higher highs & higher lows on the weekly time frame.
Until we see the markets give us that lower weekly high its still a tough market to short.
We think about the decline in semis and megacaps after earnings...all eyes will be on NvDA near end of month.
The markets have a strong chance at staying buoyamt into NVDA earnings.
AUD/NZD Short, GBP/CHF Short, EUR/JPY Short and GBP/JPY ShortAUD/NZD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
GBP/CHF Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
EUR/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
GBP/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
AIDOGE/USDT NEW BREAK POSSIBLITYAIDOGE/USDT shows the low time frame possibility for new volume which can affect the price for an uptrend. ( depend all on high chance) There are no guarantees in the markets.
The new increase volume updates always start with interest if there is a confirmation to follow and if there is a building with a hold for a time.
90% of coins this time are not building coins. Some % also show a start fake trend and return to where it started. time frame confirmation + high levels building is important for a healthy coin.
high chance for new rbeak
Gold slightly increased on August 8☘️Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices gained some positive momentum on Thursday and snapped a four-day losing streak, despite a lack of follow-through and remaining below the $2,400 mark heading into the European session. Meanwhile, the lack of bullish sentiment warrants some caution before positioning for any meaningful upside move, although the fundamental backdrop appears to be tilted heavily in favor of bullish traders.
Investors remain concerned about the economic slowdown in China and the possibility of a recession in the United States. This, coupled with escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, will act as a bullish driver for Gold prices. Furthermore, expectations of more rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) put US Dollar (USD) bulls on the defensive and confirmed the positive outlook for gold prices.
☘️Technical Analysis
Gold continues to trade within the price range of 2380 and 2415. Gold needs more catalysts to break out of this price range. On the chart, we can see that the price is clinging to the EMA 34 in a downtrend. To achieve the bullish condition, gold first needs to close the candle above the 2400 area. Pay attention to the price reaction zones to have the best trading strategy.
Breakout upper band: 2391 - 2400 - 2406
Breakout lower band: 2381 - 2375 - 2365
Resistance: 2397 - 2400 - 2406 - 2420
Support: 2381 - 2375 - 2370 - 2365 - 2352 - 2345
SELL zone 2405 - 2407 stoploss 2411
SELL zone 2420 - 2422 stoploss 2426
BUY zone 2373 - 2371 stoploss 2367
BUY zone 2347 - 2345 stoploss 2341
Where is the S&P500 trend?Where is the S&P500 going with this recent decline?
We can observe to key parallel channels that have acted as support and resistance both in the near and short term.
The Uplsoping channel in on watch as price action is struggling to close back above. As long as we remain in the upsloping channel we have to observe the risk of falling to the lower boundary range.
If we recapture the falling channel we can always float back up to the upper range.
EUR/USD Short, GBP/JPY Short, AUD/NZD Short and GBP/CHF ShortEUR/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If 3 touch 1H continuation or 2 touch 1H continuation with 3 touch structural approach, 15 min risk entry within it.
GBP/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
AUD/NZD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If 3 touch 1H continuation or 2 touch 1H continuation with 3 touch structural approach, 15 min risk entry within it.
GBP/CHF Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
CLEAR WYCKOFF METHODLegendary technician Richard Wyckoff wrote about financial markets in the early decades of the 20th century at the same time as did Charles Dow, Jesse Livermore, and other iconic market analysis figures. His pioneering approach to technical analysis known as the Wyckoff Method has survived into the modern era. It continues to guide traders and investors in the best ways to pick winning stocks, the most advantageous times to buy them, and the most effective risk management techniques to use.
EURUSD 1D1D - On the daily timeframe, we are also in a bullish context similar to the weekly timeframe. Starting from Friday, it's evident that the large FVG will need to be filled by the price eventually. I anticipate this to happen in the first half of the following week, followed by a continuation of the bullish movement.