Trade!
EUR/AUD Short, EUR/NZD Short, NZD/USD Long and AUD/NZD ShortEUR/AUD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
- If tight non-structured 1H continuation forms, 15 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 15 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
- If tight structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
EUR/NZD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
- If tight non-structured 1H continuation forms, 15 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 15 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
- If tight structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
NZD/USD Long
Minimum entry requirements:
- If tight non-structured 1H continuation forms, 15 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 15 min chart.
- If tight structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
AUD/NZD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
- If tight non-structured 1H continuation forms, 15 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 15 min chart.
- If tight structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
Gold price analysis June 23The last two D1 candles have continuously withdrawn their wicks. The Sellers may no longer be interested in dominating the market.
Currently, Gold is moving sideways in a wide range. 3345 and 3375 are the two Breakout zones of the gold price in today's trading day. When breaking out of the breakout zone, the price will continue its strong trend. Limit trading against the trend when the price breaks out.
Trading signals may also appear if there is confirmation from the candle that does not break out of this breakout zone.
The resistance and support zones remain the same as last week. The upper limit is at 3400 and 3415. The lower limit is still at 3322 and 3296
GBPUSD Trading Strategy for the WeekGBPUSD is reacting at the support zone of 1.34000. This is the last important support zone that the pair is facing. If this support zone is broken, the pair will enter a prolonged Downtrend phase. 1.325 could be the target for this decline.
If the 1.34000 zone is pushed up by buyers, the pair will touch the 1.35000 border zone. If this zone is broken, the pair will form a double bottom pattern and continue to increase back to the peak of last week around 1.36000. In case the buying force is not strong enough to break 1.35000, the pair will return to the sideway in the rectangular border.
Support: 1.32500
Resistance: 1.36000
Break out: 1.34000-1.35000
Recommended good trading strategy:
Trade when price confirms in Break out zone.
BUY 1.32600-1.32400 Stoploss 1.32000
SELL 1.35900-1.36100 Stoploss 1.36400
AUDUSD Analysis – Falling from the Rising WedgeAUDUSD pair broke below an ascending wedge, a bearish reversal pattern.
Clean rejection from 0.6518, with lower highs and new lower lows confirming bearish momentum.
Price is now sitting below former trendline support, retested and respected as resistance.
Bearish target points toward 0.6400–0.6380 zone, aligning with recent swing lows.
Risk invalidation sits above 0.6520, where structure fails.
Technical Bias: Bearish
Target: 0.6400
Stop-loss zone: Above 0.6520
📊 Current Bias: Bearish
🔍 Key Fundamentals Driving AUDUSD
AUD Fundamentals (Weakening):
Australian jobs data was mixed, and wage growth has plateaued.
RBA remains cautious, with expectations for rate cuts later in 2025.
AUD pressured by China growth risks and weak commodity demand.
Geopolitical drag: Australia-China tensions and weak Chinese retail data from 618 Festival dampen AUD outlook.
USD Fundamentals (Resilient):
USD remains bid on risk-off flows, especially after weak global data and ongoing Middle East tensions.
Fed remains reluctant to cut fast despite disinflation signs – supports the USD.
US data is mixed, but rate cut odds are declining (only one expected in 2025 now per dot plot).
⚠️ Risks to This Bearish View
If China announces new stimulus, AUD could rebound sharply.
A dovish surprise from the Fed (e.g. Powell softening in speeches).
Sharp rebound in risk appetite (e.g. tech-led equity rally).
🗓️ Important Events to Watch
🇨🇳 China industrial profits & PMIs
🇦🇺 RBA Meeting Minutes (July preview hints)
🇺🇸 US Core PCE (June 28)
Global risk tone: watch metals, equities, and geopolitical headlines.
🚀 Which Asset Leads?
AUDUSD is lagging other USD pairs, but will likely lead commodity FX downside if China or metals weaken further.
Watch AUDJPY and EURAUD for further confirmation of risk-off flows and Aussie weakness.
EUR/AUD ShortEUR/AUD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
- 1H impulse down below area of interest.
- If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
- If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
- If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
- If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
GBP/NZD: The Great Liquidity Grab? (Long Trade Plan)"🏦💰 GBP/NZD BANK VAULT RAID: Bullish Heist in Progress! (Long Setup) 💰🏦
🚨 Overbought Trap? Or Trend Continuation? Here’s How to Loot Pips Safely! 🚨
🦸♂️ GREETINGS, MARKET MARAUDERS!
To all the Profit Pirates & Risk-Takers! 🌍💸
Using our 🔥Thief Trading Tactics🔥 (a ruthless combo of price action + liquidity grabs + macro triggers), we’re executing a bullish heist on GBP/NZD ("Sterling vs Kiwi")—this is not advice, just a strategic raid blueprint for those who trade like outlaws.
📈 THE HEIST PLAN (LONG ENTRY FOCUS)
🎯 Profit Zone: 2.28700 (or escape earlier if momentum stalls)
💥 High-Stakes Play: Overbought but squeezing higher—trap for bears.
🕵️♂️ Trap Spot: Where sellers get liquidated.
🔑 ENTRY RULES:
"The Vault’s Open!" – Swipe bullish loot on pullbacks (15-30min TF).
Buy Limit Orders near swing lows for better risk/reward.
Aggressive? Enter at market—but tighter stops.
📌 SET ALERTS! Don’t miss the breakout retest.
🛑 STOP LOSS (Escape Route):
Thief SL at recent swing low (2H timeframe).
⚠️ Warning: "Ignore this SL? Enjoy donating to the market."
🎯 TARGETS:
Main Take-Profit: 2.28700 (or trail partials).
Scalpers: Ride long waves only. Trailing SL = VIP exit pass.
📡 FUNDAMENTAL BACKUP (Why This Heist Works)
Before raiding, check:
✅ COT Data (Are funds long GBP/short NZD?)
✅ Rate Spreads (GBP vs NZD yield shifts)
✅ Commodity Correlations (Dairy prices? Risk mood?)
✅ Sentiment Extreme (Retail over-shorting?)
🚨 NEWS RISK ALERT
Avoid new trades during RBNZ/BOE speeches (unless you like volatility casinos).
Trailing stops = your bulletproof vest.
💣 BOOST THIS HEIST!
👍 Smash Like to fuel our next raid!
🔁 Share to recruit more trading bandits!
🤑 See you at the target, rebels!
⚖️ DISCLAIMER: Hypothetical scenario. Trade at your own risk.
#Forex #GBPNZD #TradingView #LiquidityGrab #TrendContinuation #ThiefTrading
💬 COMMENT: "Long already—or waiting for a deeper pullback?" 👇🔥
Gold Trading Strategy June 20Daily candle continues to show a struggle while the Sellers are dominating. Today there may be a deep sweep and then a recovery at the end of the day.
Yesterday's 3343 zone is reacting 5 prices in the direction of profit. Next support around 3323 pay attention to the next sweep. Pay attention to additional daily support at 3296 for today's buy strategy.
3362 gives a SELL Break out signal in the Asia-Europe session. If Gold closes back above 3362, then BUY to 3400 target the two upper resistance zones remain the same as yesterday at 3415 and 3443
Resistance: 3400-3415-3443
Support: 3323-3296
Break out: 3362
NZDJPY “Kiwi Poised to Fly as Japan Muddles ThroughNZDJPY shows a bullish breakout from a descending trendline, with bullish structure holding near 87.20–87.25.
Key resistance targets:
87.97 (Previous high)
88.64 (Next resistance / projected fib target)
Two upside scenarios are shown:
Conservative target: ~87.97
Aggressive swing: ~88.64
If 87.00–87.20 zone holds as support, expect bullish continuation.
🧩 Current Bias: Bullish
📌 Key Fundamentals Driving NZDJPY
NZD Side (Strengthening):
RBNZ hawkish hold: RBNZ recently kept rates at 5.50% and warned that inflation remains persistent, requiring prolonged tight policy.
Resilient NZ GDP: Stronger-than-expected GDP print signals economic resilience.
Terms of trade improvement: Commodity exports holding firm, China consumption rebound showing hints of demand recovery (see recent 618 festival sales data).
AUD correlation: AUD and NZD are moving together; if AUD strengthens, NZD often follows.
JPY Side (Weakening):
BoJ remains ultra-dovish: Despite inflation trends, BoJ is hesitant to tighten further, preferring gradual tapering.
Yen under pressure from yield differentials: Global central banks (like RBNZ, Fed) remain hawkish while BoJ is not.
Geopolitical funding flows: JPY used as a funding currency amid global volatility (carry trade boost for NZDJPY).
⚠️ Risks That May Reverse the Trend
BoJ surprise tightening rhetoric (e.g. bond purchase taper announcement).
China data deterioration, hurting Kiwi sentiment.
Sharp equity sell-off and geopolitical escalation (Yen safe-haven reversal).
📅 Important News to Watch
🇳🇿 NZ Trade Balance (upcoming)
🇯🇵 Tokyo Core CPI (Jun 28) – Critical for BoJ policy speculation.
RBNZ or BoJ member speeches (hawkish or dovish shifts)
Fed tone shift or US dollar strength spillover
🏁 Who Leads the Move?
NZDJPY could lead among yen crosses due to the RBNZ’s clear inflation fight versus BoJ’s passive stance. NZDJPY is also more responsive to commodity and global risk-on flows than EURJPY or USDJPY.
Gold Trading Strategy June 19Yesterday's D1 candle confirmed the Sell side after the FOMC announcement. Today's Asian session had a push but the European and American sessions are likely to sell again.
3366 will be an important breakout zone today, if broken through, the Sell side will continue to be strong and push the price deeper and limit buying when breaking this 3366 zone. 3344 is the first target, it is difficult for gold to break this zone but if it breaks right away, wait below 3296 to BUY for safety. Before that, pay attention to another support zone 3322.
3400 is the Breakout border zone from yesterday to today but gold has not broken it yet. To SELL this zone, you must also wait for the confirmation of the candle, but if you want to wait for a better SELL, you must wait for 3415 or wait at the ATH peak 3443. However, if it breaks 3400, waiting for a Buy test will be quite nice.
Support: 3343-3322-3296
Resistance: 3415-3443
Break out zone: 3366-3400
Gold Price Reacts Strongly at 3,350.During the trading session on June 19, gold (XAUUSD) experienced significant volatility, breaking below the short-term support zone around 3,370 USD/oz and sharply dropping to an intraday low of approximately 3,350 USD/oz. This support level had been tested multiple times in previous sessions and has often led to price rebounds.
Following the sharp decline, buying pressure emerged, as shown by a strong reversal candlestick accompanied by a volume spike — indicating that buyers are stepping in at this attractive price zone.
Technical Breakdown – 15-Minute Chart
Chart type: XAUUSD, 15-minute timeframe
Support zone: 3,350 (tested and showing reaction)
Nearby resistance: 3,365 – 3,370
Volume: Surged at the bottom, suggesting buying interest.
Pattern: Signs of a temporary bottom (bullish pin bar + supporting volume).
Suggested Trading Strategy
Based on today’s price action and chart structure, consider:
Short-term buy around 3,351 – 3,353 with a stop loss below 3,348.
Take profit targets: 3,365 – 3,372.
Extended strategy: If EMA5 crosses up and locks above 3,370, extend targets to 3,388 – 3,395 during the US session.
Conclusion: 3,350 is Acting as the Final Support Wall
Today’s session shows that sellers are still in control, but technical reactions around 3,350 have formed a strong defense. If price continues to hold this level and volume remains positive, a short-term rebound is highly likely.
However, traders should manage positions with flexibility as the broader trend still leans bearish — only a break and hold above 3,370–3,380 could signal a clearer trend reversal.
SOL - Playing Ping Pong!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈SOL has been trading within a range between $100 and $200 round number.
And it is currently retesting the lower bound of the range which has been acting as a magnet lately.
As SOL approaches the $105 - $125 support zone, and as long as the $105 support holds, we will be looking for longs targeting the $200 round number.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Gold Price Update – XAUUSDGold FX:XAUUSD has experienced rapid and intense volatility but overall remains stable, as investors weigh the escalating conflict between Israel and Iran while focusing on this week’s U.S. Federal Reserve policy meeting.
At the time of reporting, spot gold CAPITALCOM:GOLD remains steady at $3,380/oz, down from yesterday’s (Tuesday) high of $3,403/oz.
Israel and Iran continued exchanging fire into a fifth day on Tuesday, as U.S. President Donald Trump called for the evacuation of Iran’s capital, Tehran, and cut short his trip to the G7 summit in Canada. Reports claim he had instructed the National Security Council to prepare in the Situation Room.
According to Reuters, Tehran has requested Oman, Qatar, and Saudi Arabia to urge Trump to push Israel toward a ceasefire in exchange for Iran’s willingness to show flexibility in nuclear negotiations.
Trump’s latest post on Truth Social stated:
"I have had ZERO communication with Iran in any way, shape, or form regarding (peace talks). It’s fake news! If they want to negotiate, they know how to contact me. They should take the deal on the table—it will save many lives!!!"
Forexlive commented that anyone familiar with Trump knows he will definitely wait for Iran to approach him. Reports suggest Iran is attempting to negotiate a ceasefire, but no substantive developments have emerged yet.
Gold, a non-yielding asset, is widely seen as a hedge against geopolitical and economic uncertainty, and it tends to perform well in low interest rate environments. Therefore, fundamentally, gold should maintain a positive outlook in the current market context—even though sudden pullbacks can unsettle new traders. Personally, I’ve had many moments this year when I doubted myself and didn’t trust the uptrend—only to suffer bad outcomes… sigh.
The Fed’s interest rate decision and Chair Jerome Powell’s speech are scheduled for today (Wednesday). Traders currently expect the Fed to cut rates twice by year-end.
According to CME’s “Federal Reserve Watch” on June 18:
There is a 97.3% chance the Fed will keep rates unchanged in June, and a 2.7% chance of a 25bps rate cut.
In July, there is an 85.3% chance of holding rates steady, a 14.4% chance of a cumulative 25bps cut, and a 0.3% chance of a 50bps cut.
Technical Outlook for Gold (XAUUSD)
On the daily chart, gold has been oscillating around the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level and the psychological price of $3,400—previously highlighted as key support/resistance in our earlier analysis.
However, the overall technical structure remains unchanged, with the dominant trend still bullish. The 21-day EMA continues to act as a crucial support line, and trendline (a) remains the primary trend direction. Meanwhile, the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement serves as the nearest support, with price channel (b) defining the short-term trend.
In terms of momentum, the RSI (Relative Strength Index) remains above 50, which is also acting as a support level in this case. The distance from the overbought zone suggests further upside potential remains.
Intraday, a breakout above the psychological $3,400 level would provide a bullish signal, with the next target seen around $3,435 in the short term.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: $3,371 – $3,350
Resistance: $3,400 – $3,435