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EURUSD - Rally overextended? The EUR/USD pair appears to be approaching a significant correction phase after its recent rally to the 1.09 level. As shown on the chart, we're expecting a pullback from current levels, with two key support zones (marked in blue) serving as potential targets for this retracement. The upper blue zone around 1.0650-1.0680 represents the first support area where buyers might step in, while the lower blue zone near 1.0550-1.0580 provides a secondary support level should the correction deepen. These zones represent previous price action areas of significance where demand could emerge. The downward arrows illustrate the expected path of this correction, suggesting a measured move lower before potentially finding stability. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by financialflagship
Gold Price Analysis March 12⭐️Fundamental analysis Gold prices are fluctuating in a narrow range due to cautious sentiment before the US inflation data is released. The USD has recovered thanks to investors selling positions after the recent decline. If inflation is weaker than expected, the Fed may cut interest rates, weakening the USD and pushing gold prices up. Conversely, if inflation is higher than expected, the Fed may keep interest rates high, putting downward pressure on gold prices. In addition, US-Canada trade tensions and US-Russia peace talks on Ukraine also affect the market, so the impact of inflation data on gold prices may not last long. ⭐️ Technical analysis Gold is sideways in the Asian session with a small range from 2912-2920. Waiting for signs of breaking out of this range. When the price breaks 2912 to 2908, the US session's Buyer zone is very noticeable. By the end of the US session, the price was still trading above 2908, proving that the price wanted to increase and break 2920 to reach 2929 and 2943. Note that the support zone of 2880 will still be the boundary that gold will find difficult to break today.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Gold price analysis March 11⭐️Fundamental Analysis Gold prices are struggling to capitalize on a modest intraday rebound from a one-week low and remain below $2,900 in Asian trading on Tuesday. Uncertainty surrounding US President Donald Trump’s trade policies and their impact on the global economy continues to weigh on investor sentiment. This, in turn, has supported the safe-haven bullion, attracting some intraday dip buyers near the $2,880 region. Furthermore, the prevailing US Dollar (USD) selling bias, fueled by speculations that a tariff-driven slowdown in US growth could force the Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut interest rates multiple times this year, further underpins the non-yielding gold price. ⭐️Technical Analysis Gold price is approaching the resistance level of session 2909 when breaking this zone waiting for the SELL zone in the European session at 2915-2918, the SELL margin is relatively wide. Support 2880 is still an important support level that gold needs more momentum to break this zone.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Btcusd bullish mode Bearish Disruption to This Bullish Outlook 1. Lower High & Breakdown Structure (Bearish Bias) The chart shows a clear lower high formation, indicating the market is in a downtrend cycle. Price has already broken previous support and is retesting lower levels, which may act as resistance now, making the bullish path less likely without significant momentum. 2. Weak Rejection from Demand Zone (Bearish Warning) The first bounce from the demand zone (around $78,000) is weak and lacks follow-through buying pressure. This could mean buyers are not committed, increasing risk of demand zone failure and further drop toward $74,000-$72,000 levels. 3. Volume Analysis (Lack of Buyers) Notice how the volume on the latest bounce is weak, showing no significant accumulation. For a strong rally to $90k+, we'd expect climactic buying volume—which is absent here. Weak volume near critical zones often precedes false breakouts or deeper dives. 4. Possible Bear Flag or Continuation Pattern Current consolidation between $78k-$80k may form a bearish continuation pattern (bear flag). A break below $78k could trigger a sell-off targeting $75,000-$72,000. 5. Macro-Level Resistance Above Even if BTC pushes up temporarily to the first supply zone around $83,000, heavy resistance and profit-taking likely happen there. Without macro bullish news, sustained push to $90k+ is questionable in this current technical context. Alternative Bearish Scenario Path (Disruption Path): Break below $78,000 confirms sellers in control. Targets: First Target: $75,000 Second Target: $72,000-$70,000 (psychological support & previous demand area
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by mrsamfx81
XAUUSD long term 1. Weakness at Support Zone (Bearish Risk) The price is hovering around the identified demand zone (blue box), but buyers are not showing strong defense yet. If this zone breaks, we could see a deeper correction toward $2,840 - $2,800, invalidating the bullish projection. The dotted red line suggesting an immediate bounce might be premature without a bullish confirmation candle or volume spike. 2. Trendline Breach (Bearish Confirmation) The ascending trendline (starting from February lows) has already been broken and retested. This typically signals a trend reversal or deeper pullback. If price remains below this trendline, the bullish continuation becomes less probable. 3. Possible Bear Flag Formation (Bearish Pattern) The recent sideways action (consolidation within the demand zone) could be forming a bear flag, which is a continuation pattern for a move down. A breakdown below $2,860 (flag bottom) would confirm this bearish pattern, targeting potentially $2,800 or lower. 4. Momentum Shift RSI/MACD (if checked) may show bearish divergence from recent highs or weakening momentum, suggesting buyers are losing control. Alternative Bearish Scenario (Disruption Path): If price breaks and closes below $2,860 - $2,840: Short-term target: $2,800 - $2,760. Invalidates bullish target of $3,000 for now
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by mrsamfx81
BTCUSD MORE BUY BREAKING NEWS BTC ALL TIME HIGH 100K SOON1. Overly Aggressive Upside Projection The projection to 97,450 implies a nearly 19% move up from the current level (81,693) without clear intermediate confirmations. This may overlook key lower resistance areas (such as the previous support at ~86,000–88,000) that could act as barriers before a move to 97,000. A step-by-step approach would be more reasonable. 2. Neglecting Bearish Continuation Risk The analysis focuses heavily on bullish recovery and seems to ignore the ongoing bearish trend in the last several days. If BTC fails to hold the 80,133 "bullish support area", there could be continuation to the downside toward 78,000 or even 75,000 based on prior breakdown levels. No contingency is shown in case the support fails. 3. Volume Mismatch Notice the recent volume spikes are seen on down candles, suggesting strong selling interest. There's no confirmation of buying volume accumulation to support such an aggressive reversal. Ignoring this discrepancy can lead to a false sense of bullish momentum. 4. Broad Market Context Missing The chart does not seem to factor in broader macroeconomic or crypto-specific news. Given the U.S. economy's impact (as suggested by the USD sign and U.S. flag symbols), interest rate decisions, CPI data, or regulatory news can disrupt any bullish narrative. 5. Overconfidence in Single Zone The "Support bullish area 80.133" is treated as a final reversal point. In reality, markets often fake out below such key zones before reversing (a "stop hunt"). A more realistic analysis would outline alternative supports below 80k and conservative resistance targets. Alternative Bearish Scenario (Counter Analysis) 1. Break below 80,133 triggers continuation toward 78,000 and 75,000. 2. Any bounce toward 84,000 or 86,000 could be rejected if volume does not support it. 3. Resistance between 86,000 and 88,000 should be observed for weakness if reached. 4. Lower highs and lower lows forming suggest continuation down unless broken
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by mrsamfx81
GBPUSD BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY ACTIVE Disruptions on the Current Bullish Analysis: 1. Possible Bull Trap at Current Supply Zone: Price is hovering around a supply zone (highlighted red dashed box). If buyers fail to push beyond this zone convincingly, a sharp rejection could follow. This area could serve as a distribution zone, leading to a fake breakout and reversal. 2. Overbought Conditions (Momentum Exhaustion): Given the sharp rally towards 1.29347, momentum indicators (e.g., RSI, Stochastic) are likely overbought. This suggests limited upside potential before a pullback. A retracement to 1.28000-1.27500 (major horizontal demand) could be in play before moving higher. 3. Low Volume on Breakout Attempt: If the recent breakout attempt above 1.29000 happened on declining volume, this weakens the bullish outlook and hints at lack of strong buyer commitment. Volume confirmation is critical for sustaining breakouts; otherwise, sellers may take control soon. 4. Reversal Pattern Formation Possibility: The sharp upward move could complete a potential double top formation near 1.30436 if price rejects around 1.29500–1.30000.
Long
by mrsamfx81
XAUUSD BUY NOW this week big movement gold strongly bullish soonThanks for the clarification. Based on the chart you provided and the bullish bias toward the resistance target of 2950, here’s a "disruption" or alternative analysis—a contrarian scenario that challenges the bullish view: Bearish Disruption Analysis: 1. False Breakout & Rejection Scenario: Current price hovering around 2910.795 shows a struggle to break higher. Price previously failed to sustain above the minor resistance zone near 2918–2920, showing rejection wicks. This may indicate buying exhaustion, and if no fresh momentum comes in, price could reverse. 2. Support Weakening: The 2906 support zone has already been tested multiple times. Each retest of this support weakens the buyers' defense. A break and close below 2906 would open doors to deeper pullbacks — potential targets: First target: 2895 (psychological and historical intraday support). Extended target: 2880–2885 zone. 3. Volume Divergence: Noticeable reduction in buying volume on recent attempts to move higher. Without increasing volume, it's hard for price to break out toward 2950. 4. Potential Bearish Formation: Formation of a lower high pattern, suggesting a potential trend reversal from bullish to bearish in this short-term timeframe (H1)
TVC:GOLDLong
by mrsamfx81
2
WTI - High Probability of Continued Downtrend US Light Crude's 4-hour chart suggests a high probability that price will continue with the dominant downtrend and eventually break below recent lows. Currently trading around $67.17, crude oil has been in a persistent decline since late February, forming a series of lower highs and lower lows. The chart's projected path indicates a potential corrective bounce within the blue box area (approximately $68.50-$69.50), characterized by zigzag movements that would likely form a complex correction before resuming the bearish trend. This anticipated bearish continuation targets the horizontal red support line at around $65.77, with potential for moves below this level as indicated by the downward arrow. Recent failed attempts to sustain rallies and the steep decline from the $74.00 area reinforce the bearish outlook, suggesting that any upward movements should be viewed as selling opportunities within the larger downtrend. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:WTIShort
by financialflagship
XAG/USD: Dual Paths to Bullish ResolutionSilver's 4-hour chart presents two potential scenarios for price action in the near term. In the first scenario, price could break above the current consolidation around $3,254 and move directly toward the red resistance line at approximately $3,278, as indicated. Alternatively, the second scenario suggests we may first see a deeper retracement toward the lower blue box support zone (around $3,160-$3,180) before finding buyers and resuming the upward movement, as illustrated by the zigzag pattern and second arrow. Both scenarios ultimately project bullish outcomes, with price expected to challenge the upper resistance after completing either path. The recent recovery from the late February lows around $3,080 provides the foundation for this bullish bias, though traders should monitor which scenario unfolds to adjust their entry strategies accordingly. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAGUSDLong
by financialflagship
USDCAD - Bullish ProspectsUSD/CAD's 4-hour chart suggests that if we see a nice correction in the current area around 1.434, we may experience a continuation to the upside as indicated by the arrow on the chart. The pair has been showing volatility since early March, reaching a peak of approximately 1.4540 before pulling back. The projected path illustrated with the zigzag line indicates a potential corrective move down followed by renewed bullish momentum. This potential upside continuation would likely target levels beyond the recent high, with the current consolidation possibly serving as a base for the next leg up. The highlighted blue box area represents a support zone that could contain the correction before the anticipated upward move materializes. Traders should watch for price action confirmation within this region to validate the bullish scenario. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by financialflagship
USDJPY - Bigger correction on the daily timeframeUSD/JPY's daily chart indicates we're expecting a larger correction in the near term, followed by a likely continuation of the downtrend toward the blue box target area (143.50-146.00). After reaching peaks near 162.00 in July 2024 and 158.00 in December 2024/January 2025, the pair has established a series of lower highs, creating a clear downtrend pattern. Currently trading around 148.05, the price sits at a critical juncture, with the projected path suggesting a temporary bounce (as illustrated by the zigzag line) before bearish momentum likely resumes. This outlook is supported by the consistent lower highs since mid-2024, the price's position near a historical support/resistance level, February's failed attempt to sustain prices above 150, and the overall downward momentum that has dominated since December 2024. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by financialflagship