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Gold Price Analysis October 14Fundamental Analysis Gold prices rose for a third straight day on Monday, rising to $2,667, or above a one-week high, in early European trading on Monday. Expectations that the Federal Reserve will continue to cut interest rates amid a favorable inflation outlook were the main factor driving flows into the non-yielding yellow metal. In addition, escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East also provided additional support for safe-haven bullion. Meanwhile, U.S. Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar (USD) remained elevated amid rising bets for a less aggressive easing policy from the U.S. central bank. This, coupled with a generally positive risk tone and optimism over China’s commitment to increase debt to revive its economy, could keep safe-haven bullion from gaining any further ground. This, in turn, warrants some caution for bullish traders and before positioning for any further upside amid a partial holiday in the US. Technical Analysis With the bank holiday, gold’s range bounds are unlikely to see a strong breakout. The 2665 high is seen as the top zone for today if the price fails to break above this zone by mid-European session. SELL entries can be established around the current price zone and the target level is expected to be around 264x-262x. The 2740 zone remains a strong and notable port zone for today.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
4
TATACONSUM: Upcoming Price Surge Projection Timeframe: 4h NSE TATACONSUM has formed a correction on the 4-hour timeframe chart. A closer look at wave A reveals it consists of three distinct waves, indicating it can't be labeled as an impulse. The security has broken below the 50, 100, and 200 EMA, with the Average True Range (ATR) at 15. Currently, the price is developing wave (iv) of wave C within wave (B). Wave (B) has already reached 100% of wave A, and with bullish sentiment, the price could surge from this point. However, we need confirmation through a breakout of the sub-structure. After wave (B) is completed, traders can use wave (iv) as an entry point to confirm a long setup. Fibonacci clusters indicate potential levels at 1189 - 1246 - 1296 . Risky traders entering right after the completion should confirm their position with a lower high. We will provide further updates soon. - KP (Trade Technique)
NSE:TATACONSUM
by Trade-Technique
2
NIFTY - Elliott Wave Outlook Timeframe: Weekly NSE NIFTY began an impulsive move after hitting a low of 15183.4 . Based on the wave count, the price completed wave (5) of wave (3) at 26277.3 and has since started to decline. The price is currently in a wave (4) correction phase. Let’s switch to the daily timeframe for a closer look at the details. Timeframe: Daily On the daily chart with a neckline at 24,750 , we’re observing a bearish head-and-shoulders pattern forming. If the price breaks below this neckline, Nifty could drop significantly, potentially reaching the demand zone or surge point of the pattern. However, if the price fails to break this neckline, it indicates weakness in the bearish momentum, signaling a possible reversal According to the Elliott Wave Principle, if wave 5 is an extended wave, the correction often occurs near sub-wave 2 of the previous impulse, especially if it falls below sub-wave 4. So, 24,570 will be a crucial level for Nifty. We can expect the price to move up by no more than 126% of wave A within the correction. Otherwise, there’s a risk of mistaking wave B for wave 3. Whatever scenario Nifty chooses, it’s better to let Nifty commit to a clear direction before we commit to the market. We will update further information soon.
NSE:NIFTY
by Trade-Technique
3
XAUUSD: Final Wave Completion – What’s Next?XAUUSD has formed a corrective pattern on the hourly chart, offering a potential breakout setup. The correction has spanned over two weeks, during which the price has frequently crossed the EMAs (50/100/200 ) on the hourly timeframe. Meanwhile, the 20 EMA has consistently acted as solid support on the daily timeframe. The pair has completed its final wave 5 of wave (C) at 2604 and has since started to rise sharply. Currently, XAUUSD faces a strong resistance level at 2670 , which marks the high of wave (B). If the price breaks above 2670 , traders can target the following levels: 2685 - 2715 - 2735 +. If the breakout fails, the correction may continue, as 2670 is the key hurdle for the bulls to overcome. Further updates will follow soon.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Trade-Technique
1
AVAX Confined to an Elongated Channel: Range-Bound indefinately AVAX appears to be trading within a very elongated channel, which could represent either an impulse wave (up to Wave 4 in this case) or, more likely, a WXZ or WXYXZ corrective structure. The absence of a strong upward lunge or decisive break above the upper green trendline supports the idea that AVAX is stuck in this corrective phase. Until a clear breakout occurs, the price seems confined to the boundaries of this channel. For those looking for opportunities within this range, you could consider trading the key levels—but be cautious of the lack of a decisive trend change. It’s important to keep in mind that without a strong move outside of the channel, any significant upward momentum may take some time to materialize.
by cryptechcapital
Gold Price Analysis October 11Fundamental Analysis Gold prices eased from a three-day high and traded around $2,640 in early European trade on Friday, still up more than 0.40% on the day. A rise in US weekly jobless claims pointed to signs of weakness in the labour market and will allow the Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut interest rates further. This, in turn, triggered a slight decline in US Treasury yields, which, coupled with softer risk sentiment, helped the non-yielding yellow metal gain positive traction for a second straight day. Investors, meanwhile, have fully priced in the possibility of an excessive rate cut by the Fed in November following the release of stronger-than-expected US consumer inflation figures on Thursday. In turn, this helped the US Dollar (USD) halt the previous day's downside correction from its highest level since mid-August and act as a drag on Gold prices. Traders are now looking to the US Producer Price Index (PPI), the Michigan Preliminary Consumer Sentiment Index and Inflation Expectations, and the Fedspeak for short-term momentum. Technical Analysis 2650 remains an important psychological port if gold pushes down before PPI, this zone can still be SELL today. The market is sideways around 2640 waiting for PPI promising a big volatile day today with the upper limit around 2658-2660 as the market watches the news and the US session pushes forward. In the support zone, scalping breakout is believed to be around 2628 and the important point today 2620 is still the breakout zone. SELL 2658-2660 Stoploss 2665 BUY 2620-2618 Stoploss 2615
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Gold Analysis October 10Fundamental Analysis Gold prices attracted some buyers on Thursday and now appear to have snapped a six-day losing streak to a near three-week low around the $2,605-2,604 region tested the previous day. However, the rally lacked bullish conviction and is likely to run out of steam amid growing bets that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points (bps) in November. This has helped the US Dollar (USD) maintain its recent strong gains to an eight-week high and will act as a drag on the non-yielding yellow metal. Traders may also prefer to stay on the sidelines and wait for the release of key US consumer inflation figures later in the North American session. The important US CPI report could influence expectations for the size of the Fed rate cut next month, which would boost demand for USD and provide some meaningful impetus to Gold prices. In addition, developments surrounding the ongoing conflicts in the Middle East will be looked at to capture short-term opportunities around the safe-haven precious metal. Technical Analysis The price range to watch for CPI trading strategies. The upper price range of 2626 and 2638 became one of the first major SELL zones in the Asian session yesterday. The 2638-2640 area is the critical zone of the EMA. The lower price range is focused on the US session around 2605 and the important breakout zone of 2594 will be notable in today's US session. This short-term downtrend is not over yet as the gold price has not been able to close the day above the 263x area. Wishing everyone a successful trading.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Gold price analysis October 9Fundamental Analysis Gold prices fell sharply on Tuesday following a strong US jobs report and news reports that Hezbollah backed calls for a ceasefire in the conflict between it and Israel. As a result, hints of a possible de-escalation of the Middle East conflict opened the door for traders to take profits. XAU/USD traded at $2,615, down more than 1%. This prompted a sell-off in XAU/USD, which fell more than $35 to an intraday low of $2,604 before buyers took it to the current spot price. Additionally, rising US Treasury yields weighed on the non-yielding metal. The benchmark US 10-year yield remained unchanged above 4%, but has risen more than six basis points this week following last Friday's September Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report. Against this backdrop, interest rate traders have adjusted their expectations for the next move by the Federal Reserve (Fed). Most Fed speakers have been gradual in their tone toward easing monetary policy. However, some, like St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem, only expect one more cut by year-end after backing a 50 bps cut in September. Technical Analysis The Asian session range that we are paying attention to is around 2603 and 2627. The bottom support zone that the US session touched last night is also known as session support. The resistance zone is a breakout retest zone that the market respects. The upper range converges with the 34 EMA for a good trading plan in the Asian session. In the US session, the price range is wider with the price zone of interest around 2592 and the resistance of 2648 is considered a key price zone to hold the price from long declines.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
NQ Could Potentially Purge Tuesdays's Lows? Price looks like it's heading towards Tuesday's Low. We don't have any major news today so I'm not expecting huge movement but, from what price has shown me, it looks like the next draw on liquidity is Tuesday's low. After price entered and respected the Weekly Imbalance, it displaced lower with energy and retraced back to the 4-hour order block that was responsible for that displacement leg. The first 4-hour order block was respected and price, again, pushed lower creating another 4-hour order block. Now, it looks like price is drawing towards that second 4-hour order block and if it respects that level, then I would like to see price run lower and take out Tuesday's Low. I am not a financial advisor. Trade at your own risk. I am only sharing my ideas and predictions of what price could do and I could be 100% wrong. Stay safe!
CME_MINI:NQZ2024Short
by INVYZNN
EUR/JPY Short, GBP/NZD Short and USD/CHF ShortEUR/JPY Short Minimum entry requirements: • Tap into area of value. • 1H impulse down below area of interest. • If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it. GBP/NZD Short Minimum entry requirements: • 4H risk entry. or • 1H impulse down below area of value. • If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it. USD/CHF Short Minimum entry requirements: • 1H impulse down. • If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
Short
by StewySongs
1
Bigger Bubble" Creation vs. Downtrend Bubble Burst: What Comes NMore Giant Bubble" Creation vs. Downtrend Bubble Burst: What Comes Next? As the Federal Reserve (Fed) begins its rate-cutting cycle, the stock market and gold prices are hitting record highs, fueling growing investor confidence in a soft landing for the U.S. economy. However, it’s important to remain cautious. The market may appear to be creating a "bigger bubble," but investors should consider secondary effects. An economic slowdown could trigger a sudden market crash even with continued rate cuts. A critical indicator to watch is the U.S. Treasury yield curve, which often signals an impending recession. Recently, a closely watched segment of the yield curve has returned to a typical slope after being inverted, signaling that a sharp economic downturn may be imminent. "When the inversion ends, the real countdown begins, and that’s where we are now." "Bigger bubble" creation vs. downtrend bubble burst?! Waiting for a LONG trade: Please refer to the chart. Long trade entry set up target and s/l. Methodology: Fibonacci Channel & Fibonacci Retracement Risk control reference pivot points: Daily pivot points (table provided) 4-hour pivot points (table provided) www.tradingview.com Disclaimer: The content represents expert opinions and is not investment advice. Investors should make independent decisions, carefully assess risks, and bear full responsibility for their outcomes.
NASDAQ:NDX
by fortunepivot
How Much More Longer BearishOn this pair, we find that on the weekly timeframe, the market is Bullish. Price even went all the way up towards our liquidity target but failed to close above it. We are currently witnessing another pullback. On the Daily, price is bullish. We have seen prices currently retrace into the daily zone. But there is a lot of speculation as to whether or not this our refined daily reversal zone has what it takes to invite the bulls of demand to hold prices at that level and drive it back up. Now my Analysis: As much as I would want the daily zone to hold, as this is the fastest way for us to find a LONG trading opportunity, jumping on the rally towards the confluence weekly/daily liquidity targets. But I have a bit of reservation on this. This is because of the force with which prices have come into the daily reversal zone. Prices have come into the zone with a strong push, and not the usual gentle slide in expected of a reversal zone. Dont get me wrong, I am not concluding that the zone will fail, but rather I am saying that instead of the initial 70% chance I had of the zone holding, I now have a 40% chance of it holding because of price action. In the event that the zone holds, we will expect to see the rally resume with prices gravitating towards our liquidity target above; and we will excitedly pull out out panzy pips trading system and jump on the trade. But what happens if the zone fails..? Where this is the case, we will look to see prices deep further towards the Weekly zone below. From where we will look to see some bullish reversal and again place our trade setup right beside price and stand ready to trade. In all of these, we do not and cannot completely rule out the possibility of catching some bearish trades where the daily zone is breached and price dips towards the Weekly zone. Share your thoughts guys and let us see your perspective on the market
Long
by PanzyPips
Gold Price Analysis July 10Fundamental Analysis Gold (XAU/USD) traded negative for the fourth consecutive day on Monday, despite no follow-through selling, remaining confined within a familiar range that has held for the past week or so amid mixed fundamental signals. Friday’s upbeat US jobs report dashed market expectations for more aggressive easing by the Federal Reserve, helping the US Dollar (USD) rise to near seven-week highs and weighing on the non-yielding yellow metal. In addition, the underlying bullish tone across global equity markets further undermined safe-haven Gold. However, any meaningful corrective pullback remains elusive amid persistent geopolitical risks stemming from ongoing conflicts in the Middle East, which tend to favor the precious metal. Traders may also want to wait for the FOMC meeting minutes to be released this Wednesday and the US consumer inflation data on Thursday. Technical analysis Gold has bounced strongly from the session support zone of 2640. At the moment, the trading range of gold is relatively wide and the NF has not been able to help gold form a new specific trend. In the h4 or h2 time frame, the trading range is clearly seen at 2635 and 2670. When this range is broken, the price will form a new trend. Besides, we pay attention to the areas that are prone to fake 2625 and 2685.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
EURUSD Analysis Week 41🌐Fundamental Analysis Fundamental Analysis EUR/USD fell below the psychological support level of 1.1000 in New York trading on Friday. The major currency weakened as an upbeat US (US) Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report for September underpinned the US dollar (USD). The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the greenback against six major currencies, surged above 102.50. Following the Fed's decision to cut interest rates, comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell and his colleagues have indicated that the central bank is more focused on reviving job growth amid confidence that price pressures are on track to return to the bank's 2% target. The US NFP report shows that the number of people seeking employment rose unexpectedly last month. The strong hiring numbers have forced traders to cut market expectations for another big rate cut from the Federal Reserve (Fed) in November. 🕯Technical Analysis Like the GBPUSD margin is being limited on the bearish main H4 candle. The immediate margin for the first days of next week is 1,102-1,095. Any bullish signs early in the week create buying opportunities and signals will be updated soon. The resistance zone that EURUSD is very respectful of at the moment is 1.107 where price, despite breaking out, has retested the previous day's zone when it fell to the present time. The two-month low of 1.090 will help EURUSD escape the prolonged slide of the past week. 📈📉Trading Signals BUY EURUSD zone 1.090-1.088 Stoploss 1.086 SELL EURUSD zone 1.107-1.109 Stoploss 1.111
by TVS-Trader
World gold prices decreased despite the decline in the USD index 💎 Middle East situation: If a military conflict occurs, it is likely that Russia and China will intervene, because they have declared their side to protect Iran. This could push gold prices up sharply due to safe haven demand. 📈 Technically, after yesterday's breakout session, gold's upward momentum has returned, so the main trend of gold price in the near future is still going up. ⚡️ Trading strategy: Buy Limit orders around two areas 262x and 264x. Take profit (TP): around the first zone 2645, the second zone at 2665-2670 or higher depending on developments. Stop loss (SL): below 6 price level for each pending order. ⚠️ Note: Need to closely monitor reactions from the NONFARM report and the geopolitical situation, especially if any tensions escalate in the Middle East, which could cause major fluctuations in gold prices.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster