Asian and European trading sessionThe Asian and European trading plan is focused around the resistance zone of 2660, the immediate support zone is around 2656. The important areas of interest after breaking out of the narrow range are focused around 2683 and 2637. Please pay attention to the price reaction around this area to have the best trading strategy today. The US session trading range will be updated soon.
Trade!
MEWUSDT Long Setup / Are you a cat person or a dog personOKX:MEWUSDT
BYBIT:MEWUSDT
BINANCE:MEWUSDT.P
📈Which side you pick?
Bull or Bear
SL1 ---> Low-risk status: 3x-4x Leverage
SL2 ---> Mid-risk status: 5x-8x Leverage
(If there is just one SL on the chart, I suggest, low risk status)
👾Note: The setup is active but expect the uncertain phase as well.
➡️Entry Area:
Yellow zone
⚡️TP:
0.006912
0.007202
0.007492
0.007925
🔴SL:
0.005929
🧐The Alternate scenario:
If the price stabilize against the direction of the position, below or above the trigger zone, the setup will be canceled.
ARBUSDT Long Setup Setting / Layer2BINANCE:ARBUSDT
COINBASE:ARBUSD
📈Which side you pick?
Bull or Bear
SL1 ---> Low-risk status: 3x-4x Leverage
SL2 ---> Mid-risk status: 5x-8x Leverage
(If there is just one SL on the chart, I suggest, low risk status)
👾Note: The setup is active but expect the uncertain phase as well.
➡️Entry Area:
Yellow zone
⚡️TP:
0.5415
0.5519
0.5612
0.5732
🔴SL:
0.5022
🧐The Alternate scenario:
If the price stabilize against the direction of the position, below or above the trigger zone, the setup will be canceled.
Technical Analysis for Numerico (NWC/USDT) + TRADE PLANTechnical Analysis for Numerico (NWC/USDT)
The price is showing a breakout potential at the top of the channel, which may signal a trend reversal.
Descending Channel Pattern:
Resistance: The upper trendline shows where the price has faced rejection multiple times. The resistance level is gradually declining.
Support: The lower trendline indicates strong support, where buyers have consistently entered the market, preventing further decline.
Breakout Potential:
The price appears to have tested the upper trendline of the channel. The arrow pointing upward suggests the possibility of a breakout above the descending resistance, which would indicate a bullish reversal.
Indicators:
Volume: A spike in volume supports the possibility of the breakout. A breakout with increased volume is generally a stronger confirmation of the trend change.
VMC Cipher B: This momentum oscillator shows a shift from negative to positive momentum, implying that the buying pressure is gaining strength.
RSI (14): The Relative Strength Index is around 58.66, indicating that momentum is neutral to slightly bullish. RSI above 50 usually signals increasing buying pressure.
Stochastic RSI: The stochastic RSI is currently in the overbought zone (91.21), which might signal some short-term correction, but the overall momentum remains strong.
HMA+ Hist: HMA (Hull Moving Average) shows that the histogram is close to zero but shifting upward, which could imply a possible change in trend direction soon.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Immediate Support: $0.0719 (marked by the horizontal blue line).
Resistance Zone: Around $0.0753 (upper edge of the channel).
Great Entry Point: The label indicates that a long entry is ideal around the breakout zone, with an upward arrow suggesting that this level ($0.0721) could offer a solid risk-reward ratio for buyers entering before a potential upward movement.
Trading Plan
Entry Point:
Enter the trade at the breakout above $0.0721 (highlighted as the "Great Entry Point"). If the price closes above this level on the 4-hour timeframe with significant volume, it will confirm a bullish breakout.
Stop-Loss:
Place a stop-loss slightly below the recent support of $0.0719, at approximately $0.0690, to minimize risk in case the breakout turns into a false breakout.
Profit Targets:
First Target: $0.0800 – This level aligns with a previous resistance zone and would be a conservative target for short-term traders.
Second Target: $0.0850 – If momentum remains strong, the price may continue toward this higher level of resistance, providing a larger reward.
Risk Management:
Ensure a risk-to-reward ratio of at least 2:1. For example, if the stop-loss is set at $0.0690 (risk of approximately 3%), aim for the first target at $0.0800 (a reward of approximately 10%).
Use position sizing techniques to risk only 1-2% of the portfolio per trade, to ensure long-term sustainability and avoid major losses in case of unexpected market moves.
Monitoring & Adjustments:
Watch for volume confirmation during the breakout. If the volume diminishes, consider closing the position early, as it may signal a weakening breakout.
Adjust the stop-loss to breakeven once the price hits the first profit target, ensuring a risk-free trade for the remaining portion of the position.
Conclusion:
The technical analysis for NWC/USDT suggests a bullish breakout from the descending channel pattern, with indicators supporting a potential upward move. Entering at the breakout level of $0.0721 with proper risk management offers a promising opportunity, especially with a positive shift in momentum.
Bitcoin is going up, short consolidation phase TA+TRADE PLANBitcoin's price action against USDT on a 1-hour timeframe with several technical indicators and key levels. Here is my technical analysis + trade plan by Blaž Fabjan
Ascending & Descending Trading Channels:
The price is moving between ascending and descending channels. This can indicate phases of higher highs and higher lows (ascending) followed by lower highs and lower lows (descending), which often signals periods of short-term consolidation or corrections.
Resistance Levels:
Multiple resistances are clearly marked on the chart around the price of $68,556.87 and $67,000. The price has struggled to break above these levels multiple times, making it a critical zone to watch for future price action.
Support Levels:
Support is visible around $61,758.48 and $60,301.68, representing strong areas where the price previously rebounded. These levels are essential for managing downside risk.
Consolidation Phase:
The price appears to be consolidating after rejecting the upper resistance line. This phase suggests market indecision or preparation for a breakout.
VMC Cipher_B Divergences:
Divergences in this indicator show potential weakening of the bullish trend, which could signal a pullback. The green and red dots suggest possible points of reversal, important for catching trend changes.
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI is at 52.96, indicating the market is neutral but slightly leaning toward the bullish side. If RSI breaks above 70, this could signal overbought conditions, while a drop below 30 would indicate oversold.
Stochastic Oscillator:
Currently in the oversold region (18.22), indicating a possible upward reversal soon. This could hint at a short-term bullish move.
HMA (Hull Moving Average) Histogram:
The HMA is showing a mixed trend, but the upward slope hints at mild bullish momentum that needs confirmation from price action or volume spikes.
Trading Plan
Entry Points:
Long Position: Look for a breakout above $67,000 or $68,556.87, especially with strong volume confirming the upward move. You could set a buy stop order slightly above these levels to capture the momentum.
Short Position: If the price rejects resistance and breaks below $64,500 (the recent low), this could indicate a further decline toward support levels around $61,758.48 or lower.
Stop-Loss:
For long trades, place stop-losses just below $64,500 to minimize risk in case of a fake breakout or false bullish signal.
For short trades, place stop-losses above $67,000, as a break above this could invalidate the bearish trend.
Profit Targets:
Upside Targets: First target is around $70,000 (a psychological round number and historical resistance), followed by $71,000.
Downside Targets: The initial target for a short would be $61,758.48. A break below could see prices test $60,301.68, the lower boundary of this channel.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
Ensure that any trade maintains a risk-reward ratio of at least 1:2. For instance, if you risk $1,000, you should aim for a reward of $2,000.
Additional Confirmation:
Wait for additional signals, such as volume spikes or confirmation from indicators like RSI or Stochastic, before entering a position. The market could continue to consolidate before choosing a direction.
Time Horizon:
Given that this is an hourly chart, these trades are more suited for short-term to medium-term traders. Ensure to adjust your stops and targets as the market evolves, and check for any upcoming fundamental events (like economic news or regulatory updates) that could impact Bitcoin's price.
By following this plan, you can manage your trades effectively, balancing risk and reward while being prepared for both bullish and bearish scenarios.
Gold Price Analysis October 14Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices rose for a third straight day on Monday, rising to $2,667, or above a one-week high, in early European trading on Monday. Expectations that the Federal Reserve will continue to cut interest rates amid a favorable inflation outlook were the main factor driving flows into the non-yielding yellow metal. In addition, escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East also provided additional support for safe-haven bullion.
Meanwhile, U.S. Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar (USD) remained elevated amid rising bets for a less aggressive easing policy from the U.S. central bank. This, coupled with a generally positive risk tone and optimism over China’s commitment to increase debt to revive its economy, could keep safe-haven bullion from gaining any further ground. This, in turn, warrants some caution for bullish traders and before positioning for any further upside amid a partial holiday in the US.
Technical Analysis
With the bank holiday, gold’s range bounds are unlikely to see a strong breakout. The 2665 high is seen as the top zone for today if the price fails to break above this zone by mid-European session. SELL entries can be established around the current price zone and the target level is expected to be around 264x-262x. The 2740 zone remains a strong and notable port zone for today.
TATACONSUM: Upcoming Price Surge Projection
Timeframe: 4h
NSE TATACONSUM has formed a correction on the 4-hour timeframe chart. A closer look at wave A reveals it consists of three distinct waves, indicating it can't be labeled as an impulse. The security has broken below the 50, 100, and 200 EMA, with the Average True Range (ATR) at 15.
Currently, the price is developing wave (iv) of wave C within wave (B). Wave (B) has already reached 100% of wave A, and with bullish sentiment, the price could surge from this point. However, we need confirmation through a breakout of the sub-structure. After wave (B) is completed, traders can use wave (iv) as an entry point to confirm a long setup. Fibonacci clusters indicate potential levels at 1189 - 1246 - 1296 . Risky traders entering right after the completion should confirm their position with a lower high.
We will provide further updates soon.
- KP (Trade Technique)
NIFTY - Elliott Wave Outlook
Timeframe: Weekly
NSE NIFTY began an impulsive move after hitting a low of 15183.4 . Based on the wave count, the price completed wave (5) of wave (3) at 26277.3 and has since started to decline. The price is currently in a wave (4) correction phase. Let’s switch to the daily timeframe for a closer look at the details.
Timeframe: Daily
On the daily chart with a neckline at 24,750 , we’re observing a bearish head-and-shoulders pattern forming. If the price breaks below this neckline, Nifty could drop significantly, potentially reaching the demand zone or surge point of the pattern. However, if the price fails to break this neckline, it indicates weakness in the bearish momentum, signaling a possible reversal
According to the Elliott Wave Principle, if wave 5 is an extended wave, the correction often occurs near sub-wave 2 of the previous impulse, especially if it falls below sub-wave 4. So, 24,570 will be a crucial level for Nifty. We can expect the price to move up by no more than 126% of wave A within the correction. Otherwise, there’s a risk of mistaking wave B for wave 3.
Whatever scenario Nifty chooses, it’s better to let Nifty commit to a clear direction before we commit to the market.
We will update further information soon.
XAUUSD: Final Wave Completion – What’s Next?XAUUSD has formed a corrective pattern on the hourly chart, offering a potential breakout setup. The correction has spanned over two weeks, during which the price has frequently crossed the EMAs (50/100/200 ) on the hourly timeframe. Meanwhile, the 20 EMA has consistently acted as solid support on the daily timeframe.
The pair has completed its final wave 5 of wave (C) at 2604 and has since started to rise sharply. Currently, XAUUSD faces a strong resistance level at 2670 , which marks the high of wave (B). If the price breaks above 2670 , traders can target the following levels: 2685 - 2715 - 2735 +. If the breakout fails, the correction may continue, as 2670 is the key hurdle for the bulls to overcome.
Further updates will follow soon.
RENUSDT 1:1 Long Setup SettingBINANCE:RENUSDT
CRYPTO:RENUSD
SL1 ---> Low-risk status: 3x-4x Leverage
SL2 ---> Mid-risk status: 5x-8x Leverage
👾The setup is active but expect the uncertain phase as well.
➡️Entry Area:
Yellow zone
⚡️TP:
0.03480
0.03530
0.03603
0.03693
🔴SL:
0.03163
🧐The Alternate scenario:
If the price stabilizes below the trigger zone, the setup will be cancelled.
AVAX Confined to an Elongated Channel: Range-Bound indefinately AVAX appears to be trading within a very elongated channel, which could represent either an impulse wave (up to Wave 4 in this case) or, more likely, a WXZ or WXYXZ corrective structure. The absence of a strong upward lunge or decisive break above the upper green trendline supports the idea that AVAX is stuck in this corrective phase.
Until a clear breakout occurs, the price seems confined to the boundaries of this channel. For those looking for opportunities within this range, you could consider trading the key levels—but be cautious of the lack of a decisive trend change. It’s important to keep in mind that without a strong move outside of the channel, any significant upward momentum may take some time to materialize.
Gold Price Analysis October 11Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices eased from a three-day high and traded around $2,640 in early European trade on Friday, still up more than 0.40% on the day. A rise in US weekly jobless claims pointed to signs of weakness in the labour market and will allow the Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut interest rates further. This, in turn, triggered a slight decline in US Treasury yields, which, coupled with softer risk sentiment, helped the non-yielding yellow metal gain positive traction for a second straight day.
Investors, meanwhile, have fully priced in the possibility of an excessive rate cut by the Fed in November following the release of stronger-than-expected US consumer inflation figures on Thursday. In turn, this helped the US Dollar (USD) halt the previous day's downside correction from its highest level since mid-August and act as a drag on Gold prices. Traders are now looking to the US Producer Price Index (PPI), the Michigan Preliminary Consumer Sentiment Index and Inflation Expectations, and the Fedspeak for short-term momentum.
Technical Analysis
2650 remains an important psychological port if gold pushes down before PPI, this zone can still be SELL today. The market is sideways around 2640 waiting for PPI promising a big volatile day today with the upper limit around 2658-2660 as the market watches the news and the US session pushes forward. In the support zone, scalping breakout is believed to be around 2628 and the important point today 2620 is still the breakout zone.
SELL 2658-2660 Stoploss 2665
BUY 2620-2618 Stoploss 2615
Gold Analysis October 10Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices attracted some buyers on Thursday and now appear to have snapped a six-day losing streak to a near three-week low around the $2,605-2,604 region tested the previous day. However, the rally lacked bullish conviction and is likely to run out of steam amid growing bets that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points (bps) in November. This has helped the US Dollar (USD) maintain its recent strong gains to an eight-week high and will act as a drag on the non-yielding yellow metal.
Traders may also prefer to stay on the sidelines and wait for the release of key US consumer inflation figures later in the North American session. The important US CPI report could influence expectations for the size of the Fed rate cut next month, which would boost demand for USD and provide some meaningful impetus to Gold prices. In addition, developments surrounding the ongoing conflicts in the Middle East will be looked at to capture short-term opportunities around the safe-haven precious metal.
Technical Analysis
The price range to watch for CPI trading strategies. The upper price range of 2626 and 2638 became one of the first major SELL zones in the Asian session yesterday. The 2638-2640 area is the critical zone of the EMA.
The lower price range is focused on the US session around 2605 and the important breakout zone of 2594 will be notable in today's US session. This short-term downtrend is not over yet as the gold price has not been able to close the day above the 263x area. Wishing everyone a successful trading.
Asian session gold trading marginHello traders. 2605-2623 becomes the first border zone of the port. These are two important session port zones. When the price comes, we can trade and consider exiting the order before CPI. Besides, the price zone 15-17 is also paying attention to scalping. Wish everyone a successful transaction.
Gold price analysis October 9Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices fell sharply on Tuesday following a strong US jobs report and news reports that Hezbollah backed calls for a ceasefire in the conflict between it and Israel. As a result, hints of a possible de-escalation of the Middle East conflict opened the door for traders to take profits. XAU/USD traded at $2,615, down more than 1%.
This prompted a sell-off in XAU/USD, which fell more than $35 to an intraday low of $2,604 before buyers took it to the current spot price. Additionally, rising US Treasury yields weighed on the non-yielding metal. The benchmark US 10-year yield remained unchanged above 4%, but has risen more than six basis points this week following last Friday's September Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report.
Against this backdrop, interest rate traders have adjusted their expectations for the next move by the Federal Reserve (Fed). Most Fed speakers have been gradual in their tone toward easing monetary policy. However, some, like St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem, only expect one more cut by year-end after backing a 50 bps cut in September.
Technical Analysis
The Asian session range that we are paying attention to is around 2603 and 2627. The bottom support zone that the US session touched last night is also known as session support. The resistance zone is a breakout retest zone that the market respects. The upper range converges with the 34 EMA for a good trading plan in the Asian session. In the US session, the price range is wider with the price zone of interest around 2592 and the resistance of 2648 is considered a key price zone to hold the price from long declines.
FLMUSDT 1:1 Long Setup SettingBINANCE:FLMUSDT
OKX:FLMUSDT
SL1 ---> Low-risk status: 3x-4x Leverage
SL2 ---> Mid-risk status: 5x-8x Leverage
👾The setup is active but expect the uncertain phase as well.
➡️Entry Area:
Yellow zone
⚡️TP:
0.0523
0.0531
0.0540
0.0550
🔴SL:
0.048
🧐The Alternate scenario:
If the price stabilizes below the trigger zone, the setup will be cancelled.
NQ Could Potentially Purge Tuesdays's Lows?
Price looks like it's heading towards Tuesday's Low. We don't have any major news today so I'm not expecting huge movement but, from what price has shown me, it looks like the next draw on liquidity is Tuesday's low.
After price entered and respected the Weekly Imbalance, it displaced lower with energy and retraced back to the 4-hour order block that was responsible for that displacement leg. The first 4-hour order block was respected and price, again, pushed lower creating another 4-hour order block.
Now, it looks like price is drawing towards that second 4-hour order block and if it respects that level, then I would like to see price run lower and take out Tuesday's Low.
I am not a financial advisor. Trade at your own risk. I am only sharing my ideas and predictions of what price could do and I could be 100% wrong. Stay safe!
EUR/JPY Short, GBP/NZD Short and USD/CHF ShortEUR/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of interest.
• If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
GBP/NZD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• 4H risk entry.
or
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
USD/CHF Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
Bigger Bubble" Creation vs. Downtrend Bubble Burst: What Comes NMore Giant Bubble" Creation vs. Downtrend Bubble Burst: What Comes Next?
As the Federal Reserve (Fed) begins its rate-cutting cycle, the stock market and gold prices are hitting record highs, fueling growing investor confidence in a soft landing for the U.S. economy. However, it’s important to remain cautious. The market may appear to be creating a "bigger bubble," but investors should consider secondary effects. An economic slowdown could trigger a sudden market crash even with continued rate cuts.
A critical indicator to watch is the U.S. Treasury yield curve, which often signals an impending recession. Recently, a closely watched segment of the yield curve has returned to a typical slope after being inverted, signaling that a sharp economic downturn may be imminent. "When the inversion ends, the real countdown begins, and that’s where we are now."
"Bigger bubble" creation vs. downtrend bubble burst?!
Waiting for a LONG trade: Please refer to the chart. Long trade entry set up target and s/l.
Methodology: Fibonacci Channel & Fibonacci Retracement
Risk control reference pivot points:
Daily pivot points (table provided)
4-hour pivot points (table provided)
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Disclaimer: The content represents expert opinions and is not investment advice. Investors should make independent decisions, carefully assess risks, and bear full responsibility for their outcomes.