EUR/USD Breakdown – Quick Bounce or Headed for a Wipeout?Alright, trading family, the EUR/USD pair is riding some choppy waters. A short bounce to 1.0809 might be in the cards, but don’t get too comfy—it could just be a quick breather before we dive back toward 1.0700 or even deeper to 1.0645 or 1.0580.
Key Levels:
Breakdown Zone: 1.0700 – Looks like the next wave if sellers keep control.
Bounce Play: 1.0809 – Bulls might show up, but it could be a short ride.
Lower Support: 1.0645 / 1.0580 – If the tide turns, this is where we might land.
This is one of those "stay ready" moments—either we catch a quick rally or the tide pulls us lower. Keep an eye on those short time frames to catch the next set.
What’s your vibe—are we bouncing or heading straight into the deep? Drop your thoughts, follow, and share if this chart got you set for the next move.
Mindbloome Trader
Trade-ideas
Raises gold prices target to hit 2800 read the caption From the all-time high of $2,685 per troy ounce recorded last Thursday, it has lost a good $50. We had pointed out that the last part of the price increase was no longer justified by interest rate expectations. These had also already gone much too far and were therefore scaled back again somewhat in the last few days. This means that Gold currently lacks a key driving force
DoorDash, Inc. (DASH) Trade IdeaDASH is approaching a critical breakout point at $132. The recommended trading strategy includes exiting 25% at T1 ($137) with the stop loss moved to breakeven, exiting 50% at T2 ($143) with the stop loss moved to T1, and exiting the remaining 25% at T3 ($150). The stop loss is initially set at $124 to limit potential downside. It is important to monitor the volume closely for confirmation of a breakout above $132, as increased volume could signify a stronger breakout move.
GBPUSD ( INSIDE DESCENDING CHANNEL ) (4H)GBPUSD
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency, the price is under down ward pressure , until trade below turning level at 1.281 .
Upward Zone : In order to see an increase, the price needs to break the turning level at 1.281 , to reach resistance levels (1) around 1.285 , then breaking resistance level (1) it indicates to reach of a resistance level (2) at 1.293 , then stabilizing above resistance level (2) indicates to reach of a resistance level (3) at 1.303 a strong resistance level inside strong supply zone .
Downward Zone: Provided until the prices trade below the turning level, it indicates a reach of the support level (1) at 1.270, then breaking this level with a 4h or 1h open candle below is likely to reach the support level (2) at 1.262 , this two level called support zone it is very strong zone because inside accumulation area .
Corrective level :Price may make a correction at 1.281 , before dropping .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 1.285 , 1.293 , 1.303 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 1.270 , 1.262 .
Foreign exchange trading skills worth collecting (Part 1)
Charlie Munger once said that if you are allowed to punch a maximum of 20 holes in a piece of paper, each time you punch means you lose a trading opportunity, and after 20 times, your opportunities will be used up. At this time, will you cherish every opportunity?
The same is true in foreign exchange trading. For each transaction, you must treat your account balance as the last bullet. This requires us to constantly reflect and sum up our experience so that every transaction can gain something, whether it is money or experience, we must accumulate something.
The following are 72 trading tricks that I have carefully compiled for you. I hope it will help you on your trading journey! The content is too long, divided into 3 articles,introduction. Please pay attention to it.
72 foreign exchange trading tricks
1. Only use the money you can afford to lose: If you use your family's funds to engage in trading, you will not be able to calmly use your mental freedom to make sound buying and selling decisions.
2. Know yourself: You must have a calm and objective temperament, the ability to control emotions, and will not suffer from insomnia when holding a trading contract. Successful commodity traders seem to have always been able to remain calm during the transaction.
3. Do not invest more than 1/3 of the funds: The best way is to keep your trading funds three times the margin required to hold the contract. In order to follow this rule, it is okay to reduce the number of contracts when necessary. This rule can help you avoid using all the trading funds to decide on buying and selling. Sometimes you will be forced to close the position early, but you will avoid big losses.
4. Do not base trading judgment on hope: Do not hope too much for immediate progress, otherwise you will buy and sell based on hope. Successful people can be unaffected by emotions in buying and selling. When a novice hopes that the market will turn in his favor, he often violates the basic rules of buying and selling.
5. Take proper rest: Buying and selling every day will dull your judgment. Taking a break will give you a more detached view of the market; it will also help you look at yourself and the next goal from another state of mind, so that you have a better perspective to observe many market factors.
6. Do not close profitable contracts easily, and keep profits continuous: Selling profitable contracts may be one of the reasons for the failure of commodity investment. The slogan "As long as there is money to be made, there will be no bankruptcy" will not apply to commodity investment. Successful traders say that you can't close a position just for the sake of profit; you must have a reason to close a profitable contract.
7. Learn to love losses: If you can accept losses calmly and without hurting your vitality, then you are on the road to success in commodity investment. Before you become a good trader, you must get rid of your fear of loss.
8. Avoid entering and exiting at market prices: Successful traders believe that buying and selling at market prices is a manifestation of lack of self-discipline. Unless you use market prices to close a position, you should aim to avoid market orders as much as possible.
9. Buy and sell the most active contract months in the market: This makes trading easier.
10. Enter the market when there is a good chance of winning: You should look for opportunities with a small possibility of loss and a large possibility of profit. For example, when the price of a commodity is close to its most recent historical low, then the possibility of it rebounding upward may be greater than the possibility of it falling.
11. Pick up unexpected wealth: Sometimes you buy and sell a commodity and get a greater profit than expected in a short period of time. Rather than waiting a few days to see why profits come so quickly, it is better to take them and run!
12. Learn to short sell: Most new investors tend to buy up, that is, buy in markets that they think will rise, but because the market often falls faster than it rises, you can quickly make profits by selling at high prices and buying at low prices. Therefore, the counter-trend operation method is worth learning.
13. After making a decision, act decisively and quickly: The market is not kind to those who procrastinate. So one of the methods used by successful traders is to act quickly. This does not mean that you have to be impulsive, but when your judgment tells you that you should close your position, do it immediately without hesitation.
14. Choose a conservative, professional and conscientious salesperson: A good salesperson must be able to pour cold water on you in time to prevent you from overdoing it in this market; at the same time, he must also have professional knowledge to provide you with exceptions that may occur at any time in the market.
15. Successful operations are like slowly climbing up a slope, while failed operations are like rolling down a slope: the stories of getting rich in one day that are widely circulated in the market are just stories. Without a solid foundation, even if you get one day's wealth, you can't keep it. Therefore, successful operators must try to create a framework, cultivate good operating habits, and slowly establish a successful operating model.
16. Never violate good rules: What is a good rule? As long as you think it is a good rule that can help you make a profit or reduce losses in operation, it is a good rule, and you should not violate it. When you find that you have violated a rule, leave the market as soon as possible, otherwise you should at least reduce the volume of operations.
17. Putting it in your pocket is real: a wave of market conditions cannot rise continuously without rest, and you must learn to put the profits in your pocket to avoid the profits on the books turning into losses.
18. Try to use the market for hedging: when the overall economy weakens, market risks increase. In order to reduce risks and increase profits, hedge and sell hedging in the market in order to form a price insurance function.
19. Buy when there is a rumor that the price is going to rise, and sell when it really rises: If there is a rumor in the market that the price is going to rise, then you should buy based on this news, but when this news comes true, it is time to sell. For one sell, there may be multiple sell news, because the market tends to build news into the market price.
20. The bull market will be crushed by itself: This is an old trading rule in the trading market. It says that when the price of a bull market soars, it may be crushed to the limit by its own weight. So, when you are in a bull market, you should be particularly bearish on news.
21. Detect price trends: The price chart is one of the basic tools of successful traders. You can use it to see the main trend of prices. A common mistake made by commodity investors is to buy when the market is basically trending down, or sell when it is rising.
22. Pay attention to the breakout points in the trend chart: This is the only method used by some successful traders. They draw a curve chart of the trading price for several consecutive days. If the price trend breaks through the previous trend and remains for more than two or three days in a row, it is usually a good buy or sell prompt.
23. Pay attention to the 50% retracement point in the main trend: You may often hear that the market is running in a technical rebound. This means that after a big rise (or fall), the market will have a 50% reverse movement.
24. When choosing buying and selling points, use the half-cut rule: This means finding the range of commodity buying and selling, and then cutting the range in half, buying in the lower half, or selling in the upper half. This rule is particularly useful when the market follows the chart track.
I hope it helps you. The rest will be updated in new articles. If you need it, you can check it on the homepage after following it.
Special words for gold trading
We often see these words when trading. If you understand them, trading will be easier.
Including "deposit, withdrawal, position, closing, take profit, stop loss", etc.; they mean:
Deposit: remit personal funds to the trading account for trading;
Withdrawal: transfer part or all of the balance in the trading account to a personal bank account;
Position: the name of the trader buying and selling contracts in the market; establishing a trading order is called "establishing a position", a buy order is called a "long position", and a short-selling order is called a "short position"
Closing: ending a held buy order or sell order;
Take profit: the trading order finally achieves the profit target and leaves the market with a profit;
Stop Loss: When the order loss reaches the maximum tolerable amount, admit the loss and leave the market;
In addition to the commonly used terms, there are also some special terms involved in the trading market;
For example: heavy position, light position, carry order, lock position, liquidation
Heavy position: Most of the funds in the trader's account are involved in order transactions
Light position: The trader only uses a small part of the funds in the account to participate in the order;
In trading, there is a most basic principle that "don't put all your eggs in one basket"
There are always risks in the financial market, and traders should remember one sentence:
Avoid risks, trade with light positions, and never hold heavy positions.
Light position standards:
Total loss of holding positions ≤ one-tenth of the account amount
The number of lots for a single transaction of 10,000 US dollars is not more than 0.5-1 lot
Carry order:
When traders encounter losses, they have no stop-loss strategy, do not know how to stop losses and choose opportunities to start over, but always hold losing orders and bet everything on the rise and fall of the market. This is a behavior that should be avoided in trading.
Locking:
Similar to "carrying orders", when traders encounter losses, they do not implement stop-loss strategies, but establish reverse orders while holding loss orders. Locking can only allow traders to temporarily stop further losses, but cannot get rid of losses. If the net value is not enough, a "black swan event" will occur, and the short-order spread will increase instantly, which will also lead to a margin call.
Margin call:
When the funds in the trader's trading account are not enough to trade, it is a margin call; margin call means the loss of all principal.
If you are a novice, these must be helpful to you! I will share trading knowledge from time to time, and you can follow me if you need it.
Potential BTCUSD Reversal and Downtrend from ResistanceAnalysis Overview:
In this analysis, we observe a potential reversal pattern for BTCUSD based on the 4-hour chart. The price is approaching a significant resistance zone, indicating a possible turning point.
Key Points:
Swing High & Lower High: BTCUSD has formed a recent swing high followed by a lower high, suggesting weakening bullish momentum.
Resistance Zone: The price is nearing a critical resistance area marked by the PREVIOUS monthly ATH and the 4-hour FVG.
Bearish Order Block: The red zone indicates a bearish order block, which could act as a strong resistance.
Possible Scenarios:
Rejection and Downtrend: If BTCUSD gets rejected at the resistance zone, we could see a decline towards the swing low and potentially further down.
Break and Continuation: Conversely, a break above the resistance could invalidate the bearish outlook and suggest further bullish movement.
Trade Idea:
Short Entry: Around 70,000 USDT.
Target: Initial target at 55,000 USDT.
Stop Loss: Above the resistance at 72,000 USDT.
Conclusion:
This analysis highlights a potential short trade opportunity based on the identified resistance zone and bearish order block. The targets and stop loss levels are clearly stated to manage risk effectively. Please ensure to conduct your own research and consider the market conditions before taking any trade.
Canadian Dollar Futures Trading Plan and ExplanationAfter analyzing options trades on CME, we found a promising opportunity to short Canadian Dollar. The option contract is for April with an expiration date of April 5, 2024.
We noticed an interesting option portfolio on March 22 that aligns with the trigger level on the futures chart (refer to chart). A trigger level is a graphical pattern on the underlying asset that
prompts traders to take or avoid specific trading actions.
For the Canadian futures chart, the trigger level is the price breakdown of the local resistance at 0.7403-0.07406. Opening long positions at the breakdown point was encouraged by the bullish shape and intensity of the candlestick with minimal shadows. This level was attractive for making purchases for both chartists and adepts of candlestick analysis.
The study of options trading has revealed that these levels are useful for opening counter positions when the price reaches them. To execute this strategy, smart traders use naked options in advance, specifically PUT options with a strike of 0.74. By utilizing the leverage effect of options, traders can create substantial short positions on futures contracts while maintaining a risk-free position for a limited time.
IMPORTANT! We do not expect the price to move towards the strike level. Instead, we recommend using the obtained exchange data and analyzing it to gain an edge when opening a trade, providing a better starting point and improving the risk/reward ratio.
Forex Weekly Planning Session 28 Apr, 2024Plan your trades and trade your plan. The weekly planning session is one of the most important things you can do as a trader.
In this session, I analysed the Currency Index basket of the USD, EUR, GBP, CAD, CHF, AUD, NZD, and JPY.
The strength lies with the USD, the rest are still in a confirmed downtrend.
USDJPY Selling point longest selling trendline read the caption Japan FinMin Suzuki: Will Deal With Forex Appropriately But Declines To Say Whether Forex Moves Are Excessive
USDJPY breaks higher as inflation came at 1.7% down from 2.5% expectations, and 2.6% prev reading. Thats very interesting reading. Who would think of this data considering how expensive
Nzdusd head to go resistance with high accuracy read the captionThe NZD/USD declined towards 0.5871 on Tuesday reflecting a loss of 0.46%, despite. The pair's movements are largely influenced by the market’s adjustments of their expectations and the delay of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) by year-end. Rising Treasury yields are also applying downward pressure on the pair.
On the data front, in March, Building Permits experienced a decline of 4.3%, dropping to 1.457 million, below both projected and February's figures. Housing starts also saw a significant drop of 14.7%, falling short of expectations at 1.321 million. However, industrial production for the same month rose by 0.4%, meeting expectations
Usdcad drop range dipping only read the caption The Loonie asset would observe a fresh upside if it breaks above April 12 high at 1.3786. This will drive the asset towards November 4 high at 1.3843 followed by November high at 1.3901
On the contrary, a downside move below April 9 low at 1.3546 would expose the asset to the psychological support of 1.3500. A breakdown below the latter would extend downside towards February 22 low at 1.3442
lower interest rate will boost the gold read the caption “The next move probably hinges on this week’s PCE Index release. Evidence of further disinflation in the U.S., which would ease fears of prices accelerating or at least re-anchoring at a higher level, would be very bullish for gold.”
Gold prices hit a record high last week after Fed policymakers indicated they still expected to reduce interest by three-quarters of a percentage point
Xauusd ready to above 2222 read the caption “The next move probably hinges on this week’s PCE Index release. Evidence of further disinflation in the U.S., which would ease fears of prices accelerating or at least re-anchoring at a higher level, would be very bullish for gold.”
Gold prices hit a record high last week after Fed policymakers indicated they still expected to reduce interest by three-quarters of a percentage point by 2024 end despite recent high inflation
GBPAUD | Daily | Trade IdeaAhead of tomorrow’s RBA Interest rate announcement I’ll be looking closely at GBPAUD, as we can see from the current GBPAUD chart from a top-down and a down-up perspective we can take note of the fact that after managing to break out of the downward retracement last month, GBPAUD mamaged to push steadily upward until reaching our 1.94150 area before “losing momentum” forming a consolidation which has lasted for the past few days from the 17th of January till today where it has been steadily trading sideways.
With the RBA Interest rate decision underway we can expect GBPAUD to finally choose a direction and breakout of the current consolidation, and from my analysis I can expect the GBPAUD to break in an upward/bullish direction pushing towards our 1.97xxx level hence I’ll be looking to hold my current GBPAUD (BUY) positions for now which haven’t yielded much results thus far.
Will be sharing more updates on GBPAUD towards the end of trading tomorrow or early Wednesday morning.
Please take note that this analysis is comprised solely of my personal opinions and outlook of the current market and should not be mistaken for financial advice or indication to enter into a particular trade, please confirm with your own analysis first before entering any trades based on the information from the current chart.
Yemi_Fx1 | Short Opportunity on USDJPY After three weeks of consolidation, USDJPY finally erupted, driven by the NFP release. This impulsive move respects the 90% rule.
However, the recent price action has formed a double top pattern, suggesting a potential reversal to the downside.
Based on the technical setup and potential reversal, I am biased towards a short position on USDJPY. I'm anticipating for continuation pattern for the move of price to the nearest support level at price 146.539
If you found this helpful please support your fellow trader with a like.
Dow Jones ready to jump read the caption Dow Jones The index is drifting lower from its record high seen on Monday, but with no sign yet of a more significant move lower.The continued barrage of earnings may act to drive the price downwards, in which case last week’s lows around 37,200 may provide support. Below this, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) becomes the next area to watch.
A close back above 38,001 leaves the index on course to hit new highs.
Btc confirm analysis read the caption Btc The technical picture now is more bearish as the decline from the 20-month high reached two weeks ago has continued, with the price trading above the big round number at $40,000 and breaking above some resistance levels which have now likely flipped to become resistance.
Despite this bearishness, over the past couple of days the price has firmed up and established a couple of higher lows and support levels. However, the price chart below shows that the price is well within a bearish price channel, although the lack of symmetry in the channel suggests that it may not be very reliable. Nevertheless, there is a confluence of the upper trend line of this channel with a zone of resistance stretching from $40,423 to $40,667. This looks likely to be a great place to enter a short trade if we get a bearish reversal rejecting that area.
Eurusd expected move read the caption Eurusd relatively volatile after the latest flash manufacturing and services PMI numbers from the US and Europe. It initially jumped to a high of 1.08980 and then pulled back as traders wait for the upcoming ECB decision and US economic data.
The latest numbers by S&P Global showed that European manufacturing sector continued to contract in January as companies complained about inflation and supply chain issues. In Europe, the manufacturing PMI rose to 46.5, better than the expected 44.7. Despite the improvement, it remained below 51, meaning that the contraction phase continued.