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GBP/JPY testing critical zoneThe GBP/JPY is testing a critical resistance area between 189.20 to 190.00. For as long as this area holds as resistance, the path of least resistance remains to the downside. Should the selling resume from here, we could see the Guppy trade down to test the key support range between 185.00 to 186.00 again. However, if the GBP/JPY breaks decisively above the 189.20 to 190.00 range, then that could potentially pave the way for a short-squeeze rally towards the next major resistance in the 193.00 to 194.20 range, where we also have the 200 day MA converging. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
by FOREXcom
Gold ChatGPT: Chart Analysis for Gold (XAU/USD) – April 08, 2025 – 1-Hour Timeframe Key Observations: 1. Trend and Price Action: - The price of Gold is currently in a downtrend, as indicated by the red trendline showing lower highs and lower lows. The price has recently broken below the previous support level, signaling a continuation of the bearish movement. - The resistance zone near 3,141.64 remains a significant barrier for any upward movement, while the support level at 2,960.00 is holding the price from falling further. 2. Order Block and FVG (Fair Value Gap): - The order block located at 3,138.95 to 3,141.64 has been a key area where price rejection occurred. The price approached this area but failed to break above, indicating strong selling pressure. This … ChatGPT: - The target for the current bearish setup is 3,021, which aligns with the support level near 2,987.47. If the price continues to decline, this target could be reached soon, with further downside movement expected. - If the price holds at the support level and forms a bullish reversal pattern, it may head back towards the resistance zone. However, until the support level holds, the price is likely to continue the downward trajectory. 4. Volume and Market Sentiment: - The volume shows a consistent decline, confirming the selling pressure. The recent spikes in volume near the support level suggest that the market is reacting to the critical support area. - Market sentiment remains bearish, with the price currently below its recent highs and the resistan… ChatGPT: - Bullish Reversal Scenario: If Gold finds support at 2,960 and forms a bullish pattern (such as a reversal candle or engulfing candle), the price might move towards 3,141.64 again. Conclusion: The price of Gold is currently in a downtrend, facing resistance around 3,141.64 and support near 2,960. Traders should watch for price action near these levels to assess the next move. The target of 3,021 is the key level to focus on, and a breakout below this could lead to further downside. If the support level holds, there could be a potential for a bullish rebound towards resistance.
TVC:GOLDLong
by EXPERT117Ai
XAUUSD NEXT MOVE 1. Double Top Resistance Breakdown The chart suggests a strong double top resistance zone around 3,160 USD. Disruption: If price tests this zone and fails again (creating a third top), a sharp reversal could occur. Implication: Bearish pressure may increase, potentially invalidating the long-term bullish target. 2. Failure to Hold the Bullish Zone Price is hovering above the support for bullish zone (~2,980–3,000 USD). Disruption: A break below this level, especially with volume, could signal trend reversal or deeper correction. Implication: Price might head towards the next unmarked support area below 2,960 USD. 3. Weak Rebound from Current Level The chart projects a “V-shaped” or “W-shaped” recovery. Disruption: If market sentiment is weak, the price may consolidate sideways or drift lower instead of rebounding. Implication: Delayed bullish momentum, potential accumulation phase or even distribution. 4. Fundamental Catalyst Risk Several U.S. economic event icons are marked (likely NFP, CPI, FOMC). Disruption: Any unexpectedly hawkish data or Fed speech can strengthen the USD and suppress gold prices. Implication: Technical patterns may get overridden by macro volatility. 5. Over-Reliance on Horizontal Levels The analysis is heavily based on horizontal S/R zones. Disruption: If market dynamics shift (liquidity hunts, news-driven spikes), price could fake out these zones. Implication: Stop hunts and liquidity grabs could trap traders expecting clean technical moves.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by mrsamfx81
XAUUSD SELL NEXT MOVE STRATEGY DOWN Potential Bullish Scenario The analysis assumes a strong downward move, but buyers could defend key support levels, especially near strategy support and double-top strong support. If the price holds above these levels and forms a reversal pattern (like a double bottom or bullish engulfing candle), we could see a rally back to sell zone and double top resistance. 2. Market Structure Shift The assumption here is a continuation of the downtrend, but a breakout above the resistance zones could invalidate this bearish bias. A fake breakdown below support could trap sellers and fuel a short squeeze rally. 3. Fundamentals & News Events If there’s any fundamental catalyst (e.g., Fed announcement, inflation data, geopolitical tension), the market could reverse direction unexpectedly. Gold tends to react strongly to macroeconomic events, so technical analysis alone might not be enough to predict the next move
TVC:GOLDLong
by mrsamfx81
XAUUSD BUY again all time high 1. Resistance Zones: The chart identifies multiple resistance levels, including a double-top resistance. However, if gold strongly breaks above the resistance, it may invalidate the bearish double-top pattern 2. Trendline Support: The trendline support is correctly identified, but trendlines are subjective. If broken, it could signal a trend reversal rather than a bounce. 3. Expected Price Movement: The projected price action assumes a pullback before continuing upwards, which is reasonable. However, the red arrow suggests a potential drop, which contradicts the bullish expectation. 4. Fundamental Factors: Gold is heavily influenced by macroeconomic factors (interest rates, inflation, geopolitical risks). Ignoring these could make the analysis incomplete
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by mrsamfx81
XAUUSD TRADING STRATEGY BULLISH False Breakout Possibility: The breakout above the resistance level could be a fake-out, leading to a sharp reversal instead of a continued upward movement. A double top at the resistance level may indicate a stronger bearish reversal rather than further bullish momentum. 2. Overextended Trend: The previous strong bullish move could be overextended, leading to exhaustion. A correction or retracement back to trendline support is highly likely. The market could enter a consolidation phase instead of continuing the uptrend immediately. 3. Liquidity Grab Before Drop: Market makers often push prices above key resistance to trigger stop-loss orders before reversing the trend. The price could break resistance temporarily but then drop significantly back into the support zone. 4. Fundamental Factors: If economic news or central bank policies favor the USD, gold (XAUUSD) may weaken instead of continuing its bullish run
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by mrsamfx81
1
Gold buy Target 3050 on this analysis Contrarian Perspective (Bearish Case) Instead of a breakout, the price could fail to sustain above the resistance and reverse downward. The double top formation suggests a potential bearish reversal rather than a continuation. If price breaks below the support level, it could invalidate the bullish setup and lead to a decline towards 2,900 or lower 2. Fundamental Disruptions Macroeconomic factors like interest rate hikes, inflation data, or geopolitical instability could change the trend unexpectedly. Unexpected news (such as central bank decisions on gold reserves) could cause volatility, disrupting the predicted movement. 3. Market Manipulation Risks Whale activity or institutional traders might push the price in the opposite direction to trap retail traders. False breakouts could occur before the actual move, stopping out early traders. 4. Alternative Technical Patterns Instead of following the expected support bounce, price might consolidate in a range. The resistance zone might turn into a supply zone, leading to a prolonged sideways movement
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by mrsamfx81
XAUUSD long term 1. Weakness at Support Zone (Bearish Risk) The price is hovering around the identified demand zone (blue box), but buyers are not showing strong defense yet. If this zone breaks, we could see a deeper correction toward $2,840 - $2,800, invalidating the bullish projection. The dotted red line suggesting an immediate bounce might be premature without a bullish confirmation candle or volume spike. 2. Trendline Breach (Bearish Confirmation) The ascending trendline (starting from February lows) has already been broken and retested. This typically signals a trend reversal or deeper pullback. If price remains below this trendline, the bullish continuation becomes less probable. 3. Possible Bear Flag Formation (Bearish Pattern) The recent sideways action (consolidation within the demand zone) could be forming a bear flag, which is a continuation pattern for a move down. A breakdown below $2,860 (flag bottom) would confirm this bearish pattern, targeting potentially $2,800 or lower. 4. Momentum Shift RSI/MACD (if checked) may show bearish divergence from recent highs or weakening momentum, suggesting buyers are losing control. Alternative Bearish Scenario (Disruption Path): If price breaks and closes below $2,860 - $2,840: Short-term target: $2,800 - $2,760. Invalidates bullish target of $3,000 for now
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by mrsamfx81
XAUUSD BUY NOW this week big movement gold strongly bullish soonThanks for the clarification. Based on the chart you provided and the bullish bias toward the resistance target of 2950, here’s a "disruption" or alternative analysis—a contrarian scenario that challenges the bullish view: Bearish Disruption Analysis: 1. False Breakout & Rejection Scenario: Current price hovering around 2910.795 shows a struggle to break higher. Price previously failed to sustain above the minor resistance zone near 2918–2920, showing rejection wicks. This may indicate buying exhaustion, and if no fresh momentum comes in, price could reverse. 2. Support Weakening: The 2906 support zone has already been tested multiple times. Each retest of this support weakens the buyers' defense. A break and close below 2906 would open doors to deeper pullbacks — potential targets: First target: 2895 (psychological and historical intraday support). Extended target: 2880–2885 zone. 3. Volume Divergence: Noticeable reduction in buying volume on recent attempts to move higher. Without increasing volume, it's hard for price to break out toward 2950. 4. Potential Bearish Formation: Formation of a lower high pattern, suggesting a potential trend reversal from bullish to bearish in this short-term timeframe (H1)
TVC:GOLDLong
by mrsamfx81
2
USDJPY STRONG FALLING OPPORTUNITY 1. 144.00 Support May Hold Strong The analysis assumes 144.00 will break, but this is a key psychological and historical support level. If buyers step in, USD/JPY could reverse back up instead of continuing downward. 2. Rebound Towards 150.00 Possible Instead of a lower low, USD/JPY could bounce off intermediate demand zones and attempt a retest of resistance at 150.00. US economic strength (inflation, interest rates) could support the dollar and invalidate the downtrend. 3. Lower Highs are Not Confirmed Yet If the price stays above 146.50, the trend could shift back bullish, disrupting the bearish projection. Lack of strong selling pressure near 147.00-146.00 could mean the market is undecided rather than fully bearish 4. Macroeconomic Factors Favor USD Strength If Bank of Japan (BoJ) remains dovish and the Fed keeps rates high, USD/JPY might resume its uptrend instead of falling
Long
by mrsamfx81
3
ETHUSD SURELY BULLISH 1. Support at 2130 May Fail The chart assumes a bounce from 2130 support, but if ETH breaks below this level, it could trigger further liquidations and push price toward 2000 or lower. Bearish divergence or weakening buy volume could signal a lack of strength. 2. Resistance at 2800 May Hold Strong The projection suggests ETH will reach 2800, but this could be a strong supply zone where sellers step in. If ETH struggles around 2400-2500, we might see a reversal instead of a breakout. 3. Lower High Formation If ETH fails to break above previous highs (~2265+), it could signal a lower high, leading to a downtrend continuation rather than a rally. Rejection near 2300-2400 might confirm a bearish structure. 4. Macroeconomic & Market Risks If Bitcoin corrects or macro factors (rate hikes, regulatory news, or stock market weakness) pressure crypto markets, ETH might struggle to sustain upside momentum
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by mrsamfx81
XAUUSD strong bullish 1. (Xauusd)Support at 2900 May Not Hold The chart suggests a bounce from the 2900 support area, but if market sentiment weakens, we could see a breakdown below 2900 instead of a recovery. If this happens, gold might dip further toward 2850 or even 2800 before regaining strength. 2. Trendline Breakdown is Possible There's an upward trendline acting as dynamic support, but multiple touches increase the chance of a breakdown rather than a continuation. A confirmed break below this trendline could lead to bearish momentum rather than a push higher. 3. Resistance May Be Stronger Than Expected The analysis suggests a move toward 2960-3000, but these levels could act as a strong resistance instead of a breakout zone. Failure to break 2960 might trigger another sell-off back toward 2900 or lower. 4. Macroeconomic Factors Could Shift Bias If the US Dollar strengthens or bond yields rise, gold could struggle to gain momentum, invalidating the bullish outlook
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by mrsamfx81
1
Btcusd analysis 1. Support May Hold – The chart suggests a drop to the support area (around $75K-$77K), but strong demand in that region could lead to a rebound instead of a further decline. 2. Higher Low Formation – If BTC stays above $80K and forms a higher low, the bearish breakdown may be invalidated, leading to another push toward resistance ($95K). 3. Liquidity Grab Above Resistance – The market might break above the resistance zone instead of rejecting it. A breakout beyond $95K could trigger a bullish rally toward $100K+. 4. Market Sentiment & Fundamentals – If BTC fundamentals remain strong (ETF inflows, institutional buying, positive macro factors), short-term technical patterns might be overridden by larger buying pressure
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by mrsamfx81
ETHUSD WEEKLY CHARTS (ETHUSD)Alternative (Bullish) Analysis 1. Potential Breakout Above 2835 Resistance The current analysis assumes Ethereum will reject from the 2835 resistance and drop back to 2146. However, given the strong upward momentum (+13.46%), ETH could break above 2835 instead of reversing. A daily close above 2835 could trigger a rally toward 3000+. 2. Support Holding at Higher Levels Instead of expecting a drop to 2146, ETH may form a higher low around 2400 – 2500, which would confirm bullish continuation. If it retests 2500 and holds, it could bounce back up toward the resistance and push higher. 3. Volume & Momentum Confirmation The sharp breakout suggests strong buying pressure. If volume remains high, ETH could invalidate the resistance level and start a new uptrend. 4. Market Sentiment & Macro Factors If Bitcoin remains bullish, Ethereum will likely follow suit, pushing above resistance levels. The broader crypto market’s strength could support a continuation rather than a rejection. Conclusion Instead of expecting a double-top rejection at 2835, traders should watch for a potential breakout. If ETH stabilizes above 2500, it could lead to a move toward 3000, rather than a drop to 2146
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by Fx_Oliviaa
1
Btcusd weekly chart (btcusd)Alternative (Bullish) Analysis 1. Potential Continuation Above Resistance (95,300) The current analysis assumes rejection at 95,300 and a drop toward 78,118. However, a strong breakout above 95,300 could trigger a rally toward 100,000 or higher. If Bitcoin consolidates above 95,300, it may act as a new support, rather than a rejection zone. 2. Volume Confirmation on the Breakout The price surged significantly (+9.09%), suggesting strong bullish momentum. Instead of expecting an immediate rejection, watch for high volume confirming a potential continuation upward. 3. Higher Low Formation Instead of a Drop The chart expects a fall back to 78,118, but the price may form a higher low around 85,000 – 88,000 before resuming the uptrend. A retracement to this range (not all the way down to 78,118) would still be healthy in a bull market. 4. Market Sentiment Shift The sharp upward movement suggests buying pressure rather than an exhaustion move. If 95,300 is tested again and breaks, it could lead to a parabolic move instead of a reversal
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Fx_Oliviaa
GBPJPY weekly analysis (Gbpjpy)Alternative (Bullish) Analysis 1. Breakout Above Resistance at 190.070 The chart suggests rejection from 190.070, but if price breaks and holds above this level, it could signal further upside momentum. Instead of a bearish move, price could consolidate above 190.165 and push toward 191.003 or higher. 2. Strong Accumulation in the Support Zone (187.800) The support area at 187.800 has already been tested multiple times, and each time, price has rebounded. This could indicate a strong demand zone, meaning buyers are stepping in aggressively. If buyers push price back to resistance and break through, a new bullish trend may emerge. 3. Liquidity Grab Below 188.000 The previous dip below 188.000 may have been a liquidity grab to stop out weak hands before a bullish reversal. If this assumption holds, price may now aim for higher highs rather than another rejection from resistance. 4. Market Structure Shift Instead of forming a lower high at resistance, a higher low formation could suggest an uptrend. If price finds support around 189.000 instead of dropping to 187.800, a bullish continuation pattern would be confirmed
Long
by Fx_Oliviaa
Xauusd weekly charts gold big fall soon opportunity (XAUUSD) Alternative (Bullish) Analysis 1. Support Strength at 2820 The chart suggests that price may drop to 2820, but this area has shown strong support historically Instead of further breakdown, a strong bounce from this level could lead to a bullish reversal. 2. Potential False Breakdown The resistance at 2864 is marked as a selling zone, but if price breaks above it, it could trigger stop-losses for short positions, fueling a rally. If price consolidates above 2864, it could invalidate the bearish projection. 3. Trend Line Reversal The chart shows a downtrend, but if price breaks above the descending trend line, it would signal a trend reversal rather than continuation. A bullish breakout above 2864 could target 2900+ levels. 4. Economic Events Impact The economic events marked (likely U.S. data releases) could trigger volatility. If these reports are weaker than expected, gold could rally as investors seek safe-haven assets. Conclusion While the original chart suggests a bearish move, there's a strong case for a bullish reversal if the support at 2820 holds and price breaches the 2864 resistance. Instead of shorting aggressively, traders should watch for confirmation signals before committing to a bearish or bullish bias
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Fx_Oliviaa
XAUUSD strong down again 1. Potential for Reversal The analysis assumes a clear bearish move toward the support area. However, price action may react differently to the resistance zone. If buyers step in, we could see a reversal rather than a continuation downward. A false breakdown could trap sellers and push the price back up to retest resistance instead. 2. Market Structure Weakness The chart suggests a Break of Structure (BOS) confirming a downtrend, but the momentum could weaken if volume decreases. The weak low labeled on the chart could act as a temporary liquidity grab rather than a strong bearish continuation. 3. Economic and Fundamental Factors Gold is sensitive to economic news, interest rate decisions, and geopolitical events. If a news event favors gold, this technical setup could be invalidated. USD strength or weakness could shift demand for gold, affecting this price projection. 4. Liquidity Considerations Support and resistance zones are often areas where liquidity is hunted. Market makers may manipulate price to take out stops before the actual move occurs
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Fx_Oliviaa
3
XAUUSD strong down opportunity soon 1. Trendline Validity The current trendline is drawn as a downward channel. However, are there enough touches to validate it as a strong trendline? Sometimes, trendlines can be subjective and might not hold. 2. Support & Resistance Strength The chart marks a "strong selling zone" at resistance, but does it have historical significance? If this level hasn’t been tested multiple times, it might not be as strong. The support area is expected to hold, but gold is volatile. Is there a fundamental reason supporting a bounce from there? 3. Alternative Scenarios What if gold breaks out of the downtrend instead of continuing lower? A breakout above resistance could invalidate the bearish expectation. Instead of a clean bounce at support, price could consolidate sideways or even break below. 4. Fundamental Factors Are there any upcoming economic events (such as FOMC meetings, CPI reports, or geopolitical tensions) that could disrupt this technical setup?
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Fx_Oliviaa
3
AUDUSD STRONG FALL SOON OPPORTUNITY 1. Breakout Above Resistance The analysis assumes a rejection at the resistance zone, leading to a downtrend. However, if bullish momentum builds, the price could break above resistance, invalidating the sell-off expectation. 2. Support Might Not Hold The marked support zone might be weak if there is strong bearish sentiment, leading to a potential breakdown rather than a reversal from that level. 3. Range-bound Market Instead of a clear breakout or breakdown, AUD/USD might stay within a sideways range, consolidating between support and resistance rather than making a decisive move. 4. Fundamental Factors Economic data releases, central bank policies, or geopolitical events could override this technical setup, causing unexpected price movements in either direction.
Long
by Fx_Oliviaa
2
Btcusd strong analysis opportunity 1. Breakout Possibility Above Resistance The analysis assumes a rejection at the resistance zone, but Bitcoin could break above it instead, leading to a bullish continuation rather than a reversal. 2. Stronger Support Holding The projected drop might not occur if the support zone proves stronger than expected, leading to a bounce instead of a decline. 3. Market Volatility & Fundamentals Bitcoin often moves based on macroeconomic factors, news, or liquidity shifts. A sudden surge in demand could invalidate this technical setup. 4. Inverse Head & Shoulders Formation If price action forms a higher low, it could indicate accumulation rather than a sell-off, meaning a push toward new highs instead of a decline
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Fx_Oliviaa