Btc confirm analysis read the caption Btc The technical picture now is more bearish as the decline from the 20-month high reached two weeks ago has continued, with the price trading above the big round number at $40,000 and breaking above some resistance levels which have now likely flipped to become resistance.
Despite this bearishness, over the past couple of days the price has firmed up and established a couple of higher lows and support levels. However, the price chart below shows that the price is well within a bearish price channel, although the lack of symmetry in the channel suggests that it may not be very reliable. Nevertheless, there is a confluence of the upper trend line of this channel with a zone of resistance stretching from $40,423 to $40,667. This looks likely to be a great place to enter a short trade if we get a bearish reversal rejecting that area.
Trade-ideas
Eurusd expected move read the caption Eurusd relatively volatile after the latest flash manufacturing and services PMI numbers from the US and Europe. It initially jumped to a high of 1.08980 and then pulled back as traders wait for the upcoming ECB decision and US economic data.
The latest numbers by S&P Global showed that European manufacturing sector continued to contract in January as companies complained about inflation and supply chain issues. In Europe, the manufacturing PMI rose to 46.5, better than the expected 44.7. Despite the improvement, it remained below 51, meaning that the contraction phase continued.
Gbpusd confirm buy pattern read the caption Gbpusd pulled back slightly after the flash UK and US manufacturing and services PMI numbers. The pair retreated to a low of 1.2729, a few points below Wednesday's high of 1.2777.
S&P Global published strong economic numbers from the United States and the UK, signaling that the two countries started the year well.
In the UK, the manufacturing PMI rose from 46.3 in December to 47.2 in January, higher than the median estimate of 46.7. Similarly, the services PMI jumped from 53.5 to 53.7 in January while the composite PMI rose to 52.4. These numbers came a few days after the Office of National Statistics released higher inflation but weak retail sales data.
Usoil follow the trendline read the caption It has been an unpleasant month for oil traders. Crude oil has risen $3 this month but it's been a rough road getting there with repeated whipsaws intraday and extreme choppiness in trading.
Headlines about the Red Sea have been faded over and over again despite bullish implications and fears of an OPEC breakdown remain high.
However when you back it out, the chart starts to look promising. A series of higher lows began on December 14 and oil is now trading at a five-week high. If $76.16 breaks, it will be an six-week high.
Eth bouncing area read the caption U.Today - Ethereum finds itself shaky on the edge of a precarious position. The recent price chart indicates a concerning situation: the 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), a key indicator of uptrend momentum, is under threat. If this level fails to hold, Ethereum could see its value dump to the $2,447 mark, a scenario that may well trigger a more pronounced decline.
s&p fall then bounce read the caption s&pTurning to technical analysis, the S&P 500 established a fresh record in late December, only to retrench and lose its grip on the gains in the days that followed. Last week, the equity index staged a moderate rebound and tried to rally back to its recent highs but was quickly slammed unexpected lower, it's more lower expected then rise forging in the process what appears to be a double top, a bearish technical configuration.
Gold struggle to selling read the caption Gold has bullish it's a good opportunity as it has been widely used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Currently, apart from its shine and usage for jewelry, the precious metal is widely seen as a safe-haven asset, meaning that it is considered a good investment during turbulent times. Gold is also widely seen as a hedge against inflation and against depreciating currencies as it doesn’t rely on any specific issuer or government.
Dow Jones ready to fly read the caption US stocks climbed broadly higher on Monday, etching in fresh all-time highs as last week’s late break into record prices carried over into the new trading week, with tech stocks leading the way higher and sending the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) over the $38,500.00 valuation for the first time ever.
Dow Jones ready to bullish trend The Standard & Poor’s (S&P) 500 major equity index continues its march towards $5,000.00, ending Monday at $4,800.43 after hitting a new record high of $4,880.05 as investors continue to pile into stock bets.
Crude oil target read the caption Crude oil WTI) expensive prices hit a one-month high of $75.42 on Monday after it was reported that Ukraine attacked a Russian fuel terminal drones, according to reporting by the BBC and the Journal.
Global energy markets continue to get unnerved by the increasing potential for supply constraints as a successful Ukraine attack on Russian oil infrastructure highlights how easy it is to topple wide-reaching energy supply chains.
EURUSD follow the bearish trend read the caption EURUSD 1 hour
On the 1 hour chart, we can see more closely the recent price action at the support zone and we can see that in the APAC session the price don't broke through the trendline, which might be a good omen for the sellers. In fact, if the price were to break further through the support, then the breakout would be confirmed, and the seller will likely pile in more aggressively to extend the rally into the 1.10 level. On the other hand, if the price were to erase the entire rally and break below the counter-trendline, then a fakeout would be confirmed and that’s generally a reversal pattern.
EURUSD GOING LOWER MORE THAN EXPECTED READ THE CAPTION Beyond Thursday's European Central Bank (ECB) Eurusd lower meeting, Tuesday sees the latest ECB bank lending survey and Wednesday sees the flash PMIs for January. These two data sets weighed quite heavily on the Euro last autumn/winter and will be closely watched ahead of the ECB policy meeting.
hands at around 1.0880 ahead of united states us opening the peaked at 1.0906 while it net a bottom at 1.0876
USDCAD Potential Selling Opportunity According to my FundamentalSell Description:
Pair: USDCAD
SL: 20 - 30 pips
TP: 80-100 pips
We have identified a potential selling opportunity in pair. The price has shown signs of bearish momentum and is currently trading below key resistance levels.
Our entry point for this trade is is Shown in Picture, with a stop loss (SL) set at . This provides a risk-reward ratio of approximately 1:3,4 ensuring a favorable risk management strategy.
Our take profit (TP) target is set at mentioned Area on the chart, aiming for a potential gain of 80 to 100 pips. This level aligns with previous support and offers a high probability of price reversal or further downward movement.Please note that trading involves risks, and it is essential to manage your positions carefully. Always adjust your position size according to your risk tolerance and ensure you have a clear understanding of the market conditions before entering any trades.
How to avoid the loss of funds in the transaction?Regardless of experience, every trader needs a plan. The key factors that can help the transaction become safer, they are the necessary strategic minimum requirements to ensure stable income and avoid unpredictable losses.
Why Do Traders Fail?
Let's take a look at the top reasons why traders lose money:
Trading is a complex process. Trading strategies require discipline and precision. Even with the best ideas, some traders can forget to act systematically.
Traders can be reckless. They give up doing market analysis, don't bother with stop loss orders, and forget about the rules of risk management. These all lead to mistakes and bad deals.
So how to avoid the loss of funds in the transaction?
1 Don't build positions with huge volume
If you are unsure of market movements, focus on at most one or two trades in a session. In the case of a small order volume, it is more controllable to track and find out various opportunities.
Please note that some factors, such as slippage (the difference between the expected price of the order and the actual execution price of the order), are unsolvable and cannot be considered in advance before the transaction is opened).
2Using Stop Loss and Take Profit
To reduce the risk of losing your money, you can use a stop loss order. They protect you from losing more money than you can afford. As for take profit, the principle is similar -- it will automatically close the order when the price target is reached, thereby locking in the profit. Therefore, taking profit will help you get out of the market immediately when the market price is right, so as to maximize your profits.
3Use reasonable leverage
By setting a wider and reasonable stop loss, smaller leverage will allow each trade to have more breathing room, thereby avoiding higher capital losses. High leverage will blow up your trading account faster when the market trend goes against your expectations, because a larger lot size will make you face higher losses.
4. Pay attention to important news
The market can change its trend at any time due to news or even rumors. Staying informed is key. All traders need to follow up all kinds of news throughout the trading hours. Let's say you realize that a news release will affect the direction of your position, but you're not sure which direction it will be. In such cases, you should provide maximum protection for the position you open (set stop loss, take profit, and in extreme cases, close the position before the release of the expected news).
5 Don’t Trade During Low Liquidity Hours
You need to be aware that illiquid trading instruments tend to have wider bid-ask spreads, higher volatility and, thus, higher risk for the trader. Therefore, trading in a cycle with little liquidity will face the possibility of high capital losses.
6 View multiple metrics
It is best to make your long/short decision based on several technical indicators. Indicators and other tools in technical analysis need to corroborate each other. Combine two or three different types of indicators. Your trading strategy can also rely on candlestick and trend chart patterns, as well as the use of golden section tools. In this way, the system will provide you with signals with a high probability of success. If you use such a strategy, combined with a stop loss and the correct risk/reward ratio, then you can avoid losing money in your trades.
7 Control Your Emotions
The most successful trading comes from confidence and calm. Your fear of losing money, or your desire to make money with your trading instruments in the precarious state of big news, can get in the way. Make sure you keep your emotions in check and use tools like stop loss and take profit orders to make objective trading decisions.
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Will gold continue to rise?
Gold skyrocketed to around 1870 after the release of the non-farm payrolls report, and this is the question that most investors are concerned about: will it continue to rise?
I believe it will, and it may even reach around 1890-1900.
Why do I say this? Let's analyze it from the fundamental and technical perspectives.
As we have discussed in previous articles, the non-farm payrolls report is likely to be bullish for gold and drive up the price, and this judgment has now been confirmed, so the fundamentals are in line with expectations.
From a technical perspective: Gold experienced a V-shaped reversal this week after hitting a low, with the weekly chart closing out and the price now turning from weak to strong. The daily chart shows a continuous increase in positive days, with increasing trading volume and the price forming a bullish trend. The 4-hour chart has formed a double-bottom support rebound, and the price continues to rise with a positive momentum. The Bollinger Bands are opening upwards, the MACD is showing a bullish crossover, and the red momentum bars are continuously rising, indicating that the current price is in a strong bullish trend. Therefore, the focus should continue to be on long positions.
However, the current decline of the US dollar is about to form a triple bottom support, and gold may experience a correction. This is not bad news, because the recent rebound of gold has been too fast. If it can adjust and then gather momentum for an upward surge, it would be a healthier and more optimistic trend. The overall upward trend remains unchanged, and I believe that breaking through 1900 is not far off.
Therefore, try to buy on dips. Specific trading space charts have already been drawn, and attention should be paid to support near 1845-1855 in the short term. The first resistance above is around 1880-1890.
More detailed strategies will be provided according to market fluctuations. Follow the homepage ↓ to get real-time information.
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What is the golden rule of taking profits?
For trading stocks, futures, or forex, taking profits is also part of the trading process. For investors, taking profits and adhering to it during a trade is effective. When to take profits? Where is the best position for stop loss and take profit? Which strategy is more profitable? Taking profits and stop loss is one of the most important aspects of trading. If not handled properly, it could lead to losses. In previous articles, we have discussed the rule of stop loss. This chapter will discuss the rule of taking profits.
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Methods of taking profits
Taking profits means closing the position and securing profits when the trading goal is achieved to prevent market reversal. Taking profits can be divided into static and dynamic methods.
Static taking profits means setting a target for taking profits and closing the position when the target is reached. For example, if the profit expectation is 100 points and the price has risen 100 points, the position is closed to take profits. The target for taking profits is fixed and static.
Dynamic taking profits means the profit target is dynamic and is held until the price meets a dynamic standard before closing the position. For example, when holding a long position and floating profits, close the position when the market price breaks the bearish level. Traders cannot know in advance where the bearish level will appear and need to monitor the market dynamics.
Next, we will discuss five methods of taking profits.
Method 1: Fixed point profit taking
This is the simplest method of static taking profits. After entering the position, set a fixed profit space. This profit-taking method is more suitable for intraday and short-term trading. For example, after entering an intraday trading position, set a fixed profit-taking point of 50 points.
Intraday trading has a relatively obvious characteristic of fluctuating trends, and market prices tend to rebound and even fluctuate repeatedly. The profits from holding positions during market rebound may be given back, so setting a fixed profit-taking point can be more advantageous during trading.
In practical trading, the number of fixed stop-loss points should be set according to the volatility of different products. For products with high volatility, set a larger number of fixed stop-loss points, and for products with low volatility, set a smaller number of fixed stop-loss points.
Please note that this method should not be underestimated simply because it is simple. Whether this method is useful or not depends on the specific usage environment.
Method 2: Fixed profit and loss ratio take profit. This is a commonly used static take profit method in medium and short-term trading. First, let's talk about the profit and loss ratio. The ratio of the profit space of an order to the stop loss space is the profit and loss ratio. For example, if the profit is 100 points and the stop loss is 50 points, the profit and loss ratio is 2:1. Fixed profit and loss ratio means that the take profit is set according to a fixed ratio based on the stop loss space. For example, if the stop loss of an order is 100 points, setting the take profit at 100 points results in a profit and loss ratio of 1:1. Setting the take profit at 150 points results in a profit and loss ratio of 1.5:1. Setting the take profit at 200 points results in a profit and loss ratio of 2:1, and so on. The fixed profit and loss ratio method is easy to operate and highly executable. Moreover, when the market fluctuates and the stop loss space expands, the take profit space will also expand accordingly, making it very flexible.
Method 3: Take profit combined with technical indicators. This is also a static take profit method. After entering an order, the take profit is set based on technical indicators. For example, setting the take profit at the level of previous highs and lows, or at the support and resistance levels of the Bollinger Bands or important moving averages, is feasible. In addition, in practical trading, it is common to enter and exit at small time frames while looking at the support and resistance levels of larger time frames. For example, entering at the 5-minute level and setting the take profit at the support and resistance level of the 1-hour chart, or entering at the hourly level and setting the take profit at the Bollinger upper and lower bands of the daily chart, is essentially a logic of "going small and looking big".
Method 4: Take profit following the trend. This is a dynamic take profit mode and a trend-based take profit strategy. After entering an order, the position is held following the trend indicator, and the position is held until a reversal signal is issued, at which point the take profit is closed. Tracking with trend lines, channel lines, and turning points in the market are all common practices in daily trading.
Method 5: Combination of multiple methods, batch-wise profit taking.
The above four methods are the most mainstream and commonly used methods, but each method has its pros and cons.
For example, the fixed profit and loss ratio method cannot hold onto trend profits, and the trend tracking method cannot make profits in volatile markets. Therefore, some clever traders combine these methods and take profits in batches.
For example, after the order is entered, when the profit and loss ratio reaches 1:1, part of the position is closed, and the remaining position is exited using the trend tracking method to achieve greater profits.
In practical trading, traders can combine the above profit-taking methods in different ways, such as combining the support and resistance levels of the previous high with the fixed profit and loss ratio, or combining the support and resistance levels of the previous high with the trend tracking method.
After discussing these five profit-taking methods, it is only providing traders with an idea, and the specific results of practical trading must be reviewed and analyzed in combination with their own trading systems.
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