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Gold Price Analysis August 27☘️Fundamental Analysis Gold prices traded in negative territory amid a modest recovery in the US dollar (USD) on Tuesday. However, signals from US Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell at Jackson Hole that the central bank will begin cutting interest rates are likely to support the precious metal. Lower interest rates are generally beneficial for gold as they reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-interest-bearing assets. Moreover, rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East could further boost gold, a traditional safe-haven asset. The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) stopped buying gold in July, marking the third straight month of no purchases for its reserves. Traders will be watching August data for fresh impetus. Concerns about a slowing economy and demand for the precious metal in China could drag down gold prices as China is the world’s largest producer and consumer of gold. August Consumer Confidence Index and Price Index ☘️Technical Analysis: Gold is trading around the 2516 resistance zone and heading towards today's most important hook around 2525. When the price closes above 2516 when the European session ends, gold will head towards 2525 and make a new high when the US session begins. If gold is pushed lower than the 2509 zone when the European session begins, the price will soon be pushed to 2502 and this is a notable level before finding today's BUY zone around 2495. SELL zone 2525 - 25277 stoploss 2530 SELL price zone 2545 - 2547 stoploss 2551 BUY price zone 2496 - 2494 stoploss 2490 BUY price zone 2486- 2484 stoploss 2480
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
GBPUSD analysis week 35Fundamental Analysis GBP/USD surged in North American trading after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell gave the green light to interest rate cuts, as he believes inflation is approaching the central bank's 2% target. The pair traded above 1.3200, at a fresh two-year high, up more than 1%. Bets on a 50bps rate cut opening in September have increased after Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, in his speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Conference on Friday, publicly admitted that it was finally time for the US central bank to start pushing down its benchmark interest rate. Next week, GBPUSD traders will want to keep an eye on the upcoming UK bank holiday on Monday. For the rest of the week, UK economic data releases remain limited, although the currency market will pay special attention to the upcoming US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth and Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation figures due later next week. Technical Analysis: GBPUSD formed a strong uptrend at a two-year high following the latest Fed data. On the D1 timeframe, the EMA 34 is sloping up strongly against the EMA 89, suggesting that the market structure is tilted towards the upside with the nearest trading range around 1.328-1.314. With such a strong rally, the highest the pair can reach next week is around the resistance zone of 1.341. It is quite difficult to find a good SELL point when the market has not reacted to the price at the moment. Any pullback at this point is seen as a good time to buy rather than a trend reversal. The best BUY level is around 1.300 strong resistance zone which GBPUSD has broken through and now forms strong support zone when the pair price returns. Resistance: 1.328-1.342 Support: 1.314-1.300 Trading signals BUY GBPUSD zone 1.300-1.298 Stoploss 1.296 SELL GBPUSD zone 1.342-1.344 Stoploss 1.346
by TVS-Trader
Gold trading strategy August 22☘️Fundamental Analysis: Gold prices attracted some sellers during the Asian session on Thursday and slid closer to the psychological $2,500 mark, although they held above the overnight low. The US dollar (USD) gained some positive momentum and now appears to have broken a four-day losing streak, hitting a fresh yearly low on Wednesday. This, coupled with the underlying bullish sentiment across global financial markets, turned out to be a major factor undermining the safe-haven precious metal. That said, dovish expectations from the Federal Reserve (Fed) could limit the USD’s recovery and act as a bullish driver for Gold. Data released on Wednesday showed that US job growth over the year through March was weaker than initially estimated. Moreover, the minutes of the July FOMC meeting showed that some officials are leaning towards an immediate rate cut. This reaffirms bets for the imminent start of the Fed easing cycle in September, which would benefit the non-yielding yellow metal. ☘️Technical Analysis: Gold is trading in a range of 2495-2518. The consolidation zone that has been maintained throughout this week needs to be stronger for gold to break out of the price range. On the upside, gold will face immediate resistance around 2513 before reaching the important breakout zone of 2518. The all-time resistance around 2531 will be the last resistance before making a new ATH and heading towards higher hooks. If gold fails to break the resistance of 2513 and breaks the lower band of 2395, the important support zone around 2385 will be the key place to watch. The lowest level at the sell plan is 2376. Resistance: 2519 - 2527 - 2531 - 2540 - 2552 Support: 2500 - 2495 - 2488 - 2475 - 2470 SELL scalp price zone 2518 - 2520 stoploss 2523 SELL price zone 2550 - 2552 stoploss 2556 BUY price zone 2477 - 2375 stoploss 2471 BUY scalp price zone 2488 - 2386 stoploss 2482
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Gold (20/8) sets new ATH around 2520Fundamental Analysis Gold prices extended their bullish momentum with a new high just set around 2520. Traders now appear reluctant and want to wait for further signals on the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest rate cut roadmap before positioning for the next step of a directional move. Therefore, the focus will remain on the release of the July FOMC meeting minutes on Wednesday and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium on Friday. The risk of further escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the protracted war between Russia and Ukraine will continue to support XAU/USD. This, in turn, warrants some caution for bearish traders. Technical Analysis From a technical perspective, the price action within the range has broken out of the bullish consolidation phase, After breaking out around the $2,509-2,510 area to set a new ATH, gold is now stabilizing around 2,520. Our SELL entries are focused on the round port areas and the best Fibonacci resistance around 2,533 On the other hand, the horizontal resistance of $2,472-2,470 now looks to protect the immediate downside. Any further declines could attract new buyers and remain limited to the $2,448-2,446 area. Resistance 2533 2540 Support: 2494 - 2488 - 2481 - 2475 SELL price zone 2533 - 2535 stoploss 2539 BUY price zone 2477 - 2375 stoploss 2471
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
8.18.2024 Weekly Pre-Market Analysis S&PThis is my Weekly Pre-Market Analysis on the S&P> Right now we are going to wait for market structure to form. We saw lower highs and higher lows form on Friday after the last bullish move up. So we do not have a clear direction as to which way if may head. We have a plan for a SHORT position as well as a plan for a LONG position. We just need to watch the LOWS & HIGHS form on the 15 minute chart, before we even think of getting into a trade.
CME_MINI:MES1!
by MoneyDuck_Butch
Gold drops below $2,50 after CPIA break below $2,455 on a closing basis would help confirm the start of a fresh down leg within the range, thereby extending the sideways trend. If so, the price will probably move down to $2,400 or perhaps the range floor in the $2,390s. Due to the fact the range is tapering slightly, it might also be a triangle pattern in the final stages of development. A decisive break above the range ceiling, however, would indicate the development of a more bullish trend. Such a breakout would probably follow through higher to at least $2,550, calculated by taking the 0.618 Fibonacci ratio of the range’s height and extrapolating it higher. A decisive break would be one characterized by a long green candle that pierced clearly through the level and closed near its high, or three green candles in a row that breached the level.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
GBP/AUD Short, NZD/JPY Short, USD/CAD Short and EUR/CAD ShortGBP/AUD Short Minimum entry requirements: • If area of value tapped into, risk entry after a 1 hour rejection from it. NZD/JPY Short Minimum entry requirements: • Tap into area of value. • 1H impulse down below area of value. • If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it. USD/CAD Short Minimum entry requirements: • Tap into area of value. • 1H impulse down below area of value. • If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it. EUR/CAD Short Minimum entry requirements: • Tap into area of value. • 1H impulse down below area of value. • If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
Short
by StewySongs