USDJPY - Bullish pattern towards descending trendlineThe USD/JPY pair appears to be forming a potential reversal pattern after reaching a low around 146.50 in early March. Having bounced from this support level, the price is now hovering near 148.60 with indications of a larger corrective move ahead. Technical analysis suggests we are expecting a bigger correction in this area, with the price likely to test higher levels before encountering significant resistance. The initial price target will be the upper boundary of the blue box area (approximately 150.50-151.00), with potential to go toward the descending trendline that has been capping price action since January.
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Gold Price Analysis March 14⭐️Fundamental analysis
Optimistic comments from the White House and Canada, along with news that enough Democrats have voted to avoid a US government shutdown, have boosted investor sentiment. However, gold's gains were capped by a stronger US dollar, which was bought for the third consecutive session.
However, expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates multiple times this year could limit the strong recovery of the US dollar. In addition, concerns about former President Trump's tough trade policies and their impact on the global economy continue to support gold prices. This suggests that any correction in gold could be a buying opportunity, helping the precious metal maintain its upward trend for the second consecutive week.
⭐️Technical analysis
any pullback today is considered a reasonable buy 2970 is the area where the European session Gold can find deeper and 2953 are the two BUY zones today. The sell zone is still noticeable around the 3000 round resistance and the 3015 border is considered resistance today. When gold has ATH, the FOMO is very high, so this is a difficult time to trade. Pay attention to volume and good capital management.
Gold Price Analysis March 13⭐️Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices maintained a positive trend in early European trading on Thursday and remained near the all-time high reached on February 24. The chaotic implementation of US President Donald Trump's trade tariffs and their impact on the global economy continued to drive safe-haven flows into bullion for the third consecutive day.
Meanwhile, fears of a US recession, coupled with signs of a cooling labour market and falling inflation, will allow the Federal Reserve (Fed) to resume its rate-cutting cycle sooner than expected. This, in turn, kept the US dollar (USD) near its lowest level since October 16 touched on Friday and turned out to be another factor supporting non-yielding gold prices.
⭐️Technical Analysis
Gold is correcting to the immediate support zone of 2930 if the support zone is broken 2922 is the next support point before gold price moves to 2910. The resistance zone of 2950 is considered as a barrier before reaching ATH and the daily sell plan is noticed around 2970
ES futures trade setup 13/03/'25Hello,
In today's trade analysis, I will review potential setups for this trading day. Since the overall trend is bearish, I favor short positions over long positions.
I have identified two important zones on the 4H timeframe that align well with the 1H timeframe.
4H supply zone: 5,643 - 5,630
4H demand zone: 5,577 - 5,558
We've seen both false breakouts and breakdowns in recent days, indicating choppy market conditions.
My plan is to either go short in the upper 4H supply zone or short a breakdown of the 4H demand zone. For the latter, I'll wait for the candle to close below the zone and set my entry on a retest.
EUROUSD 4H LONG (ALL Targets DONE)This position worked perfectly.
Now it is important to wait for the correction structure, as it was indicated in the previous update post:
Considering the current formations on the 1D TF, the probability of price growth to the current maximum increases multiple times. Locally, I expect to see a price correction (a rollback next week) and preferably with a depiction of a bullish imbalance. After which, you can work long for a whole month until 1.12758
EURUSD - Rally overextended? The EUR/USD pair appears to be approaching a significant correction phase after its recent rally to the 1.09 level. As shown on the chart, we're expecting a pullback from current levels, with two key support zones (marked in blue) serving as potential targets for this retracement. The upper blue zone around 1.0650-1.0680 represents the first support area where buyers might step in, while the lower blue zone near 1.0550-1.0580 provides a secondary support level should the correction deepen. These zones represent previous price action areas of significance where demand could emerge. The downward arrows illustrate the expected path of this correction, suggesting a measured move lower before potentially finding stability.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold Price Analysis March 12⭐️Fundamental analysis
Gold prices are fluctuating in a narrow range due to cautious sentiment before the US inflation data is released. The USD has recovered thanks to investors selling positions after the recent decline.
If inflation is weaker than expected, the Fed may cut interest rates, weakening the USD and pushing gold prices up. Conversely, if inflation is higher than expected, the Fed may keep interest rates high, putting downward pressure on gold prices.
In addition, US-Canada trade tensions and US-Russia peace talks on Ukraine also affect the market, so the impact of inflation data on gold prices may not last long.
⭐️ Technical analysis
Gold is sideways in the Asian session with a small range from 2912-2920. Waiting for signs of breaking out of this range. When the price breaks 2912 to 2908, the US session's Buyer zone is very noticeable. By the end of the US session, the price was still trading above 2908, proving that the price wanted to increase and break 2920 to reach 2929 and 2943. Note that the support zone of 2880 will still be the boundary that gold will find difficult to break today.
BTC/USDT SELL/SHORTbitcoin can move down
In this analysis, we are observing the potential repetition of market history by comparing the current Bitcoin price action to the previous bearish cycle. By utilizing Fibonacci retracement levels, historical patterns, , we can formulate a hypothesis that the market might follow a similar trajectory if bearish sentiment prevails.
CHECK BTCUSD ANALYSIS SIGNAL UPDATE > GO AND READ THE CAPTAINThis chart shows a Bitcoin (BTC/USD) trade setup on a 2-hour timeframe from BITSTAMP
Key points:
Current price: 82,647 USD
Stop loss: 83,500 USD (marked in red above the entry zone)
Take profit levels:
Take Profit 1: 82,000 USD
Take Profit 2: 81,000 USD
Last target: 80,500 USD
TECHNIAL ANALYSIS SATUP
FALLOW RISK MANAGEMENT ✅
Gold price analysis March 11⭐️Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices are struggling to capitalize on a modest intraday rebound from a one-week low and remain below $2,900 in Asian trading on Tuesday. Uncertainty surrounding US President Donald Trump’s trade policies and their impact on the global economy continues to weigh on investor sentiment. This, in turn, has supported the safe-haven bullion, attracting some intraday dip buyers near the $2,880 region.
Furthermore, the prevailing US Dollar (USD) selling bias, fueled by speculations that a tariff-driven slowdown in US growth could force the Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut interest rates multiple times this year, further underpins the non-yielding gold price.
⭐️Technical Analysis
Gold price is approaching the resistance level of session 2909 when breaking this zone waiting for the SELL zone in the European session at 2915-2918, the SELL margin is relatively wide. Support 2880 is still an important support level that gold needs more momentum to break this zone.
Heikin Ashi Trade IdeaCOINBASE:BTCUSD
In this video, I’ll be sharing my analysis of BTCUSD, using my unique Heikin Ashi strategy. I’ll walk you through the reasoning behind my trade setup and highlight key areas where I’m anticipating potential opportunities.
I’m always happy to receive any feedback.
Like, share and comment! ❤️
Thank you for watching my videos! 🙏
CHECK BTCUSD ANALYSIS SIGNAL UPDATE > GO AND READ THE CAPTAINThis chart shows a Bitcoin (BTC/USD) trading setup on a 2-hour timeframe, with clear targets and a stop-loss strategy.
Entry Point: Around 80,200.
Take Profit Levels:
Take Profit 1: Around 80,500.
Take Profit 2: Around 81,000.
Last Target: Around 81,900.
Stop Loss: Set at 79,400.
Btcusd bullish mode Bearish Disruption to This Bullish Outlook
1. Lower High & Breakdown Structure (Bearish Bias)
The chart shows a clear lower high formation, indicating the market is in a downtrend cycle.
Price has already broken previous support and is retesting lower levels, which may act as resistance now, making the bullish path less likely without significant momentum.
2. Weak Rejection from Demand Zone (Bearish Warning)
The first bounce from the demand zone (around $78,000) is weak and lacks follow-through buying pressure.
This could mean buyers are not committed, increasing risk of demand zone failure and further drop toward $74,000-$72,000 levels.
3. Volume Analysis (Lack of Buyers)
Notice how the volume on the latest bounce is weak, showing no significant accumulation. For a strong rally to $90k+, we'd expect climactic buying volume—which is absent here.
Weak volume near critical zones often precedes false breakouts or deeper dives.
4. Possible Bear Flag or Continuation Pattern
Current consolidation between $78k-$80k may form a bearish continuation pattern (bear flag).
A break below $78k could trigger a sell-off targeting $75,000-$72,000.
5. Macro-Level Resistance Above
Even if BTC pushes up temporarily to the first supply zone around $83,000, heavy resistance and profit-taking likely happen there.
Without macro bullish news, sustained push to $90k+ is questionable in this current technical context.
Alternative Bearish Scenario Path (Disruption Path):
Break below $78,000 confirms sellers in control.
Targets:
First Target: $75,000
Second Target: $72,000-$70,000 (psychological support & previous demand area
XAUUSD long term 1. Weakness at Support Zone (Bearish Risk)
The price is hovering around the identified demand zone (blue box), but buyers are not showing strong defense yet. If this zone breaks, we could see a deeper correction toward $2,840 - $2,800, invalidating the bullish projection.
The dotted red line suggesting an immediate bounce might be premature without a bullish confirmation candle or volume spike.
2. Trendline Breach (Bearish Confirmation)
The ascending trendline (starting from February lows) has already been broken and retested. This typically signals a trend reversal or deeper pullback.
If price remains below this trendline, the bullish continuation becomes less probable.
3. Possible Bear Flag Formation (Bearish Pattern)
The recent sideways action (consolidation within the demand zone) could be forming a bear flag, which is a continuation pattern for a move down.
A breakdown below $2,860 (flag bottom) would confirm this bearish pattern, targeting potentially $2,800 or lower.
4. Momentum Shift
RSI/MACD (if checked) may show bearish divergence from recent highs or weakening momentum, suggesting buyers are losing control.
Alternative Bearish Scenario (Disruption Path):
If price breaks and closes below $2,860 - $2,840:
Short-term target: $2,800 - $2,760.
Invalidates bullish target of $3,000 for now
BTCUSD MORE BUY BREAKING NEWS BTC ALL TIME HIGH 100K SOON1. Overly Aggressive Upside Projection
The projection to 97,450 implies a nearly 19% move up from the current level (81,693) without clear intermediate confirmations. This may overlook key lower resistance areas (such as the previous support at ~86,000–88,000) that could act as barriers before a move to 97,000. A step-by-step approach would be more reasonable.
2. Neglecting Bearish Continuation Risk
The analysis focuses heavily on bullish recovery and seems to ignore the ongoing bearish trend in the last several days. If BTC fails to hold the 80,133 "bullish support area", there could be continuation to the downside toward 78,000 or even 75,000 based on prior breakdown levels. No contingency is shown in case the support fails.
3. Volume Mismatch
Notice the recent volume spikes are seen on down candles, suggesting strong selling interest. There's no confirmation of buying volume accumulation to support such an aggressive reversal. Ignoring this discrepancy can lead to a false sense of bullish momentum.
4. Broad Market Context Missing
The chart does not seem to factor in broader macroeconomic or crypto-specific news. Given the U.S. economy's impact (as suggested by the USD sign and U.S. flag symbols), interest rate decisions, CPI data, or regulatory news can disrupt any bullish narrative.
5. Overconfidence in Single Zone
The "Support bullish area 80.133" is treated as a final reversal point. In reality, markets often fake out below such key zones before reversing (a "stop hunt"). A more realistic analysis would outline alternative supports below 80k and conservative resistance targets.
Alternative Bearish Scenario (Counter Analysis)
1. Break below 80,133 triggers continuation toward 78,000 and 75,000.
2. Any bounce toward 84,000 or 86,000 could be rejected if volume does not support it.
3. Resistance between 86,000 and 88,000 should be observed for weakness if reached.
4. Lower highs and lower lows forming suggest continuation down unless broken
GBPUSD BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY ACTIVE Disruptions on the Current Bullish Analysis:
1. Possible Bull Trap at Current Supply Zone:
Price is hovering around a supply zone (highlighted red dashed box). If buyers fail to push beyond this zone convincingly, a sharp rejection could follow.
This area could serve as a distribution zone, leading to a fake breakout and reversal.
2. Overbought Conditions (Momentum Exhaustion):
Given the sharp rally towards 1.29347, momentum indicators (e.g., RSI, Stochastic) are likely overbought. This suggests limited upside potential before a pullback.
A retracement to 1.28000-1.27500 (major horizontal demand) could be in play before moving higher.
3. Low Volume on Breakout Attempt:
If the recent breakout attempt above 1.29000 happened on declining volume, this weakens the bullish outlook and hints at lack of strong buyer commitment.
Volume confirmation is critical for sustaining breakouts; otherwise, sellers may take control soon.
4. Reversal Pattern Formation Possibility:
The sharp upward move could complete a potential double top formation near 1.30436 if price rejects around 1.29500–1.30000.
XAUUSD BUY NOW this week big movement gold strongly bullish soonThanks for the clarification. Based on the chart you provided and the bullish bias toward the resistance target of 2950, here’s a "disruption" or alternative analysis—a contrarian scenario that challenges the bullish view:
Bearish Disruption Analysis:
1. False Breakout & Rejection Scenario:
Current price hovering around 2910.795 shows a struggle to break higher.
Price previously failed to sustain above the minor resistance zone near 2918–2920, showing rejection wicks.
This may indicate buying exhaustion, and if no fresh momentum comes in, price could reverse.
2. Support Weakening:
The 2906 support zone has already been tested multiple times.
Each retest of this support weakens the buyers' defense.
A break and close below 2906 would open doors to deeper pullbacks — potential targets:
First target: 2895 (psychological and historical intraday support).
Extended target: 2880–2885 zone.
3. Volume Divergence:
Noticeable reduction in buying volume on recent attempts to move higher.
Without increasing volume, it's hard for price to break out toward 2950.
4. Potential Bearish Formation:
Formation of a lower high pattern, suggesting a potential trend reversal from bullish to bearish in this short-term timeframe (H1)
WTI - High Probability of Continued Downtrend US Light Crude's 4-hour chart suggests a high probability that price will continue with the dominant downtrend and eventually break below recent lows. Currently trading around $67.17, crude oil has been in a persistent decline since late February, forming a series of lower highs and lower lows. The chart's projected path indicates a potential corrective bounce within the blue box area (approximately $68.50-$69.50), characterized by zigzag movements that would likely form a complex correction before resuming the bearish trend. This anticipated bearish continuation targets the horizontal red support line at around $65.77, with potential for moves below this level as indicated by the downward arrow. Recent failed attempts to sustain rallies and the steep decline from the $74.00 area reinforce the bearish outlook, suggesting that any upward movements should be viewed as selling opportunities within the larger downtrend.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.