A Practical Framework for Overcoming Fear in Trading“Fear is not real. The only place that fear can exist is in our thoughts of the future. It is a product of our imagination, causing us to fear things that do not at present and may not ever exist. Do not misunderstand me, danger is very real, but fear is a choice.” - Will Smith, After Earth
Although I firmly agree with this statement, I also have to acknowledge that while fear is a choice, it’s also a biological response to perceived threats like uncertainty, lack of control, and experience.
When faced with these threats the brain activates the amygdala which triggers the fight or flight response releasing hormones like cortisol and adrenaline, preparing the body to respond quickly and instinctively.
If left alone, traders consumed with fear will either seek to take vengeance against the markets, typically referred to as “Revenge Trading” or they’ll hesitate when taking the next position fearing that it would be a repeat of the last. Either way, it never ends well.
In today’s article we’re going to be breaking down fear both figuratively and literally, by gaining a deeper understanding on how it works and what steps we should take to overcome it.
Three Types of Fears in Trading:
Now I’m sure most of you reading this article are familiar with the three types of fears related to trading, so I’ll go through these quite briefly but for those of you who might not be that familiar I’ll leave a short explanation for each of the fears highlighted.
Fear of Missing Out (FOMO):
The apprehension of missing profitable opportunities leads traders to enter trades impulsively without proper analysis, often resulting in poor outcomes. Traders experiencing FOMO generally find themselves in trading signal groups or rely on social media for direction, see my previous article on Trading Vs. Social Media
Fear of Losing Money:
The anxiety associated with potential financial loss can cause traders to exit positions prematurely or avoid taking necessary risks. This fear is closely linked to loss aversion, where the pain of losing is felt more intensely than the pleasure of equivalent gains.
Fear of Being Wrong:
The discomfort of making incorrect decisions can deter traders from executing trades or cause them to hold onto losing positions in an attempt to prove their initial decision was right.
In many respects, traders try to deal with these fears directly but usually without much success. This is because they’re treating the symptom but not the cause.
In order to deal with any of these fears either independently or collectively you’d need to first learn to become comfortable in three very specific areas.
Uncertainty - At its core, trading is a game of probabilities, not certainties. Certainty in trading comes only when you’re able to shift your focus from the outcome of any one trade to your ability to take any one trade regardless of the outcome. Remember, it's not your job to predict the future, rather you should prepare for it.
Past Losses - The outcome of one trade has absolutely no impact on the outcome of the next, and the best way to deal with past losses is to embrace the lessons that came with it.
Lack of Control - Although we cannot control the outcome of a trade, we do control the type of trade we take. We can control when we enter, exit, and how much we risk, which when examined closely carries far more significance than merely seeking to control the outcome.
Debunking The Biggest Myth In Trading
If you won then you were right, if you lost then you were wrong. This is the biggest myth in trading today and one of the main reasons why so many traders chose being right over being profitable.
Instead of accepting a loss, they’ll remove whatever stop loss they had in place in the hope that the market will eventually turn in their favor, refusing to accept that they may have been wrong.
There are very good reasons for this type of behaviour which is tied directly to our identity, social belonging and self-worth. When we’re faced with the possibility of being wrong our intellect, competency and self-image is challenged.
In order to protect ourselves from this challenge, we begin to resist any new information that could conflict or even threaten our existing belief, creating discomfort even when the evidence is clear.
This can trigger emotions like anxiety and avoidance behaviour which can show up in the form of hesitation, overthinking, or avoiding placing trades altogether. However, I’m about to share a framework with you that will help you overcome the fear of being wrong and instead of avoiding it, if you follow this framework, you’ll begin to embrace it.
3 Step Process To Profit From Being Wrong
In trading Losses are inevitable. In fact, some of the most successful traders lose far more times than they actually win, and yet they’re still able to make money. This is because you don’t need to be a winning trader in order to be a profitable one.
It’s under this principle that you’ll apply the 3 step process to profit from being wrong.
1. Reframe “Wrong” as “Feedback”
Generally being wrong comes with consequences, in trading those consequences comes in the form of losses. However, you determine how much you’re willing to lose on any given trade. This means that because you control how much you’re willing to lose, you ultimately control the consequences.
The market is a nearly endless pool of trade opportunities and no one trade can determine the outcome of the next. Therefore, a losing trade cannot mean you were wrong, because as long as you still have capital to trade there is another opportunity lining up.
Instead, what the losing trade does uncover is the market conditions in relation to your plan. It’s at this point where you review your initial analysis and see if anything has changed. If nothing changed, then it's likely you may have gotten in a bit too early and you’d just have to wait for the next setup.
However, upon your review, you discover the market conditions have changed, and you now have to re-evaluate your approach, then this is the feedback the market is giving you. This is what it means to take feedback from the markets and this is what it takes to be profitable instead of being right.
2. Separate Identity From Outcome
The mistake many trades tend to make is measuring their success on the outcome of a trade. This is a recipe for disaster because in order for them to feel successful they’d have to win every single time.
This of course is impossible, instead I’d encourage you to separate yourself from the outcome of the trade and focus on just trading. There are only one of three outcomes you can experience in a trade. 1. Loss, 2. Win, 3. Breakeven. When you’re able to accept 1. Loss then you don’t have to worry about numbers 2,3.
Because you control how much you’re willing to lose you should be able to accept what you’re willing to lose, and by accepting what you're willing to lose you’ve then separated yourself from the outcome of the trade and you can now focus on just trading.
To keep you in check with this step here is a very simple but highly effective practice:
✅ Practice saying: “This was a good trade with a bad outcome — and that’s okay.”
3. Celebrate The Process, Not Perfection
“That which gets rewarded gets repeated” If you’re only rewarding yourself when you close a winning trade then you’re simply reinforcing the notion of viewing the markets through the lens of right and wrong.
As we’ve already discovered this view is detrimental to your longevity as a trader and so I would argue that instead of celebrating a winning trade, celebrate your process. Reward yourself every time you follow your plan regardless if the trade resulted in a win, loss or breakeven.
This approach will help you improve your process which in turn will improve your overall returns and performance.
Conclusion
📣 You are not here to be perfect. You’re here to grow, to learn, and to keep showing up — fear and all.
The market rewards the trader who is calm under pressure, humble in defeat and focused on the long game.
Go into this week knowing that fear may still show up — but you’re more prepared than ever to handle it.
Let fear be a signal, not a stop sign.
You've got this. 🚀
Trade
XAUUSD NEXT MOVE 1. Double Top Resistance Breakdown
The chart suggests a strong double top resistance zone around 3,160 USD.
Disruption: If price tests this zone and fails again (creating a third top), a sharp reversal could occur.
Implication: Bearish pressure may increase, potentially invalidating the long-term bullish target.
2. Failure to Hold the Bullish Zone
Price is hovering above the support for bullish zone (~2,980–3,000 USD).
Disruption: A break below this level, especially with volume, could signal trend reversal or deeper correction.
Implication: Price might head towards the next unmarked support area below 2,960 USD.
3. Weak Rebound from Current Level
The chart projects a “V-shaped” or “W-shaped” recovery.
Disruption: If market sentiment is weak, the price may consolidate sideways or drift lower instead of rebounding.
Implication: Delayed bullish momentum, potential accumulation phase or even distribution.
4. Fundamental Catalyst Risk
Several U.S. economic event icons are marked (likely NFP, CPI, FOMC).
Disruption: Any unexpectedly hawkish data or Fed speech can strengthen the USD and suppress gold prices.
Implication: Technical patterns may get overridden by macro volatility.
5. Over-Reliance on Horizontal Levels
The analysis is heavily based on horizontal S/R zones.
Disruption: If market dynamics shift (liquidity hunts, news-driven spikes), price could fake out these zones.
Implication: Stop hunts and liquidity grabs could trap traders expecting clean technical moves.
Elliott Wave Outlook (Wave C in Progress?)Key Technical Zones:
Demand Zone: 0.9750 – 1.0350 (Support from Wave B low)
Supply Zone: 1.1600 – 1.2000 (Potential Wave C target)
Current Price: 1.0959
Support Levels: 1.0730, 1.0350
Resistance Levels: 1.1250, 1.1600
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact for Wave C as long as the pair holds above 1.0730. Any deeper pullback into the demand zone could still be part of a healthy correction, offering long opportunities on confirmation. Keep an eye on macroeconomic data, especially from the U.S. (FOMC, CPI) and EU (ECB stance), as they may heavily influence EUR/USD sentiment in the coming weeks.
Conclusion:
Watch for bullish continuation setups toward the supply zone, but remain cautious of a mid-term rejection pattern, which could trigger a deeper correction. Trade safely, and always use proper risk management.
Current Scenario:
Price is now trading near 1.0950, suggesting a potential Wave C rally in progress.
If Wave C unfolds as anticipated, EUR/USD could approach the supply zone marked between 1.1600–1.2000, which aligns with previous structural resistance and Fibonacci retracement levels.
However, a false breakout or early rejection from current levels could lead to a sharp retracement, possibly retesting the demand zone before any major upside continuation.
BTCUSD - Messy range, upside more probableBitcoin continues to navigate a messy consolidation range between $80,000 and $89,000, with the current price hovering around $84,002. This choppy price action reflects market indecision following the significant decline from the $100,000 area in late January. Despite the lack of clear direction in the short term, the higher probability move appears to be to the upside, with potential targets near the orange resistance level at $88,786. Supporting this bullish bias is the strong bounce from the March lows around $76,500 (highlighted by the blue support zone), suggesting buyers remain active at lower levels. The recent series of higher lows also indicates strengthening bullish momentum within the range. Traders should watch for a decisive break above the current congestion area, which could accelerate the move toward the upper resistance and potentially open the path for a retest of the psychological $90,000 level.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USDCAD - Hunting for Bullish Entries?The USD/CAD pair has experienced a notable correction from the 1.4400 resistance level, with price currently being at the 1.4215 area. If a correction happens like the one highlighted by the arrows, traders may find an attractive buying opportunity on smaller timeframes, aligning with the larger bullish trend that's been in place since February. The recent pullback could provide an ideal entry for those looking to capitalize on the prevailing uptrend, targeting a potential move back toward the orange horizontal resistance at 1.4400. However, caution is warranted – should price sharply break below the blue support box with conviction, the bullish thesis would be invalidated, suggesting instead a strategy of selling any minor retracements as the pair could then accelerate to the downside. This critical juncture demands close monitoring of price action for confirmation of either scenario in the coming sessions.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD - Will the trendline HOLD? Gold has reached a critical juncture as prices have sharply retreated to test the major uptrend line that's been in place since late January. Currently trading at $3,038.98, the precious metal has experienced a significant pullback from its recent all-time highs above $3,160. This trendline has supported gold's impressive rally for months, making this test particularly important for determining the near-term direction. If buyers step in at these levels, we could see a bounce and continuation of the broader uptrend; however, a decisive break below this trendline could trigger a more substantial correction, potentially targeting previous support zones around $2,950-$3,000. The sharp nature of the recent decline suggests increased selling pressure, making the next few trading sessions crucial for determining whether this is merely a dip in an ongoing bull market or the beginning of a deeper retracement.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURUSD update 20.03After a successful swing long
that was taken
We've reached external liquidity
Now, I expect a correction to the green box; from it, we will go even higher—reaching liquidity from above.
The current correction will take some time to form. It may happen faster, but I have indicated the targets on the chart.
Best regards EXCAVO
Gold Analysis April 4Gold is pushing up to 3116 at the end of the European session. If it breaks this zone, the possibility of an uptrend is high and heading towards 3134. Pay attention to 3080 for BUY zones in the US session and today's main BUY zone is around the 3065 price zone. Money management is the time you survive with the market.