Tradeanalysis
EUR/USD FULL ANALYSIS Breakdown (SHORT This Week?)Disclaimer:
Any of the content presented on my page showing my analysis of the market is just that, an analysis which means this is my personal opinion of where the price is going to go. Do not by any means take this simple analysis for a reason to enter a trade, I am not presenting these analyses as a form of signals, simply a way to get feedback and opinions from others on how my trades look. Take this trade at your own risk, but know forex is a risky market that you can make a lot of money but can lose that money or even more just as fast, enter these markets with your own risk and good luck with your trading :).
Update:
Usually I do a weekly analysis but never really include it in these posts since it seems like its a little long for someone to read through. But, this week I am going to include my Weekly, Daily, and Hourly analysis for this pair and just let me know if you think it is too long of a post or if you like the extra information. Let us get right into the analysis and like always, feel free to message me or comment on these post any question you may have.
Weekly Analysis:
As you can see just looking at the weekly there is a zone where price is having a hard time breaking through and that is around the 1.14000 price range. The reason I really like this zone is cause price had bounced off of this zone 5-6 times in the past and price seems like it already had rejected this zone a little bit. This previous week had made a really big Doji candle, so for any of us to take a trade on this pair we would need more confirmation on lower time frames, from the weekly you could wait for another weekly candle but for a better entry going to a lower time frame would allow us to get a really good entry with a big risk to reward. If I can get a confirmation on a lower time frame then I will look to target the lows of 1.08050 since price has been there in the past, also you have to understand that this can take many weeks for this trade to play out so, if you are looking for a quick easy trade this may not fit your trading style.
Daily Analysis:
Today I decided to include two charts with this analysis, the first one is something that I noticed with this pair which it like to make a move to the downside but then come back all the way to that high retest and then drop. The second one is without the green lines but shows my original analysis you are used to seeing price has made its way back up to this resistance line and showed some weakness to the top side with the ending few candles last week. If we can get further confirmation and momentum to the downside then this could be a longer term trade to the downside but if we can get an entry on the lower time frames, this could be a good risk to reward trade. Although we have already seen big wicks to the topside and already some momentum to the downside, I would want to see more confirmation on the One hour time frame making a close below the recent lows or if you want to be more safe wait for a close on the 4 hour. Since there is a lot of very volatile moves going on recently we are going to place a very big stop loss hoping that we do not get stopped out on a big pullback.
Hourly Analysis:
There is not too much to look at with the current hourly candles, they have been just moving sideways the previous week so we are going to need a big bear candle closing well below the recent lows to get into this trade. If anything, make sure to risk a very little amount of your capital on this trade, their is a lot of pips to get over the next few weeks so do not rush anything and end up taking a stupid trade. Keep your risk managed and look at the long term when taking this trade. Like I already mentioned, if you are not able to stay in a trade long term then maybe this trade is not for you.
Thanks again,
KeySlot
XAUUSD SetupAt prestent I am waiting for price to show me what it wants to do.
After yesterdays big impulse move we had a 50% retracement
Then today we continued the move to the upside during asian session then consolidated for the rest of the day
I am now looking for price to break out to the upside or retrace and fill the imbalance and continue to the daily zone
AUDUSD: Bank Sentiment Divergence Between The Feds and The RBAFundamentals
Succumbing to the global policy unwinding pressure and rising inflation fears, the RBA's dovishness led to the AUD sell off against the USD. The drop is cushioned by the decrease in volume as traders wait for Fed's FOMC meeting this week. Trades expects the Feds to announce taper during the meeting this week.
Technicals
We are essentially waiting for a pull back as traders take profit to enter. The levels considered are notable areas of supply / demand imbalances which adds confluence to the fib levels.
EURUSD Signal: Bank Sentiment Divergence Between the Feds & ECBFundamentals
EUR(Bearish)
ECB unlikely to raise interest rate in 2022 despite high inflation of 3.4%
says medium term is still subdued, unlikely to meet conditions for rate hike.
Discouraging European Data German Sales down, Industrial Production down,
but PPI jumped to 16.0% (hinting inflationary pressure)
USD (Bullish)
Feds announced $15 billion per month reduction of asset purchases beginning November
Powell believes high inflation to be transitory, noting that inflation will remain high
Generally, conservative stance by powell but dollar still bullish, blames supply bottleneck
Technicals
Prices retraces bank into supply zone near the 61.8 fib level
SHIBUSDT AnalysisShiba Inu has been a range market since June this year. The market bulled up after its listing on the coinbase platform to 0.00950 but couldn't break above the resistance zone of the range and came back down to 0.00674. BINANCE:SHIBUSDT
It's obvious the Shiba market is waiting for Bitcoin to make a move as the market seemed to dip at every point BTC dips and rises as BTC rises.
The Market is now squeezing between 2 possible scenarios which are either a break above or below the triangle.
For now, we can still say that the Shiba market is still bullish as it hasn't broken the previous HL at 0.00685. Now we wait to see, will the market hold at the current at 0.00725.
We never predict the market, we follow what we see on the charts.
Ethereum making moves. Next Target would be a new ATH?Ethereum is trading at around $3000, at the time of writing this analysis, which also acts as an immediate support level. It tried to break the resistance at $3300 but failed, however, it has been accumulating between immediate support and resistance level to see the next move upwards.
I am using On-balance volume (OBV) which is a technical trading momentum indicator that uses volume flow to predict changes in stock price. It shows crowd sentiment that can predict a bullish or bearish outcome. The OBV indicator on the above chart clearly shows a sign of accumulation.
RSI is trying to reverse its movement, and if good buy volume comes in, it might again visit the overbought zones.
If Ethereum is unable to hold the Immediate Support Level, it might see a downtrend.
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AUDUSD more intraday downside expected before upside rallyThe AUDUSD has completed its Wave Structure to the downside on the daily chart, this makes the Aussie bearish from a Long Term point of view.
As we know, after an impulsive wave, we should see a corrective wave that has already started.
We are shorting this from an Intraday Short Term basis, looking for a medium-term Buy position from 0.7263 area which corresponds to the -0.618 (T2) of the current 1hr correction that is going on.
We will not entertain any short above 0.7310.
OMG! BTCUSDT READY for BreakOUT?? 🚀UPDATE ! UPDATE !! UPDATE !!!
Guys, we are currently treading on inverse H&S ( Head And Shoulder ). What that means is breaking to the Upside .
As I said in my last analysis, BTC did a significant drop from the Parallels channel and recovered to form a nice Inverse H&S.
Price Target : $48k - $49k
This is on the 1Hour chart.
We will be back for another update.
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STOCKS with a fake-rally?Good evening guys!
Damn.. what a sudden pump in the equitiy-market today ignoring all resistance-zones.
"Wall Street's main indexes opened higher on Thursday after weekly jobless claims hit their lowest level since the start of a pandemic-led recession."
To be honest: When I saw the jobless claims I was pretty confident for our trades as good economic data should increase the likelyness for a tighter monetary policy in the future and did not even consider to early exit.
That is by the way what I`ve mentioned with "it is tricky" as we don`t know how the market is going to react.
When I look at the entire market I expect this move to be a trap for "liquidity-monkeys" giving big players good prices to distribute more of their positions.
NZD/USD () aswell as AUD/USD () are both looking bearish to me not really following the todays risk-on-mood.
The volatility in the crypto-market is also showing less risk-appetite as Bitcoin moved up to 43.000 is currently below 40k, of course also caused by news from the USA (worries about the anonymity, money laundering etc.)... All very fishy to me...
However, EUR/USD is closed with -25 pips (-1%) aswell as NAS100 -160 point (-1%), while AUD/JPY and NZD/JPY are both still active looking goos for now as major supply-zones are holding.
For now I will observe how the market acts at the current highs and will check the volume before I execute any further trades.
Fundamentally it`s clear to me: Inflation aswell as the provided liquidity pushed equities and caused the entire rally.
More positive news from the USA should hurt the stockmarket and boost the demand for the US-Dollar as many shaky hands are sitting on their profits!
Crazy market! ;-D
EURUSD H1 SHORT TRADE PLAN PROFIT IDEAas you can see the big bearish bar close below the kijun and tenkan. this bar close over 1/2 the prior bullish engulfing bar. It mean the seller is stronger the buyer
also, the volume for this bar is bigger sma 50 volume, I mean this bar is good signal for open short trade plan profit
REEFUSDT - Next Movements - Possible BreakoutDear All Hi
Hope Allis Well With you
as you know : its NOT a FINANCIAL ADVISE , its Just a PERSONAL IDEA
as you see in chart : No Change in RSI , in 2 Breakout point
and moreover we have Decrease in PRICE
and with higher than 75% in RSI , i see a possible pull back in near future around 0.040 to 0.042
if REEF can Break this Resistance , then hopefully we can see 0.054 - 0.056
Have a Good TRADay
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Regards
PeymanMo