Morning Ideas October 8, 2020Got wiggled out a bit early yesterday, as the sellers were trying to hold 3395.
They held temporarily, then got the doors blown off later in the day.
Status quo here, long and strong, though you have to be willing to sit through a pullback if you choose to get long from up here.
Tradecontext
Morning Ideas October 5, 2020No selloff after Trump's health news. That's probably a sign the market wants to go higher and there is still a lack of sellers.
I am expect 3400 sometime this week and we will see what happens when we get there. If we can push through, it will likely be more shorts squeezed out.
Morning Ideas September 17, 2020Selling and volatility overnight is concerning for the longs, but we are right on the edge of where I expect the buyers to come back in.
Quad witching Friday is tomorrow and I would expect there to be some volatility but I would expect us to close tomorrow somewhere around the 3350-3400 area.
This means I would be looking to see what happens at 3330 to try and get long.
Morning Ideas May 21, 2020Be careful with the short side, Powell speaking today. 65 becomes pretty big as value area high has moved up a bit and we've traded quite a bit up there.
I'd want to see the market rejecting high 60's should we get there.
My educated guess is that we will stay in this area until Powell pushes us out. I'd prefer the long side here as that's the way value is migrating.
Morning Ideas December 5, 2019Right at the area where I expect to see some kind of direction from the market. A move back down would be the start of acceptance since we fell out of the upper balance...
A move back up would mean that the market fall was just to shake out the weak buyers.
I wouldn't buy the breakout here.
Morning Ideas December 4, 2019Ill keep it brief because we are running late for class.
Market gave us a nice correction yesterday but right to the bottom of a value area and a nice bounce. Would be looking for the 17 area from here.
If we roll back over, I would expect us to try and attack the lows again soon
Morning Ideas November 20, 2019A good lesson on unfinished profiles and what they mean.
I would expect to see 3110 area be a big level this morning. If we are able to sustain prices above it, 3122 is back on deck.
If we break below and pull back, I'd expect to see some sellers step in and try and move us down towards 3095
Morning Ideas November 14, 2019Market still clearly accepting prices higher.
Profile becoming very box-y meaning that the market is indifferent at any price between the highs and lows of value.
The line in the sand below is still 70, in my opinion, and you'd wouldn't be wrong staying long until that is broken.
Remember, the market is accepting higher and when that happens, the more likely scenario is that we will continue in that direction.
If you're going to be short from up here, you have a nice Reward for your risk as long as you keep the stops tighter.
You don't want to be holding on to positions against the grain that are moving against you.
Morning Ideas November 13, 2019Stuck in the middle of this upper balance.
It's a good thing and a bad thing for the longs.
It's good because we aren't rejecting this upper balance, we are still very much in the middle of the balance.
The bad news here is that we can still pull back to the lower end of the balance so if you're long, you may have to sit through some heat.
VPOC from yesterday is above us and this market is likely to be pretty choppy on the open because we are in an area of acceptance.
Refrain from chasing the market in such environments.