Morning Ideas May 11, 2021Took the day off yesterday and of course I miss the volatility!
I think this market looks weak here. After a strong push away from 40 last week, we return right back to 40 a few days later. You do not want to see that if you're long.
However, the buyers have shown resiliency, so I expect a strong fight out of them today.
I think we try and push higher but look for the market to have trouble getting through 78, before we turn lower again.
Tradecontext
Morning Ideas May 6, 2021A lot of volume overnight with very little market movement. This usually means the market is coiling and ready to break out.
I would expect the catalyst for that move to be Non-Farm Payrolls number tomorrow morning.
As for today, I wouldn't fade a move in either direction because i think a directional move will be swift and have legs.
If trading were easy, NFP would be today and the move would happen 30 minutes from me writing this. It complicates things that it's not for another 24 hours.
All these things (high volume coiling, NFP tomorrow, market struggling to hold on to higher prices) makes picking a direction challenging.
Either way if you're going to play ball in here, just make sure your stops are wide because it will likely be volatile and swinging 10-20 points in the blink of an eye once we break here.
Morning Ideas May 5, 2021Interesting day yesterday as the market did not like Jannet Yellen's comments about raising rates to keep the market from 'overheating'.
Once again, the market was able to shake off that news and rally the second half of the day, which surprised me, although it probably shouldn't.
Gun to the head, I'd favor the longs after the sellers were unable to gain traction lower, but I expect to see some volatility again today.
Morning Ideas May 4, 2021I believe the market to be in a bit more trouble now with the market taking back 4180 and moving lower.
This is also on the back of the NQ (Nasdaq) being much weaker yesterday and leading the way down this morning.
I believe the next area below to get involved with the longs is 4140ish, but this market has shown remarkable strength when it is in a 'trouble' spot.
For this reason, I'm going to give today a Neutral reading and treat this is a wait and see.
Morning Ideas April 30, 20214170 is pretty important today.
What I didn't mention in the video is that it's last trading day of the month so we will likely get window dressing at the end of the day today to make the month of April look really good.
Keep that in mind if you are short at the midway point of the day.
Morning Ideas April 26, 2021Markets inability to sustain lower again, leaving us near all time highs (ATH) once again.
ATH are not my strong point, but this market has turned into a more buy and hold market anyway and not much of a 'traders' market.
Big week this week with a massive FOMC announcement where there are talks about a possible tightening of the liquidity, plus earnings from Facebook, Apple, Alphabet, Microsoft, Google, Tesla, etc.
I'm trying to avoid letting my gut guide me here, and I ask that you do the same. Trade what you see, not what you think.
Morning Ideas April 22, 2021Sellers unable to hold the fort again yesterday. It cost me a small loss, but we move on to the next setup.
After grabbing ahold of the market again, buyers are back in the driver seat on pretty much all timeframes.
If you're a buyer, I would not want to see the market below 40 today. If we head back down there after a trend up day yesterday, it's bad news for the buyers and we probably have more downside brewing.
With that said, I don't see that happening. I think we are off to higher prices and ATH.