Morning Ideas January 5, 2020Yesterday was a big day where we got some flush-out of buyers.
Like I said yesterday, now that its a new year and we've burned off a lot of the 'fuel' to move higher, the market seemed ripe to sell. However, we wont start selling until we start to see acceptance lower.
I gave today a neutral rating even-though I expect it to be volatile, simply because I think its a toss up.
Key levels are 3690-3700 above and 3650 below.
If the market breaks below 3650 I would be very cautious of initiating new longs.
Tradecontext
Morning Ideas January 4, 2020Happy new year everyone!
2020 ended with the market at all time highs, which is exactly what we expected in the final days of 2020.
2021 hasn't started off much different. Moving higher and I will continue to look for the market to do the exact same thing until it proves it can hold onto lower prices.
Morning Ideas December 29, 2020Good stimulus news caused the market to continue to rally, which is what we expected.
We reached the 3740 area finally, and with the end of the year in just three days, I would expect the market to push even higher.
I didn't do anything yesterday with the market, I just felt like it continued to move higher without any pullbacks. Not to mention it was SLOWWWWW.
I may take the rest of the year off from trading if there are no opportunities on pullbacks, but we will have class tomorrow.
Morning Ideas December 17, 2020Yesterday we saw an underwhelming move after the FOMC announcement.
However, we did break higher and are now clear of the 3690 Value high level that we had been pinned to.
I don't see any reason why we can't continue to move higher, with 3740 now in the crosshairs, as long as we can stay above 3690 on a retest (if we even get one).
Good luck today and remember there is still some big news with TESLA and OPEX tomorrow.
Morning Ideas December 9, 2020Couldn't have been any more wrong about yesterday, but when you trade in the direction of the trend, you're going to get the benefit of the doubt more times than not.
Yesterday was a classic trend day, when I was expecting a smaller range, but if you lost money you were probably playing countertrend.
I'm staying long until something changes.
Morning Ideas December 8, 2020Today is a day that I'm going to play a bit contrarian to what the trading books would tell you.
Risk reward will not be that great, but I don't expect to see a directional move, so i will widen out the stops to make sure I don't get stopped out in noise, and look to take a bunch of smaller trades to capture what I believe to be an inside day between two levels.
Morning Ideas December 1, 2020Window dressing late in the day saved the longs, but unfortunately for me, I was flushed out on the original push down.
Same kind of story today. Long and strong, likely to see us move towards 3700 and the beginning of the Santa Claus Rally.
Keep an eye on VIX, its now below 20, which indicates a market that has lost the fear that we saw for most of this year.