USDJPY - Feb 19 2025 Sell position- CLASSIC!Hey everyone!
It's been a while since I last posted—I've been busy refining my prop firm account this 2025.
Since January 9, USDJPY has been in a successful distribution phase, so I'm now shifting my HTF bias to a sell position.
- Currently riding sell positions targeting 1:2R, 1:3R, and 1:5R (intraday trades).
Check the charts for details—just a simple price manipulation setup. This time, though, London got manipulated instead of the Asian session. Classic 1:5RR move!
#consistency
#tradeforaliving
#rightpsychology
Trade Management
How I am approching scaling my account to the next level💰 Introduction
I have been actively investing for over seven years. When I started in 2017, I had no idea what I was doing. My first trade was a short/mid-term win on an altcoin skyrocketing in a straight line—it felt unbelievable. But the truth was, I was completely clueless.
Still, I was hooked. I started reading everything I could and expanded my focus to stocks and Forex. Six months later, I had developed some ideas about Forex, though I was still lost when it came to stocks. I funded a Forex account with €8,000 to test my skills, using a simple 1:1 risk-to-reward 0.5% per trade system. A few months later, I was up about 15% - a solid start.
From there, my goal was clear: design a great strategy first, then scale it. But things didn’t go as planned.
I suffered a serious injury, which got progressively worse, making it impossible to hold a regular job. I spent everything I had on rent and medical bills. To make matters worse, I stubbornly clung to a terrible strategy for years - even after developing better ones. I ignored huge unrealized gains, constantly chasing the “holy grail” of investing. Ironically, today, I trade every single strategy (or a modified version to add to winners) I’ve ever designed since 2019 - except the one I stubbornly stuck with for years.
Through all this, I learned a crucial lesson:
💡 A strategy should work from day one. You backtest it to verify, then refine it, but you don’t trade it live until it’s ready.
Now, after years of experience, mistakes, and lessons learned, I have several proven strategies and a fresh perspective. The next step? Scaling up aggressively.
Of course, I can’t cover everything in one article, a full book wouldn’t even be enough. Some aspects of growing an account, like tax implications, aren’t discussed here.
But my goal is simple: to inspire investors to think creatively about scalability and strategy development. The process of building an investment strategy - including a scaling plan - is all about creativity.
💰 The Challenge of Scaling: Why Gains Lag Behind Losses
Your gains will always lag behind your losses - this is a fundamental reality in investing. If you scale too fast, your winners from months ago may not be enough to cover your new losses, even if you're performing well overall.
I am not talking about drawdowns, those makes things even worse. I am talking about how looking for asymmetric returns means the time it takes will be asymmetrical too. For mid-term strategies, traders typically risk 1 unit to gain 5, 10, or even 15. However, the time required for returns grows exponentially as reward targets increase. If you're aiming for 10x or more, your losing trades might last only 2–3 days, but your winners could take six months or longer to materialize.
I experienced this firsthand in 2024. I started the year strong, accelerating my risk after solid returns from trading the Yen. Then I hit the gas again, but things turned bad - primarily because I was experimenting with a new strategy alongside my proven ones. In November, I realized a 15x profit on gold, which could have significantly changed my situation. However, I had entered the position back in February, before I began scaling, so the gains didn’t have the impact I needed at the time.
💰 Scaling Only Works for the Few Who Are Ready
Most traders either stagnate or lose, and even the best often learn the hard way early on. You’ve probably heard the common statistic: only 10% of FX investors win, and only 10% of stock investors beat the market. But even within that elite group, only a third outperform significantly enough to consider trading as a full-time career rather than just a supplement for retirement.
From the data I've seen, only about 3% of investors should even consider aggressive scaling. Attempting to scale without a proven track record is a recipe for disaster. Even the most famous market wizards often had to learn the hard way early on.
A good analogy is chess - not everyone is a young prodigy, and even for those who are, it often takes 7–8 years to reach master level. The same applies to investing: skill and experience take time to develop, and rushing the process can lead to avoidable mistakes.
💰 No shortcut but there are ways to increase scalability
A path one might follow is the investment fund. However these are very restrictive, George Soros once said to make money you had to take risk. No matter how good you are you are still subject to the same laws and I know no one that has 100% win rate. If your max drawdown is 5% how much can you realistically risk per operation? Perhaps 0.25% So your 10X winner will be 2.5%. We know the returns, drawdowns and Sharpe ratios of the biggest (and supposedly best) funds, I never heard of a fund with a tiny max drawdown and huge returns except Medallion fund you got me.
The problem I personally have, or shall I say had, is that I can sometimes go 6-12 months without a winner, or with just 1-2. It is spread very non-homogeneously. In the last 3 months I have (finally!) designed a short term strategy that will smooth the curve, I risk 1 to make 5 and have opportunities in all market conditions. I was not even trying to, I just randomly felt creative and went "Eureka".
I am currently running my proven strategies on my main accounts, and the new one on a smaller account - of course I keep winning on these small amounts. This short term strategy might not be my best one, although it might be the second best, however it was exactly what I needed to help smooth the drawdowns and more boring market conditions.
💰 Balancing Creativity and Risk in Scaling Strategies
I believe designing a successful scaling strategy requires a combination of creativity and pessimism. From my experience, it's essential to explore different ways to scale while always keeping the worst-case scenario in mind.
To illustrate this, let’s consider an example - not necessarily the exact approach I will take, but a concept that reflects my thinking. Suppose I allocate €25,000 to a brokerage account and divide it into 25 "tokens" of €1,000 each. Every time the account grows, I would redistribute the balance into 25 equal parts, each representing 4% of the total.
This setup ensures that I always have capital available for new opportunities. Even if I lose 10 times in a row and have 5 tokens tied up in winning trades (or disappointing breakevens), I would still have 10 tokens left to reinvest. Based on my calculations, 25 is the minimum number required for this method to work efficiently. That said, 4% risk per trade is significantly higher than what I have ever risked, and I may adjust it downward.
💰 Risk Management and Personal Goals
If someone were able to triple a €25,000 account each year, they could theoretically reach €2 million in just four years. However, such exponential growth is rare and unsustainable over the long term. Jesse Livermore achieved extraordinary gains - but ultimately lost everything and took his own life. This is a stark reminder that extreme financial risk can have devastating consequences.
I would never attempt this kind of aggressive scaling with essential funds - certainly not with rent money, without a financial cushion, with large amounts, or without a clear Plan B.
My personal objectives:
If investing my own money: My goal is to build a €2M–€3M account while continuing my regular job - possibly reducing to part-time work.
If managing investor funds: I would aim to start with €10M AUM, with at least €500K of my own capital in the fund. My ultimate target is to grow AUM to €100M.
💰 The Crypto Factor : A Different Beast
The extreme volatility combined with long term aspect of crypto makes for a very different experience. In the past it has shown incredible returns, I know this first hand my brother started mining Ethereum I think in 2019 when the price was below $150 I guess and then he has been buying cryptos on the way up, in euros I might add, with the crypto/euro charts looking much better than the USD ones.
But there is no reason why it cannot all go to zero, or crash 95% and remain here for years. And even if the whole crypto market does not crash, several of them die each year. I am not a perma bear I do not wish my younger brother to lose everything, this is all he has, he got no diploma not interesting career.
For crypto to fit in a structured investment strategy I personally would only put small amounts. So it sort of follows the idea of a separate account with huge risk. An amount that one can afford to lose.
💰 Final words
I believe I have the experience, the rigor and the strategies to increase my risk and invest more aggressively. In a near future - maybe starting 2026 - I want to really grow my account.
My scaling will be gradual, I won't jump from an amount to 3 times that in 3 months, I will manage my risk strategically; And before even starting the battle I will have clearly defined objectives.
USD/CHF: Avoiding a false dichotomyThe US dollar is in a correction of its uptrend (see EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD etc)
Do we really face a linear option of fade or no trade?
Actually, it might be a false dichotomy .
Going long EUR/USD and GBP/USD (i.e. selling USD) would mean fading the major trend (as per the weekly charts).
But going short USD/CHF (i.e. also selling USD) would not be a counter trend trade because USD/CHF is in a trading range. Selling below resistance in a trading range is a high probability setup.
We can see the topping process on the daily chart, with 0.90 as the broken neckline.
Here the risk is well defined - if the price pops back over 0.90 - the breakdown trade is no longer on but while below 0.90, 0.88 is a natural target as the last major support area and the 30 week moving average.
But - as always - that’s just how the team and I are seeing things, what do you think?
Share your ideas with us - OR - send us a request!
Drop a comment
cheers!
Jasper
123 Quick Learn Trading Tips #3: Better turn up the heat123 Quick Learn Trading Tips #3: Better turn up the heat 🔥
Ever wonder why some traders seem to have all the luck? 🤔 They're not just lucky; they've built an iceberg of hard work, discipline, and even failures beneath the surface of their "success." Don't just chase the tip – build your own solid foundation.
Here's what that iceberg looks like in trading:
Hard work: 📚 Studying markets, developing strategies, and always practicing. No shortcuts here! 🚫
Patience: ⏳ Giving up short-term gains for long-term strategies. Don't rush. Good traders wait for the best opportunities.
Risks: 🎲 Take smart trades, not reckless ones. Be brave, but not foolish.
Discipline: 🎯 Follow your trading plan. Don't let your feelings make you change it. Trust what you learned before. Trust your strategy.
Failures: 🤕 Everyone loses money sometimes. Learn from your losses. It's important to get back up and keep going.
Doubts: 😟 Managing emotions and fear is crucial. It's normal to have doubts.
Changes: 🔄 The market always changes. You need to change your strategies too. Be ready to adapt.
Helpful habits: 📈 Consistent analysis and risk management are your bread and butter. Stick to good routines.
Want to build a success iceberg? 🧊
Better turn up the heat 🔥
– it's going to be a long, cold journey beneath the surface.
👨💼 Navid Jafarian
So, stop scrolling through my TESLA pics 🚗 and get back to analyzing those charts! 📊 Your iceberg isn't going to build itself. 😉
Live execution and insights to my MNQ POI The Bias we had was perfect, and it panned out just right. We were a little late to the party, I had just walked into my room after taking my dog outside. As soon as I saw it at my zone I felt the urge to enter so I did.
I recommend you guys check out the previous video I posted of my MNQ POI
Over 120 points SL which I am not a fan of but on MNQ that is about $65 risk. We took our profits early for precaution and to keep our greed in check.
Give a like and thumbs up if you enjoyed the video and my personal insights!
Forex, Crypto and Futures Trading Risk Disclosure:
The National Futures Association (NFA) and Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), the regulatory agencies for the forex and futures markets in the United States, require that customers be informed about potential risks in trading these markets. If you do not fully understand the risks, please seek advice from an independent financial advisor before engaging in trading.
Trading forex and futures on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite.
There is a possibility of losing some or all of your initial investment, and therefore, you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. Be aware of the risks associated with leveraged trading and seek professional advice if necessary.
BDRipTrades Market Opinions (also applies to BDelCiel and Aligned & Wealthy LLC):
Any opinions, news, research, analysis, prices, or other information contained in my content (including live streams, videos, and posts) are provided as general market commentary only and do not constitute investment advice. BDRipTrades, BDelCiel, and Aligned & Wealthy LLC will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including but not limited to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
Accuracy of Information: The content I provide is subject to change at any time without notice and is intended solely for educational and informational purposes. While I strive for accuracy, I do not guarantee the completeness or reliability of any information. I am not responsible for any losses incurred due to reliance on any information shared through my platforms.
Government-Required Risk Disclaimer and Disclosure Statement:
CFTC RULE 4.41 - HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.
Performance results discussed in my content are hypothetical and subject to limitations. There are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading strategy. One of the limitations of hypothetical trading results is that they do not account for real-world financial risk.
Furthermore, past performance of any trading system or strategy does not guarantee future results.
General Trading Disclaimer:
Trading in futures, forex, and other leveraged products involves substantial risk and is not appropriate for all investors.
Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose.
I do not provide buy/sell signals, financial advice, or investment recommendations.
Any decisions you make based on my content are solely your responsibility.
By engaging with my content, including live streams, videos, educational materials, and any communication through my platforms, you acknowledge and accept that all trading decisions you make are at your own risk. BDRipTrades, BDelCiel, and Aligned & Wealthy LLC cannot and will not be held responsible for any trading losses you may incur.
Gold upward trend soonThe chart shows XAUUSD (Gold) in an upward trend within a channel. The price is currently at 2,861.250, and the next key resistance is at 2,900.592. Potential support levels are at 2,787.548 (Support 2) and 2,831.691 (Support 1). If the price retraces, it could test these support levels before moving higher. Watch for upward momentum toward the 2,900 level
How to Prepare Your Mind for Managing Trades Effectively?Have you ever made a decision mid-trade that wasn’t part of your strategy, only to regret it later? Many traders find themselves acting impulsively, closing positions too early or holding on too long, and then wondering where they went wrong.
This common behavior often stems from a lack of psychological readiness and planning. When you step outside your written trading plan, you’re letting cognitive biases and emotions take control. I’m Skeptic , and I’ll explore how to prepare your mind for better trade management and avoid the psychological traps that derail so many traders.
🔍A. The Two Scenarios After Entering a Trade
Once you’ve opened a position, one of two things will happen:
The price moves against you.
The price moves in your favor.
Let’s break these down and discuss how to manage each scenario:
📉Scenario 1: The Price Moves Against You
If you’ve applied proper risk management and set a stop-loss before entering the trade, this scenario shouldn’t bother you at all.
Key Mindset Tip:
Treat the risk as if it’s already a loss the moment you open the trade. For example, if you’ve risked 1% of your account, mentally prepare yourself for that 1% loss in advance. This reduces emotional stress and allows you to focus on the bigger picture.
Let’s say your trade hits the stop-loss. Instead of reacting emotionally, remind yourself that you followed your plan, and the loss is just part of the process.
📈Scenario 2: The Price Moves in Your Favor
Here’s where things get tricky. Without a clear plan for taking profits, you might:
Close the trade too early with a low risk-to-reward (R/R) ratio.
Hold onto the position too long, only to watch it reverse and hit your stop-loss.
Why Having a Take-Profit Plan is Key:
Planning your profit-taking strategy in advance is just as important as setting a stop-loss. If you fail to do so, emotions like greed or fear can lead to poor decisions.
B. Psychological Tools for Better Trade Management 🧠
To execute your plan effectively, you need to address the psychological challenges that arise during trades. Here are some tips:
1. Accepting Losses as Part of the Game
What to Do:
Before entering a trade, ask yourself: “Am I okay with losing this amount?” If the answer is yes, proceed with the trade. If not, reduce your position size.
Why It Helps:
This mindset shifts your focus from fearing losses to executing your strategy.
2. Planning Profit-Taking in Advance
What to Do:
Decide on your take-profit levels before opening a position. For example, if your R/R is 1:2, set your profit target at 2R.
Why It Helps:
This eliminates emotional decision-making and ensures that you’re not tempted to exit too early or hold on too long.
3. Journaling Trades to Improve Performance
What to Do:
Use an Excel sheet or trading journal to track every position. Note the following:
Entry and exit points.
R/R and Win Rate.
Psychological observations (e.g., emotions during the trade).
Why It Helps:
Reviewing your trades helps identify patterns. For instance, you may discover that exiting at R/R 2 consistently yields better results than holding for R/R 3.
C. Personalizing Your Rules
Every trader is different, so it’s essential to customize your trading plan based on your personality and market experience.
Your rules should work for you, not against you.🎯
D. Understanding Cognitive Biases
Psychological errors often sneak into trading decisions. Here are a few to watch for:
1.Confirmation Bias:
Only seeking information that supports your trade idea, while ignoring contradictory signals.
Solution: Stay objective and review all the data, not just what aligns with your view.
2.Loss Aversion:
Closing winning trades too early because you’re afraid of losing profits.
Solution: Stick to your planned take-profit levels.
3.❌FOMO (Fear of Missing Out):
Jumping into trades impulsively or ignoring your plan because you’re afraid of missing a move.
Solution: Always wait for your setup and trust your process.
Managing a trade effectively requires a combination of strong planning and psychological readiness:
Set Your Stop-Loss and Take-Profit Levels: Before opening a position, plan for both loss and profit scenarios.
Prepare Your Mind for Losses: Accept the risk before entering the trade.
Journaling is Key: Track and review your trades to find patterns and improve over time.
Personalize Your Rules: Your trading style should match your personality and risk tolerance.
💬 What’s your approach to managing trades? Do you track your results in a journal? Share your thoughts in the comments below!
I’m Skeptic , here to simplify trading and help you achieve mastery step by step. Let’s keep growing together!🤍
Time to Enter MDB Again?On Thursday afternoon, the King Trading Momentum Strategy signaled alongside eleven other alerts that day, followed by five more on Friday. This activity doesn’t exactly scream “bearish” to me, but the market has a way of keeping you on your toes! With markets once again approaching all-time highs, I’ve been treading cautiously. My positions have been limited to just a few, with low allocation sizes in TNA, ADBE, PYPL, and XYZ.
When I looked at MongoDB (MDB), I found myself wondering why it was hammered after posting a double beat on earnings and providing decent guidance. It turns out the recent drop was primarily driven by the announcement that Michael Gordon, MongoDB's Chief Operating Officer and Chief Financial Officer, will be stepping down on January 31, 2025. Is this reaction overblown? After all, the company delivered a strong earnings report.
That said, MDB seems to have planted its bull flag in the ground. Even if this news creates headwinds, there’s a possibility it could retrace back to the 38% Fibonacci level. Even if the broader market eventually pulls MDB lower, this setup suggests an 8% potential upside, and I’ve set an initial take profit at 5% with a 3% stop loss. If this can hit the take profit, I will sell half to protect the trade and then set a trailing stop loss of 1.5% on the remainder, trying to sell of much of it as possible on the way up!
Unless Monday brings a complete washout due to fears surrounding the Fed meeting on Wednesday or the PCE data on Friday, I’ll likely use the typical morning volatility as an opportunity to enter this trade. Let’s see how this one plays out!
The King Trading Momentum Strategy combines the 5 EMA crossing above the 13 EMA, RSI strength, favorable momentum as measured by ADX plus evaluating recent volume changes and even something that measures breakout momentum called Beta for this one! MDB and over 100 equities are built into this script with optimal backtest take profits and stop losses and can be toggled on by simply checking a box (default they are turned off).
ZYDUSLIFE Weekly UpdateZYDUSLIFE seems to be stable on the current 985-990 levels.
Things to watch carefully for Long trades.
Long Trade entry :
Entry Trigger : 1011
Stop Loss for target 1 : 977
First Target : 1044
Second target : 1068
Third target: 1130
Last target: 1211
Note: Consider each target for exit of the hold position and re- enter after 3%(Approx.) drop. this will maximize the re-entry position and the profits.
Exit for sure On last target as 2-3 Month or retracement would possibly come after this point.
Trade Updates would be shared on this on every Friday
#MANA/USDT Ready to go higher#MANA
The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and sticking to it well
We have a bounce from the lower limit of the descending channel, this support is at 0.5516
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken, which supports the rise
We have a trend to stabilize above the 100 moving average
Entry price 0.5593
First target 0.5732
Second target 0.5862
Third target 0.6016
#MANA/USDT#MANA
The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is expected to continue upwards
We have a trend to stabilize above the moving average 100 again
We have a descending trend on the RSI indicator that supports the rise by breaking it upwards
We have a support area at the lower limit of the channel at a price of 0.5240
Entry price 0.5317
First target 0.5434
Second target 0.5570
Third target 0.5732
BTC is going finally to 100k?Hey guys!
We finishing this week with nice news?
So quick update about bitcoin situation. We have here bull MA crossing oon 4H TF, so we can potentially see some long movement on the weekends. Another bull sign can be a Thannksgiving Day, so markets can react positive.
On the other hand we have descending volumes and not really active movement.
Don't forget to use SL and follow risk management!
What's your thoughts about the short market condition?
Understanding Trends and Waves in TradingIntroduction
In trading education, recognising price movements is crucial. Prices move in trends, and these trends move in waves. Understanding these waves is essential for successful trading.
The Two Types of Waves
Impulsive/Primary Trend
Comprises a minimum of five waves.
Dictates the overall direction of price movement.
Corrective/Secondary Trend
Comprises a maximum of three waves.
Provides insights into the ongoing trend.
This phase is the most critical for traders to master.
Conclusion
To trade successfully in a trending market, it’s vital to learn how to accurately count waves. Mastering this skill can significantly enhance your trading decisions. Best wishes for your trading success!
Gold Price Analysis November 28Gold is trading near the resistance zone of 2650, this zone becomes the key zone for today's trading day. If before the US session, gold cannot break this zone, the gold trend will continue to fall to important support zones. Pay attention to the support zones of 2638, 2621-2613, 2605 to have the best trading strategies when the price falls to that zone. In the opposite direction, the 2650 zone is broken, gold will return to the uptrend. If gold closes the daily candle above 2658, it is determined that gold is ready to return to the uptrend and head to 2700 soon. Wish you successful trading.
#MANA/USDT#MANA
The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is sticking to it well
We have a bounce from the lower limit of the descending channel and we are now touching this support at 0.2980
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken, which supports the rise
We have a trend to stabilize above the 100 moving average
Entry price 0.2988
First target 0.3045
Second target 0.3121
Third target 0.3200
GOLD :- SELL NOWA downtrend in gold is characterized by lower highs and lower lows, supported by moving averages, trend lines, and strong resistance at recent high levels.
Key indicators like RSI and MACD can provide insights into momentum and potential reversal signals.
Support and resistance levels, volume trends, and sentiment indicators give additional context to gauge if the downtrend is likely to continue or if a reversal could be underway.
Gold price analysis November 7Fundamental Analysis
Gold (XAU/USD) extended losses for a second straight session on Thursday. The dollar-denominated precious metal faced downward pressure from a stronger US dollar (USD) following former President Donald Trump’s victory in the US election.
Gold prices are under pressure as safe-haven flows ease amid market optimism and the “Trump trade”. The move was driven by the apparent victory of the president, while the market had previously anticipated a controversial outcome.
The US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) policy decision will be in focus on Thursday. Markets expect a modest 25 basis point rate cut this week. This could be supportive for Gold as lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets. The CME FedWatch tool shows a 98.1% chance that the Fed will cut interest rates by 0.25 percentage points in November.
Technical Analysis
After yesterday's sharp decline, Gold is being adjusted slightly higher at the beginning of today's Asian trading session. Pay attention to the 2677 port area for SELL strategies in the Asian and European sessions. The 2625 and 2603 support areas become key support levels and also become TP zones for SELL signals. The psychological port breakout zone of 2700 becomes an important resistance zone at the moment when Gold prices have some retests.
Calm before the storm. Waiting for the rockets to launchI've covered many topics in this video
The difference between myself and others is that I speak from real world experience whilst others keep trying the 'sell the dream'
bullsh*t baffles brains, and that's not what I'm about
So if you are a student of the markets I hope you are taking notes of these golden nuggests