Possible Short USD/CAD position!! SELF DEVELOPMENT/METHODOLOGY/PSYCHOLOGY
Chart time frame - H8
Timeframe - 1-2 weeks
Actions on -
A – Activating Event
Currency Pair creating a Double Top . USD will move into consolidation towards the end of the week followed by a south movement towards the @1.307 level.
B – Beliefs
Market will be rejected at @1.3343 area and move towards the first Target 1 level @ 1.307 level.
FX:USDCAD 1.02%
Trade Management
Entered @ Still waiting for confirmation
Stop Loss @ 1.341
Target @1.307
Risk/Reward @ 3:1
Happy trading. Will let you know closer to the time if or when executed:)
Follow your Trading plan, remain disciplined and keep learning !!
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This information is not a recommendation to buy or sell. It is to be used for educational purposes only!
Trade Management
GBP/CHF Short sell ....SELF DEVELOPMENT/METHODOLOGY/PSYCHOLOGY
GBP/CHF Short Sell continue...
Chart Time frame - 4 Hourly
Timeframe - 1-2 weeks
Actions on -
A – Activating Event
Entered short position on the 8th Nov. Below you will see trade management details
B – Beliefs
Continuing on with trade however moving stop loss closer
FX:GBPCHF
Trade Management
Entered @ 1.3154
Stop Loss @ 1.3195 ( Stop loss change to 1.31)
Target 1 1.277
Happy trading
Possible USD/CAD Short PositionSELF DEVELOPMENT/METHODOLOGY/PSYCHOLOGY
Chart time frame - H8
Timeframe - 1-2 weeks
Actions on -
A – Activating Event
Currency Pair creating a Double Top. USD will move north again over the next couple of weeks which will help line up the trade
B – Beliefs
Market will be rejected at @1.33314 level and move towards the first Target 1 level @ 1.31 level.
FX:USDCAD
Trade Management
Entered @ Still waiting for confirmation
Stop Loss @ 1.341
Target @1.31
Risk/Reward @ 3:1
Happy trading. Will let you know closer to the time if or when executed
Catching the curve (educational)This is shared experience, on how curves can be exploited. It requires much experience timing and trading management.
Curves don't rule the markets - obviously. The markets will do their own thing. Generally though, there are some probabilities that emerge, which can be exploited.
WTI (CRUDEOIL) – even more 80+ nowHello everyone,
Sorry, but I have to adapt my count. And now, I must say: it’s absolutely good for 80+!
The new count:
Wave 4 (purple in brackets) ended not at 63.57 (this was just corrective wave a, blue in brackets). Wave 4 ended at 64.40. Since then WTI has made a huge 1-2 setup, as you can see in the chart above (blue in brackets). So, if I am right, WTI will start wave 3 of 5 of 5 of 5 of 3 now. This means, that WTI is not even good for 80, but eventually 90+.
If I am wrong, WTI will collapse down under 60. It is important, that 64.40 will hold, if not, the count is dead. So, be careful.
Don’t hesitate to contact me, if you have any questions or other ideas!
Take care
tgo
EUR/USD – The fist act of the second act?Hello everyone,
We have seen a perfect reversal in my green trading box at 1.13000! All those who followed me are now happy for several thousand pips (please check link below). All those who missed this longtrade: don’t worry, maybe there is another entry in front.
Where we are standing?
Since building the top at 1.25556 EUR/USD has completed wave A (purple) superordinate at 1.13000. Now we are in wave B (purple). At lower wave degrees this wave B is composed by another A-B-C correction pattern, I think. So, the uptrend started at 1.13000 is wave A (cyan) of B (purple). Now, we have a good chance that wave A (cyan) is completed at 1.17335 already.
Screnario 1 (green line) – Chance: 65%
At lower wave degrees EUR/USD is building an a-b-c correction pattern to complete wave B (cyan). We have probably seen wave a of B, so now the market moves up to complete wave b of B. After that, the last wave c of B will lead us to a point where we can decide, if we go long for the final wave C (cyan) of B (purple). I have placed a yellow trading box already in the chart. That’s where wave B (cyan) probably will end, I think. BUT: this box is provisionally. I will adjust it, if the market gives me reason to do so.
Scenario 2 (purple line) – Chance: 35%
Wave A (cyan) is not completed yet, the latest selling was only wave 4 of A (cyan). If so, we will see an uptrend to higher prices to start from there the final sell-off down to complete wave B (cyan). We will see…
During the next days we have to analyze the market movement well to decide what will happen most likely. There are – as always – more possibilities as shown in the chart above, but for now I do not see enough chance for them to come into my chart.
More updates will follow…
If you have any questions, don't hesitate to contact me or leave a comment here.
Take care,
tgo
BitcoinCash – Final Sell-off?Hello everybody,
I think we will see the final sell-off during the next days or weeks, so we can prepare us to place a long order. BCH is forming the final wave 5 of the last wave 5 of c of 2.
What we have seen is a nice all time high (wave 1), and since then a long-lasting a-b-c correction pattern (wave 2). But now it’s the final mile bevor turn around, I think.
Scenario 1 (10% chance)
BHC is going up directly.
Scenario 2 (5% chance)
BHC is not holding the last support (190$) and is going to hell.
Scenario 3 (85% chance)
BHC is completing wave 2 in my green trading box as described above. The ideal turning point would be between 290$ and 280$.
Be careful: if 190$ fails, there will be tears and blood, because then BHC will go to hell.
On the upside there is much resistance (the key levels are shown in the chart above). It’s not that easy, but it’s possible to make it through aiming for new highs.
Be patient, there are only a few dollars left…
Please leave a comment or a message, if you have any questions.
Take care,
tgo
EOS – u-turn in front?Hello everybody,
EOS shows one of the most interesting charts compared with other cryptos. There is a beautiful a-b-c correction pattern with a nice wave b overshoot as you can see in the chart above. Some think that this was the regular high – it wasn’t. It was a perfect bull trap.
Since then EOS is forming the last correction wave c of 2. Now we are in the final wave 5 of c of 2. Wave 2 is looking for the bottom now. So, we have a good chance to complete the correction during the next days (hopefully not weeks). And then we will see a turn around to new highs, or we will see EOS crashing down to hell, but I do not believe in that.
As often there are three scenarios we have to consider…
Scenario 1 (10% chance)
EOS is starting a rally right now.
Scenario 2 (5% chance)
EOS is going to hell.
Scenario 3 (85% chance)
EOS is completing the final wave 5 of 5 of c of c of 2. As you can see in the chart above, the ideal target of wave 5 is the 100% extension at 2.85$. It is most likely that EOS will end the correction between this level (2.85$) and 2.10$ right in the middle of my green and yellow (detail) trading box.
There is a lot of resistance on the way up, but it’s possible to make it through and give us some new highs. We have to be patient… seems to be the last mile…
Please leave a comment or a message, if you have any questions.
Take care,
tgo
Clever long entry, but no profit? Don't get shaken out!Do you know the feeling when prices come back after a solid entry?
You already had a profit and then somehow prices came back to your entry level.
You have moved your stop to breakeven already, so the market pushes you out of your position, only to continue strongly in your direction!
Traders naturally do not want to end up with a losing trade after the clever entry had worked.
So they might move the stop quickly to breakeven. Now you can relax and watch the trend continue in your direction?
Nope. Because very often the trend will continue, but without you.
This market behavior is normal in efficient markets, because traders get paid for risk and embracing pain.
Let's look at some examples in the chart, four longs and one short.
The entries are solid price action signals (circles): Mostly second entries after pullbacks to the EMA or trendline.
So when can you move your stop to breakeven?
I would suggest you wait for prices to hit your entry price again, before you move the stop to breakeven!
In the chart I have shown these pullbacks to your entry level with an arrow. The entry prices are shown with dotted horizontal lines.
You could even increase your position at this time. Notice how the trend continues each time!
Can you avoid this whole issue of vanishing open profits?
Yes, it just depends on your trade management. That means you could scalp for a smaller profit.
In this case you would get out quickly, preferably at a predefined target.
You lock in profits before before the pullback hurts you!
With this strategy you would give up some more profit potential if the trend continues without a pullback.
You can also try to get the best of both worlds:
Take out a part of your position at your target and try to ride the trend to the moon with a runner!
Feel free to comment or ask my anything via PM. Or just follow me ;)
The 45-MIN GBP BULL The chart is comprised of a high tops & to low bottom analysis. I picked support and resistance levels from historic points to determine profit levels. Think visually and find the base of the triangle. This is where you want to be. Last but not least, you have a significant risk/reward ratio. Good luck trader.
Short Opportunity EURUSD (300 pips/1 month)Bearish Gartley & AB=CD Patterns have formed on EURUSD, potentially reaching trendline at 1.14450 during mid-January 2018
SL 1.18650 or 1.19650
Things to remember:
- Do not overtrade
- Only overtrade when you want to see the market hit your stop and then reverse back in the direction of your initial position.
Update to "Go long BTCUSD"-Trade Management Risk:Reward is 14:1 This chart will give you a better view to the ongoing trade "Go Long BTCUSD", with all indicators in visible (Pivots, Opening Range) to see the trade progression, trailing stop losses and profit targets.
What you are seeing here is trade management. By managing the trade properly we are able quickly eliminate the risk of the trade being a losing trade, by bringing our stop loss to close to break even very soon after our entry. From there we simply trail stops to key support levels as well as taking partial profits at key resistance levels. This allows for the trade to be a comfortable experience by enjoying the booking of gains and the continual reduction in risk of losing profits.
Trading Record - Risk Units Exercise This is an observation with educational purposes, for myself and for the people who might find it useful.
First of all, the results that are shown here are made from the last 13 trades that were published and TRIGGERED, here in the website. Each one of those trades are measure in terms of risk to reward, in other words terms of risk units.
Remember when you are going to place a trade you must have clear what % of your account you are going to risk, after you have that number, depending on the place from your entry to your of stop loss level you define your position size in order to match your risk amount
Below you can find in detail each one of the trades, is important that you see the description of each idea in order to see how was the trade management in each case
Trade 1
Trade 2
Trade 3
Trade 4
Trade 5
Trade 6
Trade 7
Trade 8
Trade 9
Trade 10
Trade 11
Trade 12
Trade 13
Hell of a mess on the A6!
Hi i just want to flash the chart of A6 because it was one of the hardest to trade recently.
The good thing is, i did not trade it because
A) My Bullish 4 Hour pattern was not filled
B) The down channel broke before i could trade
C) The bearish Bat on 1 hour was invalidated when price takes out point X
I decided to use this as education material and i'm going to do a write up during this weekend.
EURGBP Bad trade managementI posted a EURGBP trade a couple of days ago, the entry seemed perfect and the trade was going my way. The trade then went badly against me and broke out of the channel. I pushed my stop a lot higher to 0.85925, I then entered another short around 0.85825. Price came back down 0.85550 where I took profit from my second trade and cut my loses on my first trade ending up with profit.
"How you manage your correct trades makes you a good trader. But how you manage your bad trades, that's what makes you an excellent trader" - Joseph Nemeth
EURUSD - 60min @ supportEven i have my long position setup on the Dayli, i would like to show you this setup.
Price price produces a slanted coil (small one), washes out the stops above and below and finally resumes the main trend. Here we even have a nice support zone (green), where it is super nice to enter.
I allways put my stop below the stop running spike, or on bigger scales even a pivot lower.
Nothing works 100% as we all know. But it is also important as a fulltime trader to TAKE opportunities when they setup. Because in the end, trading is a numbers game, where it's base comes from chances. And the chances are the setups we have, and which we shall backtest and verifiy biy stats! Because these stats are the only thing we can lean on in the long run.
P!
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